Английская Википедия:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New York

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy datesШаблон:For Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNY The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New York were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 26 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from each of the state's 26 congressional districts. The elections coincided with elections for governor, U.S. Senate, attorney general, comptroller, state senate, and assembly, and various other state and local elections.

Following the 2020 census, New York lost one seat in the U.S. House. Incumbent representatives Lee Zeldin (R), Thomas Suozzi (D), Kathleen Rice (D), John Katko (R), Chris Jacobs (R), and Joe Sempolinski (R) retired. Representatives Carolyn Maloney (D) and Mondaire Jones (D) lost renomination in their primary contests. The primary elections were set to happen on June 28, but due to a court-ordered redraw of the state's Congressional maps, they were held on August 23. Due in part to Kathy Hochul's relatively weak performance in the governor's race and heavy pro-Republican turnout, the Democratic Party lost four seats.

With 11 seats held this is the most seats won by Republicans since 2000 and the best performance in the popular vote since 2002. Шаблон:Horizontal TOC

2020-22 redistricting controversy

Following the 2020 census, New York lost one Congressional seat and its Independent Redistricting Commission (I.R.C.) attempted to draw a new map. However they could not reach an agreement on the map, and the Democratic-dominated New York State Legislature drew their own new Congressional map. In April of 2022, in the lead-up to the 2022 midterms, the New York State Court of Appeals struck down the map, known infamously as the "Hochulmander" (named after New York State Governor Kathy Hochul) as an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander that failed to follow the proper procedures. The Court then assigned an Independent Special Master to create a fair map. In the 2022 House election in New York, under the new map, the Republican Party flipped 3 seats, bringing the new seat count of 15 for the Democrats and 11 held by Republicans. The Court-drawn map is often credited with helping the Republican Party win back control of the House, due to the narrow margin of the Republican majority.

Overview

Votes by ballot line

In some races, candidates appeared on multiple ballot lines, with Democratic candidates often appearing on the Working Families line and Republican candidates often appearing on the Conservative line. However, they all caucus with either the Democrats or the Republicans.

United States House of Representatives elections in New York, 2022

Party		Votes	Percentage	Seats	+/–
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:3px;"|	Democratic	3,028,115	52.61%	15	Шаблон:Loss 4
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:3px;"|	Republican	2,233,120	38.80%	11	Шаблон:Gain 3
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:3px;"|	Conservative	320,049	5.56%	0
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:3px;"|	Working Families	167,605	2.91%	0
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:3px;"|	Independent	6,749	0.12%	0
Totals		5,755,638	100.00%	26

Votes by district

Candidates on multiple ballot lines are marked as the party they caucus with.

District	Democratic		Republican		Others		Total		Result
	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Шаблон:Ushr	141,907	44.49%	177,040	55.51%	0	0.00%	318,947	100.0%	Republican hold
Шаблон:Ushr	97,774	39.27%	151,178	60.73%	0	0.00%	248,952	100.0%	Republican hold
Шаблон:Ushr	125,404	46.24%	145,824	53.76%	0	0.00%	271,228	100.0%	Republican gain
Шаблон:Ushr	130,871	48.20%	140,622	51.80%	0	0.00%	271,493	100.0%	Republican gain
Шаблон:Ushr	104,396	75.21%	34,407	24.79%	0	0.00%	138,803	100.0%	Democratic hold
Шаблон:Ushr	85,049	63.95%	47,935	36.05%	0	0.00%	132,984	100.0%	Democratic hold
Шаблон:Ushr	119,473	80.69%	28,597	19.31%	0	0.00%	148,070	100.0%	Democratic hold
Шаблон:Ushr	99,079	71.72%	39,060	28.28%	0	0.00%	138,139	100.0%	Democratic hold
Шаблон:Ushr	116,970	81.52%	0	0.00%	26,521	18.48%	143,491	100.0%	Democratic hold
Шаблон:Ushr	160,582	84.04%	29,058	15.21%	1,447	0.76%	191,087	100.0%	Democratic hold
Шаблон:Ushr	71,801	38.23%	115,992	61.77%	0	0.00%	187,793	100.0%	Republican hold
Шаблон:Ushr	200,890	81.76%	44,173	17.98%	631	0.26%	245,694	100.0%	Democratic hold
Шаблон:Ushr	116,589	100.00%	0	0.00%	0	0.00%	116,589	100.0%	Democratic hold
Шаблон:Ushr	82,453	70.72%	31,935	27.39%	2,208	1.89%	116,596	100.0%	Democratic hold
Шаблон:Ushr	76,406	82.79%	15,882	17.21%	0	0.00%	92,288	100.0%	Democratic hold
Шаблон:Ushr	133,567	64.30%	74,156	35.70%	0	0.00%	207,723	100.0%	Democratic hold
Шаблон:Ushr	141,730	49.68%	143,550	50.32%	0	0.00%	285,280	100.0%	Republican gain
Шаблон:Ushr	135,245	50.67%	131,653	49.33%	0	0.00%	266,898	100.0%	Democratic hold
Шаблон:Ushr	141,509	49.22%	146,004	50.78%	0	0.00%	287,513	100.0%	Republican gain
Шаблон:Ushr	160,420	55.07%	130,869	44.93%	0	0.00%	291,289	100.0%	Democratic hold
Шаблон:Ushr	116,421	40.85%	168,579	59.15%	0	0.00%	285,000	100.0%	Republican hold
Шаблон:Ushr	132,913	49.51%	135,544	50.49%	0	0.00%	268,457	100.0%	Republican hold
Шаблон:Ushr	104,114	35.08%	192,694	64.92%	0	0.00%	296,808	100.0%	Republican hold
Шаблон:Ushr	95,028	34.30%	182,054	65.70%	0	0.00%	277,082	100.0%	Republican hold
Шаблон:Ushr	152,022	53.87%	130,190	46.13%	0	0.00%	282,212	100.0%	Democratic hold
Шаблон:Ushr	156,883	63.98%	88,339	36.02%	0	0.00%	245,222	100.0%	Democratic hold
Total	3,199,496	55.59%	2,525,335	43.88%	30,807	0.54%	5,755,638	100.0%

Seat allocation

Votes are marked under party the candidate caucuses with, regardless of ballot line. Шаблон:Bar box

District 1

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 1st district is based on the eastern end and North Shore of Long Island, including the Hamptons, the North Fork, Riverhead, Port Jefferson, Smithtown, and Huntington, all in Suffolk County. Due to redistricting, the district lost most of Brookhaven to the 2nd district and picked up Huntington from the 3rd district. The district has a PVI of R+4 but voted for Joe Biden by 0.2 points in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Lee Zeldin, who was reelected with 54.8% of the vote in 2020. He is retiring to run for governor.

Republicans chose their nominee, Nick LaLota, to succeed Zeldin in a three-way primary in late August, the endorsed candidate of their county committee. The primary looked to be a race between him and Anthony Figliola, a former Brookhaven deputy supervisor who argued his independence from the county party leadership made him the better choice, until Michelle Bond, head of the Association for Digital Asset Marketing, a cryptocurrency trade group, filed petitions to run right before the deadline. Ultimately LaLota won the primary with 47 percent of the vote. Bond finished with 28 percent to Figliola's 25 percent.

Republican/Conservative nominee

• Nick LaLota, former Suffolk County Board of Elections commissioner and chief of staff to Suffolk County legislator Kevin McCaffrey

Eliminated in primary

• Michelle Bond, businesswoman
• Anthony Figliola, former deputy supervisor of Brookhaven

Withdrawn / disqualified

• Robert Cornicelli, veteran and supervisor of Department of Public Works inspectors in Oyster Bay (running in New York's 2nd congressional district)
• Dean Gandley (endorsed LaLota)
• Edward Francis Moore Jr., businessman
• Cait Corrigan
• Patrick Hahn

Declined

• Lee Zeldin, incumbent U.S. Representative (ran for governor)

Debate

2022 New York's 1st congressional district republican primary debate

Шаблон:Abbr	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Republican	Republican
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant  Шаблон:Colors Absent  Шаблон:Colors Not invited  Шаблон:Colors Invited Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn					scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
					Michelle Bond	Anthony Figliola	Nick LaLota
1	Aug. 1, 2022	Schneps Media	Jane Hanson Stephen Witt	YouTube	Шаблон:No	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes

Democratic/Working Families nominee

• Bridget Fleming, member of the Suffolk County Legislature for the 2nd district and candidate for this district in 2020

Did not make the ballot

• Alexandre Zajic

Withdrawn

• Nicholas Antonucci, educator and executive director of Sachem Professional Development, Inc.
• John Atkinson (endorsed Hahn)
• Kara Hahn, Deputy Presiding Officer of and member of the Suffolk County Legislature for the 5th district (endorsed Fleming)
• Austin Smith, bankruptcy attorney

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 20, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 2

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 2nd district is based on the South Shore of Suffolk County, including the towns of Babylon, Islip, and most of Brookhaven all in Suffolk County, and a small part of Oyster Bay in Nassau County. Due to redistricting, the district lost portions of Nassau County and now stretches farther east along the South Shore. The district has a PVI of R+4 and voted for Donald Trump by 1.5 points in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Andrew Garbarino, who was elected with 52.9% of the vote in 2020.

Republican/Conservative nominee

Nominee

• Andrew Garbarino, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Robert Cornicelli, veteran of the U.S. Navy and U.S. Army National Guard, Town of Oyster Bay Sanitation Inspector Supervisor
• Cait Corrigan, pastor
• Mike Rakebrandt, combat veteran and NYPD Detective

Debate

2022 New York's 2nd congressional district republican primary debate

Шаблон:Abbr	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Republican	Republican	Republican
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant  Шаблон:Colors Absent  Шаблон:Colors Not invited  Шаблон:Colors Invited Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn					scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
					Robert Cornicelli	Cait Corrigan	Andrew Garbarino	Mike Rakebrandt
1	Jul. 29, 2022	Schneps Media	Jane Hanson Stephen Witt	YouTube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:No	Шаблон:D-A	Шаблон:Yes

Democratic nominee

• Jackie Gordon, Babylon town councilwoman, U.S. Army veteran, and Democratic nominee for the 2nd district in 2020 (previously filed to run in the 1st district)

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 24, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Andrew Garbarino (R)	Jackie Gordon (D)	Undecided
GQR Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 21–31, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49%	48%	3%

District 3

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Main Шаблон:See also The 3rd district is based on the North Shore of Nassau County, including all of the towns of North Hempstead and Glen Cove, most of the town of Oyster Bay, and a small part of Hempstead, and parts of Northeast Queens, including the neighborhoods of Whitestone, Beechhurst, Little Neck, and Douglaston. Due to redistricting, the district lost Huntington to the 1st district. It has a PVI of D+2 and voted for Joe Biden by 8 points in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Tom Suozzi, who was reelected with 55.9% of the vote in 2020. Suozzi declined to run for reelection, instead opting to run for governor.

In the general election, Republican George Santos defeated Democrat Robert Zimmerman by 8 points, considered an upset in this Democratic-leaning district. On December 19, 2022, The New York Times published an article reporting that Santos had allegedly misrepresented many aspects of his life and career, including his education and employment history. An attorney for Santos said the report was a "smear" and "defamatory" but did not address the report's substance. Santos did not produce any documents to substantiate his claims, despite several requests from the Times to do so. Other news organizations confirmed and elaborated on the TimesШаблон:'s reporting. Gerard Kassar, chair of the Conservative Party of New York State, said: "I've never seen anything like this. His entire life seems to be made up. Everything about him is fraudulent."

In the wake of the disclosures about Santos, commentators expressed amazement that no one, save the local North Shore Leader and opposition research by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, had raised questions about Santos's background during the campaign. It was speculated that if what the Times reported had been public knowledge before the election, Santos would have lost. But FiveThirtyEight said that was "unclear", noting that the other two Republican candidates on the ballot district-wide, Lee Zeldin and Joe Pinion, had also carried the district. Zeldin carried the 3rd District by 12 points in the 2022 New York gubernatorial election. Pinion carried the district by 4 points in the 2022 United States Senate election in New York, despite his campaign having been minimally funded. The site has found that pre-election scandals have on average cost candidates about 9 percentage points of the vote that they might otherwise have received, and while that might have been enough to throw the election to Zimmerman, "a scandal's impact varies quite a bit from election to election. So we can't just subtract 9 points from that margin and assume that would have been the result if voters had been aware of his deceptions." Nathaniel Rakich observed that "in this era of high partisan polarization, scandals may hurt candidates less than they used to."

Democratic nominee

• Robert Zimmerman, Democratic National Committee member and communications professional

Eliminated in primary

• Melanie D'Arrigo, health care consultant and candidate for this district in 2020
• Jon Kaiman, former North Hempstead supervisor, former chairman of the Nassau Interim Finance Authority, and candidate for this district in 2016
• Josh Lafazan, Nassau County Legislator for the 18th district
• Reema Rasool, candidate for Oyster Bay Town Council in 2021

Withdrawn

• Alessandra Biaggi, State Senator from the 34th district (2019–present) (running in the 17th district)

Declined

• Thomas Suozzi, incumbent U.S. representative (ran unsuccessfully for Democratic nomination for governor of New York)

Debate & Forum

2022 New York's 3rd congressional district democratic primary debate & candidate forum

Шаблон:Abbr	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant  Шаблон:Colors Absent  Шаблон:Colors Not invited  Шаблон:Colors Invited Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn					scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
					Melanie D'Arrigo	John Kaiman	Josh Lafazan	Reema Rasool	Robert Zimmerman
1	Aug. 5, 2022	Schneps Media	Robert Pozarycki Stephen Witt	YouTube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:No	Шаблон:Yes
2	Aug. 11, 2022	Leagues of Women Voters of Great Neck, NYC, East Nassau & Port Washington-Manhasset	Nancy Rosenthal	YouTube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Melanie D'Arrigo	Jon Kaiman	Josh Lafazan	Reema Rasool	Robert Zimmerman	Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 20–24, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	12%	13%	10%	1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|17%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|48%
The Mellman Group (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	June 12–16, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	4%	20%	20%	4%	10%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|43%

Republican primary

Nominee

• George Santos, former call center employee, and nominee for this district in 2020

General election

Debate

2022 New York's 3rd congressional district debate

Шаблон:Abbr	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant  Шаблон:Colors Absent  Шаблон:Colors Not invited  Шаблон:Colors Invited Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn					scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
					George Santos	Robert Zimmerman
1	Oct. 21, 2022	League of Women Voters of Port Washington-Manhasset Women's Group at the Unitarian Universalist Congregation at Shelter Rock	Lisa Scott	YouTube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 10, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Robert Zimmerman (D)	George Santos (R)	Other	Undecided
RMG Research	August 27 – September 2, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|42%	41%	4%	14%

Josh Lafazan vs. George Santos vs. Melanie D'Arrigo

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Josh Lafazan (D)	George Santos (R)	Melanie D'Arrigo (WFP)	Undecided
co/efficient (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 11–12, 2022	714 (LV)	± 3.7%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44%	8%	15%

District 4

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 4th district is based on the South Shore of Nassau County and is entirely within the town of Hempstead. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+5 and voted for Joe Biden by 15 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Kathleen Rice, who was reelected with 56.1% of the vote in 2020. On February 15, 2022, Rice announced that she would retire at the end of her term.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Laura Gillen, former town supervisor of Hempstead (2018–2019)

Eliminated in primary

• Keith Corbett, Mayor of Malverne
• Muzibul Huq, physician and surgeon
• Carrié Solages, Member of the Nassau County Legislature (2004–present)

Did not make the ballot

• Jason Abelove, former Democratic candidate for Hempstead Town Supervisor (2021)
• Kevin Shakil, Founder of America's Islamic Radio

Withdrawn

• Siela Bynoe, Member of the Nassau County Legislature

Declined

• Todd Kaminsky, New York State Senator from the 9th district (2016–present), former New York State Assemblymember from the 20th district (2015–2016), candidate for Nassau County District Attorney in 2021
• Kathleen Rice, incumbent U.S. Representative (endorsed Gillen)

Debate

2022 New York's 4th congressional district democratic primary debate

Шаблон:Abbr	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant  Шаблон:Colors Absent  Шаблон:Colors Not invited  Шаблон:Colors Invited Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn					scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
					Keith Corbett	Laura Gillen	Muzibul Huq	Carrié Solages
1	Aug. 1, 2022	Schneps Media	Jane Hanson Stephen Witt	YouTube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:No	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Siela Bynoe	Keith Corbett	Laura Gillen	Carrié Solages	Undecided
Impact Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	August 2–8, 2022	244 (LV)	± 6.3%	–	5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47%	10%	39%
Impact Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	March 28 – April 3, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	9%	4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|40%	11%	36%

Republican/Conservative nominee

• Anthony D'Esposito, retired NYPD detective and Hempstead Town Board member

Disqualified

• Bill Staniford, veteran and CEO of PropertyShark

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 19, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Laura Gillen (D)	Anthony D'Esposito (R)	Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	March 3–6, 2022	300 (LV)	± 5.7%	36%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48%	16%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	March 3–6, 2022	300 (LV)	± 5.7%	33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|55%	12%

District 5

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 5th district is based in Southeast Queens, including the neighborhoods of Jamaica, Hollis, Laurelton, Richmond Hill, Ozone Park, Howard Beach, and the Rockaways. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+32 and voted for Joe Biden by 63 points in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Gregory Meeks, who was reelected unopposed with 99.3% of the vote in 2020.

Democratic nominee

• Gregory Meeks, incumbent U.S. Representative

Withdrawn

• Frankie Lozada

Republican nominee

• Paul King, businessman

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 6

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 6th district is based in Central and Eastern Queens, including the neighborhoods of Woodside, Jackson Heights, Elmhurst, Kew Gardens, Flushing, Bayside, and Fresh Meadows. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+17 and voted for Joe Biden by 31 points in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Grace Meng, who was reelected with 67.9% of the vote in 2020.

Democratic Nominee

• Grace Meng, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican nominee

• Tom Zmich, U.S. Army veteran, nominee for Queens Borough President in 2021, nominee for this district in 2020

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 7

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 7th district is based in parts of Brooklyn and Queens, including the neighborhoods of Clinton Hill, Williamsburg, Greenpoint, Bushwick, Woodhaven, Fresh Pond, Maspeth, Sunnyside, and Long Island City. The seat was significantly altered due to redistricting, losing all of its previous territory in Manhattan and South Brooklyn in exchange for parts of Queens formerly in the 12th district. The district has a PVI of D+32 and voted for Joe Biden by 60 points in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Nydia Velázquez, who was re-elected with 84.8% of the vote in 2020.

Democratic primary

Nominal challenger Paperboy Prince became notable for both their flamboyant 2021 run for New York City Mayor, and their attempt to get on the ballots in 11 congressional districts simultaneously. They only succeeded in this one.

Candidates

Nominee

• Nydia Velázquez, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Paperboy Prince, artist and community activist

Republican/Conservative nominee

• Juan Pagan

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 8

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 8th district is based in Southern and Eastern Brooklyn, including the neighborhoods of Bed-Stuy, Brownsville, East New York, Canarsie, Bergen Beach, Sheepshead Bay, Gravesend, and Coney Island. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+25 and voted for Joe Biden by 49 points in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Hakeem Jeffries, who was reelected with 84.8% of the vote in 2020.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Hakeem Jeffries, incumbent U.S. Representative and Chair of the House Democratic Caucus

Eliminated in primary

• Queen Johnson, activist and nonprofit co-founder

Republican nominee

• Yuri Dashevsky

Forward Party

• Brian Mannix, social studies teacher

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 9

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 9th district is based in South and Central Brooklyn, including the neighborhoods of Prospect Heights, Crown Heights, Midwood, and Borough Park. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+27 and voted for Joe Biden by 52 points in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Yvette Clarke, who was reelected with 83% of the vote in 2020.

Democratic nominee

• Yvette Clarke, incumbent U.S. Representative

Disqualified

• Isiah James, veteran, community organizer, and candidate for this seat in 2020

Republican primary

Disqualified

• Menachem Raitport, nominee for Brooklyn Borough President in 2021

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 10

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The newly-drawn 10th district was based in Lower Manhattan and Brownstone Brooklyn, including the neighborhoods of Park Slope, Windsor Terrace, Gowanus, Brooklyn Heights, Cobble Hill, Red Hook, Sunset Park, the Lower East Side, Greenwich Village, and the Financial District. The district was significantly altered due to redistricting, resembling the previous 10th very little. It had a PVI of D+36 and voted for Joe Biden by 71 points in 2020. There was no incumbent. Rep. Mondaire Jones, the incumbent from the Rockland and Westchester-based 17th district, was defeated by attorney Dan Goldman in the Democratic primary. Goldman went on to win the general election by a wide margin.

Democratic primary

A last-minute, court-ordered redistricting turned what was a nominal race between safe incumbent Jerry Nadler and two non-notable challengersШаблон:Failed verification into a free-for-all of 13 candidates, several of whom were notable.

On the ballot

Nominee

• Dan Goldman, former assistant U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York (2007–2017), former general counsel for the U.S. House Intelligence Committee (2019–2020), candidate for Attorney General of New York in 2022

Eliminated in primary

• Quanda Francis, data scientist
• Peter Gleason
• Elizabeth Holtzman, former New York City Comptroller (1990–1993), former Brooklyn District Attorney (1982–1989), former U.S. Representative from New York's 16th congressional district (1973–1981), nominee for U.S. Senate in 1980, candidate for U.S. Senate in 1992
• Mondaire Jones, incumbent U.S. Representative from the New York's 17th congressional district
• Jimmy Li, podiatrist, former member of Brooklyn Community Board 7, and former president of the New York City Asian-American Democratic Club
• Maud Maron, lawyer
• Yuh-Line Niou, New York State Assemblymember from the 65th district (2017–present)
• Carlina Rivera, New York City Councilmember from the 2nd district (2018–present)
• Brian Robinson, credit counselor
• Jo Anne Simon, New York State Assemblymember from the 52nd district (2015–present), candidate for Brooklyn Borough President in 2021 (also running for reelection due to separate primary dates)
• Yan Xiong, Pastor, U.S. Army veteran and dissident involved in the Tiananmen Square protests of 1989

Withdrawn

• Bill de Blasio, former mayor of New York City (2014–2021), former New York City Public Advocate (2010–2013), former New York City Councilmember from the 39th district (2002–2009)
• Brad Hoylman, New York State Senator from the 27th district (2013–present) and candidate for Manhattan Borough President in 2021 (endorsed Goldman) (running for reelection)
• Jerry Nadler, incumbent U.S. Representative (running in the 12th district)
• Elizabeth Kim, business consulting associate
• Ashmi Sheth, former Federal Reserve regulator (unsuccessfully ran in the 12th district)

Disqualified

• Laura Thomas
• John Herron

Declined

• Robert Carroll, New York State Assemblymember from the 44th district (2017–present) (endorsed Goldman) (running for reelection)
• Simcha Felder, New York State Senator from the 17th district (2013–present), former New York City Councilmember from the 44th district (2002–2010) (running for reelection)
• Kathryn Garcia, director of New York state operations (2021–present), former Commissioner of the New York City Sanitation Department (2014–2018), candidate for Mayor of New York in 2021
• Shahana Hanif, New York City Councilmember from the 39th district (2022–present) (endorsed Niou)
• Corey Johnson, former Speaker of the New York City Council (2018–2021), former New York City Councilmember from the 3rd district (2014–2021), former acting New York City Public Advocate (2019), candidate for New York City Comptroller in 2021
• Brad Lander, New York City Comptroller (2022–present), former New York City Councilmember from the 39th district (2010–2021)
• Lincoln Restler, New York City Councilmember from the 33rd district (2022–present) (endorsed Rivera)
• Max Rose, former U.S. Representative from the 11th district (2019–2021) (running in the 11th district)
• Dawn Smalls, attorney and candidate for New York City Public Advocate in 2019
• Scott Stringer, former New York City Comptroller (2014–2021), former Borough President of Manhattan (2006–2013), former New York State Assemblymember from the 67th district (1993–2005), candidate for Mayor of New York City in 2021
• Nydia Velázquez, incumbent U.S. Representative from New York's 7th congressional district (endorsed Rivera) (running in the 7th district)
• Anthony Weiner, former U.S. Representative from New York's 9th congressional district (1999–2011), former New York City Councilmember from the 48th district (1992–1998), and candidate for Mayor of New York City in 2005 and 2013
• Brandon West, Office of Management and Budget worker, candidate for New York City's 39th City Council district in 2021
• David Yassky, former Dean of Pace University School of Law (2014–2018), former New York City Councilmember from the 33rd district (2002–2009), candidate for New York's 11th congressional district in 2006, candidate for New York City Comptroller in 2009 (running for State Senate)

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Bill de Blasio	Daniel Goldman	Elizabeth Holtzman	Mondaire Jones	Yuh-Line Niou	Carlina Rivera	Jo Anne Simon	Other	Undecided
Emerson College	August 10–13, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.3%	3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|22%	4%	13%	17%	13%	6%	5%Шаблон:Efn	17%
Impact Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	~August 7, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|23%	10%	15%	21%	18%	9%	–	–
Impact Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 22–26, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|18%	9%	10%	16%	14%	7%	8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|18%
Change Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 19–23, 2022	437 (LV)	± 5.0%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|14%	12%	10%	10%	10%	10%	3%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|30%
Justice Research Group (WFP)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 1–11, 2022	636 (LV)	± 3.9%	3%	10%	4%	8%	16%	16%	6%	2%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|40%
Data for Progress (D)	July 7–10, 2022	533 (LV)	± 4.0%	5%	12%	9%	7%	14%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|17%	8%	1%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|27%
Impact Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	Late June 2022	– (LV)	–	–	10%	–	9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|14%	12%	–	–	–
Emerson College	May 24–25, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.3%	6%	–	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|7%	5%	3%	–	3%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|77%

Debate

2022 New York's 10th congressional district democratic primary debate

Шаблон:Abbr	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant  Шаблон:Colors Absent  Шаблон:Colors Not invited  Шаблон:Colors Invited Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn					scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
					Quanda Francis	Peter Gleason	Dan Goldman	Elizabeth Holtzman	Mondaire Jones	Jimmy Li	Maud Maron	Yuh-Line Niou	Carlina Rivera	Brian Robinson	Jo Anne Simon	Yan Xiong
1	Aug. 2, 2022	Schneps Media	Jane Hanson Ethan Stark-Miller Stephen Witt	YouTube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:No	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:No
2	Jul. 19, 2022	New York League of Conservation Voters Education Fund The Cooper Union	Danielle Muoio Dunn	YouTube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:No	Шаблон:No	Шаблон:No	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:No	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:No
3	Jul. 26, 2022	Congregation Beth Elohim	Jacob Kornbluh Rachel Timoner	YouTube	Шаблон:No	Шаблон:No	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:No	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:No

Republican/Conservative nominee

• Benine Hamdan, risk analyst

Working Families Party

Declined

• Mondaire Jones, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 17th district (2021–present)
• Yuh-Line Niou, New York State Assemblymember from the 65th district (2017–present)

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 11

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 11th district includes all of Staten Island and the neighborhoods of Bay Ridge, Fort Hamilton, Dyker Heights, Bath Beach, and Bensonhurst in Brooklyn. The seat was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+5 and voted for Donald Trump by 8 points in 2020, making it the only Republican-leaning district in New York City. The incumbent is Republican Nicole Malliotakis, who was elected with 53.0% of the vote in 2020 over then-incumbent Max Rose, who ran again for his old seat, however lost by a landslide margin of 23.1%.

Republican/Conservative nominee

• Nicole Malliotakis, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary

Eliminated

• John Matland, former healthcare worker and activist

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Max Rose, former U.S. Representative for this district (2019–2021)

Eliminated in primary

• Komi Agoda-Koussema, educator
• Brittany Ramos DeBarros, veteran and activist

Withdrawn

• Mike DeCillis, retired police officer and candidate in the 2018 election (endorsed Max Rose)

Declined

• Bill de Blasio, former mayor of New York City (2014–2021), former New York City Public Advocate (2010–2013), former New York City Councilmember from the 39th district (2002–2009) (ran in the 10th district, then withdrew)
• Justin Brannan, New York City Councilmember from the 43rd district (2018–present) (endorsed Rose)
• Kathryn Garcia, director of New York state operations (2021–present), former Commissioner of the New York City Sanitation Department (2014–2018), candidate for Mayor of New York in 2021
• Charles Fall, New York State Assemblymember from the 61st district (2019–present) (endorsed Rose, then rescinded endorsement)
• Jumaane Williams, New York City Public Advocate (2019–present), former New York City Councilmember from the 45th district (2010–2019), candidate for Lieutenant Governor of New York in 2018 (running for governor)

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 5, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 20, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Nicole Malliotakis (R)	Max Rose (D)	Other	Undecided
Spectrum News/Siena	September 27–30, 2022	451 (LV)	± 5.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49%	43%	4%Шаблон:Efn	5%
1892 Polling (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	June 23–26, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51%	36%	–	13%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat	Undecided
1892 Polling (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	June 23–26, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48%	32%	20%

District 12

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 12th district is entirely based in Manhattan, comprising the Upper West Side, Upper East Side, Midtown, Hell's Kitchen, Chelsea, Murray Hill, and Gramercy. The district was significantly altered by redistricting, losing all previous territory in Queens and now including both the west and east sides of Manhattan. The district was altered so significantly in redistricting as to be a new seat, combining the Manhattan parts of the old 10th and 12th districts. The district has a PVI of D+35 and voted for Joe Biden by 71 points in 2020. The incumbents are Democrats Carolyn Maloney and Jerry Nadler. Maloney was reelected with 82.1% of the vote in 2020 (in the old 12th district), and Nadler was reelected with 74.5% of the vote in 2020 (in the old 10th district).

Nadler and Maloney both chose to run in the new 12th, and Nadler defeated Maloney in the Democratic primary.

This seat has the highest percentage of Jewish voters of any congressional district in the country.

Democratic primary

Nominee

• Jerry Nadler, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 10th district (previously filed to run in the 10th district)

Eliminated in primary

• Carolyn Maloney, incumbent U.S. Representative
• Suraj Patel, attorney and candidate for the 12th district in 2018 and 2020
• Ashmi Sheth, former Federal Reserve regulator

Withdrawn

• Rana Abdelhamid, nonprofit founder and activist

Debate

2022 New York's 12th congressional district democratic primary debate

Шаблон:Abbr	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant  Шаблон:Colors Absent  Шаблон:Colors Not invited  Шаблон:Colors Invited Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn					scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
					Jerry Nadler	Carolyn Maloney	Suraj Patel	Ashmi Sheth
1	Jul. 29, 2022	Schneps Media	Jane Hanson Stephen Witt	YouTube	Шаблон:D-A	Шаблон:D-A	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:No

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:EfnШаблон:Efn-ua	Margin of error	Carolyn Maloney	Jerry Nadler	Suraj Patel	Other	Undecided
Emerson College	August 12–17, 2022	895 (LV)	± 3.2%	24%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43%	14%	1%Шаблон:Efn	19%
Slingshot Strategies (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	August 3–5, 2022	600 (LV)	± 3.9%	27%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|29%	20%	5%Шаблон:Efn	19%
Emerson College	August 1–2, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|40%	11%	0%Шаблон:Efn	17%
Whitman Insight Strategies (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	June 2–7, 2022	402 (LV)	± 4.9%	26%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|28%	11%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|35%
Emerson College	May 24–25, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|31%	21%	4%	9%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|36%

Republican/Conservative nominee

• Michael Zumbluskas, New York City Department of Transportation employee and perennial candidate.

Independent candidate

• Mikhail (Mike) Itkis, cyber operations officer

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 13

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 13th district is based in Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, including the neighborhoods of Harlem, Morningside Heights, Spanish Harlem, Hamilton Heights, Washington Heights, Inwood, Marble Hill, Fordham, Kingsbridge, and Bedford Park. The seat was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+40, making it the nation's most Democratic-leaning district, and voted for Joe Biden by 78 points in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Adriano Espaillat, who was reelected with 90.8% of the vote in 2020.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Adriano Espaillat, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Michael Hano, member of the Social Democrats of America
• Francisco Spies

Republican

Disqualified

• Gary Richards, business executive

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

Results

According to the Board of Elections, only Espaillat is on the ballot. Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 14

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 14th district is based in North Queens and the East Bronx, including the neighborhoods of Corona, East Elmhurst, Astoria, College Point, Hunts Point, Castle Hill, Throggs Neck, Parkchester, Middletown, Country Club, Co-Op City, and City Island. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+30 and voted for Joe Biden by 58 points in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who was reelected with 71.6% of the vote in 2020.

Democratic Nominee

• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Tina Forte, social media influencer

Eliminated in primary

• Desi Cuellar, former bartender

Conservative nominee

• Desi Cuellar, former bartender

Libertarian nominee

• Jonathan Howe, public defender

All Libertarians were disqualified for all races due to new ballot restrictions.

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 15

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 15th district is based in the West Bronx, including the neighborhoods of Mott Haven, Melrose, Morrisania, Highbridge, Tremont, West Farms, Belmont, Norwood, Woodlawn, Riverdale, and Spuyten Duyvil. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did add Riverdale and Spuyten Duyvil. The district has a PVI of D+37 and voted for Joe Biden by 70 points in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Ritchie Torres, who was elected with 88.7% of the vote in 2020.

Democratic nominee

• Ritchie Torres, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican nominee

• Stylo Sapaskis

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 16

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 16th district is based in southern Westchester County, including Yonkers, White Plains, New Rochelle, and Rye. It also includes Wakefield in the Bronx. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did lose Riverdale and Spuyten Devil to the 15th district. It has a PVI of D+21 and voted for Joe Biden by 44 points in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Jamaal Bowman, who was elected with 84% of the vote in 2020.

Democratic primary

Nominee

• Jamaal Bowman, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Vedat Gashi, Westchester County legislator
• Mark Jaffe, businessman
• Catherine Parker, Westchester County legislator

Withdrew

• Manuel Casanova, former political strategist (endorsed Gashi)
• Michael Gerald, pastor

Republican nominee

• Miriam Flisser, former mayor of Scarsdale (2011–2013)

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 17

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Prior to redistricting, the 17th district included all of Rockland County and portions of Westchester County. Following redistricting, the 17th district includes all of Putnam and Rockland Counties, northern Westchester County, and a small part of Dutchess County. The district voted for Joe Biden by 10 points in 2020.

The incumbent in the 17th district was Democrat Mondaire Jones. However, the redrawn 17th district included the residence of Sean Patrick Maloney, the Democratic incumbent in the neighboring 18th district and chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. According to The Guardian, "Maloney decided to run in New York’s 17th congressional district rather than his longtime, more urban, 18th district, even though that meant booting out the newer Mondaire Jones, his fellow Democrat and the incumbent congressman in the 17th district". When Maloney announced his intention to run in the redrawn 17th district, Jones opted not to challenge Maloney; instead, on May 20, 2022, Jones announced that he would seek election in the Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn-based 10th district.Шаблон:Cn Jones finished third in the Democratic primary in the 10th district. Jones had been elected to his 17th district seat with 59.3% of the vote in 2020, while Maloney had been reelected to the neighboring 18th district with 55.8% of the vote in 2020. Maloney's decision to seek election in the 17th district "angered many within his party" and "was considered controversial given Maloney’s role as the chair of the House Democrats’ campaign arm was to boost incumbents and protect the Democrats’ majority in the lower chamber". According to The Hill, Maloney's decision "infuriated Jones and his allies, particularly those in the Congressional Black Caucus, who accused Maloney of putting his own political survival over the interests of the party".

Displeased with Maloney's decision to seek election in the district represented by Jones, progressive state Sen. Alessandra Biaggi opted to challenge Maloney in a Democratic primary. Maloney defeated Biaggi by a wide margin. Republican Assemblymember Mike Lawler easily defeated four other candidates in a Republican primary.

Leading up to Election Day, Maloney "set off on a Europe trip, where he hung out on a balcony overlooking the Seine, and turned up in London, Paris, and Geneva, often alongside congressman Adam Schiff, for gatherings billed as DCCC fundraising events". Maloney also dismissed Republican campaign spending in the district as "'lighting [money] on fire'". Maloney "spent the election cycle using funds and Washington knowhow to shore up vulnerable Democrats across the country", but "had to rush back to his own district for frantic campaigning when it emerged that he, too, was suddenly vulnerable".

After running a campaign that focused on crime and inflation, Lawler narrowly defeated Maloney in the general election. Lawler’s victory marked "the first general election defeat for a campaign chair of either party since 1980". Maloney's defeat was "a major upset" and "a humiliating loss for Democrats". Maloney's loss, together with other Republican wins in New York districts, helped Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in 2022.

Democratic primary

Nominee

• Sean Patrick Maloney, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 18th district and Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee

Eliminated in primary

• Alessandra Biaggi, State Senator from the 34th district (2019–present) (previously filed to run in the 3rd district)

Withdrawn

• Mondaire Jones, incumbent U.S. Representative (running in the 10th district)

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Alessandra Biaggi	Sean Patrick Maloney	Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 11–14, 2022	233 (LV)	± 6.4%	18%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52%	30%
Justice Research Group (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 1–11, 2022	402 (LV)	± 4.9%	21%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|45%
Global Strategy Group (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	May 26 – June 1, 2022	385 (LV)	± 5.0%	15%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45%	39%

Primary results

Файл:2022 Democratic primary in New York's 17th congressional district by county.svg

Results by countyШаблон:Collapsible list

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mike Lawler, New York State Assemblymember from the 97th district (2021–present)

Eliminated in primary

• Shoshana M. David
• Charles J. Falciglia
• William G. Faulkner
• Jack W. Schrepel

Conservative primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mike Lawler, New York State Assemblymember from the 97th district (2021–2022) (Republican)

Eliminated in primary

• William G. Faulkner

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 24, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 25, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 16, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 26, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 16, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Sean Patrick Maloney (D)	Mike Lawler (R)	Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 12–14, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52%	2%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 6–8, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.5%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49%	6%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 19–21, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46%	10%

Alessandra Biaggi vs. Mike Lawler

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Alessandra Biaggi (D)	Mike Lawler (R)	Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 19–21, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47%	12%

District 18

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 18th district is based in the mid Hudson Valley, including all of Orange County and most of Dutchess and Ulster Counties. The seat was modestly altered due to redistricting, losing all of Putnam County and parts of Westchester County to the 17th district while picking up the portions of Dutchess and Ulster Counties formerly in the 19th district. The district has a PVI of D+1 and voted for Joe Biden by 8 points in 2020. The incumbents were Democrat Sean Patrick Maloney, who was reelected with 55.8% of the vote in 2020, and Democrat Pat Ryan, who was first elected in 2022 in a special election with 51.2% of the vote. Maloney ran for reelection in the neighboring 17th district instead, while Pat Ryan ran for reelection in this district. In the general election Pat Ryan narrowly beat Schmitt, with Schmitt conceding defeat. After the election, it became public that a Democrat-aligned group tried to request Schmitt's military records without authorization.

Democratic primary

Nominee

• Pat Ryan, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 19th district

Eliminated in primary

• Aisha Mills, political strategist
• Moses Mugulusi

Withdrawn

• Sean Patrick Maloney, incumbent U.S. Representative (running in the 17th district)

Declined

• James Skoufis, New York State Senator from the 39th district (2019–present), former New York State Assemblymember from the 99th district (2013–2018) (running for reelection)

Republican nominee

• Colin Schmitt, New York State Assembly member from the 99th district (2019–2022)

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 24, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 24, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 24, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 20, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 21, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 22, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

Polling

Sean Patrick Maloney vs. Colin Schmitt

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Sean Patrick Maloney (D)	Colin Schmitt (R)	Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	March 10–13, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49%	37%	14%
BK Strategies (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	February 5–7, 2022	300 (LV)	± 5.7%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|38%	25%

District 19

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 19th district stretches from the Upper Hudson Valley across the Catskill Mountains to parts of the Southern Tier and Finger Lakes, including Hudson, Woodstock, Monticello, Oneonta, Binghamton, and Ithaca. It includes all of Columbia, Greene, Sullivan, Delaware, Chenango, Cortland, Broome, Tioga, and Tompkins counties, and parts of Otsego and Ulster Counties. The district was modestly altered by redistricting, losing all of its territory in Dutchess County and most of its territory in Ulster County in exchange for Binghamton and Ithaca. The district has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 5 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Antonio Delgado, who was reelected with 54.8% of the vote in 2020. But on May 3, 2022, Governor Kathy Hochul announced her intention to appoint Delgado to the vacant lieutenant governor position, triggering a special election that Democrat Pat Ryan won with 51.2% of the vote. Ryan was then redistricted into the neighboring 18th district, leaving this seat open.

Democratic primary

Nominee

• Josh Riley, lawyer, aide to former U.S. Representative Maurice Hinchey, and general counsel to U.S. Senator Al Franken on the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee (previously filed to run in the 22nd district)

Eliminated in primary

• Jamie Cheney, businesswoman

Declined

• Zephyr Teachout, special advisor in the office of the attorney general of New York (2022–present), Fordham University law professor, candidate for governor in 2014, nominee for New York's 19th congressional district in 2016, candidate for attorney general in 2018, and candidate for attorney general in 2022
• Michelle Hinchey, member of the New York State Senate from the 46th district (2021–present) (running for reelection)

Withdrawn

• Antonio Delgado, resigned as U.S. Representative to become Lieutenant Governor

Republican nominee

• Marc Molinaro, Dutchess County executive and nominee for Governor of New York in 2018

Disqualified

• Brandon Buccola

Withdrew

• Kyle Van De Water, Republican nominee for this district in 2020

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 6, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 4, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 8, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 12, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Josh Riley (D)	Marc Molinaro (R)	Other	Undecided
Spectrum News/Siena	October 27 – November 1, 2022	455 (LV)	± 5.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48%	43%	3%Шаблон:Efn	6%
Spectrum News/Siena	September 25–28, 2022	470 (LV)	± 5.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46%	41%	3%Шаблон:Efn	11%
Triton Polling & Research (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 20–22, 2022	658 (LV)	± 3.8%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51%	–	7%
RMG Research	August 27 – September 2, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44%	41%	1%	13%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	August 29 – September 1, 2022	403 (LV)	± 5.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47%	44%	–	9%

District 20

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 20th district is based in the Capital Region, including Albany, Troy, Schenectady, and Saratoga Springs. It includes all of Albany, Schenectady, and Saratoga counties and parts of Rensselaer County. Due to redistricting, the district lost Amsterdam to the 21st district. It has a PVI of D+7 and voted for Joe Biden by 20 points in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Paul Tonko, who was reelected with 61.2% of the vote in 2020.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Paul Tonko, incumbent U.S. Representative

Elimated in primary

• Rostov Rar

Disqualified

• Justin Raphael Chaires
• Cole Francis Matthews
• Jack Fallon-Underwood, musician

Republican nominee

• Liz Joy, Republican nominee for this district in 2020

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 18, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 22, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 1, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 21

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 21st district is based in the North Country and Adirondack Mountains, including Glens Falls, Lake George, Plattsburgh, Potsdam, Amsterdam, and Cooperstown. Redistricting added parts of the Mohawk Valley to the district while removing Watertown. The district has a PVI of R+9 and voted for Donald Trump by 12 points in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Elise Stefanik, who was reelected with 58.8% of the vote in 2020.

Republican nominee

• Elise Stefanik, incumbent U.S. Representative and Chair of the House Republican Conference

Withdrew

• Lonny William Koons, former paratrooper and truck driver

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Matt Castelli, former CIA officer

Eliminated in primary

• Matt Putorti, attorney

Did not make the ballot

• Ezra Watson

Withdrew

• Brigid "Bridie" Farrell, child victims advocate and former speedskater

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 22

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 22nd district is based in Central New York and the Mohawk Valley, including Syracuse and Utica. It includes all of Onondaga, Oneida, and Madison Counties and a small sliver of Oswego County. The district was significantly altered by redistricting, losing all of its previous territory in the Southern Tier while keeping Syracuse and also adding Utica. The district has a PVI of D+1 and voted for Joe Biden by 8 points in 2020, similar to the partisanship of the old 24th district. The incumbent is Republican John Katko of the 24th district, who was elected with 53.1% of the vote in 2020. Katko decided to retire instead of running for re-election.

Republican primary

Nominee

• Brandon Williams, U.S. Navy veteran

Eliminated in primary

• Steve Wells, former prosecutor

Withdrawn

• Timothy Ko, physician assistant (endorsed Sigler)
• Mike Sigler, Tompkins County legislator (filed to run in the 23rd district, then withdrew) (endorsed Wells)

Declined

• Claudia Tenney, incumbent U.S. Representative (previously filed to run in the 23rd district, now running in the 24th district)
• John Katko, incumbent U.S. Representative
• J. Ryan McMahon II, Onondaga County Executive

Democratic primary

Nominee

• Francis Conole, commander in U.S. Navy Reserves and candidate for NY-24 in 2020

Eliminated in primary

• Sarah Hood, U.S. Air Force veteran and economic developer
• Chol Majok, Syracuse City Councilor
• Samuel D. Roberts, former New York State Assemblyman

Withdrawn

• Vanessa Fajans-Turner, climate change activist

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Francis Conole	Steven Holden	Sarah Klee Hood	Chol Majok	Josh Riley	Sam Roberts	Vanessa Fajans-Turner	Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	March 10–13, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|13%	3%	1%	3%	6%	7%	2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|65%

Primary results

Файл:2022 Democratic primary in New York's 22nd congressional district by county.svg

Results by countyШаблон:Collapsible listШаблон:Collapsible list

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 26, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 4, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 25, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 29, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 4, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Brandon Williams (R)	Francis Conole (D)	Other	Undecided
Spectrum News/Siena	October 27 – November 1, 2022	432 (LV)	± 5.0%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46%	2%Шаблон:Efn	9%
Global Strategy Group (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 24–27, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45%	-	13%
Spectrum News/Siena	September 22–28, 2022	453 (LV)	± 5.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45%	40%	2%Шаблон:Efn	13%
Global Strategy Group (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 15–19, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43%	–	15%
RMG Research	August 27 – September 2, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43%	40%	3%	14%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat	Undecided
GQR (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 18, 2022	–	–	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48%	6%
Global Strategy Group (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 15–19, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43%	41%	17%

District 23

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also District 23 is based in the Southern Tier and Western New York, including Elmira, Corning, Jamestown, and outer Erie County. Due to redistricting, the district lost parts of the Finger Lakes such as Ithaca while picking up parts of Erie County formerly in the 27th district. The district has a PVI of R+12 and voted for Donald Trump by 17 points in 2020. The district's two incumbents, both Republicans, both declined to run for reelection: Joe Sempolinski, who was elected in August 2022 to fulfill the remaining term caused by Tom Reed's resignation, specifically ran for the seat as a placeholder and not as a permanent representative; and Chris Jacobs, of the old 27th district, announced that he would no longer seek election to the seat after his comments in support of gun control in the wake of the Robb Elementary School shooting upset many other Republicans and drew threats of primary challengers.

Republican primary

Nominee

• Nick Langworthy, chair of the New York Republican Party (2019–2023)

Eliminated in primary

• Carl Paladino, businessman, former Buffalo school board member (2013–2017), and nominee for governor in 2010

Disqualified

• Rich Moon, pharmacist (Moon is continuing as a write-in candidate)

Withdrawn

• Marc Cenedella, CEO of Ladders, Inc.
• Chris Jacobs, incumbent representative of New York's 27th congressional district (the 27th district was eliminated following the 2020 census) (previously filed to run in the 24th district)
• Joe Sempolinski, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 23rd district
• Mike Sigler, Tompkins County Legislator (previously filed to run in the 22nd district)
• Claudia Tenney, incumbent U.S. Representative for New York's 22nd congressional district (running in the 24th district)

Declined

• Tom Reed, incumbent U.S. Representative (2010–2022)
• Catharine Young, former member of the New York State Senate for the 57th district
• Christopher Moss, Chemung County executive

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Nick Langworthy	Carl Paladino	Undecided
Barry Zeplowitz & Associates (R)	August 1–2, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|39%	37%	24%
WPA Intelligence (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 9–11, 2022	604 (LV)	± 4.0%	24%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|54%	22%

Primary results

Файл:2022 Republican primary in New York's 23rd congressional district by county.svg

Results by countyШаблон:Collapsible listШаблон:Collapsible list

Democratic nominee

• Max Della Pia, U.S. Air Force veteran, candidate in 2018, and nominee for this seat in the special election

Declined

• Anthony Brindisi, former U.S. Representative for New York's 22nd congressional district (2019–2021)
• Tracy Mitrano, Democratic nominee for this district in 2018 and 2020

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 24

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 24th district is based along the Lake Ontario coast (minus Rochester) and the upper Finger Lakes, including Watertown, Oswego, Auburn, Seneca Falls, and Batavia. It was significantly altered by redistricting, taking in all of the old 27th district outside of Erie County while only retaining the rural parts of the old 24th district. The district has a PVI of R+12 and voted for Donald Trump by 17 points in 2020. Republican Claudia Tenney, the incumbent of the old 22nd district, ran in this district and won. In 2020 she was narrowly elected in the old 22nd with 47.8% of the vote.

Republican primary

Nominee

• Claudia Tenney, incumbent U.S. Representative for New York's 22nd congressional district (previously filed to run in the 23rd district)

Eliminated in primary

• Mario Fratto, attorney and businessman
• George K. Phillips

Withdrawn

• Todd Aldinger, attorney (endorsed McCarthy)
• Chris Jacobs, incumbent representative of New York's 27th congressional district (the 27th district was eliminated following the 2020 census) (announced run in the 23rd district, then withdrew)
• Andrew McCarthy, intelligence analyst
• John Murtari, software engineer and former U.S. Air Force pilot

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Mario Fratto	George Phillips	Claudia Tenney	Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 24–26, 2022	300 (LV)	± 5.7%	6%	6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52%	36%

Primary results

Файл:2022 Republican primary in New York's 24th congressional district by county.svg

Results by countyШаблон:Collapsible listШаблон:Collapsible list

Democratic nominee

• Steven Holden, veteran and businessman

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 25

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 25th district is based in the Rochester area, including all of Monroe County and most of Orleans County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+7 and voted for Joe Biden by 21 points in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Joseph Morelle, who was reelected with 59.3% of the vote in 2020.

Democratic nominee

• Joseph Morelle, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican nominee

• La'Ron Singletary, former Rochester police chief

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 26, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Joseph Morelle (D)	La'Ron Singletary (R)	Undecided
Tarrance Group (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 11–13, 2022	465 (RV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |43%	39%	18%

District 26

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 26th district is based in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area, including the more urban parts of Erie County and western Niagara County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+8 and voted for Joe Biden by 26 points in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Brian Higgins, who was reelected with 69.8% of the vote in 2020.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Brian Higgins, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Emin "Eddie" Egriu, contractor

Republican nominee

• Steven L. Sams II, Afghanistan and Iraq veteran

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 23, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 27, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

• New York State Board of Elections