Английская Википедия:2022 United States Senate election in New York
Шаблон:See alsoШаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in New York State
The 2022 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York.
Incumbent four-term Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer, who has served as Senate Majority Leader since 2021, was first elected in 1998, defeating Republican incumbent Al D'Amato. Schumer ran for a fifth term. Republican Joe Pinion is the first black Senate nominee of any major party in New York history. The filing deadline for the June primary was April 7, 2022.[1] Schumer became the longest-serving U.S. senator in the state's history once his fifth term began in the 118th Congress.[2]
Though Schumer was comfortably re-elected, he lost significant support on Long Island and Upstate New York compared to his last election in 2016. Pinion flipped the more conservative counties that Schumer had won in his previous runs, as well as some Democratic-leaning counties such as Nassau, Saratoga, Broome, Clinton, and Essex. However, Schumer's lead was large enough in New York City that it was called by most media outlets the moment the polls closed.[3]
Despite Democrats overperforming expectations on a national level during this cycle, this race was the most competitive in Schumer's Senate career since his first election in 1998, when he won by 10.5%, along with being the closest U.S. Senate election from New York since Hillary Clinton won by about 12.3 percentage points in 2000.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chuck Schumer, incumbent U.S. Senator and Senate Majority Leader[4]
Disqualified
Declined
- Alessandra Biaggi, state senator from the 34th district (ran for U.S. House)[7][8]
- Jamaal Bowman, U.S. Representative for Шаблон:Ushr (ran for re-election)[9]
- Andrew Cuomo, former governor of New York, former attorney general of New York, and former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development[10]
- Mondaire Jones, U.S. Representative for Шаблон:Ushr (ran for re-election)[9]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Representative for Шаблон:Ushr (ran for re-election)[9][11][12][13]
- Jumaane Williams, New York City Public Advocate and former New York City Councilor for the 45th district (ran for governor)[14]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Chuck Schumer |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | May 7–9, 2020 | 328 (LV) | ± 5.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% | 21% | 25% |
Republican primary
At the 2022 New York State Republican Convention, Joe Pinion was designated as the New York State Republican Party’s preferred candidate for U.S. Senate. Pinion became the first Black individual to be backed by a major party in a U.S. Senate election in New York.[15]
Candidates
Nominee
- Joe Pinion, entrepreneur, TV host and candidate for New York State Assembly in 2018[16][17]
Disqualified
- Aleksander Mici, lawyer and candidate for New York City Council in 2021[16][17]
Declined
- Andrew Giuliani, former Trump administration official, son of Rudy Giuliani and Newsmax TV contributor (ran for governor)[18]
- John Katko, U.S. Representative for Шаблон:Ushr[19]
- Tom Reed, former U.S. Representative for Шаблон:Ushr[20]
- Lee Zeldin, U.S. Representative for Шаблон:Ushr and former state senator from the 3rd district (ran for governor)[21]
Endorsements
Conservative primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Joe Pinion, TV host and candidate for New York State Assembly in 2018[22]
Working Families primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chuck Schumer, incumbent U.S. senator[23]
Other candidates
Diane Sare ran on an Independent ballot line labeled "LaRouche."[24][25]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 19, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | January 7, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2021 |
| Politico[29] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[30] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 18, 2022 |
| Fox News[31] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[32] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[33] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[34] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Chuck Schumer (D) |
Joe Pinion (R) |
Undecided Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | October 26–31, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54.7% | 39.3% | 6.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Schumer +15.4 |
| FiveThirtyEight | October 12 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55.7% | 38.0% | 6.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Schumer +17.7 |
| 270towin | October 26 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54.6% | 38.6% | 6.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Schumer +16.0 |
| Average | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55.0% | 38.6% | 6.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Schumer +16.4 | ||
- Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Chuck Schumer (D) |
Joe Pinion (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% | 37% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 6% |
| ActiVote (D) | August 8 – November 6, 2022 | 279 (LV) | ± 6.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|60% | 40% | – | – |
| Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% | 36% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 6% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|57% | 39% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | – | ||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 27–31, 2022 | 1,198 (LV) | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | 40% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
| KAConsulting (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 27–29, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 38% | – | 7% |
| Data for Progress (D) | October 26–28, 2022 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% | 39% | – | 5% |
| Long Island University | October 24–26, 2022 | 1,001 (A) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% | 27% | 9%Шаблон:Efn | 10% |
| Civiqs | October 22–25, 2022 | 593 (LV) | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% | 41% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | 36% | 6%Шаблон:Efn | 8% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% | 40% | 8%Шаблон:Efn | – | ||||
| SurveyUSA | October 14–18, 2022 | 702 (LV) | ± 5.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% | 38% | 4% | 6% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 12–16, 2022 | 1,617 (LV) | ± 2.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% | 42% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 3% |
| Siena College | October 12–14, 2022 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|57% | 37% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 5% |
| Marist College | October 3–6, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% | 39% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 8% |
| 1,117 (RV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% | 34% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 11% | ||
| Siena College | September 16–25, 2022 | 655 (LV) | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% | 36% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 8% |
| Emerson College | September 4–6, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% | 31% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 9% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | August 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | 36% | – | 13% |
| Emerson College | July 26–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% | 31% | 7% | 8% |
| Siena College | July 24–28, 2022 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% | 35% | 0% | 8% |
- Chuck Schumer vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Chuck Schumer (D) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | August 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent|48% | 10% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box totalШаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
By congressional district
Schumer won 19 of 26 congressional districts, including four that elected Republicans.[35]
See also
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Joe Pinion (R) for Senate
- Chuck Schumer (D) for Senate Шаблон:Webarchive
- Diane Sare (LaRouche) for Senate
Шаблон:New York elections
Шаблон:2022 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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