Английская Википедия:2016 United States Senate election in Missouri
Шаблон:See alsoШаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsMO The 2016 United States Senate election in Missouri was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Missouri. It was held concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 2.
Incumbent Republican Senator Roy Blunt won re-election to a second term in office, defeating Democratic Missouri Secretary of State Jason Kander.[1][2] Despite losing, Kander's margin of defeat was 15.7 percentage points closer than that of Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton in the concurrent presidential election in the state. Шаблон:Toclimit
Republican primary
Despite being considered an "establishment" Republican, Blunt did not face serious Tea Party opposition due to his efforts to cultivate relationships with activists in Missouri, his effectiveness at "threading the needle" by keeping conservative and establishment Republicans fairly satisfied, and the open gubernatorial election, which attracted the most attention from Republicans.[3]
Candidates
Declared
- Roy Blunt, incumbent senator since 2011[1][4]
- Ryan Luethy, financial services worker[5]
- Bernie Mowinski, retired army sergeant and perennial candidate[6]
- Kristi Nichols, sales manager, Tea Party activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[6]
Withdrew
- Christopher Batsche, businessman (running for MO-07)[6][7][8]
Declined
- Todd Akin, former U.S. Representative from 2001 to 2013 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[9][10]
- John Brunner, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012 (running for Governor)[11]
- John Lamping, former state senator[12]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Roy Blunt |
Kristi Nichols |
Bernie Mowinski |
Ryan Luethy |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon | July 23–27, 2016 | 400 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 66% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 19% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Roy Blunt |
John Brunner |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research Group | January 2015 | 1,355 | ± ? | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 60% | 40% | — | — |
| Remington Research Group | February 2–3, 2015 | 747 | 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% | 19% | — | 32% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Cori Bush, pastor, nurse and co-director of the Truth Telling Project[13][14]
- Jason Kander, Secretary of State of Missouri since 2013[15][16]
- Robert Mack, military veteran[17]
- Chief Wana Dubie, marijuana activist[18][19]
Declined
- Jay Nixon, Governor of Missouri since 2009[20]
- Mike Sanders, Jackson County Executive, former Jackson County prosecuting attorney and former chairman of the Missouri Democratic Party[21][22]
- Clint Zweifel, State Treasurer of Missouri since 2009[23][24]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jason Kander |
Cori Bush |
Robert Mack |
Chief Wana Dubie |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon | July 23–27, 2016 | 400 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 67% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 20% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Third party and independent candidates
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Constitution primary
Candidates
Declared
- Fred Ryman[6]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Green Party
Candidates
Declared
Write-in
General election
Debates
| Date | Host | Moderator | Link(s) | Participants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn |
scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | |||
| Roy Blunt |
Jonathan Dine |
Jason Kander |
Jonathan McFarland |
Fred Ryman | ||||
| September 30, 2016 | Associated Press | David Lieb | Video | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[33] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[35] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[36] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[37] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2016 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Roy Blunt (R) |
Jason Kander (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,368 | ± 4.6% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | — | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 1,119 | ± 4.6% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | — | 6% |
| Emerson College | November 4–5, 2016 | 750 | ± 3.5% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 5% | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 879 | ± 4.6% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | — | 4% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | November 1–2, 2016 | 1,036 | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 45% | — | 8% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 774 | ± 4.6% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | — | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | 1,083 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 44% | — | 9% |
| Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | 1,722 | ± 2.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 44% | 3%[38] | 5% |
| DFM Research | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | 508 | ± 4.4% | 41% | 41% | 9% | 9% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 649 | ± 4.6% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | — | 4% |
| Emerson College | October 28–31, 2016 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 45% | 45% | 6% | 4% |
| Monmouth University | October 28–31, 2016 | 405 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 46% | 3% | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 671 | ± 4.6% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | — | 4% |
| Missouri Scout/BK Strategies (R) | October 27–28, 2016 | 1,698 | ± 2.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 44% | 4%[39] | 5% |
| St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon | October 24–26, 2016 | 625 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 46% | 2% | 5% |
| Emerson College | October 17–19, 2016 | 600 | ± 3.9% | 44% | 44% | 4% | 8% |
| Google Consumer Surveys | October 12–14, 2016 | 521 | ± 4.2% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | — | 3% |
| Monmouth University | October 9–11, 2016 | 406 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 44% | 3%[40] | 7% |
| Emerson College | September 9–13, 2016 | 600 | ± 3.6% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | 10% | 8% |
| Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R) | September 1–2, 2016 | 1,275 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 40% | — | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 26–27, 2016 | 1,055 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 43% | — | 10% |
| Monmouth University | August 19–22, 2016 | 401 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 43% | 3%[41] | 7% |
| Remington Research Group (R) | August 5–6, 2016 | 1,280 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 40% | 6%[42] | 7% |
| St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon | July 23–24, 2016 | 625 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 43% | — | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 11–12, 2016 | 959 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% | 38% | — | 21% |
| Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R) | March 25–26, 2016 | 927 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | 37% | — | 19% |
| DFM Research | March 17–24, 2016 | 674 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 35% | 2% | 14% |
| Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R) Шаблон:Webarchive | October 30–31, 2015 | 783 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 33% | — | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | 35% | — | 25% |
| Remington Research Group (R) | February 19, 2015 | 957 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 36% | — | 14% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Boone (largest city: Columbia)
- Clay (Largest city: Kansas CityШаблон:Efn)
- Platte (Largest city: Kansas CityШаблон:Efn)
See also
Notes
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
Шаблон:2016 United States elections
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ 6,0 6,1 6,2 6,3 6,4 Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Jonathan Dine (L), Fred Ryman (C), and "Others" each with 1%
- ↑ "Others" with 3% and Fred Ryman (C) with 1%
- ↑ Jonathan Dine (L) with 3%
- ↑ Jonathan Dine (L) with 3%
- ↑ Jonathan Dine (L) with 4% and Fred Ryman (C) with 2%
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