Английская Википедия:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon

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Файл:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon.svg

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon calculated by county

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Oregon, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. Primaries for these seats were held on May 17, 2022. The elections coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.

District boundaries were redrawn to ensure that the districts are apportioned based on data from the 2020 United States census, which added a sixth seat to Oregon's delegation. Democrats won the new sixth district, but Republicans gained Oregon's fifth district, leaving the Congressional delegation with a 4 to 2 party split in favor of the Democrats. This was the first time since 1994 that Republicans won more than one House seat in Oregon.

District 1

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also From 2012 to 2020, the 1st district was located in northwestern Oregon and included the western Portland metro area, including the Portland suburbs of Beaverton and Hillsboro, and parts of Portland west of the Willamette River. The district was kept largely the same despite redistricting, exchanging Yamhill County for Tillamook County and taking in more of Portland. The incumbent was Democrat Suzanne Bonamici, who was re-elected with 64.6% of the vote in 2020.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Suzanne Bonamici, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Scott Phillips
• Christian Robertson

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Christopher Mann

Eliminated in primary

• Armidia "Army" Murray, former UPS worker and candidate for this seat in 2020

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 5, 2021
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 14, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 5, 2021
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 5, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
538	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 2

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also From 2012 to 2020, the 2nd district was the largest of Oregon's districts and covered roughly two-thirds of the state east of the Cascades, encompassing the central, eastern, and southern regions of the state, including Bend and Medford. The district was kept mostly the same during redistricting, but it did lose Bend to the 5th district and Hood River County to the 3rd, while taking in all of Josephine County and about half of Douglas County. The incumbent was Republican Cliff Bentz, who was elected with 59.9% of the vote in 2020.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Cliff Bentz, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Mark Cavener, producer and nonprofit executive
• Katherine Gallant, political commentator

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Joseph Yetter III, retired U.S. Army colonel, physician and farmer

Eliminated in primary

• Adam Prine, farmhand

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 5, 2021
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 14, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 5, 2021
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 5, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
538	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 3

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also From 2012 to 2020, the 3rd district encompassed the eastern Portland metro area, covering Portland and Gresham. The district was kept largely the same despite redistricting, though it did take in Hood River County, and lost some of Portland to the 1st district. The incumbent was Democrat Earl Blumenauer, who was re-elected with 73.0% of the vote in 2020.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Earl Blumenauer, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Jonathan E. Polhemus

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Joanna Harbour, attorney and nominee for this district in 2020

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 5, 2021
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 14, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 5, 2021
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 5, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
538	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

District 4

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also From 2012 to 2020, the 4th district included the southern Willamette Valley and the South Coast, including Eugene, Corvallis, and Roseburg. The district was kept largely the same despite redistricting, though it did gain parts of the central coast previously in the 5th district, making the district more Democratic leaning. The incumbent, Democrat Peter DeFazio, who was re-elected with 51.5% of the vote in 2020, decided to retire, rather than seek a 19th consecutive term in Congress.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Val Hoyle, Oregon Commissioner of Labor

Eliminated in primary

• Sami Al-Abdrabbuh, chair of the Corvallis School District Board
• Doyle Canning, environmental activist and candidate for this district in 2020
• Andrew Kalloch, Airbnb senior global policy advisor
• Steve Laible, author and publisher
• Jake Matthews, community organizer and author
• John Selker, professor and scientist
• G. Tommy Smith, personal banker

Withdrew

• Kevin Easton, political consultant and former executive director of Equity Foundation
• Joshua Welch, teacher

Declined

• Melissa Cribbins, Coos County commissioner
• Peter DeFazio, incumbent U.S. Representative
• Julie Fahey, state representative from the 14th district (running for re-election)
• Sara Gelser Blouin, state senator from the 8th district (running for re-election)
• James Manning Jr., state senator from the 7th district (running for re-election)
• Dan Rayfield, Speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives from the 16th district (running for re-election)
• Marty Wilde, state representative from the 11th district

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Doyle Canning	Val Hoyle	Andrew Kalloch	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	March 17–18, 2022	634 (LV)	± 3.9%	8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|24%	4%	10%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|54%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Alek Skarlatos, former Oregon National Guard soldier and nominee for this district in 2020

Withdrew

• Jeremy Van Tress

General election

Debate

2022 Oregon's 4th congressional district debate

Шаблон:Abbr	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Pacific Green	Constitution	Democratic	Independent	Republican
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant  Шаблон:Colors Absent  Шаблон:Colors Not invited  Шаблон:Colors Invited Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn					scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
					Michael Beilstein	Jim Howard	Val Hoyle	Levi Leatherberry	Alek Skarlatos
1	Oct. 6, 2022	City Club of Springfield City Club of Eugene		YouTube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:No	Шаблон:Yes

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 5, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 29, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 3, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 7, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 16, 2022
538	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Val Hoyle (D)	Alex Skarlatos (R)	Undecided
Wick/RRH Elections (R)	October 23–26, 2022	529 (LV)	± 4%	45%	45%	10%
Moore Information Group (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 25–28, 2022	400 (LV)	± 5.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46%	41%	13%
RMG Research	June 4–6, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46%	45%	9%

District 5

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also From 2012 to 2020, the 5th district straddled the central coast, and included Salem and the southern Portland suburbs. The new 5th district keeps the southern suburbs of Portland and reaches further into the city, but does not include any coastline, instead stretching southwards through the eastern parts of Marion and Linn counties to Bend.

The incumbent, Democrat Kurt Schrader, was re-elected with 51.9% of the vote in 2020. He lost renomination to Jamie McLeod-Skinner.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jamie McLeod-Skinner, attorney, former Santa Clara, California city councillor, nominee for the 2nd district in 2018, and candidate for Oregon Secretary of State in 2020

Файл:Kurt Schrader official photo (cropped).jpg

Incumbent Kurt Schrader from Canby

Eliminated in primary

• Kurt Schrader, incumbent U.S. Representative

Withdrew

• Mark Gamba, Mayor of Milwaukie (endorsed McLeod-Skinner)

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Jamie McLeod-Skinner	Kurt Schrader	Undecided
Patinkin Research Strategies (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	January 31 – February 4, 2022	406 (LV)	± 4.9%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|37%	30%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Lori Chavez-DeRemer, former mayor of Happy Valley

Eliminated in primary

• Jimmy Crumpacker, investor and candidate for Шаблон:Ushr in 2020
• John Di Paola, orthopedic surgeon
• Madison Oatman, building restoration technician
• Laurel L. Roses, co-owner of a trucking company

Declined

• Knute Buehler, nominee for Governor of Oregon in 2018
• Shelly Boshart Davis, state representative from the 15th district (running for re-election)
• Christine Drazan, former Minority Leader of the Oregon House of Representatives from the 39th district (running for governor)
• Cheri Helt, former state representative from the 54th district (running for labor commissioner)Шаблон:Efn
• Tim Knopp, Minority Leader of the Oregon State Senate from the 27th district
• Tootie Smith, Clackamas County commissioner

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 26, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 26, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 30, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
538	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 8, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Jamie Шаблон:Nowrap	Lori Шаблон:Nowrap	Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 1–8, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|41%	38%	21%
Clout Research (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	August 15–18, 2022	410 (V)	± 4.8%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44%	22%
Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	June 1–2, 2022	572 (V)	± 4.1%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|42%	17%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 1–8, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|42%	17%
Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	June 1–2, 2022	572 (V)	± 4.1%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45%	13%

District 6

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 6th district was created following the 2020 census. It consists of Polk County and Yamhill County, in addition to portions of Marion County (including the state capital, Salem), Clackamas County, and Washington County.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Andrea Salinas, state representative from the 38th district

Eliminated in primary

• Teresa Alonso Leon, state representative from the 22nd district
• Ricky Barajas, perennial candidate
• Carrick Flynn, former Oxford researcher on pandemic preparedness
• Greg Goodwin
• Kathleen Harder, chair of the Oregon Medical Board
• Cody Reynolds, businessman and veteran
• Loretta Smith, former Multnomah County commissioner
• Matt West, engineer at Intel

Withdrew

• Brian Hylland Jr.
• Derry Jackson, former Portland Public Schools board member

Declined

• Brian Clem, former state representative from the 21st district
• Paul Evans, state representative from the 20th district and former mayor of Monmouth (running for re-election)

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Teresa Шаблон:Nowrap	Carrick Flynn	Kathleen Harder	Cody Reynolds	Andrea Salinas	Loretta Smith	Matt West	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	May 2–3, 2022	591 (LV)	± 4.0%	≤9%	14%	≤9%	≤9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|18%	≤9%	≤9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|≥23%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mike Erickson, consultant and nominee for Шаблон:Ushr in 2006 and 2008

Eliminated in primary

• Jim Bunn, former U.S. Representative for Шаблон:Ushr
• Amy Ryan Courser, former Keizer city councilor and nominee for Шаблон:Ushr in 2020
• Ron Noble, state representative from the 24th district
• Angela Plowhead, clinical psychologist
• David Russ, Mayor of Dundee
• Nate Sandvig, U.S. Military Academy graduate

Declined

• Tootie Smith, Clackamas County commissioner

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 11, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 29, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 18, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 16, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 18, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 8, 2022
538	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 4, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 4, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Andrea Salinas (D)	Mike Erickson (R)	Undecided Шаблон:Efn	Margin
FiveThirtyEight	July 28 – October 5, 2022	October 10, 2022	40.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44.3%	15.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Erickson +3.7

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Andrea Salinas (D)	Mike Erickson (R)	Other	Undecided
GBAO (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 3–5, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45%	44%	2%Шаблон:Efn	9%
Cygnal (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 29–30, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.8%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44%	–	17%
Clout Research (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	August 14–19, 2022	409 (V)	± 4.4%	34%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43%	–	23%
GBAO (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	August 10–14, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48%	45%	–	7%
Cygnal (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 26–28, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47%	–	13%
RMG Research	June 4–9, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46%	43%	–	11%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Undecided
Change Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 19, 2022	–	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|42%	41%	17%
GBAO (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 3–5, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48%	8%

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

• Suzanne Bonamici (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• Cliff Bentz (R) for Congress
• Joseph Yetter III (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

• Earl Blumenauer (D) for Congress
• Joanna Harbour (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

• Val Hoyle (D) for Congress
• Alek Skarlatos (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates

• Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R) for Congress
• Jamie McLeod-Skinner (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates

• Mike Erickson (R) for Congress
• Andrea Salinas (D) for Congress