Английская Википедия:Balangoda Polling Division

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The Balangoda Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Ratnapura Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Balangoda has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Balangoda is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Balangoda Ratnapura Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 3.28% SLPP 3.60%
2015 UPFA UPFA 3.84% NDF 4.29%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.57% UPFA 3.17%
2005 UPFA UPFA 2.73% UPFA 0.16%
1999 PA PA 2.39% PA 1.67%
1994 PA PA 1.47% PA 5.61%
1988 UNP UNP 0.41% UNP 1.58%
1982 UNP UNP 0.84% UNP 3.93%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 2.19% 8/8 3.00%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balangoda[3] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 53,120 56.42% 448,044 59.93% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 36,421 38.69% 264,503 35.38% 5,564,239 41.99%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,446 2.60% 16,237 2.17% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 2,160 2.29% 18,887 2.53% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 94,147 99.22% 747,671 99.22% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 741 0.78% 5,853 0.78% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 94,888 86.45% 753,524 87.11% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 109,756 864,979 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balangoda[4] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 44,798 51.81% 379,053 55.74% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 40,501 46.84% 292,514 43.01% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,175 1.36% 8,517 1.25% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 86,474 98.85% 680,084 98.89% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,009 1.15% 7,656 1.11% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 87,483 82.09% 687,740 82.69% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 106,575 831,712 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balangoda[5] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 46,716 61.07% 377,734 63.76% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 28,201 36.87% 203,566 34.36% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,573 2.06% 11,126 1.88% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 76,490 99.24% 592,426 99.26% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 589 0.76% 4,430 0.74% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 77,079 79.58% 596,856 79.75% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 96,855 748,404 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balangoda[6] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 35,410 50.17% 294,260 53.01% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 34,049 48.24% 252,838 45.55% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,128 1.60% 7,976 1.44% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 70,587 98.83% 555,074 99.02% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 836 1.17% 5,510 0.98% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 71,423 81.22% 560,584 82.57% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 87,938 678,909 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balangoda[7] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,231 49.87% 250,409 52.13% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 28,184 45.00% 202,621 42.18% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,810 2.89% 16,482 3.43% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,403 2.24% 10,852 2.26% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 62,628 98.07% 480,364 98.15% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,232 1.93% 9,038 1.85% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 63,860 81.62% 489,402 81.27% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 78,239 602,172 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balangoda[8] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 32,501 56.62% 257,265 58.07% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 23,943 41.71% 177,924 40.16% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 959 1.67% 7,842 1.77% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 57,403 97.82% 443,031 98.31% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,277 2.18% 7,595 1.69% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 58,680 80.23% 450,626 80.02% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 73,136 563,174 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balangoda[9] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,802 52.05% 180,622 51.75% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 22,074 46.33% 159,879 45.81% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 771 1.62% 8,516 2.44% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 47,647 98.93% 349,017 98.84% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 516 1.07% 4,113 1.16% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 48,163 80.73% 353,130 76.64% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 59,661 460,735 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balangoda[10] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,923 50.53% 175,903 50.90% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 20,679 45.58% 152,506 44.13% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,440 3.17% 11,283 3.26% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 324 0.71% 5,912 1.71% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 45,366 99.26% 345,604 99.02% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 336 0.74% 3,407 0.98% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 45,702 88.16% 349,011 85.91% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 51,837 406,275 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Balangoda has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Balangoda is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Balangoda Ratnapura Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UNP UPFA 3.64% UNP 3.69%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.38% UPFA 3.71%
2004 UPFA UPFA 2.08% UPFA 5.13%
2001 UNP UNP 2.55% UNP 3.78%
2000 PA PA 0.93% PA 4.23%
1994 UNP PA 2.78% PA 3.46%
1989 UNP UNP 2.00% UNP 6.69%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 2.62% 7/7 4.39%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Balangoda[13] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 38,039 48.90% 284,117 44.96% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 37,015 47.58% 323,636 51.21% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,307 2.97% 21,525 3.41% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 430 0.55% 2,720 0.43% 83,333 0.75%
Valid Votes 77,791 95.13% 631,998 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,940 4.82% 23,026 3.51% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 81,771 76.73% 655,222 80.88% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 106,575 810,082 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Balangoda[14] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 36,020 64.47% 305,327 68.87% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 18,410 32.95% 125,076 28.21% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,200 2.15% 11,053 2.49% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 238 0.43% 1,853 0.42% 35,498 0.44%
Valid Votes 55,868 90.90% 443,309 92.28% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 5,584 9.09% 37,022 7.71% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 61,461 63.46% 480,395 64.02% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 96,855 750,416 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Balangoda[15] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 32,042 51.24% 261,450 53.14% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 27,685 44.27% 205,490 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 2,364 3.78% 20,801 4.23% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 448 0.72% 4,262 0.87% 58,082 0.63%
Valid Votes 62,539 93.51% 492,003 94.55% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 4,340 6.49% 28,346 5.45% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 66,879 78.42% 520,349 80.42% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 85,285 647,035 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Balangoda[16] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 30,982 49.83% 227,202 46.41% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 25,849 41.58% 212,794 43.46% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 4,106 6.60% 40,377 8.25% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,237 1.99% 9,205 1.88% 131,990 1.47%
Valid Votes 62,174 92.84% 489,578 94.14% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 4,793 7.16% 30,483 5.86% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 66,967 81.68% 520,061 83.41% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 81,992 623,506 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Balangoda[17] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,411 52.02% 244,142 50.63% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 25,789 42.71% 204,017 42.30% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,232 3.70% 22,222 4.61% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 952 1.58% 11,873 2.46% 239,421 2.78%
Valid Votes 60,384 N/A 482,254 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Balangoda[18] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,959 50.78% 220,750 47.96% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 28,292 47.95% 233,687 50.77% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 746 1.26% 5,848 1.27% 223,848 2.82%
Valid Votes 58,997 93.85% 460,285 95.12% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,870 6.16% 23,611 4.88% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 62,861 85.95% 483,890 85.77% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 73,136 564,194 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Balangoda[19] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,987 61.06% 196,323 57.89% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 16,662 36.35% 123,360 36.38% 1,785,369 31.90%
USP 931 2.03% 17,323 5.11% 17,323 0.31%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 252 0.55% 2,116 0.62% 68,609 1.23%
Valid Votes 45,832 93.47% 339,122 94.37% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 3,201 6.53% 20,248 5.63% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 49,033 83.30% 359,370 78.60% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 58,861 457,224 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Balangoda Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (81.5%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (10.5%) . In comparison, the Ratnapura Electoral District (which contains the Balangoda Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (87.1%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Balangoda Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (80.3%) and a significant Hindu population (12.1%) . In comparison, the Ratnapura Electoral District (which contains the Balangoda Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (86.7%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

  1. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Balangoda and the Ratnapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Balangoda and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. Шаблон:Cite web
  4. Шаблон:Cite web
  5. Шаблон:Cite web
  6. Шаблон:Cite web
  7. Шаблон:Cite web
  8. Шаблон:Cite web
  9. Шаблон:Cite web
  10. Шаблон:Cite web
  11. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Balangoda and the Ratnapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Balangoda and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. Шаблон:Cite web
  14. Шаблон:Cite web
  15. Шаблон:Cite web
  16. Шаблон:Cite web
  17. Шаблон:Cite web
  18. Шаблон:Cite web
  19. Шаблон:Cite web
  20. 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web