Английская Википедия:2022 United States Senate election in Illinois
Шаблон:See alsoШаблон:Short description Шаблон:About Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Illinois
The 2022 United States Senate election in Illinois was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Illinois.
Incumbent Democratic senator Tammy Duckworth was re-elected for a second term against former U.S. House of Representatives candidate Kathy Salvi, the Republican nominee, winning by a margin of 15.3%, 0.2% more than her 2016 margin. Duckworth became the first woman ever to be re-elected for a second term in the state's history. This was the first Illinois U.S. Senate election where both major party candidates were female.
Salvi flipped seven counties—Calhoun, McDonough, Knox, Gallatin, Pulaski, Alexander, and Madison—that had voted for Duckworth in 2016. On the other hand, Duckworth won Kendall, McLean, Peoria, and Winnebago, which had all supported Kirk in 2016.
This Senate seat had a history of being unfavorable to incumbents and parties in power over the past several decades. No person elected to this seat was re-elected since Alan J. Dixon in 1986. With Duckworth's victory, this was the first time since 1986 that a Class 3 Illinois senator was re-elected to a successive six-year term, and the first time since 1992 that any party won the seat consecutively.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tammy Duckworth, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no changeШаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kathy Salvi, attorney and candidate for Шаблон:Ushr in 2006[2]
Eliminated in primary
- Casey Chlebek, real estate agent[3]
- Matthew Dubiel, owner of WCKG[4][5]
- Peggy Hubbard, former police officer, U.S. Navy veteran, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[6]
- Bobby Piton, investor and activist[7]
- Jimmy Lee Tillman, founder of New Martin Luther King Republicans, son of former Chicago alderman Dorothy Tillman, and nominee for Шаблон:Ushr in 2014 and 2018[8][9]
- Anthony Williams[8]
Disqualified
Declined
- Tom Demmer, state representative (ran for Illinois Treasurer)[12][13]
- Adam Kinzinger, U.S. Representative for Шаблон:Ushr[14][15]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
- Graphical summary
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Casey Chlebek |
Matthew Dubiel |
Peggy Hubbard |
Bobby Piton |
Kathy Salvi |
Шаблон:Nowrap Tillman |
Anthony Williams |
Other Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | June 6–13, 2022 | June 15, 2022 | 3.5% | 5.5% | 14.0% | 4.0% | 12.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|57.0% | Hubbard +1.5 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Casey Chlebek |
Matthew Dubiel |
Peggy Hubbard |
Maryann Mahlen |
Bobby Piton |
Kathy Salvi |
Шаблон:Nowrap Tillman |
Anthony Williams |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogden & Fry (R) | June 24, 2022 | 518 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 2% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|20% | 2% | 0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|53% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | June 10–13, 2022 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 6% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|18% | – | 6% | 15% | 2% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|49% |
| Ogden & Fry (R) | June 11–12, 2022 | 662 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|17% | 1% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|62% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | June 6–7, 2022 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 1% | 7% | 10% | – | 2% | 10% | 1% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|66% |
| Emerson College | May 6–8, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 4% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|7% | – | 6% | 5% | 1% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|72% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no changeШаблон:Election box end
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | April 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | March 1, 2022 |
| Politico[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2022 |
| Fox News[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Tammy Duckworth (D) |
Kathy Salvi (R) |
Undecided Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight | August 25 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55.5% | 40.2% | 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Duckworth +15.3 |
| 270towin | October 14 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51.6% | 36.4% | 12.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Duckworth +15.2 |
| Average | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53.6% | 38.3% | 8.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Duckworth +15.3 | ||
- Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Tammy Duckworth (D) |
Kathy Salvi (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% | 38% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 5% |
| Civiqs | October 22–25, 2022 | 659 (LV) | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% | 40% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 39% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | October 10–11, 2022 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 36% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 9% |
| Research America | October 5–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 29% | 10%Шаблон:Efn | 14% |
| Emerson College | September 21–23, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 31% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 16% |
| Victory Geek (D) | August 25–28, 2022 | 512 (LV) | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|58% | 35% | – | 7% |
| Victory Research (R) | July 17–19, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43% | 34% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 20% |
- Tammy Duckworth vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Tammy Duckworth (D) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory Research (R) | July 17–19, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% | 36% | 20% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Alexander (Largest city: Cairo)
- Calhoun (Largest city: Hardin)
- Gallatin (Largest city: Shawneetown)
- Knox (Largest city: Galesburg)
- Madison (Largest city: Granite City)
- McDonough (Largest city: Macomb)
- Pulaski (Largest city: Mounds)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Kendall (Largest city: Oswego)
- McLean (Largest city: Bloomington)
- Peoria (Largest city: Peoria)
- Winnebago (Largest city: Rockford)
By congressional district
Duckworth won 14 of 17 congressional districts.[25]
See also
Notes
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Tammy Duckworth (D) for Senate
- Kathy Salvi (R) for Senate
- Bill Redpath (L) for Senate Шаблон:Webarchive
Шаблон:Illinois elections Шаблон:2022 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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