Английская Википедия:2019 European Parliament election in Hungary

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Infobox election An election of Members of the European Parliament from Hungary to the European Parliament was held on 26 May 2019,[1] electing the 21 members of the Hungary delegation to the European Parliament as part of the European elections held across the European Union.[2]

Electoral system

Шаблон:Main articles

Date of the vote

European Parliament Elections are held every five years in the European Union. The vote had to take place from 23 to 26 May 2019, but the member states could set the exact date.[3] Since Hungarian law states elections can only take place on a Sunday,[4] the only possible date was 26 May 2019. Accordingly, President János Áder announced on 4 March 2019 that the vote would be held on 26 May.[1]

Background

Fidesz

During early 2019, the Hungarian government launched a poster campaign targeting European commission president Jean-Claude Juncker and Hungarian-American philanthropist George Soros. The government campaign accuses Juncker and Soros of wanting “to weaken member states’ rights to protect their own borders” and claims “they want …migrants’ visas”.[5] Due to the poster campaign, some members of the European People's Party (EPP), which the Hungarian governing party Fidesz is a member of, started moves to remove it from the group.”[6] Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, called those who were calling for his removal from the EPP "Useful idiots".”[7][8] In response to the political ad campaign, Manfred Weber, Spitzenkandidat of the EPP demanded Orbán apologize for and renounce the criticism levied against the EU by him and his party or face Fidesz's suspension from the EPP.[9]

On 20 March 2019, the European People's Party voted to suspend the membership of Fidesz citing its anti-immigration stance, and personal attacks on Jean-Claude Juncker and George Soros. Prime Minister and Fidesz leader Viktor Orbán had threatened to pull out of the EPP if it was suspended.[10]

Parties contesting

According to election law, Hungary consists of a single election district and all parties that collect 20,000 valid signatures from eligible citizens are put on the ballot. By the deadline (23 April 2019, 16:00), eleven parties or party alliances had submitted signature lists. Of those, two parties were refused registration, lacking a sufficient number of valid signatures : the United Hungarian National People's Party (EMNP) and the Tea Party Hungary (TPM).[11] Nine qualified lists were approved by the National Election Committee (NVB) to be put on the ballot, of which two of them are shared lists. All parties represented in the Országgyűlés participated in the election, in addition to four extra-parliamentary parties. The parties appeared on the ballot papers in the following randomly drawn order:

Hungarian parties contesting the 2019 European Parliament election
Abbr. Party Lead candidate Last election EP affiliation
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| MSZP–P Hungarian Socialist PartyDialogue for Hungary Bertalan Tóth 10.9%+7.25%Шаблон:Efn 2+1 seats S&D+Greens/EFA
MKKP Hungarian Two Tailed Dog Party Zsuzsanna Döme did not contest
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| Jobbik Movement for a Better Hungary Márton Gyöngyösi 14.67% 3 seats NI
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| Fidesz–KDNP Fidesz – Hungarian Civic AllianceChristian Democratic People's Party László Trócsányi 51.48% 11+1 seats EPP (Suspended)
Momentum Momentum Movement Katalin Cseh did not contest ALDE
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| DK Democratic Coalition Klára Dobrev 9.75% 2 seats S&D
Our Homeland Our Homeland Movement László Toroczkai did not contest
Workers' Party Hungarian Workers' Party Gyula Thürmer did not contest
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| LMP Politics Can Be Different Gábor Vágó 5.04% 1 seat Greens/EFA

Opinion polling

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Polling firm Fieldwork date Fidesz-
KDNP
MSZP-P DK Jobbik Momentum LMP MKKP Our Homeland Lead
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:40px;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:40px;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:40px;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:40px;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:40px;"|
2019 election 26 May 2019 52.62 6.62 16.09 6.37 9.83 2.17 2.61 3.30 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 36.81
Nézőpont 25 May 2019 55 10 11 9 7 3 2 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 41
Politico 24 May 2019 55.08 8.51 10.68 9.53 6.02 3.34 3.00 1.53 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 44.40
Publicus 16-22 May 2019 52 13 11 13 6 4 1 1 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 39
Medián Шаблон:Webarchive 15-18 May 2019 52 10.5 10 11.5 5.5 4 3 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 40.5
Századvég 10-18 May 2019 54.8 7.5 11.8 9.7 6.5 3.2 0 3.2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 43
MR Center Шаблон:Webarchive 15 May 2019 42.1 9.5 8.3 9.8 6.2 1.8 3.5 8.3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 32.3
Nézőpont May 2019 54 10 10 10 6 5 3 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 44
Závecz Research 4-14 May 2019 53 12 11 12 4 5 2 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 41
Idea Institute 2-6 May 2019 50 12 9 13 3 5 2 0 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 37
Nézőpont 1-26 April 2019 57 10 8 10 5 4 2 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 47
Závecz Research 15-25 April 2019 57 13 11 6 5 4 2 1 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 44
MR Center Шаблон:Webarchive 16-26 April 2019 50.30 9.23 10.20 10.35 6.25 3.70 4.70 1.40 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 49.95
Századvég 10-21 April 2019 54 10 9 14 4 4 0 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 40
Závecz Research April 2019 53 12 9 12 4 4 2 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 44
Medián Mar-Apr 2019 53 12 8 11 5 7 2 0 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 41
Idea Institute 29 Mar-1 Apr 2019 48 12 9 14 6 4 3 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 34
Publicus 13-20 March 2019 52 15 6 16 6 3 2 0 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 36
Závecz Research March 2019 50 13 9 14 5 4 1 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 36
Nézőpont 1-28 March 2019 56 11 6 12 4 5 4 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 44
Idea Institute 28 Feb-3 Mar 2019 47 12 9 17 4 3 4 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 30
Nézőpont 31 Jan-22 Feb 2019 54 11 6 13 4 5 4 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 41
Nézőpont 31 Jan-22 Feb 2019 54 11 6 13 4 5 4 3 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 41
European Parliament 5-15 February 2019 53.0 12.3 8.3 13.3 3.7 4.7 1.7 2.0 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 39.7
Závecz Research 3-10 February 2019 49 12 9 14 4 4 2 2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 35
European Parliament Шаблон:Webarchive 6 February 2019 49.3 13.3 7.2 15.5 5.0 4.5 3.7 1.2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 33.8
2014 election 25 May 2014 51.48 10.90 9.75 14.67 5.04 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 36.81

Results

Шаблон:Election results

By county and in the diaspora

County results in %[12] Fidesz-
KDNP
DK Momentum MSZP-P Jobbik Our Homeland MKKP LMP Workers' Party Total Votes Cast Turnout
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:40px;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:40px;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:40px;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:40px;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:40px;"|
Baranya 50.13 18.43 9.44 6.63 6.06 3.13 2.89 2.84 0.46 125,673 41.35%
Bács-Kiskun 58.81 13.43 7.27 5.08 7.05 3.67 2.19 2.10 0.39 166,013 39.80%
Békés 52.70 16.74 6.80 6.17 8.65 4.09 2.14 2.01 0.46 109,775 38.65%
Borsod-Abaúj-Zemplén 51.65 15.77 5.79 7.15 11.69 4.02 1.82 1.52 0.59 202,268 38.31%
Budapest (capital) 41.17 19.79 17.35 9.04 3.18 2.32 3.83 2.98 0.34 689,526 52.51%
Csongrád 49.32 13.89 9.47 11.53 5.38 4.95 2.99 2.07 0.42 145,393 43.90%
Fejér 53.83 16.01 9.15 5.31 7.03 3.69 2.58 1.98 0.43 148,563 43.38%
Győr-Moson-Sopron 59.17 13.74 8.44 4.90 5.79 3.26 2.28 2.07 0.35 166,602 46.36%
Hajdú-Bihar 57.37 14.16 7.96 5.54 7.14 3.17 2.21 1.95 0.47 156,691 36.55%
Heves 52.63 16.12 7.14 5.83 10.26 3.95 1.88 1.74 0.46 100,093 41.38%
Jász-Nagykun-Szolnok 53.44 14.95 6.00 6.53 9.60 5.28 1.93 1.58 0.70 113,542 37.42%
Komárom-Esztergom 50.08 19.65 8.56 5.59 7.34 3.50 2.61 2.22 0.43 101,790 41.40%
Nógrád 56.90 15.65 5.11 7.27 6.76 4.47 1.57 1.40 0.86 61,936 39.38%
Pest 51.38 15.55 11.70 5.64 5.29 3.34 3.23 2.54 0.34 449,270 44.20%
Somogy 55.30 17.22 6.44 5.38 8.90 2.87 1.79 1.67 0.43 102,981 40.70%
Szabolcs-Szatmár-Bereg 60.66 13.45 5.32 6.27 8.25 2.92 1.45 1.25 0.42 170,754 38.05%
Tolna 59.02 14.40 6.63 5.98 6.11 3.53 2.01 1.88 0.43 73,036 40.17%
Vas 61.03 13.03 7.42 5.63 6.43 2.40 2.01 1.76 0.29 100,169 48.80%
Veszprém 54.75 15.20 8.22 5.96 7.53 3.50 2.39 2.06 0.38 129,678 45.32%
Zala 58.13 15.63 6.91 4.84 6.81 3.58 1.86 1.89 0.34 100,565 44.72%
Foreign representations 41.30 9.60 29.04 6.37 2.29 2.07 5.22 4.00 0.11 17,749
Diaspora 95.97 0.60 0.96 0.45 0.32 0.63 0.58 0.36 0.12 57,777
Total 52.56 16.05 9.93 6.61 6.34 3.29 2.62 2.18 0.42

European groups

European group Seats 2014 Seats 2019 Change
Шаблон:Party color cell European People's Party EPP Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Increase 1
Шаблон:Party color cell Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats S&D Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Increase 1
Шаблон:Party color cell Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe ALDE 0 Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Increase 2
Шаблон:Party color cell Non-Inscrits NI Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Composition bar Шаблон:Decrease 2
Шаблон:Party color cell The Greens–European Free Alliance Greens-EFA Шаблон:Composition bar 0 Шаблон:Decrease 2
21 21

List of seat winners

Шаблон:Col-begin Шаблон:Col-2

On the FideszChristian Democratic People's Party list: (EPP Group)

  1. László Trócsányi
  2. József Szájer
  3. Lívia Járóka
  4. Tamás Deutsch
  5. András Gyürk
  6. Kinga Gál
  7. György Hölvényi (KDNP)
  8. Enikő Győri
  9. Ádám Kósa
  10. Andrea Bocskor
  11. Andor Deli
  12. Balázs Hidvéghi
  13. Edina Tóth

Шаблон:Col-2

On the Democratic Coalition list: (S&D)

  1. Klára Dobrev
  2. Csaba Molnár
  3. Sándor Rónai
  4. Attila Ara-Kovács

On the Momentum Movement list: (ALDE)

  1. Katalin Cseh
  2. Anna Donáth

On the Hungarian Socialist PartyDialogue for Hungary list: (S&D)

  1. István UjhelyiШаблон:Efn

On the Jobbik list: (Non-inscrits)

  1. Márton Gyöngyösi

Шаблон:Col-end

Analysis

These elections marked the change of balance in Hungarian politics. Although Fidesz-KNDP remained largest and dominant party, but MSZP and Jobbik were replaced by Democratic Coalition and Momentum Movement as leading opposition parties. LMP was wiped off from political sphere. The results of the European elections in Hungary were also viewed with interest for their potential implications in the upcoming local elections in 2019. András Bódis of Válasz Online noted possibility that in some municipalities joint opposition candidates can defeat Fidesz-KNDP candidates.[13]

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:European Parliament elections Шаблон:Hungarian elections