Английская Википедия:Bulathsinhala Polling Division

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The Bulathsinhala Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kalutara Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Bulathsinhala has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Bulathsinhala is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Bulathsinhala Kalutara Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.39% SLPP 6.35%
2015 UPFA UPFA 3.62% NDF 8.51%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.24% UPFA 7.16%
2005 UPFA UPFA 3.20% UPFA 1.98%
1999 PA PA 3.24% PA 1.57%
1994 PA PA 4.84% PA 5.76%
1988 UNP SLFP 1.67% UNP 2.40%
1982 UNP UNP 1.32% UNP 4.73%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 6/8 2.57% 8/8 4.81%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[3] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 42,021 59.51% 482,920 59.49% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 25,407 35.98% 284,213 35.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,721 2.44% 16,949 2.09% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,468 2.08% 27,681 3.41% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 70,617 99.29% 811,763 99.16% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 503 0.71% 6,847 0.84% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 71,120 86.27% 818,610 85.71% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 82,439 955,080 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[4] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 37,311 56.17% 395,890 52.65% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 28,341 42.66% 349,404 46.46% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 779 1.17% 6,690 0.89% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 66,431 98.93% 751,984 98.90% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 716 1.07% 8,381 1.10% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 67,147 81.76% 760,365 82.08% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 82,123 926,346 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[5] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,018 65.04% 412,562 63.06% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 19,073 32.63% 231,807 35.43% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,365 2.34% 9,880 1.51% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 58,456 99.28% 654,249 99.31% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 423 0.72% 4,541 0.69% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 58,879 78.51% 658,790 79.05% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 74,991 833,360 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[6] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,218 52.01% 341,693 55.48% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 25,918 46.13% 266,043 43.20% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,043 1.86% 8,124 1.32% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 56,179 98.87% 615,860 98.95% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 644 1.13% 6,517 1.05% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 56,823 79.94% 622,377 79.67% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 71,080 781,175 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[7] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,424 50.25% 281,217 52.88% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 22,879 45.22% 217,423 40.88% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,397 2.76% 23,770 4.47% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 897 1.77% 9,399 1.77% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 50,597 98.08% 531,809 97.83% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 991 1.92% 11,796 2.17% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 51,588 77.91% 543,605 78.23% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 66,212 694,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[8] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 27,072 56.52% 295,686 61.47% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 20,094 41.95% 178,466 37.10% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 729 1.52% 6,867 1.43% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 47,895 98.41% 481,019 98.50% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 772 1.59% 7,309 1.50% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 48,667 77.09% 488,328 73.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 63,131 660,191 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[9] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,705 49.30% 169,510 46.74% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 18,491 48.74% 179,761 49.57% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 743 1.96% 13,375 3.69% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 37,939 97.73% 362,646 98.23% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 880 2.27% 6,537 1.77% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 38,819 66.89% 369,183 64.20% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 58,030 575,008 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[10] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,486 49.74% 211,592 50.15% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 20,068 46.46% 185,874 44.06% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 998 2.31% 14,499 3.44% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 521 1.21% 8,613 2.04% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 121 0.28% 1,314 0.31% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 43,194 98.67% 421,892 98.76% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 582 1.33% 5,290 1.24% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 43,776 85.34% 427,182 83.97% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 51,297 508,744 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Bulathsinhala has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Bulathsinhala is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Bulathsinhala Kalutara Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 2.39% UNP 5.31%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.68% UPFA 5.67%
2004 UPFA UPFA 4.10% UPFA 4.52%
2001 UNP UNP 1.85% UNP 3.12%
2000 PA PA 2.77% PA 3.23%
1994 PA PA 4.23% PA 2.64%
1989 UNP UNP 3.24% UNP 5.64%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 3.18% 7/7 4.31%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bulathsinhala[13] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 31,612 52.26% 338,801 48.58% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 26,254 43.41% 310,234 44.48% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,052 3.39% 38,475 5.52% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 568 0.94% 9,951 1.43% 85,579 0.77%
Valid Votes 60,486 96.23% 697,461 97.00% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,340 3.72% 21,366 2.97% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 62,853 76.54% 719,001 80.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 82,123 897,349 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bulathsinhala[14] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,522 68.58% 313,836 63.74% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 11,737 27.26% 139,596 28.35% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,577 3.66% 36,722 7.46% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 213 0.49% 2,246 0.46% 34,923 0.44%
Valid Votes 43,049 88.17% 492,400 90.41% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 5,734 11.74% 51,751 9.50% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 48,827 65.11% 544,606 65.21% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 74,991 835,186 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bulathsinhala[15] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 25,374 49.77% 291,208 51.72% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 22,767 44.65% 212,721 37.78% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 2,621 5.14% 56,615 10.06% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 225 0.44% 2,475 0.44% 49,030 0.53%
Valid Votes 50,987 93.19% 563,019 94.82% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,728 6.81% 30,741 5.18% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 54,715 78.48% 593,760 79.58% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 69,720 746,138 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bulathsinhala[16] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,592 48.75% 254,339 45.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 20,909 41.45% 226,468 40.91% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,976 7.88% 60,451 10.92% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 969 1.92% 12,361 2.23% 137,091 1.53%
Valid Votes 50,446 93.12% 553,619 94.44% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,730 6.88% 32,617 5.56% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 54,176 79.91% 586,236 81.68% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 67,795 717,764 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bulathsinhala[17] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,308 47.87% 255,175 46.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 22,812 44.92% 217,215 39.89% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,037 4.01% 38,373 7.05% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,028 2.02% 18,136 3.33% 321,730 3.74%
SU 597 1.18% 15,619 2.87% 127,859 1.49%
Valid Votes 50,782 N/A 544,518 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bulathsinhala[18] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,364 50.04% 271,754 53.77% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 23,755 48.79% 221,115 43.75% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 566 1.16% 12,491 2.47% 159,429 2.01%
Valid Votes 48,685 93.98% 505,360 95.21% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,121 6.02% 25,397 4.79% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 51,806 82.06% 530,757 80.20% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 63,131 661,793 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bulathsinhala[19] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,360 55.80% 160,069 49.84% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 12,024 41.01% 131,510 40.94% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 616 2.10% 16,643 5.18% 300,186 5.36%
SLMC 321 1.09% 12,971 4.04% 202,016 3.61%
Valid Votes 29,321 92.25% 321,193 94.10% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,463 7.75% 20,139 5.90% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 31,784 55.65% 341,332 59.86% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 57,111 570,193 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Bulathsinhala Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (87.3%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Bulathsinhala Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (86.8%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Bulathsinhala Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (87.0%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Bulathsinhala Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (83.4%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

  1. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bulathsinhala and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bulathsinhala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. Шаблон:Cite web
  4. Шаблон:Cite web
  5. Шаблон:Cite web
  6. Шаблон:Cite web
  7. Шаблон:Cite web
  8. Шаблон:Cite web
  9. Шаблон:Cite web
  10. Шаблон:Cite web
  11. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bulathsinhala and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bulathsinhala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. Шаблон:Cite web
  14. Шаблон:Cite web
  15. Шаблон:Cite web
  16. Шаблон:Cite web
  17. Шаблон:Cite web
  18. Шаблон:Cite web
  19. Шаблон:Cite web
  20. 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web