Английская Википедия:2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts
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The 2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren ran for re-election to a second term. The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on September 4, 2018.[1]
Warren won re-election, defeating her Republican opponent, Geoff Diehl.[2]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominated
- Elizabeth Warren, incumbent U.S. Senator[3][4]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominated
- Geoff Diehl, state representative[5]
Eliminated in primary
- Beth Lindstrom, former Undersecretary of the Massachusetts Office of Consumer Affairs and Business Regulation[6]
- John Kingston, attorney and founder and president of Better for America[7]
Eliminated at convention
Declined
- Gabriel Gomez, businessman, former Navy SEAL and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2013[10]
- Rick Green, businessman (running for House of Representatives) [11][12]
- Curt Schilling, former Major League Baseball pitcher[13]
- Bill Weld, former governor, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996 and Libertarian nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2016 (endorsed Beth Lindstrom)[14]
- Daniel Winslow, former state representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2013[15]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Geoff Diehl |
John Kingston |
Beth Lindstrom |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MassINC | June 22–25, 2018 | 399 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 26% | 12% | 15% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 41% |
Results
Overall
Шаблон:Election box begin no changeШаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box write-in with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no changeШаблон:Election box end
By county
Results by county. Red represents counties won by Diehl. Teal represents counties won by Kingston.
| County | Diehl % |
Diehl votes |
Kingston % |
Kingston votes |
Lindstrom % |
Lindstrom votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Barnstable | 57.0% | 10,761 | 24.2% | 4,573 | 18.6% | 3,513 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Berkshire | 47.9% | 1,221 | 37.8% | 965 | 13.8% | 352 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Bristol | 61.8% | 11,005 | 23.0% | 4,095 | 15.0% | 2,669 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Dukes | 55.2% | 347 | 25.9% | 163 | 18.9% | 119 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Essex | 53.1% | 17,716 | 28.3% | 9,428 | 18.3% | 6,104 |
| Franklin | 41.8% | 938 | 42.3% | 949 | 15.3% | 343 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Hampden | 50.5% | 7,491 | 34.0% | 5,048 | 15.0% | 2,225 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Hampshire | 45.7% | 1,967 | 36.7% | 1,579 | 16.9% | 725 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Middlesex | 52.5% | 29,084 | 26.8% | 14,852 | 20.3% | 11,218 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Nantucket | 50.1% | 168 | 29.6% | 99 | 20.3% | 68 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Norfolk | 58.9% | 18,749 | 22.0% | 7,009 | 18.8% | 5,992 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Plymouth | 70.1% | 23,242 | 19.8% | 6,549 | 10.0% | 3,316 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Suffolk | 53.5% | 4,792 | 27.6% | 2,471 | 18.2% | 1,628 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Worcester | 44.8% | 16,562 | 32.1% | 11,856 | 22.8% | 8,421 |
| Total | 55.2% | 144,043 | 26.7% | 69,636 | 17.9% | 46,693 |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declined
- Bill Weld, former Republican governor and nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2016[16][15]
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Shiva Ayyadurai, entrepreneur[17] and conspiracy theorist[18]
- Allen Waters[19]
- John Devine[20]
Declined
- Gabriel Gomez, businessman, former Navy SEAL and Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2013[21]
General election
Endorsements
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 19, 2018
- Complete video of debate, October 21, 2018
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 28, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 29, 2017 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 27, 2017 |
| Fox News[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 9, 2018 |
| CNN[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 12, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | May 26, 2018 |
^Highest rating they assert
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Geoff Diehl (R) |
Shiva Ayyadurai (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MassINC | October 25–28, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 32% | 6% | 3% | 3% |
| Suffolk University | October 24–28, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% | 34% | 4% | – | 5% |
| Western New England University | October 10–27, 2018 | 402 LV | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% | 27% | 7% | – | 8% |
| 485 RV | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 27% | 6% | – | 12% | ||
| UMass Lowell | October 1–7, 2018 | 485 LV | ± 5.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% | 31% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| 791 RV | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% | 28% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| MassINC | September 17–21, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% | 30% | 5% | 1% | 6% |
| Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive | September 13–17, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 24% | 6% | – | 16% |
| Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive | June 8–12, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% | 33% | – | – | 11% |
| MassINC | May 22–26, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 19% | 8% | 1% | 15% |
| MassINC | March 16–18, 2018 | 504 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% | 20% | 9% | 1% | 13% |
| MassINC | November 9–12, 2017 | 503 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 58% | 32% | – | 3% | 7% |
| MassINC | June 19–22, 2017 | 504 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 60% | 29% | – | 1% | 8% |
- with Beth Lindstrom
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Beth Lindstrom (R) |
Shiva Ayyadurai (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive | June 8–12, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% | 31% | – | – | 13% |
| MassINC | May 22–26, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% | 19% | 7% | 2% | 15% |
| MassINC | March 16–18, 2018 | 504 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 19% | 9% | 1% | 14% |
| MassINC | November 9–12, 2017 | 504 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% | 33% | – | 3% | 8% |
- with John Kingston
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
John Kingston (R) |
Shiva Ayyadurai (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive | June 8–12, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 30% | – | – | 15% |
| MassINC | May 22–26, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% | 19% | 8% | 1% | 14% |
| MassINC | March 16–18, 2018 | 504 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 19% | 7% | 2% | 12% |
| MassINC | November 9–12, 2017 | 504 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% | 33% | – | 2% | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Karyn Polito (R) |
Mitt Romney (R) |
Richard Tisei (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst | September 15–20, 2016 | ~450 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% | 36% | – | – | 5% | 19% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | – | 31% | – | 10% | 15% | ||||
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% | – | – | 32% | 3% | 26% |
- with Shiva Ayyadurai running as Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Shiva Ayyadurai (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MassINC | November 9–12, 2017 | 504 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 58% | 27% | 4% | 10% |
| MassINC | June 19–22, 2017 | 504 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 61% | 25% | 2% | 9% |
- with Curt Schilling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Curt Schilling (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive | October 24–26, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 58% | 24% | 2% | 16% |
| UMass Amherst | September 15–20, 2016 | ~450 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 28% | 9% | 16% |
| MassINC | September 7–10, 2016 | 506 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 29% | 3% | 15% |
- with William Weld
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
William Weld (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst | September 15–20, 2016 | ~450 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% | 37% | 8% | 16% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Barnstable (largest municipality: Barnstable)
- Essex (largest municipality: Lynn)
- Norfolk (largest municipality: Quincy)
- Worcester (largest municipality: Worcester)
By congressional district
Warren won all of the state’s congressional districts.[28]
References
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
- Official campaign websites
- Shiva Ayyadurai (I) for Senate
- Geoff Diehl (R) for Senate
- Elizabeth Warren (D) for Senate
- Allen Waters (I) for Senate
Шаблон:Elizabeth Warren Шаблон:Federal elections in Massachusetts footer Шаблон:2018 United States elections
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