Просмотр кода страницы Английская Википедия:2023 Winnipeg South Centre federal by-election

{{Английская Википедия/Панель перехода}}
{{short description|Federal by-election in Manitoba, Canada}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2023 Winnipeg South Centre federal by-election
| country = Canada
| seats_for_election = Riding of [[Winnipeg South Centre]]
| type = Parliamentary
| ongoing = no
| party_colour = no
| party_name = no
| election_date = {{Start date|2023|06|19}}
| reporting = 
| last_update = 
| time_zone = 
| previous_election = 2021 Canadian federal election
| previous_year = 2021
| next_election = 45th Canadian federal election
| next_year = 45th
| turnout = 36.82%
| image2 = <div style="width:120px;line-height:160px; vertical-align:center; text-align:center; color:{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative}}; font-size:35px;"> '''CPC'''</div>
| colour2 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|nohash}}
| party2 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|name}}
| candidate2 = Damir Stipanovic
| popular_vote2 = 6,100
| percentage2 = 23.70%
| swing2 = {{decrease}} 4.11%
| image3 = <div style="width:120px;line-height:160px; vertical-align:center; text-align:center; color:{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP}}; font-size:35px;"> '''NDP'''</div>
| colour3 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|nohash}}
| party3 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|name}}
| candidate3 = Julia Riddell
| popular_vote3 = 3,778
| percentage3 = 14.68%
| swing3 = {{decrease}} 5.95%
| image1 = <div style="width:120px;line-height:160px; vertical-align:center; text-align:center; color:{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal}}; font-size:35px;"> '''LPC'''</div>
| colour1 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|nohash}}
| party1 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|name}}
| candidate1 = [[Ben Carr (politician)|Ben Carr]]
| popular_vote1 = '''14,278'''
| percentage1 = '''55.49%'''
| swing1 = {{increase}} 9.94%
| title = [[Member of Parliament (Canada)|MP]]
| posttitle = Elected [[Member of Parliament (Canada)|MP]]
| before_election = [[Jim Carr]]
| before_party = {{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|name}}
| after_election = [[Ben Carr (politician)|Ben Carr]]
| after_party = {{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|name}}
| map_image = 
| map_size = 
| map_caption = 
}}

A by-election was held in the federal riding of [[Winnipeg South Centre]] in Manitoba on June 19, 2023, following the death of [[Liberal Party of Canada|Liberal]] MP and former cabinet minister [[Jim Carr]].<ref>{{Cite web |date=2023-02-01 |title=Candice Bergen, former interim Conservative leader, resigning from Parliament |url=https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/candice-bergen-former-interim-conservative-leader-resigning-from-parliament-1.6255315 |access-date=2023-02-02 |website=CTVNews |language=en}}</ref>

The by-election was held on the same day as three others; [[2023 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount federal by-election|Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount]], [[2023 Oxford federal by-election|Oxford]] and [[2023 Portage—Lisgar federal by-election|Portage—Lisgar]].<ref>{{Cite web |title=4 federal byelections set for June in Quebec, Ontario and Manitoba {{!}} Globalnews.ca |url=https://globalnews.ca/news/9697428/canada-federal-byelections/ |access-date=2023-05-31 |website=Global News |language=en-US}}</ref>

== Background ==

=== Constituency ===
The district is an urban constituency based in the city of [[Winnipeg]].

=== Representation ===
Winnipeg South Centre has been a reliable Liberal seat since 1988, apart from 2011 to 2015 when it was held by Conservative [[Joyce Bateman]].<ref>{{Cite web |last=Kives |first=Bartley |date=2 January 2023 |title=Ben Carr, son of late Liberal MP, mulls following in father's footsteps in Winnipeg South Centre |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/winnipeg-south-centre-byelection-1.6701722 |website=[[CBC News]]}}</ref>

The riding of [[Winnipeg South Centre]] was vacated on December 12, 2022 following the death of [[Liberal Party of Canada|Liberal]] MP and former cabinet minister [[Jim Carr]].<ref name="Carr">{{cite web |last=Aiello |first=Rachel |date=December 12, 2022 |title=Liberal MP and former cabinet minister Jim Carr dies |url=https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/former-cabinet-minister-and-liberal-mp-jim-carr-dies-1.6191331 |access-date=December 12, 2022 |work=CTV News}}</ref> Carr had represented the riding since [[2015 Canadian federal election|2015]], when he defeated [[Conservative Party of Canada|Conservative]] incumbent [[Joyce Bateman]], and had been battling [[multiple myeloma]] and [[kidney failure]] since 2019. Carr also defeated Bateman in rematches in [[2019 Canadian federal election|2019]] and [[2021 Canadian federal election|2021]].

== Campaign ==

===Candidates===
Jim Carr's son Ben Carr, an educator and former staffer to [[Mélanie Joly]], won the [[Liberal Party of Canada|Liberal]] nomination for the by-election.<ref>{{cite web |last=Kives |first=Bartley |date=January 2, 2023 |title=Ben Carr, son of late Liberal MP, mulls following in father's footsteps in Winnipeg South Centre |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/winnipeg-south-centre-byelection-1.6701722 |access-date=January 3, 2023 |work=CBC News}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |date=2023-02-02 |title=Son of late MP Jim Carr to seek Liberal party nomination to run in Winnipeg riding |url=https://winnipeg.ctvnews.ca/son-of-late-mp-jim-carr-to-seek-liberal-party-nomination-to-run-in-winnipeg-riding-1.6257386 |access-date=2023-02-03 |website=CTV News |language=en}}</ref><ref name="WSC">{{cite web |last=Kives |first=Bartley |date=April 28, 2023 |title=Candidate field almost set for Winnipeg South Centre byelection |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/winnipeg-south-centre-1.6825790 |access-date=May 2, 2023 |work=CBC News}}</ref> Winnipeg city councillor Sherri Rollins briefly ran for the nomination before withdrawing and throwing her support behind Carr.<ref>{{cite web |last=Froese |first=Ian |date=January 11, 2023 |title=Winnipeg city councillor Sherri Rollins seeks federal Liberal nomination in byelection |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/city-councillor-sherri-rollins-liberal-nomination-1.6709908 |access-date=January 11, 2023 |work=CBC News}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |title=Sherri Rollins bows out of bid for Liberal nomination to replace late Winnipeg MP |url=https://globalnews.ca/news/9476035/sherri-rollins-bows-out-liberal-nomination-winnipeg-south-centre/ |access-date=2023-02-14 |website=Global News |language=en-US}}</ref>

The [[Conservative Party of Canada|Conservatives]] nominated Damir Stipanovic, an air traffic controller and member of the Royal Canadian Air Force Reserve.<ref name="WSC" />

After previously running in the [[2021 Canadian federal election|2021 federal election]], [[New Democratic Party|NDP]] candidate Julia Riddell, a clinical psychologist, and [[Green Party of Canada|Green]] candidate Doug Hemmerling, a local educator, won their respective parties' nominations for the by-election.<ref name="WSC" />

The [[People's Party of Canada]] chose former DJ Tylor Baer to be their candidate. He contested [[Brandon—Souris]] for the party in 2021.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Modified |first=Colin Slark Posted: Last |date=2021-08-23 |title=Aug 2021: Former DJ, 22, running for People's Party to fight for personal freedoms |url=https://www.brandonsun.com/local/2021/08/23/former-dj-22-running-for-peoples-party-to-fight-for-personal-freedoms |access-date=2023-06-05 |website=Brandon Sun |language=en-US}}</ref>

The [[Rhinoceros Party]] chose party leader Sébastien CoRhino to be their candidate.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Kives |first=Bartley |date=September 3, 2021 |title=Rhino Party charges at broken Liberal promise by signing up independents to run in Manitoba riding |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/saint-boniface-saint-vital-candidates-1.6164260 |website=[[CBC News]]}}</ref>

The Longest Ballot Committee chose Winnipeg South Centre as its target for this group of by-elections; the group protests [[first-past-the-post voting]] by registering large numbers of [[Independent politician|independent candidates]] in one riding in an election or group of by-elections.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Unger |first1=Danton |date=25 May 2023 |title=Group of political activists plan to flood by-election ballot in Winnipeg |work=[[CKY-DT|CTV News Winnipeg]] |url=https://winnipeg.ctvnews.ca/group-of-political-activists-plan-to-flood-by-election-ballot-in-winnipeg-1.6414015 |access-date=28 May 2023}}</ref> Forty-two people, including the above-mentioned Sébastien CoRhino, ran under its auspices, while Tait Palsson, who was not involved with the group, also ran an independent campaign. The forty-eight candidates in this by-election are the most ever to contest a federal election in Canada.<ref>{{cite web |last=Froese |first=Ian |date=June 14, 2023 |title=Voters will choose from record-setting 48 names in Winnipeg South Centre federal byelection ballot |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/winnipeg-south-centre-byelection-longest-ballot-48-1.6874926 |access-date=July 7, 2023 |work=CBC News}}</ref>

=== Polling ===

{|class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px;"
|- style="background:#e9e9e9;"
! style="width:120px"|Polling Firm
! style="width:110px"|Last Date<br />of Polling
! style="width:60px" class="unsortable"|Link
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal}}; width:45px;" align="center"| [[Liberal Party of Canada|LPC]]
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative}}; width:45px;" align="center"| [[Conservative Party of Canada|CPC]]
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP}}; width:45px;" align="center"|  [[New Democratic Party|NDP]]
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|CA|PPC}}; width:45px;" align="center"| [[People's Party of Canada|<span style="color:white">PPC</span>]]
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green}}; width:45px;" align="center"| [[Green Party of Canada|GPC]]
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent}}; width:45px;" align="center"| Others
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent}}; width:45px;" align="center"| Undecided
! style="width:60px;" class=unsortable |Margin<br />of Error{{ref label|MOE|1|1}}
! style="width:50px;" class=unsortable |Sample<br />Size{{ref label|sample|2|2}}
! class=unsortable |Polling Method{{ref label|method|3|3}}
|-
| rowspan="2" | [[Mainstreet Research]] || rowspan="2" | {{dts|June 14, 2023}}|| rowspan="2" |[https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/download/canada-national-winnipeg-south-centre-by-election-public/ HTML]|| {{Party shading/Liberal}}| '''47''' || 28 || 16 || 2 || 2 || 1 || 4 || rowspan="2" | ±4.7 pp || rowspan="2" | 430 || rowspan="2" | IVR
|-
| {{Party shading/Liberal}} | '''49'''|| 29 || 16 || 2 || 2 || 1 || {{N/A}}
|}

== Results ==
{{2023 Canadian federal by-elections/Winnipeg South Centre}}

== 2021 result ==
{{2021 Canadian federal election/Winnipeg South Centre}}

== References ==
<references />{{By-elections to the 44th Canadian Parliament}}

[[Category:2023 elections in Canada|Winnipeg South Centre federal by-election]]
[[Category:2023 in Manitoba|Winnipeg South Centre federal by-election]]
[[Category:2020s in Winnipeg|South Centre federal by-election, 2023]]
[[Category:Federal by-elections in Manitoba|Winnipeg South Centre federal by-election, 2023]]
[[Category:June 2023 events in Canada|Winnipeg South Centre federal by-election]]
[[Category:Politics of Winnipeg]]
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