Английская Википедия:2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire
Шаблон:See alsoШаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in New Hampshire sidebar The 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire.[1] The primary elections were held on September 13, 2022.[2] Incumbent Senator Maggie Hassan was re-elected over Republican retired brigadier general Don Bolduc by an unexpectedly large margin that surpassed most polls, as well as her initial bid for this seat in 2016 in which she only won by 1,017 votes or 0.14%.[3] This election marked the first time a Democrat won re-election to New Hampshire's class 3 Senate seat.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Maggie Hassan, incumbent U.S. Senator[4]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box write-in with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Don Bolduc, retired U.S. Army Special Forces brigadier general and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[6]
Eliminated in primary
- Gerard Beloin, roofing contractor and perennial candidateШаблон:Efn[7]
- John Berman, electronic hardware designer, test engineer, and candidate for U.S. Senate (Kansas and Minnesota) in 2020[8]
- Bruce Fenton, bitcoin advocate, financial analyst and entrepreneur[9]
- Dennis Lamare[5]
- Edmund LaPlante, U.S. Marine Corps veteran[10]
- Vikram Mansharamani, author and businessman[11]
- Chuck Morse, President of the New Hampshire Senate and former acting Governor of New Hampshire[12][13]
- Tejasinha Sivalingam, landlord and candidate for state representative in 2018 and 2020[14][15]
- Kevin Smith, former Londonderry town manager and candidate for Governor of New Hampshire in 2012[16]
Declined
- Chris Sununu, Governor of New Hampshire[17][18][19] (ran for reelection)[20]
- Kelly Ayotte, former U.S. Senator[21]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Debates
Шаблон:Abbr | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn | |||||||||
Don Bolduc | Kevin Smith | Chuck Morse | Vikram Mansharamani | Bruce Fenton | |||||
1 | June 27, 2022 | NH Journal | Michael Graham Alicia Xanthopolous Haris Alic |
Link[22] | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
2[23] | August 16, 2022 | Good Morning New Hampshire | Jack Heath | N/A | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
3Шаблон:Cn | August 24, 2022 | Newsmax | John Bachmann | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | N | Шаблон:Yes | |
4 | September 8, 2022 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics WMUR |
YouTube | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
Polling
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Don Bolduc |
Bruce Fenton |
Vikram Mansharamani |
Chuck Morse |
Kevin Smith |
Other Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | August 9–29, 2022 | August 31, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|37.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 19.0% | 3.5% | 32.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bolduc +18.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Don Bolduc |
Bruce Fenton |
Vikram Mansharamani |
Chuck Morse |
Kevin Smith |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | September 7–8, 2022 | 559 (LV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|33% | 4% | 6% | 23% | 9% | – | 25% |
University of New Hampshire | August 25–29, 2022 | 892 (LV) | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% | 5% | 5% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 20% |
Saint Anselm College | August 9–11, 2022 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|32% | 4% | 2% | 16% | 4% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|39% |
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 315 (LV) | ± 5.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|33% | 1% | – | 2% | 4% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|58% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Libertarian convention
Candidates
Nominee
- Jeremy Kauffman, founder and CEO of LBRY, board member of the Free State Project[24][25]
Eliminated at convention
- Kevin KahnШаблон:Cn
Independents
Candidates
- Tejasinha Sivalingam, (write-in)[26]
Did not qualify
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[28] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | August 18, 2022 |
Inside Elections[29] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 1, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | August 31, 2022 |
Politico[31] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2022 |
RCP[32] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News[33] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 20, 2022 |
DDHQ[34] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 24, 2022 |
538[35] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2022 |
The Economist[36] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2022 |
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Don Bolduc (R) |
Other Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | October 28 – November 1, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48.7% | 47.3% | 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hassan +1.4 |
FiveThirtyEight | September 23 – November 5, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic;"|48.8% | 46.6% | 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic;"|Hassan +2.2 |
270towin | October 27 – November 4, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49.2% | 46.0% | 4.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hassan +3.2 |
Average | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic;"|48.9% | 46.6% | 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic;"|Hassan +2.3 |
- Maggie Hassan vs. Kelly Ayotte
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Kelly Ayotte (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | October 14–18, 2021 | 979 (LV) | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% | 43% | 7% | 5% |
University of New Hampshire | July 15–19, 2021 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 45% | 3% | 3% |
University of New Hampshire | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 43% | 3% | 6% |
- Maggie Hassan vs. Bruce Fenton
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Bruce Fenton (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 40% | 0% | 14% |
- Maggie Hassan vs. Chuck Morse
- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Chuck Morse (R) |
Other Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | December 10, 2021 – April 18, 2022 | April 21, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44.3% | 40.0% | 15.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hassan +4.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Chuck Morse (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | June 22 – July 8, 2022 | 903 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 46% | – | 5% |
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 1% | 9% |
Phillips Academy | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43% | 40% | – | 17% |
471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | 45% | – | 6% | ||
Saint Anselm College | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43% | 36% | 10% | 11% |
Saint Anselm College | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|41% | 27% | 17% | 15% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 38% | – | 16% |
- Maggie Hassan vs. Corey Lewandowski
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Corey Шаблон:Nowrap |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% | 34% | 3% | 9% |
- Maggie Hassan vs. Corky Messner
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Corky Messner (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Tarrance Group (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | November 16–18, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% | 45% | 8% |
- Maggie Hassan vs. Kevin Smith
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Kevin Smith (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | June 22 – July 8, 2022 | 903 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 45% | – | 6% |
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45% | 44% | 1% | 10% |
Saint Anselm College | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% | 34% | 10% | 12% |
Saint Anselm College | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|42% | 24% | 17% | 17% |
- Maggie Hassan vs. Chris Sununu
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Anselm College | October 20–22, 2021 | 1,323 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 9% | 4% |
University of New Hampshire | October 14–18, 2021 | 979 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% | 6% | 6% |
Saint Anselm College | August 24–26, 2021 | 1,855 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | 6% | 4% |
University of New Hampshire | July 15–19, 2021 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | 1% | 2% |
Saint Anselm College | March 4–6, 2021 | 871 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 7% | 6% |
University of New Hampshire | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | 2% | 5% |
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio Ward (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 17–19, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 47% | – | 4% |
Phillips Academy | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | 32% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | – | 22% |
471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | – | 16% | ||
The Tarrance Group (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | November 16–18, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% | – | 13% |
- on if Maggie Hassan should be re-elected
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Yes | No | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Anselm College | August 9–11, 2022 | 1,898 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent|53% | 8% |
Debates
Шаблон:Abbr | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn |
scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | ||||
Maggie Hassan | Donald C. Bolduc | |||||
1 | October 27, 2022 | NHPR | Josh Rogers, Amanda Gokee | YouTube | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
1 | November 1, 2022 | Saint Anselm College | Adam Sexton | YouTube | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
Results
In the early months of the campaign, Hassan maintained a healthy lead in the polls. Polls began to tighten around September 2022 and by late October, a few polls even showed Bolduc with a narrow lead or had the candidates tied. Most pundits concurred that Hassan had a very slight edge and that the race would be extremely tight. However, Hassan won reelection by 9 points, a margin considerably wider than what was expected and one far greater than her 0.14 point plurality in 2016. Hassan's victory made her the first Democrat to win re-election to the class 3 Senate seat in New Hampshire history. This, along with Democrats' comfortable victories in New Hampshire's two House races, affirmed New Hampshire's transition from a closely contested swing state to a clearly Democratic leaning state at the federal level.
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party linkШаблон:Election box candidate with party linkШаблон:Election box candidate with party link}Шаблон:Election box write-in with party linkШаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
By county
2022 Senate election results in New Hampshire (by county) [37] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Maggie Hassan Democratic |
Don Bolduc Republican |
Other votes | Total votes | |||
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Belknap | 13,669 | 44.4% | 16,591 | 53.9% | 537 | 1.7% | 30,797 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Carroll | 13,708 | 50.5% | 13,014 | 48.0% | 415 | 1.5% | 27,137 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Cheshire | 20,083 | 59.1% | 13,241 | 38.9% | 684 | 2.0% | 34,008 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Coös | 6,059 | 47.0% | 6,491 | 50.3% | 353 | 2.7% | 12,903 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Grafton | 26,337 | 61.6% | 15,544 | 36.3% | 891 | 2.1% | 42,772 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hillsborough | 91,776 | 53.2% | 76,862 | 44.6% | 3,738 | 2.2% | 172,376 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Merrimack | 39,367 | 55.6% | 29,965 | 42.3% | 1,526 | 2.2% | 70,858 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Rockingham | 78,047 | 50.6% | 73,244 | 47.4% | 3,096 | 2.0% | 154,387 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Strafford | 33,240 | 58.7% | 22,217 | 39.2% | 1,161 | 2.1% | 56,618 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Sullivan | 9,907 | 51.8% | 8,759 | 45.8% | 453 | 2.4% | 19,119 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Carroll (largest municipality: Conway)
- Hillsborough (largest municipality: Manchester)
- Rockingham (largest municipality: Derry)
By congressional district
Hassan won both congressional districts.[38]
District | Hassan | Bolduc | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 53% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Chris Pappas |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 54% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Annie Kuster |
See also
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Don Bolduc (R) for Senate
- Maggie Hassan (D) for Senate
- Jeremy Kauffman (L) for Senate
- Geoff Woollacott (I) for Senate
Шаблон:Elections in New Hampshire footer Шаблон:2022 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ {{Cite web [title=Ask The Politician |url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nD7NkjS_dP8}}
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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