Английская Википедия:2024 United States Senate election in Virginia
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Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsVA
The 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Virginia. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tim Kaine is running for re-election to a third term in office. Kaine was re-elected with 57.0% of the vote in 2018. Primary election will take place on June 18, 2024.[1]
Background
Virginia is considered to be a moderately blue state at the federal level, with Joe Biden carrying Virginia by about 10 percentage points in the 2020 presidential election. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, a majority in its U.S. representative congressional delegation, and both houses of the Virginia General Assembly. However, Republicans flipped all three statewide constitutional offices in the 2021 elections.[2][3][4]
Kaine was first elected in 2012 by 6 points defeating former U.S. Senator George Allen. He also won re-election in 2018 by 16 points.[5][6]
This race is considered to be clearly favoring Kaine as he is popular amongst Virginian voters and typically over-performs other down-ballot candidates.[7]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Endorsements
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Tim Kaine (D) | $8,997,155 | $4,155,265 | $7,361,552 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[8] |
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Hung Cao, nonprofit founder, U.S. Navy veteran, and nominee for Шаблон:Ushr in 2022[9]
- Jonathan Emord, author and constitutional litigator[10]
- Eddie Garcia, financial advisor, former congressional aide, and retired U.S. Army officer[11]
- Gwen Hickman, attorney[12]
- Kimberly Lowe, farmer and policy analyst[13]
- Scott Parkinson, Club for Growth vice president of government affairs and former chief of staff to Ron DeSantis[14]
- Chuck Smith, former chair of the Virginia Beach Republican Party, nominee for Шаблон:Ushr in 2010, and candidate for Attorney General of Virginia in 2017 and 2021[13]
- Ron Vitiello, former deputy director of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement[13]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hung Cao (R) | $732,775 | $338,766 | $486,490 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Johnathan Emord (R) | $650,526 | $636,988 | $13,537 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Eddie Garcia (R) | $202,249 | $170,683 | $31,566 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Gwen Hickman (R) | $23,710 | $16,666 | $7,043 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Kimberly Lowe (R) | $32,371 | $31,802 | $569 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Scott Parkinson (R) | $548,691 | $168,425 | $380,265 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Chuck Smith (R) | $316,802 | $255,296 | $61,505 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Ron Vitiello (R) | $178,192 | $118,509 | $59,682 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[8] |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 9, 2023 |
Elections Daily[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | May 4, 2023 |
Inside Elections[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 9, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 9, 2023 |
CNalysis[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 21, 2023 |
Polling
- Tim Kaine vs. Glenn Youngkin
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Tim Kaine (D) |
Glenn Youngkin (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia Commonwealth University | July 14-25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% | 42% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 7% |
University of Mary Washington | September 6–12, 2022 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|41% | 39% | 10%Шаблон:Efn | 10% |
Notes
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Hung Cao (R) for Senate
- Jonathan Emord (R) for Senate
- Eddie Garcia (R) for Senate
- Gwen Hickman (R) for Senate
- Tim Kaine (D) for Senate
- Kimberly Lowe (D) for Senate
- Scott Parkinson (R) for Senate
- Chuck Smith (R) for Senate
- Ron Vitiello (R) for Senate
Шаблон:2024 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ 7,0 7,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 8,0 8,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ 13,0 13,1 13,2 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web