Английская Википедия:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas

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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts.

The state congressional delegation changed from a 4–0 Republican majority to a 3–1 Republican majority, the first time the Democrats held a house seat in the state since 2010. Шаблон:Toclimit

Overview

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas by district:

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result
	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	153,082	68.15%	71,558	31.85%	0	0.00%	224,640	100%	Republican hold
District 2	126,098	47.64%	123,859	46.79%	14,731	5.57%	264,688	100%	Republican hold
District 3	139,762	43.91%	170,518	53.57%	8,021	2.52%	318,301	100%	Democratic gain
District 4	144,248	59.44%	98,445	40.56%	0	0.00%	242,693	100%	Republican hold
Total	563,190	53.62%	464,380	44.21%	22,752	2.17%	1,050,322	100%

District 1

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The first district is one of the largest geographically in the nation, encompassing more than half of the area of the state. It is located in western and northern Kansas, and includes the cities of Manhattan and Salina. Republican Roger Marshall won this district in 2016 by defeating the incumbent Congressman, Tim Huelskamp, in the Republican primary 57% to 43% and winning the general election.

Republican primary

Tim Huelskamp filed a statement of candidacy with the FEC on October 17, 2016, to run for this seat in 2018. Huelskamp made no announcement about whether he was considering a potential rematch with Marshall, but sent a fundraising email attacking Marshall and soliciting donations. On June 29, 2017, it was announced that Huelskamp had accepted a position with The Heartland Institute, a conservative think tank in Arlington Heights, Illinois.

Candidates

Nominee

• Roger Marshall, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Nick Reinecker

Declined

• Tim Huelskamp, former U.S. Representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Alan LaPolice, former school administrator, Republican candidate for this seat in 2014 and an independent candidate in 2016

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Roger Marshall (R)	Alan LaPolice (D)	Undecided
Emerson College	October 26–28, 2018	221	± 6.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51%	36%	13%
Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice)	October 22–23, 2018	600	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42%	38%	20%
Remington (R-Marshall)	October 8–9, 2018	1,432	± 2.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 60%	26%	14%
Emerson College	September 26–28, 2018	193	± 6.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44%	17%	35%
Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice)	September 21–22, 2018	400	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44%	33%	23%

District 2

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also This district is located in eastern Kansas and is anchored by the state capital, Topeka. It also includes the city of Lawrence. Incumbent Republican Lynn Jenkins had represented the district since 2009. She had beaten former six-term District congressman Jim Ryun in the primary, and incumbent Democrat, Nancy Boyda, in the general election. Jenkins was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Campaign

Jenkins had considered running for governor instead of re-election, but decided to retire and not run for any office in 2018.

Army veteran Steve Watkins led the Republican primary campaign, securing the endorsement of President Donald Trump. However, his background and residency were challenged by fellow Republicans, citing inaccuracies in claims on his website and in his campaign, as well as his absence from the district.

Candidates

Nominee

• Steve Watkins, army veteran, dog racer and engineer

Eliminated in primary

• Vernon Fields, Basehor City Councilman
• Steve Fitzgerald, state senator
• Kevin Jones, state representative
• Doug Mays, former Kansas House speaker
• Dennis Pyle, state senator
• Caryn Tyson, state senator

Withdrawn

• Matt Bevens
• Tyler Tannahill

Democratic primary

Former Kansas State House Minority Leader and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Paul Davis ran unopposed. When Davis ran against incumbent governor Sam Brownback in 2014, he had carried the 2nd district.

Candidates

Nominee

• Paul Davis, former Minority Leader of the Kansas House of Representatives and nominee for Governor in 2014

Withdrawn

• Nathan Schmidt

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kelly Standley, business developer

General election

Debates

• Complete video of debate, October 18, 2018

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Steve Watkins (R)	Paul Davis (D)	Kelly Standley (L)	Other	Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College	October 27–30, 2018	501	± 4.8%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41%	7%	–	15%
Change Research (D)	October 27–29, 2018	902	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45%	44%	–	–	–
Emerson College	October 26–28, 2018	231	± 6.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48%	41%	–	–	8%
Emerson College	September 26–28, 2018	243	± 6.4%	31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 35%	4%	3%	28%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	September 13–15, 2018	500	± 4.8%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45%	–	–	12%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Paul Davis (D)	Steve Fitzgerald (R)	Other	Undecided
The Mellman Group (D)	June 13–18, 2018	600	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39%	34%	–	27%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Paul Davis (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	February 12–13, 2018	711	± 3.7%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44%	–	14%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
538	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2018

District 3

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The district is based in the Kansas City metropolitan area and surrounding suburbs in eastern Kansas. Cities include Kansas City and Overland Park. Incumbent Republican Kevin Yoder had represented the district since 2011. Yoder was re-elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. Yoder lost to his Democratic challenger, attorney Sharice Davids, who became one of the first Native American women ever elected to Congress.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kevin Yoder, incumbent representative

Eliminated in primary

• Trevor Keegan
• Joe Myers

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Sharice Davids, attorney, mixed martial artist, and former White House Fellow

Eliminated in primary

• Mike McCamon, businessman
• Tom Niermann, teacher
• Jay Sidie, financial counselor and nominee for this seat in 2016
• Brent Welder, attorney
• Sylvia Williams, former financial services manager

Withdrawn

• Chris Haulmark (dropped out to run for the Kansas House of Representatives)
• Reggie Marselus, retired union official and candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
• Joe McConnell, businessman and Iraq War veteran
• Andrea Ramsey, attorney and former healthcare executive

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sharice Davids	Tom Niermann	Brent Welder	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	August 2–3, 2018	543	± 4.2%	21%	15%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 35%	12%	17%

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kevin Yoder (R)	Sharice Davids (D)	Chris Clemmons (L)	Undecided
Emerson College	October 26–28, 2018	262	± 6.3%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55%	–	1%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	October 14–17, 2018	503	± 4.7%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48%	3%	11%
Emerson College	September 26–28, 2018	246	± 6.4%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47%	2%	10%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	September 20–23, 2018	494	± 4.7%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51%	–	6%
Remington Research (R-Yoder)	September 18–20, 2018	610	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43%	40%	–	–
Global Strategy Group (D-Davids)	August 13–15, 2018	400	± 4.9%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46%	4%	7%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kevin Yoder (R)	Brent Welder (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	February 14–15, 2018	315	± 5.5%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49%	–	9%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
538	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2018

District 4

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The fourth district is based in southern Kansas, including Wichita and the surrounding suburbs. Incumbent Republican Ron Estes had represented the district since 2017. Estes was elected with 52.5% of the vote in 2017.

Prior to Estes, Mike Pompeo represented the district. Pompeo had been nominated as Director of the Central Intelligence Agency in the Donald Trump administration. After Pompeo was confirmed, a special election was held for the remainder of Pompeo's term. Ron Estes won the special election on April 11, 2017.

Republican primary

The Republican Party selected a nominee during a Republican Party primary election which took place on August 7, 2018. The Republican primary was open to registered voters who were either unaffiliated or registered as Republicans.

Candidates

Nominee

• Ron Estes, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Ron M. Estes (different candidate with similar name), high level manager at Boeing for 40 years including working on the International Space Station project

Declined

• Susan Wagle, Kansas Senate President

Campaign

Because there were two Republican candidates named Ron Estes, the names appeared on the ballot as "Rep. Ron Estes" and "Ron M. Estes", which some criticized as breaking a state law that prohibits identifying an incumbent on the ballot.

Democratic primary

The Democratic Party selected a nominee during a Democratic Party primary election that took place on August 7, 2018. The primary was open to registered voters who were either unaffiliated or registered as Democrats.

Candidates

Nominee

• James Thompson, civil rights attorney, military veteran and nominee for this seat in 2017

Eliminated in primary

• Laura Lombard, businesswoman and CEO of ImEpik (online workforce training services)

Campaign

Senator Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigned for Democrat James Thompson on July 20, 2018, after the national Democratic party would not support him. Laura Lombard criticized the state's decision to list incumbent Ron Estes as "Rep. Ron Estes" on the ballot, because she believes it breaks state laws which prohibit a candidate from being identified as an incumbent on the ballot.

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ron Estes (R)	James Thompson (D)	Undecided
Emerson College	October 26–28, 2018	262	± 6.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 63%	33%	4%
Emerson College	September 26–28, 2018	256	± 6.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50%	26%	20%
Change Research (D-Thompson)	July 17–19, 2018	1,896	± 2.25%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42%	38%	20%

External links

• Candidates at Vote Smart
• Candidates at Ballotpedia
• Campaign finance at FEC
• Campaign finance at OpenSecrets

Official campaign websites of first district candidates

• Alan LaPolice (D) for Congress
• Roger Marshall (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites of second district candidates

• Paul Davis (D) for Congress
• Steve Watkins (R) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive

Official campaign websites of third district candidates

• Sharice Davids (D) for Congress
• Kevin Yoder (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites of fourth district candidates

• Ron Estes (R) for Congress
• James Thompson (D) for Congress Шаблон:Webarchive