Английская Википедия:2020 Missouri gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Missouri The 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the Governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Parson ran for and was elected to a full term in office.[1] Parson was elected as lieutenant governor in 2016 but became governor on June 1, 2018, after incumbent Eric Greitens resigned under threat of impeachment by the state legislature. Parson declared his bid for a full term on September 8, 2019.[2] State Auditor Nicole Galloway, Missouri's only Democratic statewide officer and only female statewide officer, was the Democratic nominee and if elected, would have become Missouri's first female governor.

In October 2020, The Washington Post identified this state election as one of eight whose outcomes could affect partisan balance during post-census redistricting.[3]

Despite most news agencies characterizing the race as only leaning Republican, Mike Parson went on to win the election by a landslide of 16.4%, widely outperforming all election polling as well as justifying the former swing state's trend towards the GOP. He even exceeded Donald Trump's statewide victory margin in the concurrent presidential election, which was actually greater than that in neighboring Kansas for the first time in 104 years. Galloway suffered the largest margin of defeat for a Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Missouri since Betty Hearnes' 29-point loss in 1988.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Mike
Parson
Eric
Greitens
Other /
Undecided
March 31, 2020 Filing deadline, by which Greitens had not declared his candidacy
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout Jan 29–30, 2020 1,155 (LV) ± 2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% 22% 26%
American Viewpoint/Uniting MissouriШаблон:Efn-ua Jan 20–22, 2020 1,200 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|56% 30% 11%

Results

Файл:Missouri Governor Republican primary, 2020.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Eric Morrison, community leader and pastor[13]
  • Antoin Johnson[14]
  • Jimmie Matthews[14]
  • Robin Quaethem[14]

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Файл:Missouri Governor Democratic primary, 2020.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Файл:Rik Combs portrait.jpg
Rik Combs, the Libertarian nominee

Nominee

  • Rik Combs, U.S. Air Force veteran[14]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Green Party

Nominee

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[19] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 23, 2020
Inside Elections[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2020
Politico[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 28, 2020
RCP[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2020
270towin[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2020

Polling

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Mike
Parson (R)
Nicole
Galloway (D)
Other /
Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout October 28–29, 2020 1,010 (LV) ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% 44% 5%Шаблон:Efn
Cygnal October 18–20, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% 42% 10%Шаблон:Efn
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout October 14–15, 2020 1,010 (LV) ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% 43% 6%Шаблон:Efn
YouGov September 24 – October 7, 2020 931 (LV) ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% 44% 7%Шаблон:Efn
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua September 28 – October 2, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% 48%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout September 30 – October 1, 2020 980 (LV) ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% 44% 5%Шаблон:Efn
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout September 16–17, 2020 1,046 (LV) ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% 43% 5%Шаблон:Efn
We Ask America September 1–3, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|54% 41% 5%Шаблон:Efn
Trafalgar Group August 26–28, 2020 1,015 (LV) ± 2.99% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% 36% 13%Шаблон:Efn
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout August 12–13, 2020 1,112 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% 43% 7%Шаблон:Efn
Saint Louis University Шаблон:Webarchive June 23 – July 1, 2020 900 (LV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|41% 39% 20%Шаблон:Efn
Garin-Hart-Yang/Missouri Scout (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua June 16–22, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% 40%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout June 10–11, 2020 1,152 (LV) ± 2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% 41% 9%
We Ask America May 26–27, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% 39% 15%Шаблон:Efn
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout April 28–29, 2020 1,356 (LV) ± 2.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% 39% 9%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout March 11–12, 2020 1,241 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% 39% 7%
American Viewpoint (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua January 20–22, 2020 1,200 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|54% 36% 7%
Human Agency/Missouri Scout December 20–24, 2019 415 (RV) ± 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% 36% 13%
Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D) November 17–20, 2019 400 (RV) ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 51% 35% 14%
Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua November 14–15, 2019 921 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 45% 36% 19%
Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D) October 18–20, 2019 550 (RV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 50% 34% 16%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) October 9–10, 2019 1,451 (LV) ± 2.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 53% 41% 6%
Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D) September 16–18, 2019 825 (RV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 45% 36% 19%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) August 14–15, 2019 855 (LV) ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 50% 39% 11%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) June 26–27, 2019 960 (LV) ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 50% 37% 13%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) February 27, 2019 893 (LV) ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 51% 40% 9%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Eric Greitens vs Nicole Galloway
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Eric
Greitens (R)
Nicole
Galloway (D)
Other /
Undecided
American Viewpoint (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua January 20–22, 2020 1,200 (LV) 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45% 7%
Mike Parson vs Jason Kander
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Mike
Parson (R)
Jason
Kander (D)
Other /
Undecided
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) February 27, 2019 893 (LV) ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 51% 36% 13%
Mike Parson vs. Scott Sifton
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Mike
Parson (R)
Scott
Sifton (D)
Other /
Undecided
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) February 27, 2019 893 (LV) ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 52% 32% 16%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total

Шаблон:Election box turnout Шаблон:Election box registered electors Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Файл:MO GOV 2020 SS.svg
State Senate districts results
Файл:MO 2020 GOV SH.svg
State House districts results

See also

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Further reading

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2020 United States elections Шаблон:Missouri elections