Английская Википедия:2019 Indian general election in West Bengal

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Infobox election The 2019 Indian general election were held in India between April and May 2019 to constitute the 17th Lok Sabha.

Surveys and Polls

Vote share

Date published	Polling agency	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |	Lead
		AITC	Left Front	UPA	NDA
Jan 2019	Republic TV - C Voter	43.7%	14.4%	9.6%	31.8%	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |11.9%

Seat projections

Poll Type	Date published	Polling agency	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |	Lead
			AITC	UPA	Left Front	NDA
Exit poll		ABP - Nielson	24	2	0	16	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | 8
		Times Now - VMR	28	2	1	11	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | 17
		Republic TV- Jan Ki Baat	29	2	0	11	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | 18
		India Today - AxisMyIndia	19-22	0-1	0	19-23	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | 1
		NewsX - CNX	26	2	0	14	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | 8
		News24 - Today's Chanakya	23	1	0	18	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | 5
Opinion poll	06 Apr 2019	India TV - CNX	28	1	1	12	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |16
	05 Apr 2019	Republic TV - Jan ki Baat	25	3	1	13	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |12
	Mar 2019	ABP News- Nielsen	31	3	Шаблон:Dash	8	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |23
	Jan 2019	Spick Media	30	4	0	8	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |22
	Jan 2019	Republic TV - C Voter	34	1	0	7	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |27
	Nov 2018	Spick Media	32	4	1	5	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |27
	Nov 2018	ABP News - C Voter	32	1	Шаблон:Dash	9	style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |23

Candidates

Trinamool Congress

On 12 March 2019, party president Mamata Banerjee announced the party candidates for the election. 41% of the candidates were women. Notable exclusions from the list were the party's general secretary Subrata Bakshi and Sugata Bose. Bose did not get permission from Harvard University, where he is a professor, to contest the election. Notable inclusions were Bengali actresses Mimi Chakraborty and Nusrat Jahan.

List of candidates

#	Constituency	Reserved for (SC/ST/None)	Candidates Name
			All India Trinamool Congress	Indian National Congress	Left Front	Bharatiya Janata Party
1	Cooch Behar	SC	Paresh Chandra Adhikary	Priya Roy Choudhury	Gobinda Chandra Roy (AIFB)	Nisith Pramanik
2	Alipurduars	ST	Dasrath Tirkey	Mohan Lal Basumuta	Mili Oraon (RSP)	John Barla
3	Jalpaiguri	SC	Bijoy Chandra Barman	Mani Kumar Darnal	Bhagirath Chandra Roy (CPI(M))	Jayanta Ray
4	Darjeeling	None	Amar Singh Rai	Shankar Malakar	Saman Pathak (CPI(M))	Raju Singh Bisht
5	Raiganj	None	Kanaia Lal Agarwal	Deepa Dasmunshi	Mohammed Salim (CPI(M))	Deboshree Chaudhary
6	Balurghat	None	Arpita Ghosh	Sadik Sarkar	Ranen Barman (RSP)	Sukanta Majumdar
7	Maldaha Uttar	None	Mausam Noor	Isha Khan Chowdhury	Biswanath Ghosh (CPI(M))	Khagen Murmu
8	Maldaha Dakshin	None	Moazzem Hossain	Abu Hasem Khan Choudhury	CPI(M) supports INC	Sreerupa Mitra Chaudhury
9	Jangipur	None	Khalilur Rehman	Abhijit Mukherjee	Md. Zulfikar Ali (CPI(M))	Mafuja Khatun
10	Baharampur	None	Apurba Sarkar	Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury	Saikh Id Mohammad (RSP)	Krishna Juardar Arya
11	Murshidabad	None	Abu Taher Khan	Abu Hena	Badaruddoza Khan (CPI(M))	Humayun Kabir
12	Krishnanagar	None	Mahua Moitra	Intaj Ali Shah	Dr. Shantanu Jha (CPI(M))	Kalyan Chaubey
13	Ranaghat	SC	Rupaali Biswas	Minati Biswas	CA Rama Biswas (CPI(M))	Jagannath Sarkar
14	Bangaon	SC	Mamata Bala Thakur	Sourav Prasad	Alakesh Das (CPI(M))	Shantanu Thakur
15	Barrackpur	None	Dinesh Trivedi	Mohammad Alam	Gargi Chatterjee (CPI(M))	Arjun Singh
16	Dum Dum	None	Sougata Roy	Saurav Saha	Nepaldev Bhattacharya (CPI(M))	Samik Bhattacharya
17	Barasat	None	Kakoli Ghosh Dastidar	Subrota (Rashu) Dutta	Haripada Biswas (AIFB)	Mrinal Kanthi Debnath
18	Basirhat	None	Nusrat Jahan	Quazi Abdur Rahim	Pallab Sengupta (CPI)	Sayantan Basu
19	Jaynagar	SC	Pratima Mondal	Tapan Mondal	Subhas Naskar (RSP)	Ashok Kandari
20	Mathurapur	SC	Choudhury Mohan Jatua	Krittibas Sardar	Dr. Sarat Chandra Haldar (CPI(M))	Shyamaprasad Halder
21	Diamond Harbour	None	Abhishek Banerjee	Soumya Aich Roy	Dr. Fuad Halim (CPI(M))	Nilanjan Roy
22	Jadavpur	None	Mimi Chakraborty	INC supports CPI(M)	Adv. Bikash Ranjan Bhattacharya (CPI(M))	Anupam Hazra
23	Kolkata Dakshin	None	Mala Roy	Mita Chakraborty	Dr. Nandini Mukherjee (CPI(M))	Chandra Kumar Bose
24	Kolkata Uttar	None	Sudip Bandyopadhyay	Syed Shahid Imam	Kaninika Bose (Ghosh) (CPI(M))	Rahul Sinha
25	Howrah	None	Prasun Banerjee	Suvra Ghosh	Adv. Sumitro Adhikary (CPI(M))	Rantideb Sen Gupta
26	Uluberia	None	Sajda Ahmed	Shoma Ranisree Roy	Dr. Maksuda Khatun (CPI(M))	Joy Banerjee
27	Serampore	None	Kalyan Banerjee	Debabrata Biswas	CA Tirthankar Ray (CPI(M))	Debajit Sarkar
28	Hooghly	None	Ratna De (Nag)	Pratul Saha	Pradip Saha (CPI(M))	Locket Chatterjee
29	Arambagh	SC	Aparupa Poddar	Jyoti Das	Sakti Mohan Malik (CPI(M))	Tapan Roy
30	Tamluk	None	Dibyendu Adhikari	Lakshman Chandra Seth	Sk. Ibrahim Ali (CPI(M))	Siddhartha Naskar
31	Contai	None	Sisir Adhikari	Dipak Kumar Das	Paritosh Pattanayak (CPI(M))	Debasish Samant
32	Ghatal	None	Dev	Khandakar Mohammad Saifullah	Tapan Ganguli (CPI)	Bharati Ghosh
33	Jhargram	ST	Birbaha Soren	Jagyeswar Hembram	Deblina Hembram (CPI(M))	Kunar Hembram
34	Medinipur	None	Manas Bhunia	Sambhunath Chatterjee	Biplab Bhatta (CPI)	Dilip Ghosh
35	Purulia	None	Mriganko Mahato	Nepal Mahato	Bir Singh Mahato (AIFB)	Jyotirmoy Mahto
36	Bankura	None	Subrata Mukherjee	Did Not Contest	Dr. Amiya Patra (CPI(M))	Subhash Sarkar
37	Bishnupur	SC	Shyamal Santra	Narayan Chandra Khan	Sunil Khan (CPI(M))	Saumitra Khan
38	Bardhaman Purba	SC	Sunil Kumar Mandal	Siddhartha Majumder	Iswar Chandra Das (CPI(M))	Paresh Chandra Das
39	Bardhaman-Durgapur	None	Mamtaz Sanghamita	Ranajit Mukherjee	Abhas Ray Chaudhuri (CPI(M))	S. S. Ahluwalia
40	Asansol	None	Moon Moon Sen	Biswarup Mondal	Gouranga Chatterjee (CPI(M))	Babul Supriyo
41	Bolpur	SC	Asit Kumar Mal	Abhijit Saha	Dr. Ram Chandra Dome (CPI(M))	Ram Prashad Das
42	Birbhum	None	Satabdi Roy	Imam Hossain	Dr. Md. Rezaul Karim (CPI(M))	Dudh Kumar Mondal

Party-wise Result

22	18	2
AITC	BJP	INC

Party	AITC	BJP	INC	CPI(M)
Leader	Mamata Banerjee	Dilip Ghosh	Somen Mitra	Surya Kanta Mishra
	Файл:Mamata Banerjee - Kolkata 2011-12-08 7531 Cropped.JPG	Файл:Dilip Ghosh.jpg
Votes	43.69%, 2,47,57,345	40.64%, 2,30,28,517	5.67%, 32,10,491	6.34%, 35,94,283
	Шаблон:Percentage bar	Шаблон:Percentage bar	Шаблон:Percentage bar	Шаблон:Percentage bar
Seats	22 (52.38%)	18 (42.86%)	2 (4.76%)	0 (0.00%)
	Шаблон:Composition bar	Шаблон:Composition bar	Шаблон:Composition bar	Шаблон:Composition bar

Name of Party	Vote Share (%) in West Bengal (2019 India Lok Sabha Election)	Change (%)	Seats won	Change
All India Trinamool Congress	43.69%	Шаблон:Increase4.64	22	Шаблон:Decrease12
Bharatiya Janata Party	40.64%	Шаблон:Increase22.25	18	Шаблон:Increase16
Indian National Congress	5.67%	Шаблон:Decrease4.09	2	Шаблон:Decrease2
Communist Party of India (Marxist)	6.34%	Шаблон:Decrease16.72	0	Шаблон:Decrease2

Lok Sabha seats that flipped from All India Trinamool Congress to Bharatiya Janata Party

• Bangaon
• Alipurduars
• Balurghat
• Bankura
• Barrackpore
• Bishnupur
• Cooch Behar
• Jalpaiguri
• Hooghly
• Medinipur
• Ranaghat
• Purulia

Lok Sabha seats that flipped from Indian National Congress to All India Trinamool Congress

• Jangipur

Lok Sabha seats that flipped from Indian National Congress to Bharatiya Janata Party

• Maldaha Uttar

Lok Sabha seats that flipped from Communist Party of India Marxist to Bharatiya Janata Party

• Raiganj

Lok Sabha seats that flipped from Communist Party of India Marxist to All India Trinamool Congress

• Murshidabad

Impact

There has been a major political shift from the left to the right in the 2019 general elections in West Bengal. The Statesman says, “Making an aggressive penetration in Bengal for the first time since its inception in 1980, BJP alone has dramatically increased its vote share close to 40 percent this time. Thus, it has virtually made the CPI-M into a mere marginalised political party and at the same time the saffron party set a strong challenge before the Trinamool Congress hardly two years ahead of the Assembly elections scheduled in 2021 in the state.” This obviously is the most important impact of the general elections in the state visible in the voting pattern right across the state, irrespective of who won or lost a particular seat.

Analysis

Assembly segments wise lead of Parties

Файл:2019 Lok Sabha in West Bengal.svg

2019 Lok Sabha in West Bengal by Assembly Segment

Party		2016 West Bengal Bidhan Sabha election	West Bengal Bidhan Sabha segments (as of 2019 India Lok Sabha election)	2021 West Bengal Bidhan Sabha election
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"|	BJP	3	121	77
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"|	INC	44	9	0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"|	TMC	211	164	215
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"|	Left Front	32	0	0
	Others	1	0	2
Total		294

Postal Ballot wise lead of Parties

Party		No. of Constituencies
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"|	All India Trinamool Congress	2
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"|	Left Front	1
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"|	Bharatiya Janata Party	39
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"|	Indian National Congress	0
Total		42

TMC won 3 out of 3 assembly seats in the next assembly by-elections in November 2019. Even the seat of State BJP president Dilip Ghosh which fell vacant due to Dilip Ghosh's win in Loksabha election, Kharagpur Sadar was won by TMC by a lead of 22,000 votes. TMC was trailing in that seat by 158,000 votes in 2019 general elections.

Region-Wise Results

Region	Total seats	All India Trinamool Congress		Bharatiya Janata Party		Indian National Congress		Communist Party of India (Marxist)		Others
Ganges Delta	10	7	Шаблон:Decrease 3	3	Шаблон:Increase 3	0	Шаблон:Steady	0	Шаблон:Steady	0
North Bengal	8	3	Шаблон:Increase 1	3	Шаблон:Increase 3	2	Шаблон:Decrease 2	0	Шаблон:Decrease 2	0
Northern Hills	4	0	Шаблон:Decrease 3	4	Шаблон:Increase 3	0	Шаблон:Steady	0	Шаблон:Steady	0
Rarh Bengal	10	3	Шаблон:Decrease 7	7	Шаблон:Increase 4	0	Шаблон:Steady	0	Шаблон:Steady	0
South Bengal	10	9	Шаблон:Decrease 1	1	Шаблон:Steady	0	Шаблон:Steady	0	Шаблон:Steady	0
Total	42	22	Шаблон:Decrease 12	18	Шаблон:Increase 16	2	Шаблон:Decrease 2	0	Шаблон:Decrease 2	0

External links

Шаблон:West Bengal elections Шаблон:Indian general election, 2019