Английская Википедия:2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Row hover highlight Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsSC
The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary will be held on February 24, 2024,[1] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 50 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a selection basis.[2]
Held following the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, the South Carolina primary will be the third in the cycle, and will be held on the same day as the Nevada caucuses.[3] South Carolina holds the "first in the South" presidential primary for both major parties.[4]
Nikki Haley, who served as governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, announced her presidential candidacy in February 2023. Tim Scott, who has represented South Carolina in the U.S. Senate since 2013, also entered the race with a campaign announcement in May 2023.[5] He has since withdrawn from the race, with the announcement of his campaign suspension being made on November 12, 2023, during a Fox News interview with Trey Gowdy.[6]
Background
The Republican electorate in South Carolina is noted for having a high proportion of evangelical voters.[7] Socially conservative candidates have performed well in the South Carolina primary in past contests. In the 2012 Republican primary, Newt Gingrich beat out eventual nominee Mitt Romney in the state with support from evangelical voters.[8]
In the 2016 South Carolina Republican primary, Donald Trump won with 32.51% of the vote, with the nearest opponent Marco Rubio taking 22.48%. Trump reportedly won 34% of the evangelical vote in the primary, with Ted Cruz taking 26%, and Rubio taking 21%.[9]
Procedure
29 at-large delegates are awarded to the candidate with the highest statewide vote total. Each of the state's seven congressional districts are awarded three delegates and the candidate with the highest vote total in each congressional district are awarded that district's delegates.
Candidates
The following 10 candidates have filed until the end of the filing period on October 31, 2023, and will be on the ballot (unless they withdraw by January 2, 2024):[10]
- Ryan Binkley
- John Anthony Castro
- Chris Christie
- Ron DeSantis
- Nikki Haley
- Vivek Ramaswamy
- David Stuckenberg
- Donald Trump
- Tim Scott (withdrawn)[11]
- Doug Burgum (withdrawn)[12]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Maps
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Polling
- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Donald Trump |
Other/ UndecidedШаблон:Efn |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270toWin | November 15-December 10, 2023 | December 10, 2023 | 3.5% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 0.5% | 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |50.5% | 8.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Trump +30.5 |
FiveThirtyEight | through December 8, 2023 | December 14, 2023 | 2.7% | 13.5% | 21.8% | 0.4% | 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |50.7% | 6.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Trump +28.9 |
RealClearPolitics | September 14 – December 8, 2023 | December 10, 2023 | 3.6% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 0.8% | 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |49.2% | 12.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Trump +29.6 |
Average | 3.3% | 12.6% | 20.5% | 0.6% | 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |50.1% | 8.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Trump +29.7 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group | Dec 6–8, 2023 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | 5.8% | 14.4% | 22.8% | 0.3% | – | 6.1% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48.7% | – | 1.9% |
Morning Consult | Nov 1-30, 2023 | 856 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 13% | 19% | – | – | 3% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |57% | – | – |
Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research | Nov 4–12, 2023 | 780 (RV) | ± 3.51% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 0.4% | – | 3.4% | 10.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47.6% | 2.1%Шаблон:Efn | 2.7% |
Morning Consult | Oct 1-31, 2023 | 927 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 11% | 15% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |58% | – | – |
CNN/SSRS | Oct 18–25, 2023 | 738 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 0% | 2% | 11% | 22% | 0%Шаблон:Efn | 2% | 1% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53% | 0%Шаблон:Efn | 1% |
Morning Consult | Sep 1-30, 2023 | 854 (LV) | – | – | 1% | 10% | 13% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |59% | 0%Шаблон:Efn | 1% |
Fox Business | Sep 14–18, 2023 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.5% | <0.5% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 3% |
Washington Post/Monmouth University | Sep 6–11, 2023 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
Morning Consult | Aug 1-31, 2023 | 910 (LV) | – | – | 1% | 14% | 11% | 0% | 4% | 8% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |55% | 0%Шаблон:Efn | – |
Trafalgar Group (R) | Aug 17–19, 2023 | 1,054 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 0% | 2% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 14% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | 0%Шаблон:Efn | 1% |
Morning Consult | July 1–31, 2023 | 907 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 15% | 12% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |54% | 0%Шаблон:Efn | 1% |
Fox Business | Jul 15–19, 2023 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.5% | <0.5% | 2% | 13% | 14% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | –Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
Morning Consult | June 1–30, 2023 | 907 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 20% | 12% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |48% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 1% |
National Public Affairs | Jun 20–21, 2023 | 809 (LV) | – | 1% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|41% | – | 6% |
Morning Consult | May 1–31, 2023 | 875 (LV) | – | – | – | 19% | 13% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |52% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 1% |
National ResearchШаблон:Efn-ua | May 24–25, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | – | – | 18% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 13% |
National Public Affairs | May 15–17, 2023 | 590 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 23% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|38% | – | 8% |
Morning Consult | Apr 1-30, 2023 | 810 (LV) | – | – | – | 17% | 17% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |52% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 1% |
National Public Affairs | Apr 11–14, 2023 | 588 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | – | 21% | 19% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 6% |
Winthrop University | Mar 25 – April 1, 2023 | 485 (RV) | ± 4.6% | – | – | 20% | 18% | 0% | 5% | – | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|41% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
Morning Consult | Mar 1-31, 2023 | 806 (LV) | – | – | – | 22% | 15% | – | 5% | 0% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |49% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 2% |
Morning Consult | Feb 1-28, 2023 | 689 (LV) | – | – | – | 24% | 18% | – | 5% | – | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |43% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | – |
Neighbourhood Research and MediaШаблон:Efn-ua | Feb 7–14, 2023 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.9% | – | – | 22% | 16% | – | 2% | – | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|35% | – | 23% |
Morning Consult | Jan 1-31, 2023 | 974 (LV) | – | – | – | 31% | 14% | – | 2% | – | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |45% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 1% |
Trafalgar Group | Jan 24–26, 2023 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | – | 33% | – | 6% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% | 9%Шаблон:Efn | – |
– | – | – | 21% | – | 3% | – | 23% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | – | ||||
– | – | 29% | 22% | – | 4% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | – | ||||
– | – | 28% | 12% | – | 2% | – | 14% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | – | ||||
Moore Information | Jan 18–24, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 31% | 12% | – | 4% | – | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|41% | – | 7% |
– | – | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|62% | – | 9% | ||||
– | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | – | 15% | ||||
Spry Strategies | Jan 17–19, 2023 | 386 (LV) | – | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | 15% |
Morning Consult | Dec 1-31, 2022 | 530 (LV) | – | – | – | 28% | 13% | – | 4% | – | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |44% | 6%Шаблон:Efn | – |
Winthrop University | Oct 22 – November 5, 2022 | 1,298 (A) | ± 2.8% | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% | – | 19% |
Echelon Insights | Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 | 294 (LV) | ± 5.1% | – | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|58% | – | 9% |
Trafalgar Group | Mar 25–29, 2021 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|64% | 11%Шаблон:Efn | 25%Шаблон:Efn |
Results
See also
- 2024 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
Шаблон:2024 Republican primaries
- Английская Википедия
- Страницы с неработающими файловыми ссылками
- South Carolina Republican primaries
- 2024 South Carolina elections
- 2024 United States Republican presidential primaries by state
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