Английская Википедия:2010 United States Senate election in Ohio
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsOH The 2010 United States Senate election in Ohio was held on November 2, 2010 as one of many Ohio elections in 2010. Incumbent two-term Republican U.S. Senator George Voinovich decided to retire instead of seeking a third term.[1] Former Representative Republican Rob Portman won the open seat.
Republican primary
Background
With rumors circulating about Voinovich's possible retirement, former Director of the Office of Management and Budget, United States Trade Representative, and Congressman Rob Portman and State Auditor Mary Taylor were considered the main contenders for the Republican nomination.[2] Former Ohio Secretary of State Ken Blackwell was also considered a potential candidate, but declined in order to run for chairman of the Republican National Committee.[3]
Candidate
- Rob Portman, former U.S. Representative, former United States Trade Representative and former Director of the Office of Management and Budget
Campaign
When Voinovich made his retirement official, Portman declared his candidacy the next day.[4] Thomas Ganley, a Cleveland car dealer, launched his campaign for the nomination in April, after Portman had collected support from most of the Ohio Republican establishment.[5] Taylor officially declined to run in May and was announced as gubernatorial candidate John Kasich's running mate on January 12, 2010[6]
Ganley was the only other declared candidate, but on February 17, 2010, he announced that he would switch races and run against Betty Sutton in Ohio's 13th congressional district instead,[7] leaving Portman as the only Republican candidate. He had over $7 million in campaign funds.[8]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Background
Congressman Tim Ryan, Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner, and Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher were considered leading contenders to run against George Voinovich.[9] Ohio Governor Ted Strickland urged Jennifer Brunner to run for re-election rather than run for the Senate.[10] Cuyahoga County Commissioner Peter Lawson Jones and Ohio State Representative Tyrone Yates considered running, but both withdrew from consideration.[11][12]
Candidates
Campaign
On February 17, 2009, Brunner and Fisher both officially announced their candidacies for the now-open seat election, with Strickland officially endorsing Fisher.[10][13][14] Ryan declined to run and endorsed Fisher in July.[15]
Fisher was endorsed by Governor Ted Strickland and U.S. Representatives John Boccieri, Tim Ryan, Zack Space, and Charlie Wilson.[16]
Polling in late 2009 and January 2010 showed Brunner to be more competitive than Fisher in a general election matchup against Portman, while Fisher and Brunner were deadlocked in Democratic primary polling.[17]
Charlene Renee Bradley and Traci Johnson also filed to run in the Democratic primary.[18]
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jennifer Brunner | Lee Fisher | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University | January 29 – February 2, 2009 | 492 | ± 4.4% | 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 18% | 14% | 53% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 10–15, 2009 | 506 | ± 4.4% | 14% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 18% | 1% | 46% |
| Quinnipiac University | April 28 – May 4, 2009 | 437 | ± 4.7% | 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 20% | 1% | 59% |
| Quinnipiac University | June 26 – July 1, 2009 | 483 | ± 4.5% | 21% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 24% | 2% | 51% |
| Research 2000 | July 6–8, 2009 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 22% | — | 61% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 10–13, 2009 | 421 | ± 4.8% | 17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 26% | 2% | 55% |
| Quinnipiac University | November 5–9, 2009 | 394 | ± 4.9% | 22% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 24% | 1% | 51% |
| Quinnipiac University | February 16–21, 2010 | 604 | ± 4.0% | 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 29% | 2% | 48% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 25–28, 2010 | 978 | ± 3.1% | 26% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 33% | 1% | 40% |
| Research 2000 | April 5–7, 2010 | 400 | ± 4.0% | 26% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 35% | — | 39% |
| Quinnipiac University | April 22–26, 2010 | 987 | ± 3.1% | 24% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% | 1% | 34% |
| Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive | April 27–29, 2010 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 27% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% | — | 18% |
| Quinnipiac University | April 29 – May 2, 2010 | 980 | ± 3.1% | 23% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | 1% | 32% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Candidates
- Rob Portman (R), former U.S. Congressman and Cabinet member for George W. Bush
- Lee Fisher (D), Lieutenant Governor, former Ohio Attorney General, former State Senator, and former State Representative
- Dan La Botz (Socialist Party)
- Eric Deaton (Constitution Party)
- Michael Pryce (Independent)
Campaign
When the incumbent announced he would retire, Portman jumped into the race in early 2009. During the two-year time period, Portman raised over $9 million.[19] Originally, the election was seen as a toss-up, as Portman's experience in the Bush administration was considered a liability for him.[20] Both President Barack Obama and Vice President Joe Biden campaigned for Fisher.[21] However, Portman consistently led in fundraising and polling, particularly as Portman was unopposed in the Republican primary, while the Democratic primary between Fisher and Brunner was highly divisive.
Television advertisements were very negative. Fisher attacked Portman for helping to ship jobs overseas during his entire political career, backing deals that shipped jobs overseas, and the trade deficit with China, which grew by over $41 billion.[22] Portman claimed in response that most jobs were being lost to other states, not countries.[23] Portman attacked Fisher for supporting Obama's stimulus and cap and trade.[24][25]
Debates
Three debates were held in Cleveland, Columbus, and Toledo.[26] The first one was in Toledo on October 5. The second one was in Cleveland on October 8, while the third was in Columbus on October 12.
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[28] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 22, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[29] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 21, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[31] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Lee Fisher (D) | Rob Portman (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (reportШаблон:Dead link) | January 17–18, 2009 | 578 | ± 4.1% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 41% | — | 20% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | January 29 – February 2, 2009 | 1,127 | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 27% | 1% | 29% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | March 10–15, 2009 | 1,299 | ± 2.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% | 33% | 1% | 24% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | April 28 – May 4, 2009 | 1,079 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 31% | 1% | 26% |
| Public Policy Polling (reportШаблон:Dead link) | June 17–19, 2009 | 619 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% | 32% | — | 27% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | June 26 – July 1, 2009 | 1,259 | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 37% | 33% | 2% | 26% |
| Research 2000 (report) | July 6–8, 2009 | 400 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 35% | — | 23% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | September 10–13, 2009 | 1,074 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 31% | 1% | 26% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | September 23, 2009 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 41% | 6% | 14% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | November 5–9, 2009 | 1,123 | ± 2.9% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 39% | — | 24% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | December 7, 2009 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 38% | 8% | 18% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | January 12, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% | 4% | 14% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | February 5–6, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 5% | 13% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | February 16–21, 2010 | 1,662 | ± 2.4% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40% | 2% | 21% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | March 4, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% | 5% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling (report) | March 20–21, 2010 | 630 | ± 3.9% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 41% | — | 23% |
| Quinnipiac (report) | March 23–29, 2010 | 1,526 | ± 2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% | 37% | 1% | 21% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | March 30, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 4% | 14% |
| Research 2000 (report) | April 5–7, 2010 | 600 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | 39% | — | 18% |
| Quinnipiac Polling (report) | April 21–26, 2010 | 1,568 | ± 2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 40% | 37% | 1% | 21% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | May 7, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | 42% | 4% | 14% |
| UC/The Ohio Poll (report) | May 11–20, 2010 | 668 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 46% | — | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | June 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 43% | 43% | 4% | 10% |
| Quinnipiac Polling (report) | June 22–27, 2010 | 1,107 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 40% | 1% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling (report) | June 26–27, 2010 | 482 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 40% | 38% | –– | 22% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | June 29, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 4% | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | July 19, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 5% | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | August 2, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% | 5% | 11% |
| Reuters/Ipsos (report) | August 6–8, 2010 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | — | 21% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | August 16, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 5% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling (report) | August 27–29, 2010 | 475 | ± 4.5% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | — | 18% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | August 30, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% | 7% | 11% |
| The Columbus Dispatch (report) | August 25 – September 3, 2010 | 1,622 | ± 2.2% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% | 3% | 9% |
| Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research (report) | September 11, 2010 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 3% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | September 13, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | 2% | 8% |
| CNN/Time Magazine (report) | September 10–14, 2010 | 820 | ± 3.5% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% | 4% | 2% |
| SurveyUSA (report) | September 14, 2010 | 1000 | ± 4.0% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | 7% | 4% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | September 17, 2010 | 730 | ± 3.6% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% | — | 1% |
| Ohio Newspapers Poll/UC (report) | September 24, 2010 | 850 | ± 4.0% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% | — | 5% |
| Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research (report) | September 25, 2010 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% | 3% | 11% |
| CBS/NY Times report) | September 23–27, 2010 | 941 | ± 3.0% | 34% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | — | 18% |
| Reuters/Ipsos report) | September 23–25, 2010 | 440 | ± 3.0% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% | — | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | September 27, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% | 1% | 6% |
| Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research (report) | October 2, 2010 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% | 2% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | September 29 – October 3, 2010 | 1,025 | ± 3.1% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% | — | — |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion (report) | Oct. 5–8, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% | 6% | — |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | October 11, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 34% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 57% | 2% | 7% |
| University of Cincinnati (report) | October 8–13, 2010 | 705 | ± 3.7% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 58% | 1% | 6% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | October 12–17, 2010 | 1,183 | ± 2.8% | 34% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% | 1% | 10% |
| University of Cincinnati (report) | October 14–18, 2010 | 839 | ± 3.3% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 58% | 0% | 3% |
| CNN/Time/Opinion Research (report) | October 15–19, 2010 | 1,502 | ± 2.5% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% | 2% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | October 20, 2010 | 686 | ± 2.5% | 34% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% | — | 2% |
| Wilson Research Strategies (report) | October 20–21, 2010 | 500 | ± 3.0% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | — | 8% |
| SurveyUSA (report) | October 22–26, 2010 | 950 | ± 4.0% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% | — | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | October 26, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 57% | 3% | 7% |
| Columbus Dispatch (report) | October 20–29, 2010 | 1,445 | ± 2.3% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 56% | 0% | 4% |
| Quinnipiac University (report) | October 25–30, 2010 | 848 | ± 3.4% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 56% | 1% | 8% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion (report) | October 27–29, 2010 | 460 | ± 4.6% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 57% | 3% | — |
| Public Policy Polling (report) | October 28–30, 2010 | 1,356 | ± 2.7% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 57% | 0% | 4% |
| University of Cincinnati (report) | October 27–31, 2010 | 930 | ± 3.2% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 60% | 0% | 1% |
| University of Cincinnati (report) | November 1, 2010 | 930 | ± 3.2% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 61% | 0% | 0% |
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Rob Portman (R) | $15,998,398 | $10,493,211 | $5,505,186 | $0 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Lee Fisher (D) | $6,191,361 | $5,882,729 | $308,631 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[32] | ||||
Results
Winning the election, Portman received 57% of the votes. He received the majority of votes in 82 of 88 counties and in 15 of 18 Congressional districts, including the district of liberal U.S. Congressman Dennis Kucinich.[33]
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box majority Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Monroe (Largest city: Woodsfield)
- Cuyahoga (Largest city: Cleveland)
- Lucas (Largest city: Toledo)
- Mahoning (Largest city: Youngstown)
- Trumbull (Largest city: Warren)
- Athens (Largest city: Athens)
See also
References
External links
- Ohio Secretary of State - Elections Шаблон:Webarchive
- U.S. Congress candidates for Ohio at Project Vote Smart
- Ohio U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 Ohio Senate General Election: Rob Portman (R) vs Lee Fisher (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Ohio Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Ohio Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Ohio Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
Шаблон:United States elections, 2010
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 10,0 10,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ PolitiFact | Lee Fisher hammers Rob Portman on record in Bush administration
- ↑ Portman targets Fisher with claim that most jobs Ohio lost went to other states: PolitiFact Ohio | cleveland.com
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ RealClearPolitics - Portman Hits Fisher on Jobs in New Ad
- ↑ U.S. Senate candidates Rob Portman and Lee Fisher agree to debates in Cleveland, Columbus and Toledo | cleveland.com
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- Английская Википедия
- Страницы с неработающими файловыми ссылками
- United States Senate elections in Ohio
- 2010 United States Senate elections
- 2010 Ohio elections
- Страницы, где используется шаблон "Навигационная таблица/Телепорт"
- Страницы с телепортом
- Википедия
- Статья из Википедии
- Статья из Английской Википедии
