Английская Википедия:2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates

Шаблон:For Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsMA

The 2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren ran for re-election to a second term. The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on September 4, 2018.[1]

Warren won re-election, defeating her Republican opponent, Geoff Diehl.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Results

Файл:2018 MA US Senate Dem primary.svg
United States Senate Democratic primary in Massachusetts results by county, 2018: Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Eliminated at convention

  • Darius Mitchell[8]
  • Heidi Wellman[9]

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Geoff
Diehl
John
Kingston
Beth
Lindstrom
Other Undecided
MassINC June 22–25, 2018 399 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 26% 12% 15% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 41%

Results

Overall

Файл:Massachusetts United States Senate Republican primary results by municipality, 2018.svg
Massachusetts United States Senate Republican primary results by municipality, 2018

Шаблон:Election box begin no changeШаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box write-in with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no changeШаблон:Election box end

By county

Файл:2018 MA US Senate GOP primary.svg
Massachusetts United States Senate Republican primary results by county, 2018: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Results by county. Red represents counties won by Diehl. Teal represents counties won by Kingston.

County Diehl
%
Diehl
votes
Kingston
%
Kingston
votes
Lindstrom
%
Lindstrom
votes
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Barnstable 57.0% 10,761 24.2% 4,573 18.6% 3,513
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Berkshire 47.9% 1,221 37.8% 965 13.8% 352
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Bristol 61.8% 11,005 23.0% 4,095 15.0% 2,669
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Dukes 55.2% 347 25.9% 163 18.9% 119
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Essex 53.1% 17,716 28.3% 9,428 18.3% 6,104
Franklin 41.8% 938 42.3% 949 15.3% 343
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Hampden 50.5% 7,491 34.0% 5,048 15.0% 2,225
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Hampshire 45.7% 1,967 36.7% 1,579 16.9% 725
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Middlesex 52.5% 29,084 26.8% 14,852 20.3% 11,218
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Nantucket 50.1% 168 29.6% 99 20.3% 68
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Norfolk 58.9% 18,749 22.0% 7,009 18.8% 5,992
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Plymouth 70.1% 23,242 19.8% 6,549 10.0% 3,316
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Suffolk 53.5% 4,792 27.6% 2,471 18.2% 1,628
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Worcester 44.8% 16,562 32.1% 11,856 22.8% 8,421
Total 55.2% 144,043 26.7% 69,636 17.9% 46,693

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declined

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Declined

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 29, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 27, 2017
Fox News[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating July 9, 2018
CNN[26] Шаблон:USRaceRating July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[27] Шаблон:USRaceRating May 26, 2018

^Highest rating they assert

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Geoff
Diehl (R)
Shiva
Ayyadurai (I)
Other Undecided
MassINC October 25–28, 2018 502 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 32% 6% 3% 3%
Suffolk University October 24–28, 2018 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 34% 4% 5%
Western New England University October 10–27, 2018 402 LV ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% 27% 7% 8%
485 RV ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 27% 6% 12%
UMass Lowell October 1–7, 2018 485 LV ± 5.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 31% 8% 3% 2%
791 RV ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 28% 9% 4% 1%
MassINC September 17–21, 2018 506 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 30% 5% 1% 6%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive September 13–17, 2018 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 24% 6% 16%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive June 8–12, 2018 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% 33% 11%
MassINC May 22–26, 2018 501 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 19% 8% 1% 15%
MassINC March 16–18, 2018 504 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% 20% 9% 1% 13%
MassINC November 9–12, 2017 503 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 58% 32% 3% 7%
MassINC June 19–22, 2017 504 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 60% 29% 1% 8%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Beth Lindstrom
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Beth
Lindstrom (R)
Shiva
Ayyadurai (I)
Other Undecided
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive June 8–12, 2018 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 31% 13%
MassINC May 22–26, 2018 501 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% 19% 7% 2% 15%
MassINC March 16–18, 2018 504 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 19% 9% 1% 14%
MassINC November 9–12, 2017 504 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 33% 3% 8%
with John Kingston
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
John
Kingston (R)
Shiva
Ayyadurai (I)
Other Undecided
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive June 8–12, 2018 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 30% 15%
MassINC May 22–26, 2018 501 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 19% 8% 1% 14%
MassINC March 16–18, 2018 504 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 19% 7% 2% 12%
MassINC November 9–12, 2017 504 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 57% 33% 2% 7%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Karyn
Polito (R)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Richard
Tisei (R)
Other Undecided
UMass Amherst September 15–20, 2016 ~450 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 36% 5% 19%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 31% 10% 15%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% 32% 3% 26%
with Shiva Ayyadurai running as Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Shiva
Ayyadurai (R)
Other Undecided
MassINC November 9–12, 2017 504 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 58% 27% 4% 10%
MassINC June 19–22, 2017 504 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 61% 25% 2% 9%
with Curt Schilling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Curt
Schilling (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive October 24–26, 2016 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 58% 24% 2% 16%
UMass Amherst September 15–20, 2016 ~450 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 28% 9% 16%
MassINC September 7–10, 2016 506 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 29% 3% 15%
with William Weld
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
William
Weld (L)
Other Undecided
UMass Amherst September 15–20, 2016 ~450 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 37% 8% 16%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:2018 US Senate election in Massachusetts results by municipality.svg
United States Senate election in Massachusetts by municipality, 2018:

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Warren won all of the state’s congressional districts.[28]

District Diehl Warren Representative
rowspan=1 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|1st 37.34% 58.95% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Richard Neal
rowspan=1 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|2nd 39.07% 57.01% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Jim McGovern
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|3rd 38.56% 57.51% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Niki Tsongas (115th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Lori Trahan (116th Congress)
rowspan=1 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|4th 38.45% 58.19% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Joe Kennedy III
rowspan=1 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|5th 27.82% 68.91% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Katherine Clark
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|6th 41.21% 54.98% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Seth Moulton
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|7th 13.15% 84.51% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Michael Capuano (115th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Ayanna Pressley (116th Congress)
rowspan=1 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|8th 39.45% 57.65% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Stephen Lynch
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|9th 45.67% 51.13% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Bill Keating

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:Elizabeth Warren Шаблон:Federal elections in Massachusetts footer Шаблон:2018 United States elections