Английская Википедия:2018 South Dakota gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsSD The 2018 South Dakota gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of South Dakota. Incumbent Republican governor Dennis Daugaard was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term.

Republican candidate Kristi Noem won against Democratic candidate Billie Sutton in the closest gubernatorial election in South Dakota since 1986.[1] Noem also became the first female governor of the state.[2] Her victory extended the longest active hold on a governorship by one party; the GOP has won every gubernatorial election in South Dakota starting in 1978.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Failed to qualify for Primary Ballot

Declined

Debates

Jackley and Noem participated in three debates.

First Debate

In the first debate both candidates tried to define the other. Jackley stated: “It’s Washington experience versus South Dakota experience.” “Marty’s background has been being a government lawyer,” Noem said.[12]

Second Debate

In the second debate, Noem discussed Jackley’s scandals. “In EB5, the state oversight program, nobody went to jail. On Gear-Up, still, nobody’s been punished. When we talk about what’s been going on in Brookings with the Global Aquaponics scam—a con artist, Tobias Ritesman, held a fundraiser for Marty Jackley. Marty attended his phony groundbreaking for his phony project,” Noem says. “People lost hundreds of thousands of dollars. Still, nobody’s been investigated and nobody’s been prosecuted. That needs to change in our state.”

Jackley was on the defensive during the second debate. “Congresswoman, he didn’t hold a fundraiser for me. I was at an event that he was at, and I did go to a ground breaking because that’s what important in South Dakota,” Jackley says. “When we have businesses expanding I think it’s important that we attend those. You talk about Gear-Up, there hasn’t been a sentencing because these defendants are presumed innocent. But I as attorney general, unlike Washington, have done something about it. I actually formed a grand jury. Indictments have been issued. They’re schedule to begin jury trials in July—or, excuse me—June, June 26th and I plan on trying those personally, because that’s what a leader does.” [13]

Final Debate

In the final debate, Jackley and Noem took tough questions about workforce development, anti-discrimination laws, drugs, uniting Democrats and Republicans in the state to make critical decisions and much more. While they spent a lot of time talking about their plans for the state, they also spent a lot of time attacking each others' records. A major topic of contention was Boards and commissions. The state currently has 134 of them. Noem said she wants to streamline different processes for licensure, eliminating "red tape" but Jackley disagreed. "Every time that a proposal comes forward to create a new 'blue ribbon' task force, a board or a commission, what typically comes with that is another layer of bureaucracy," Noem said. Jackley defended the government bureaucracy. "We need a governor that understands that various different boards, isn't out there criticizing different boards and saying that type of service isn't important," Jackley said. Jackley spoke about putting together a task force to work on government transparency and open records laws. "I'm committed when I become governor to put forth a taskforce ...because we need to take a look at the open records law," he said. And they both ended the debate with another jab at one another. "It really comes to down to Washington experience versus South Dakota experience," Jackley said. "The congresswoman has been spending considerable time and effort talking about Marty Jackley, but I'm talking about you, South Dakota." "Days ago he stood up and talked about protecting victims while behind the scenes he was actively working to silence one to further his political career," Noem said. "You deserve a governor who will be honest with you, who will tell you the truth and who is willing to be accountable." [14]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kristi
Noem
Marty
Jackley
Lora
Hubbel[15]
Terry
LaFleur[15]
Undecided
Mason-Dixon Шаблон:Webarchive May 21–23, 2018 625 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 44% 11%
Leverage Public Strategies May 4–7, 2018 350 ± 5.2% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% 24%
Clout Research (R) April 21–23, 2018 815 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 37% 14%
Rockbridge Strategy (R) April 4, 2018 500 ± 2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 33% 23%
Moore Information February 8, 2018 300 ± 6.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% 35% 5% 2% 18%
New Age Consultants (R-LaFleur) Шаблон:Webarchive November 3, 2017 509 ± 4.4% 22% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 24% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 51%

Results

Файл:2018 SD gubernatorial GOP.svg
Results by county Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no changeШаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no changeШаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no changeШаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no changeШаблон:Election box end

Constitution Party

Following an internal controversy within the Constitution Party of South Dakota over who was the legal party chair, Dan Lederman—individually and in his capacity as chair of the South Dakota Republican Party—sued Republican secretary of state Shantel Krebs to prevent her from certifying any Constitution Party nominees for the general-election ballot. For somewhat complex reasons, state circuit judge Patricia DeVaney ruled in favor of the Republican Party on August 17.[23][24]

G. Matt Johnson and Lora Hubbel—Constitution Party nominees for the state's at-large U.S. House seat and governor respectively—then sued Krebs in federal court on August 29 seeking ballot access for themselves and four other Constitution Party nominees. For various procedural reasons, federal district judge Roberto Lange ruled against the Constitution Party on October 1.[25][26][27]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Independents

Candidates

Declined

General election

Candidates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[34] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[35] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[36] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[37] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[38] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[39] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[40] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Fox News[41]Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Politico[42] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Governing[43] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018

Шаблон:Smalldiv

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kristi
Noem (R)
Billie
Sutton (D)
Kurt
Evans (L)
Other Undecided
Change Research November 2–4, 2018 851 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 2%
Emerson College November 1–4, 2018 514 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 47% 1% 5%
Mason-Dixon October 29–31, 2018 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 44% 1% 8%
Mason-Dixon October 18–22, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 45% 45% 1% 9%
ALG Research (D-Sutton) September 20–24, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 3% 10%
ALG Research (D-Sutton) July 19–25, 2018 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 42% 13%
ALG Research (D-Sutton) October 4–9, 2017[44] 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% 40%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Results by County

County Kristi Noem

Larry Rhoden

Republican

Billie Sutton

Michelle Lavallee

Democratic

Kurt Evans

Richard Shelatz

Libertarian

Total

votes

% # % # % #
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Aurora 50.31% 644 47.42% 607 2.27% 29 1,280
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Beadle 52.09% 3,182 46.37% 2,832 1.54% 94 6,108
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bennett 50.18% 553 47.46% 523 2.36% 26 1,102
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Bon Homme 47.43% 1,303 51.26% 1,408 1.31% 36 2,747
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Brookings 44.35% 5,225 54.09% 6,372 1.55% 183 11,780
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Brown 47.48% 6,821 51.08% 7,338 1.44% 206 14,365
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Brule 51.78% 1,103 46.53% 991 1.69% 36 2,130
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Buffalo 25.18% 138 73.54% 403 1.28% 7 548
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Butte 65.78% 2,505 32.41% 1,234 1.81% 69 3,808
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Campbell 75.14% 550 23.63% 173 1.23% 9 732
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Charles Mix 46.76% 1,661 52.17% 1,853 1.07% 38 3,552
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Clark 52.82% 879 46.15% 768 1.02% 17 1,664
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Clay 33.42% 1,552 65.44% 3,039 1.14% 53 4,644
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Codington 54.85% 5,865 43.93% 4,697 1.22% 131 10,693
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Corson 38.38% 426 60.09% 667 1.53% 17 1,110
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Custer 63.26% 2,789 35.09% 1,547 1.65% 73 4,409
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Davison 51.95% 3,779 46.71% 3,398 1.33% 97 7,274
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Day 43.46% 1,207 55.13% 1,531 1.40% 39 2,777
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Deuel 52.94% 1,053 44.90% 893 2.16% 43 1,989
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Dewey 21.35% 393 77.68% 1,430 0.97% 18 1,841
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Douglas 74.87% 1,120 24.26% 363 0.87% 13 1,496
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Edmunds 59.60% 1,018 39.29% 671 1.11% 19 1,708
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Fall River 64.51% 2,059 33.36% 1,065 2.13% 68 3,192
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Faulk 62.70% 674 36.09% 388 1.21% 13 1,075
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Grant 55.28% 1,780 43.11% 1,388 1.61% 52 3,220
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Gregory 51.42% 1,107 47.79% 1,029 0.79% 17 2,153
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Haakon 77.67% 734 20.74% 196 1.59% 15 945
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hamlin 64.95% 1,764 33.98% 923 1.07% 29 2,716
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hand 57.16% 950 41.10% 683 1.74% 29 1,662
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hanson 58.69% 945 40.19% 647 1.12% 18 1,610
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Harding 73.62% 505 25.36% 174 1.31% 9 686
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hughes 46.82% 3,749 51.75% 4,144 1.42% 114 8,007
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hutchinson 63.28% 2,082 35.87% 1,180 0.85% 28 3,290
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hyde 61.67% 407 37.57% 248 0.76% 5 660
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jackson 51.97% 513 46.00% 454 2.03% 20 987
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jerauld 51.79% 478 46.91% 433 1.30% 12 923
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jones 66.12% 361 31.68% 173 2.20% 12 546
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Kingsbury 53.08% 1,303 45.25% 1,111 1.67% 41 2,455
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Lake 47.69% 2,483 51.26% 2,669 1.05% 55 5,207
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lawrence 54.91% 5,984 42.90% 4,675 2.19% 239 10,898
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lincoln 53.27% 12,894 45.89% 11,109 0.84% 203 24,206
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lyman 49.36% 691 48.71% 682 1.93% 27 1,400
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Marshall 43.15% 853 55.28% 1,093 1.57% 31 1,977
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|McCook 55.07% 1,375 43.37% 1,083 1.56% 39 2,497
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|McPherson 69.16% 729 29.32% 309 1.52% 16 1,054
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Meade 62.70% 6,413 34.80% 3,559 2.50% 256 10,228
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Mellette 42.05% 299 55.56% 395 2.39% 17 711
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Miner 47.33% 523 51.58% 570 1.09% 12 1,105
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Minnehaha 45.78% 32,355 52.98% 37,450 1.24% 876 70,681
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Moody 46.97% 1,340 51.49% 1,469 1.54% 44 2,853
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Oglala Lakota 7.05% 214 91.50% 2,778 1.45% 44 3,036
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pennington 55.06% 22,944 43.17% 17,988 1.77% 738 41,670
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Perkins 70.91% 953 27.38% 368 1.71% 23 1,344
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Potter 67.91% 821 30.85% 373 1.24% 15 1,209
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Roberts 43.87% 1,643 55.06% 2,062 1.07% 40 3,745
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Sanborn 57.68% 593 40.76% 419 1.56% 16 1,028
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Spink 49.02% 1,376 49.66% 1,394 1.32% 37 2,807
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Stanley 51.24% 762 47.35% 704 1.41% 21 1,487
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Sully 61.58% 500 36.45% 296 1.97% 16 812
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Todd 17.40% 390 81.70% 1,831 0.90% 20 2,241
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Tripp 57.45% 1,430 41.10% 1,023 1.45% 36 2,489
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Turner 58.75% 2,272 40.24% 1,556 1.01% 39 3,867
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Union 60.85% 4,068 38.06% 2,544 1.09% 73 6,685
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Walworth 64.98% 1,468 33.29% 752 1.73% 39 2,259
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Yankton 45.73% 4,121 52.78% 4,757 1.49% 134 9,012
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Ziebach 29.32% 241 69.59% 572 1.09% 9 822
Total 50.97% 172,912 47.60% 161,454 1.43% 4,848 339,214

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2018 United States elections