Английская Википедия:2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsOK

The 2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018. Businessman Kevin Stitt was elected governor, succeeding fellow Republican Mary Fallin, who was term-limited. Primary elections occurred on June 26, 2018, with primary runoff elections having occurred on August 28, 2018.[1][2]

The Democratic Party nominated former Oklahoma attorney general Drew Edmondson. The Republican primary eliminated Lt. Gov. Todd Lamb, resulting in a runoff election between former Oklahoma City mayor Mick Cornett and businessman Kevin Stitt. On August 28, 2018, Stitt won the Republican primary runoff and became the Republican nominee for the office. The Libertarian primary also advanced to a runoff, with Chris Powell, a former chair of the Libertarian Party of Oklahoma, winning the nomination. This was also the first election in which the Libertarian Party has been on the ballot to participate in a gubernatorial election in Oklahoma,[3] and the first time since 1986 that a candidate from the president's party was elected Governor of Oklahoma.

A member of the Cherokee Nation, Stitt became the first tribally enrolled Native American to serve as governor of a U.S. state.[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in the primary runoff

Eliminated in the initial primary

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

First round

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mick
Cornett
Dan
Fisher
Gary
Jones
Todd
Lamb
Gary
Richardson
Kevin
Stitt
Other Undecided
Right Strategy Group (R) June 6–7, 2018 435 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 21% 4% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 20% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 20% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 28%
Oklahoma Strategic Solutions (R-Richardson) May 22–23, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 13% 4% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 20% 13% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 17% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 30%
Right Strategy Group (R) May 22–23, 2018 409 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 20% 4% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 20% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 21% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 29%
SoonerPoll Шаблон:Webarchive May 15–23, 2018 319 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 20% 3% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 23% 3% 14% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 31%
Magellan Strategies April 18–19 and 22, 2018 644 ± 3.9% 17% 5% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 19% 12% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 19% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 23%
SoonerPoll March 14–22, 2018 294 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 22% 4% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 21% 7% 8% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 36%
Oklahoma Strategic Solutions (R-Richardson) March 9, 2018 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 15% 2% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 14% 10% 8% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 48%
SoonerPoll January 4–9, 2018 213 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 24% 4% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 18% 9% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 39%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jim
Bridenstine
Todd
Lamb
Scott
Pruitt
Undecided
SoonerPoll September 1–15, 2017 403 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 19% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 33% 16% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 32%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial Republican primary.svg
Initial primary results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Runoff

Campaign finance

Pre-runoff report due August 20, 2018
Candidate Total
raised
Total
spent
Total
cash-on-hand
Kevin Stitt $6,542,863.91 $6,018,662.13 $368,557.72
Mick Cornett $3,242,795.74 $2,826,305.70 $336,691.50

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mick
Cornett
Kevin
Stitt
Undecided
Remington (R) August 1–2, 2018 1,757 ± 2.3% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 16%
Right Strategy Group (R) August 1–2, 2018 385 ± 5.0% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 26%
SoonerPoll July 18–20, 2018 483 ± 4.5% 37% 37% 25%

Results

Файл:2018 OK gubernatorial Republican runoff.svg
Primary runoff results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in the primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Drew
Edmondson
Connie
Johnson
Undecided
Right Strategy Group (R) June 6–7, 2018 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 45%
SoonerPoll Шаблон:Webarchive May 15–23, 2018 297 ± 5.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 14% 43%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Norman Brown
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Norman
Brown
Drew
Edmondson
Connie
Johnson
Undecided
SoonerPoll March 14–22, 2018 264 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 13% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 50%
SoonerPoll January 4–9, 2018 162 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 21% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 35%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial Democratic primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in the primary runoff

  • Rex L. Lawhorn, former chair of the Oklahoma Americans Elect Party and Oklahoma State Director for Our America Initiative[25]

Eliminated in the initial primary

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

First round

Results

Файл:2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial Libertarian primary.svg
Initial primary results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Runoff

Campaign finance

Pre-runoff report due August 20, 2018
Candidate Total
raised
Total
spent
Total
cash-on-hand
Chris Powell $10,142.88 $6,991.02 $3,017.51
Rex L. Lawhorn $4,575.00 $5,286.87 ($736.87)

Results

Файл:2018 OK gubernatorial Libertarian runoff.svg
Primary runoff results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Файл:Oklahoma general election ballot for 2018.png
Oklahoma general election ballot for 2018

Oklahoma determines ballot order by a random drawing which took place for this election cycle on July 12, resulting in the Libertarian Party being listed first, Republicans second, and Democrats third.[27]

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[29] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[30] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[31] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[33] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[34] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Fox News[35]Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Politico[36] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Governing[37] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018

Шаблон:Smalldiv

Polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kevin
Stitt (R)
Drew
Шаблон:Nowrap
Chris
Powell (L)
Undecided
SoonerPoll October 31 – November 3, 2018 338 ± 5.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 44% 3% 6%
SoonerPoll October 23–25, 2018 447 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 42% 4% 8%
Magellan Strategies (R) October 22–23, 2018 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 44% 1% 4%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass (R) September 25–29, 2018 500 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 40% 4%
Right Strategy Group (R) September 25–26, 2018 1,058 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 43% 2% 8%
SoonerPoll September 5–10, 2018 407 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 44% 3% 6%
Right Strategy Group (R) August 1–2, 2018 737 ± 4.0% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 17%
SoonerPoll July 18–20, 2018 404 ± 4.9% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 21%
SoonerPoll Шаблон:Webarchive May 15–23, 2018 622 ± 3.9% 25% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 43%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Mick Cornett
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mick
Шаблон:Nowrap
Drew
Шаблон:Nowrap
Undecided
Right Strategy Group (R) August 1–2, 2018 737 ± 4.0% 39% 39% 21%
SoonerPoll July 18–20, 2018 404 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 35% 23%
SoonerPoll Шаблон:Webarchive May 15–23, 2018 622 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 33% 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 40%
with Todd Lamb
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Todd
Lamb (R)
Drew
Шаблон:Nowrap
Undecided
SoonerPoll Шаблон:Webarchive May 15–23, 2018 622 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 33% 28% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 39%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Statewide results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

County results

Stitt won 73 counties, while Edmondson won four. Stitt won 56 counties with at least 60% of the popular vote, 14 counties with at least 70%, and three counties – Beaver, Cimarron, and Ellis – with upwards of 80%. Stitt had the largest margin of victory in Cimarron with 73.09% more votes than Edmondson's 12.27%, the latter's lowest county performance in the election. The largest county per vote count won by Stitt was Tulsa County, home of Tulsa. Oklahoma County, of which Oklahoma City is county seat, was the only county where Stitt failed to acquire three out of every seven votes.[38]

Edmondson won Muskogee by a single vote, and had an 11.84% margin of victory – his only margin of victory above 10% – in Oklahoma County. Edmondson won his four counties with typically narrower margins than that of Stitt, having missed 50% of the popular vote in Muskogee.[38] Powell never came close to winning any counties, but won his highest percentage of votes in Washita County, with 4.97%[38]

County Stitt Votes Edmondson Votes Powell Votes Total
Adair 61.61% 3,187 33.73% 1,745 4.66% 241 5,173
Alfalfa 74.01% 1,333 21.71% 391 4.28% 77 1,801
Atoka 69.05% 2,789 28.6% 1,155 2.35% 95 4,039
Beaver 80.82% 1,454 15.12% 272 4.06% 73 1,799
Beckham 71.18% 4,061 24.47% 1,396 4.35% 248 5,705
Blaine 65.73% 1,941 30.1% 889 4.17% 123 2,953
Bryan 64.33% 7,301 33.01% 3,746 2.66% 302 11,349
Caddo 54.97% 4,047 41.33% 3,043 3.69% 272 7,362
Canadian 59.65% 27,410 36.44% 16,744 3.91% 1,797 45,951
Carter 64.91% 9,090 31.74% 4,445 3.35% 469 14,004
Cherokee 45.58% 6,336 50.14% 6,970 4.28% 595 13,901
Choctaw 65.28% 2,634 31.87% 1,286 2.85% 115 4,035
Cimarron 85.36% 682 12.27% 98 2.38% 19 799
Cleveland 45.87% 42,268 50.62% 46,648 3.51% 3,231 92,147
Coal 61.05% 1,127 35.7% 659 3.25% 60 1,846
Comanche 49.66% 13,180 46.48% 12,336 3.87% 1,027 26,543
Cotton 65.44% 1,312 29.83% 598 4.74% 95 2,005
Craig 60.4% 2,863 36.14% 1,713 3.46% 164 4,740
Creek 65.53% 14,870 31.06% 7,048 3.42% 775 22,693
Custer 63.21% 5,239 32.76% 2,615 4.03% 334 8,288
Delaware 65.21% 8,543 31.4% 4,114 3.39% 444 13,101
Dewey 79.41% 1,404 17.82% 315 2.77% 49 1,768
Ellis 80.3% 1,186 15.98% 236 3.72% 55 1,477
Garfield 63.36% 11,008 32.31% 5,613 4.34% 754 17,375
Garvin 64.91% 5,140 31.7% 2,510 3.4% 269 7,919
Grady 65.16% 11,173 30.8% 5,281 4.05% 694 17,148
Grant 73.36% 1,250 22.18% 378 4.46% 76 1,704
Greer 64.22% 946 31.84% 469 3.94% 58 1,473
Harmon 59.38% 443 37.13% 277 3.49% 26 746
Harper 78.35% 948 17.69% 214 3.97% 48 1,210
Haskell 63.44% 2,348 33.67% 1,246 2.89% 107 3,701
Hughes 60.73% 2,323 34.93% 1,336 4.34% 166 3,825
Jackson 66.31% 4,301 30.67% 1,989 3.02% 196 6,486
Jefferson 70.04% 1,099 27.02% 424 2.93% 46 1,569
Johnston 65.45% 1,976 31.86% 962 2.68% 81 3,019
Kay 60.51% 7,859 35.28% 4,582 4.22% 548 12,989
Kingfisher 75.23% 3,846 20.81% 1,064 3.95% 202 5,112
Kiowa 60.61% 1,645 35.81% 972 3.57% 97 2,714
Latimer 58.8% 1,774 37.25% 1,125 3.91% 118 3,017
Le Flore 62.56% 8,009 34.89% 4,467 2.55% 327 12,803
Lincoln 64.94% 7,323 30.31% 3,418 4.74% 535 11,276
Logan 62.09% 9,847 33.87% 5,371 4.04% 641 15,859
Love 68.69% 1,902 29.18% 808 2.13% 59 2,769
Major 79.28% 2,177 17.12% 470 3.61% 99 2,746
Marshall 66.66% 2,943 30.6% 1,351 2.74% 121 4,415
Mayes 60.63% 7,837 35.62% 4,604 3.76% 486 12,927
McClain 65.35% 9,021 31.05% 4,286 3.6% 497 13,804
McCurtain 68.43% 5,178 29.22% 2,211 2.35% 178 7,567
McIntosh 54.56% 3,612 42.07% 2,785 3.37% 223 6,620
Murray 62.97% 2,751 33.03% 1,443 4.01% 175 4,369
Muskogee 48.30% 9,515 48.31% 9,516 3.39% 668 19,699
Noble 63.83% 2,543 31.43% 1,252 4.74% 189 3,984
Nowata 66.14% 2,319 28.98% 1,016 4.88% 171 3,506
Okfuskee 56.44% 1,752 39.98% 1,241 3.58% 111 3,104
Oklahoma 42.38% 98,994 54.22% 126,667 3.4% 7,938 233,599
Okmulgee 52.96% 5,846 43.93% 4,849 3.11% 343 11,043
Osage 56.2% 8,629 40.39% 6,202 3.21% 524 15,355
Ottawa 55.74% 4,752 41.08% 3,502 3.18% 271 8,525
Pawnee 62.42% 3,076 33.38% 1,645 4.2% 207 4,928
Payne 49.18% 11,193 46.8% 10,650 4.02% 914 22,757
Pittsburg 59.66% 7,986 36.17% 4,842 4.16% 557 13,385
Pontotoc 52.43% 6,233 44.52% 5,293 3.05% 363 11,889
Pottawatomie 57.06% 11,996 38.5% 8,093 4.44% 933 21,022
Pushmataha 63.07% 2,102 33.18% 1,106 3.75% 125 3,333
Roger Mills 77.13% 1,157 18.87% 283 4% 60 1,500
Rogers 64.76% 21,450 32.02% 10,605 3.23% 1,069 33,124
Seminole 55.99% 3,681 39.66% 2,607 4.35% 286 6,574
Sequoyah 58.31% 6,695 39.02% 4,480 2.67% 307 11,482
Stephens 67.48% 9,314 29.57% 4,081 2.95% 407 13,802
Texas 74.84% 3,097 21.6% 894 3.55% 147 4,138
Tillman 62.89% 1,315 34.24% 716 2.87% 60 2,091
Tulsa 50.11% 101,518 47.07% 95,350 2.82% 5,716 202,584
Wagoner 63% 16,346 33.53% 8,700 3.47% 901 7,276
Washington 62.96% 11,226 33.74% 6,017 3.3% 588 17,831
Washita 69.72% 2,653 25.31% 963 4.97% 189 3,805
Woods 67.83% 1,929 28.02% 797 4.15% 118 2,844
Woodward 73.35% 4,326 23.53% 1,388 3.12% 184 5,898

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Stitt won 4 of 5 congressional districts.[39]

District Edmondson Stitt Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|1st 44.18% 52.89% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Kevin Hern
rowspan=1 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|2nd 37.15% 59.51% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Markwayne Mullin
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|3rd 33.53% 62.56% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Frank Lucas
rowspan=1 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|4th 42.65% 53.71% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Tom Cole
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|5th 52.90% 43.69% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Steve Russell (115th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kendra Horn (116th Congress)

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2018 United States elections