Английская Википедия:2018 United States Senate election in Utah
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates
Шаблон:Infobox electionШаблон:ElectionsUT
The 2018 United States Senate election in Utah took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Utah, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 26.[1]
Incumbent Republican senator Orrin Hatch announced in January 2018 that he would retire and not seek reelection to an eighth term, making this the first open seat U.S. Senate election in Utah since 1992 and the first in this seat since 1905. The general election was won by Mitt Romney, who had been the Republican nominee for president in 2012 and previously was the 70th Governor of Massachusetts from 2003 to 2007. Romney became only the third person in American history to be elected governor and U.S. senator in different states, and the first former major party presidential nominee to run for a new office since Walter Mondale in 2002.[2]
Background
Process
Utah's 2018 U.S. Senate candidates had dual routes toward placement on the primary election ballot: (1) eligibility via win or second-place showings at a convention of delegates selected from party local caucuses; and/or (2) eligibility via obtaining sufficient petition signatures.
Taking the traditional route, the top two candidates for the U.S. Senate at any of the party state conventions (to be held this year the latter part of April) will be placed on the June 26 primary election ballot. Also, any candidate who collects 28,000 ballot-access petition signatures will be placed on the primary ballot.
If no competitor will have achieved the above-mentioned alternate access to the primary ballot through collected signatures and a convention winner had achieved sixty-percent of delegate votes, this candidate straightaway receives his or her party's nomination solely via the older-style caucuses-convention system. Otherwise, a candidate will be nominated through receiving a plurality of votes in the primary election and thereby advance to the November general election.
Incumbent Orrin Hatch did not seek reelection.[3]
Hatch to retire
Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Orrin Hatch was reelected to a seventh term in 2012. During his 2012 reelection campaign, Hatch had pledged that if he were elected that it would be his last term.[4] Hatch won his first election in 1976 in part by criticizing the incumbent's 18-year tenure. Hatch initially announced a re-election campaign on March 9, 2017,[5][6][7][8] though he also said at that time that he might withdraw from the race if Mitt Romney decided to run.[9] An August 19–21, 2016, poll conducted by Public Policy Polling found only 19% of voters wanted Hatch to run in 2018, while 71% wanted him to retire.[10] On October 27, 2017, Hatch reportedly told friends privately that he was going to retire in 2019[11] and on January 2, 2018, made a public announcement of his plans to retire at the end of his current term in January 2019.[3]
Republican primary
Convention
Candidates
Nominee
- Mitt Romney, former Governor of Massachusetts, Republican nominee for President of the United States in 2012,[12] and Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in Massachusetts in 1994
Eliminated in the primary election
- Mike Kennedy, state representative[13]
Eliminated at Convention
- Loy Brunson
- Alicia Colvin[14]
- Stoney Fonua, tax accountant[14]
- Chris Forbush, attorney and candidate for the Nevada State Assembly in 2016[15]
- Jeremy Friedbaum[14]
- Timothy Adrian Jimenez, engineer[16]
- Joshua Lee
- Larry Michael Meyers, attorney[17]
- Gayle Painter[14]
- Samuel Parker[14]
Declined
- Rob Bishop, U.S Representative[18]
- Jason Chaffetz, former U.S. Representative[19]
- Orrin Hatch, incumbent U.S. Senator and President pro tempore of the United States Senate[8]
- Boyd Matheson, former Chief of Staff for Senator Mike Lee[20]
- Mia Love, U.S. Representative (Endorsed Mitt Romney)[21][22]
- Evan McMullin, former congressional staffer, former CIA agent and independent candidate for President of the United States in 2016 (Endorsed Mitt Romney)[21][23]
- John Curtis, U.S. Representative
Endorsements
Results
| colspan="5" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | State Republican Convention results, 2018 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | First ballot | Pct. | Second ballot | Pct. |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 1,354 | 40.69% | 1,642 | 50.88% |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 1,539 | 46.24% | 1,585 | 49.12% |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 4 | 0.12% | Шаблон:Sort | |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 29 | 0.87% | Шаблон:Sort | |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 7 | 0.21% | Шаблон:Sort | |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 0 | 0% | Шаблон:Sort | |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 100 | 3.01% | Шаблон:Sort | |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 2 | 0.06% | Шаблон:Sort | |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 163 | 4.90% | Шаблон:Sort | |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 0 | 0% | Шаблон:Sort | |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 122 | 3.67% | Шаблон:Sort | |
| Total | Шаблон:Sort | Шаблон:Sort | Шаблон:Sort | Шаблон:Sort |
Primary
Debates
| Host network |
Date | Link(s) | Participants | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitt Romney |
Mike Kennedy | ||||
| KBYU-TV | May 29, 2018 | [24] | Invited | Invited | |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Kennedy |
Mitt Romney |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates | June 11–18, 2018 | 356 | ± 5.2% | 23% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 65% | 12% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | May 15–25, 2018 | 295 | ± 5.7% | 24% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 67% | 9% |
- with Orrin Hatch
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Orrin Hatch |
Jon Шаблон:Nowrap |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates | January 9–16, 2017 | 605 | ± 4.0% | 21% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 62% | 16% |
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Jenny Wilson, Salt Lake County Councilwoman and candidate for Mayor of Salt Lake City in 2007[25]
Eliminated at Convention
- Mitchell Kent Vice, businessman[26]
Withdrew
- James Singer, Salt Lake Community College, Westminster College adjunct professor & Candidate For UT-03[27][28]
- Danny Drew, director of adult education for the Duchesne County School District[29][30]
Declined
- Ben McAdams, Mayor of Salt Lake County (running for UT-04)[31]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Libertarian Party
Candidates
Declared
- Craig Bowden, veteran and businessman[32]
Constitution Party
Candidates
Declared
- Tim Aalders[33]
Independent American Party
Candidates
Declared
General election
Candidates
Debates
| Date | Host | Moderator | Link(s) | Participants | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn |
scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | |||
| Mitt Romney |
Jenny Wilson | ||||
| October 9, 2018 | Utah Debate Commission | Bruce Lindsay | Video | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[35] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[36] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[38] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 9, 2018 |
| CNN[39] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 12, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[40] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
^Highest rating given
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
- Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitt Romney (R) |
Jenny Wilson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Utah | October 3–9, 2018 | 607 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 59% | 23% | 8% | 10% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | August 22–31, 2018 | 809 | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 29% | 8%[41] | 7% |
| Lighthouse Research | August 11–27, 2018 | 2,400 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 59% | 19% | 9%[42] | 14% |
| University of Utah | June 11–18, 2018 | 654 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 58% | 20% | – | 21% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | January 15–18, 2018 | 803 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 64% | 19% | – | 12% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | November 16–21, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 72% | 21% | – | 7% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | August 30 – September 5, 2017Шаблон:Efn | 608 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 64% | 26% | – | 10% |
Notes
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitt Romney (R) |
Jenny Wilson (D) |
Craig Bowden (L) |
Dan McCay (R) |
Mitchell Vice (D) |
Larry Meyers (R) |
Alicia Colvin (R) |
Jay Hyatt (R) |
L'Capi Titus (R) |
Timothy Jimenez (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates | February 9–16, 2018 | 609 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 60% | 14% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 14% |
- with Mike Kennedy
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Kennedy (R) |
Jenny Wilson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates | June 11–18, 2018 | 654 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 28% | 29% |
- with Orrin Hatch
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Orrin Hatch (R) |
Jenny Wilson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates | November 16–21, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 35% | 15% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | August 30 – September 5, 2017 | 608 | ± 4.0% | 34% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 21% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Orrin Hatch (R) |
Evan McMullin (I) |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMC Analytics | March 18–March 20, 2017 | 625 | ± 3.9% | 29% | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent align=center| 33% | 11% | 10% | 17% |
- with Chris Stewart
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Stewart (R) |
Jenny Wilson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates | August 30 – September 5, 2017 | 608 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 34% | 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 36% |
- with Matt Holland
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Holland (R) |
Jenny Wilson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates | August 30 – September 5, 2017 | 608 | ± 4.0% | 23% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 47% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
References
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
- Official campaign websites
- Tim Aalders (C) for Senate
- Craig Bowden (L) for Senate Шаблон:Webarchive
- Reed C. McCandless (IAP) for Senate Шаблон:Webarchive
- Caleb Reeve (I) for Senate (Write-in)
- Mitt Romney (R) for Senate
- Jenny Wilson (D) for Senate
Шаблон:Mitt Romney Шаблон:2018 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ 3,0 3,1 Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ 8,0 8,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 14,0 14,1 14,2 14,3 14,4 Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 21,0 21,1 Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 33,0 33,1 33,2 33,3 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Tim Aalders (C) with 4%, Reed McCandless (IA) and Craig Bowden (L) with 2%
- ↑ Craig Bowden (L) and Reed McCandless (IA) with 3%, Tim Aalders (C) with 2%, other with 1%
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