Английская Википедия:Gampola Polling Division

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The Gampola Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kandy Electoral District, in the Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Gampola has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Gampola is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Gampola Kandy Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 NDF SLPP 7.56% SLPP 9.57%
2015 NDF NDF 2.34% NDF 5.62%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.33% UPFA 7.99%
2005 UNP UNP 2.95% UPFA 8.84%
1999 PA PA 2.75% PA 1.44%
1994 PA PA 2.33% PA 3.25%
1988 UNP UNP 0.99% UNP 3.94%
1982 UNP UNP 1.66% UNP 6.17%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 3.11% 8/8 5.85%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampola[3] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 46,531 52.95% 417,355 44.64% 5,564,239 41.99%
SLPP 37,648 42.84% 471,502 50.43% 6,924,255 52.25%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,233 2.54% 22,479 2.40% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,469 1.67% 23,539 2.52% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 87,881 99.08% 934,875 99.04% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 816 0.92% 9,020 0.96% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 88,697 84.43% 943,895 84.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 105,054 1,111,860 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampola[4] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 45,328 56.81% 466,994 54.56% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 33,293 41.73% 378,585 44.23% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,164 1.46% 10,329 1.21% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 79,785 98.74% 855,908 98.73% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,020 1.26% 10,993 1.27% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 80,805 79.05% 866,901 79.71% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 102,219 1,087,542 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampola[5] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,078 49.62% 406,636 54.16% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 32,090 48.14% 329,492 43.89% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,489 2.23% 14,658 1.95% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 66,657 98.73% 750,786 98.85% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 857 1.27% 8,700 1.15% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 67,514 74.07% 759,486 75.87% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 91,146 1,001,074 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampola[6] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 35,829 57.23% 387,150 54.33% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 25,790 41.20% 315,672 44.30% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 984 1.57% 9,798 1.37% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 62,603 98.37% 712,620 98.64% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 1,036 1.63% 9,817 1.36% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 63,639 75.61% 722,437 77.37% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 84,167 933,754 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampola[7] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 29,986 53.65% 308,187 50.29% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 23,928 42.81% 276,360 45.10% 3,602,748 42.71%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,151 2.06% 12,752 2.08% 176,679 2.09%
JVP 828 1.48% 15,512 2.53% 343,927 4.08%
Valid Votes 55,893 97.17% 612,811 97.29% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,626 2.83% 17,060 2.71% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 57,519 78.65% 629,871 77.61% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 73,137 811,606 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampola[8] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 29,558 59.04% 320,110 56.64% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 19,692 39.33% 235,519 41.68% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 817 1.63% 9,488 1.68% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 50,067 97.05% 565,117 97.55% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,524 2.95% 14,179 2.45% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 51,591 77.22% 579,296 77.85% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 66,812 744,151 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampola[9] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,800 56.12% 234,124 54.88% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 18,976 42.94% 186,187 43.65% 2,289,857 44.95%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 418 0.95% 6,266 1.47% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 44,194 98.84% 426,577 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 517 1.16% 6,167 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 44,711 80.67% 432,744 68.36% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 55,425 633,030 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampola[10] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,380 62.01% 289,621 59.80% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 15,340 36.06% 178,647 36.89% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 528 1.24% 12,493 2.58% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 293 0.69% 3,536 0.73% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 42,541 99.08% 484,297 99.07% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 394 0.92% 4,548 0.93% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 42,935 84.91% 488,845 89.44% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 50,563 546,565 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Gampola has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Gampola is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Gampola Kandy Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UNP UNP 2.35% UNP 8.21%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.81% UPFA 4.88%
2004 UNP UNP 3.63% UPFA 9.05%
2001 UNP UNP 5.97% UNP 4.82%
2000 PA PA 4.92% PA 5.57%
1994 UNP UNP 1.89% PA 6.65%
1989 UNP UNP 1.90% UNP 5.80%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 5/7 3.50% 7/7 6.43%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Gampola[13] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 42,657 58.22% 440,761 55.61% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 27,025 36.89% 309,152 39.00% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 1,583 2.16% 30,669 3.87% 544,154 4.88%
CWC 1,399 1.91% 4,400 0.56% 17,107 0.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 600 0.82% 7,655 0.97% 82,981 0.74%
Valid Votes 73,264 94.53% 792,637 95.48% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 4,204 5.42% 37,065 4.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 77,505 75.82% 830,165 79.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 102,219 1,049,160 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Gampola[14] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,843 57.53% 339,819 60.81% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 19,144 39.55% 192,798 34.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,228 2.54% 23,728 4.25% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 186 0.38% 2,459 0.44% 30,354 0.38%
Valid Votes 48,401 87.62% 558,804 90.49% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 6,780 12.27% 58,333 9.45% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 55,239 60.60% 617,559 61.70% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 91,146 1,000,861 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Gampola[15] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 30,109 54.76% 313,859 49.99% 3,486,792 37.73%
UPFA 22,066 40.14% 268,131 42.71% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 2,515 4.57% 42,192 6.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 289 0.53% 3,684 0.59% 64,227 0.69%
Valid Votes 54,979 92.57% 627,866 93.24% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 4,415 7.43% 45,484 6.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 59,394 72.70% 673,380 76.47% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 81,694 880,634 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Gampola[16] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,089 47.35% 314,297 52.77% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 24,798 46.80% 233,637 39.23% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 2,168 4.09% 37,146 6.24% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 930 1.76% 10,496 1.76% 129,347 1.44%
Valid Votes 52,985 92.43% 595,576 93.40% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 4,338 7.57% 42,103 6.60% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 57,323 73.63% 637,679 76.03% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 77,854 838,687 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Gampola[17] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 29,140 53.64% 282,282 46.66% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 19,769 36.39% 243,623 40.27% 3,451,765 40.12%
NUA 2,544 4.68% 32,023 5.29% 185,593 2.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,688 3.11% 25,435 4.20% 289,668 3.37%
JVP 1,181 2.17% 21,565 3.56% 518,725 6.03%
Valid Votes 54,322 N/A 604,928 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Gampola[18] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,942 54.49% 301,824 52.35% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 22,962 44.78% 267,683 46.43% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 376 0.73% 7,045 1.22% 175,576 2.21%
Valid Votes 51,280 94.27% 576,552 94.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,117 5.73% 31,019 5.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 54,397 81.42% 607,571 81.67% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 66,812 743,939 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Gampola[19] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,262 60.18% 204,973 61.72% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 13,450 34.80% 105,977 31.91% 1,785,369 31.90%
SLMC 1,555 4.02% 14,697 4.43% 202,016 3.61%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 385 1.00% 6,462 1.95% 209,706 3.75%
Valid Votes 38,652 93.60% 332,109 93.69% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,642 6.40% 22,374 6.31% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 41,294 75.61% 354,483 56.42% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 54,611 628,317 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Gampola Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (61.3%), a significant Indian Tamil population (16.6%) and a significant Moor population (12.6%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Gampola Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (74.4%) and a significant Moor population (13.9%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Gampola Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (60.9%), a significant Hindu population (24.1%) and a significant Muslim population (12.8%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Gampola Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (73.4%) and a significant Muslim population (14.3%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Партнерские ресурсы
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  1. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Gampola and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Gampola and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  4. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  5. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  6. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  7. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  9. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  10. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  11. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Gampola and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Gampola and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  14. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  15. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  16. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  17. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  18. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  19. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  20. ↑ 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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