Английская Википедия:Hanguranketha Polling Division

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The Hanguranketha Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District, in the Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Hanguranketha has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Hanguranketha is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Hanguranketha Nuwara Eliya Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP NDF 15.07% SLPP 0.32%
2015 UPFA NDF 16.13% NDF 3.44%
2010 UPFA NDF 16.83% UPFA 4.25%
2005 UNP UNP 14.49% UPFA 7.35%
1999 PA UNP 11.02% PA 6.10%
1994 PA PA 4.70% PA 9.19%
1988 UNP UNP 1.20% UNP 8.87%
1982 UNP UNP 2.91% UNP 5.08%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 4/8 10.29% 8/8 5.57%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[3] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 30,999 52.50% 175,823 36.87% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 24,995 42.33% 277,913 58.28% 5,564,239 41.99%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,899 3.22% 17,237 3.61% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,153 1.95% 5,891 1.24% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 59,046 98.86% 476,864 98.52% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 680 1.14% 7,155 1.48% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 59,726 85.76% 484,019 85.06% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 69,644 569,028 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[4] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,389 50.76% 145,339 34.06% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 25,645 47.53% 272,605 63.88% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 922 1.71% 8,822 2.07% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 53,956 98.07% 426,766 98.31% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,064 1.93% 7,329 1.69% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 55,020 77.44% 434,095 79.25% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 71,053 547,766 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[5] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,164 61.43% 151,604 43.77% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 16,470 34.69% 180,604 52.14% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,324 2.79% 10,040 2.90% 165,268 1.59%
DUNF 518 1.09% 4,134 1.19% 39,226 0.38%
Valid Votes 47,476 98.45% 346,382 98.17% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 748 1.55% 6,462 1.83% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 48,224 73.10% 352,844 75.65% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 65,969 466,440 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[6] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,061 55.58% 250,428 70.37% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 20,725 42.56% 99,550 27.97% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 905 1.86% 5,897 1.66% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 48,691 98.30% 355,875 98.50% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 843 1.70% 5,410 1.50% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 49,534 78.10% 361,285 79.49% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 63,421 454,528 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[7] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 29,000 58.16% 147,210 46.88% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 18,426 36.95% 152,836 48.68% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,572 3.15% 5,879 1.87% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 865 1.73% 8,065 2.57% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 49,863 97.15% 313,990 97.21% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,461 2.85% 8,997 2.79% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 51,324 88.17% 322,987 80.23% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 58,213 402,589 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[8] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,917 52.94% 168,929 57.14% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 19,609 45.30% 116,928 39.55% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 761 1.76% 9,773 3.31% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 43,287 97.30% 295,630 96.15% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,202 2.70% 11,840 3.85% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 44,489 82.39% 307,470 78.19% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 54,001 393,221 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[9] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,748 61.27% 112,135 62.15% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 14,011 37.74% 64,907 35.98% 2,289,857 44.95%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 370 1.00% 3,371 1.87% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 37,129 98.47% 180,413 98.19% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 576 1.53% 3,320 1.81% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 37,705 84.55% 183,733 79.44% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 44,596 231,278 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[10] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,672 60.10% 109,017 63.10% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 12,414 36.09% 57,093 33.05% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 983 2.86% 4,569 2.64% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 329 0.96% 2,090 1.21% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 34,398 98.94% 172,769 98.83% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 368 1.06% 2,048 1.17% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 34,766 87.24% 174,817 85.71% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 39,853 203,968 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Hanguranketha has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Hanguranketha is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Hanguranketha Nuwara Eliya Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UNP UNP 3.57% UNP 4.91%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.18% UPFA 1.96%
2004 UNP UNP 7.64% UPFA 11.03%
2001 UNP UNP 7.25% UNP 8.97%
2000 PA PA 18.67% PA 19.48%
1994 UNP UNP 4.07% PA 9.59%
1989 UNP UNP 5.09% UNP 11.01%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 5/7 7.21% 7/7 9.56%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hanguranketha[13] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,404 55.19% 228,920 59.06% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 19,775 41.33% 147,348 38.02% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 1,258 2.63% 5,590 1.44% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 406 0.85% 5,727 1.48% 87,743 0.79%
Valid Votes 47,843 91.53% 387,585 92.12% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 4,391 8.40% 32,788 7.79% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 52,269 73.56% 420,734 78.77% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 71,053 534,150 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hanguranketha[14] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 18,866 61.31% 149,111 56.06% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 10,362 33.68% 96,885 36.43% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 993 3.23% 3,984 1.50% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 548 1.78% 15,982 6.01% 59,106 0.74%
Valid Votes 30,769 85.57% 265,962 87.64% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 5,146 14.31% 37,236 12.27% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 35,959 54.51% 303,470 64.94% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 65,969 467,332 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hanguranketha[15] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,313 57.80% 176,971 54.02% 3,486,792 37.73%
UPFA 16,962 38.73% 82,945 25.32% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 630 1.44% 4,454 1.36% 552,723 5.98%
UPF 574 1.31% 49,728 15.18% 49,728 0.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 318 0.73% 13,511 4.12% 53,563 0.58%
Valid Votes 43,797 92.15% 327,609 93.06% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,732 7.85% 24,413 6.94% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 47,529 76.82% 352,022 80.70% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 61,868 436,236 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hanguranketha[16] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,631 60.56% 215,157 68.28% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 13,618 32.18% 77,733 24.67% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 2,502 5.91% 11,080 3.52% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 570 1.35% 11,129 3.53% 143,834 1.61%
Valid Votes 42,321 89.04% 315,099 91.74% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 5,211 10.96% 28,373 8.26% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 47,532 79.16% 343,472 82.32% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 60,044 417,264 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hanguranketha[17] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 32,859 72.91% 158,018 52.53% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 10,470 23.23% 126,486 42.05% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 1,386 3.08% 6,299 2.09% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 353 0.78% 10,003 3.33% 247,240 2.87%
Valid Votes 45,068 N/A 300,806 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hanguranketha[18] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,783 57.71% 175,478 58.12% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 17,904 41.69% 97,658 32.35% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 254 0.59% 28,782 9.53% 206,815 2.60%
Valid Votes 42,941 94.44% 301,918 93.33% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,526 5.56% 21,592 6.67% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 45,467 84.20% 323,510 82.37% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 54,001 392,770 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hanguranketha[19] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,140 70.09% 109,853 63.34% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 9,890 28.71% 47,128 27.18% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 412 1.20% 16,443 9.48% 363,149 6.49%
Valid Votes 34,442 93.34% 173,424 92.73% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,457 6.66% 13,600 7.27% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 36,899 84.16% 187,024 81.49% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 43,844 229,519 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Hanguranketha Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (86.4%) . In comparison, the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District (which contains the Hanguranketha Polling Division) has an Indian Tamil majority (53.1%) and a significant Sinhalese population (39.6%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Hanguranketha Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (86.2%) and a significant Hindu population (12.6%). In comparison, the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District (which contains the Hanguranketha Polling Division) has a Hindu majority (51.0%) and a significant Buddhist population (39.1%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

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  1. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hanguranketha and the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hanguranketha and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  4. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  5. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  6. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  7. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  9. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  10. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  11. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hanguranketha and the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hanguranketha and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  14. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  15. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  16. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  17. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  18. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  19. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  20. ↑ 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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