Английская Википедия:2022 United States Senate election in Missouri

Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Missouri sidebar The 2022 United States Senate election in Missouri was held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. senators and elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Missouri. Incumbent senator Roy Blunt did not seek a third term in office; fellow Republican Eric Schmitt won the open seat.

Republican primary

In March 2021, incumbent Republican Senator Roy Blunt announced that he would not seek reelection in 2022.^[1]

Republican candidates for Blunt's Senate seat included former Gov. Eric Greitens,^[2] U.S. Rep. Vicky Hartzler,^[3] U.S. Rep. Billy Long,^[4] and Missouri Attorney General Eric Schmitt.^[5]

Schmitt's candidacy was backed by Missouri mega-donor Rex Sinquefield.^[6] In the speech announcing his candidacy, Schmitt tied himself to Donald Trump and spoke against "the radical left".^[6] He pledged to vote against Mitch McConnell for the Senate Republican party leadership position.^[7]

In February 2022, Hartzler's campaign released a 30-second ad criticizing Lia Thomas, a transgender swimmer on the University of Pennsylvania women's team. In the ad, Hartzler said, "Women's sports are for women, not men pretending to be women", adding that, as Missouri's senator, she would not "look away while woke liberals destroy women's sports."^[8]

U.S. Sen. Josh Hawley endorsed Hartzler in February 2022.^[9] On July 8, 2022, Donald Trump refused to endorse Hartzler, saying, "I don't think she has what it takes to take on the Radical Left Democrats."^[10]^[9]

Greitens was endorsed by former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, former U.S. Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke, and Fox News personality Kimberly Guilfoyle, the latter joining his campaign as a national chair.^[11]

Many Republican officials, strategists, and donors maneuvered to stymie Greitens's attempted comeback, believing that the scandal surrounding his resignation as governor, his extramarital affair, and the sexual assault accusation against him would make him a weak general election candidate and lead to the loss of the Senate seat to a Democrat.^[12]^[13] Notable Republican opponents of Greitens's candidacy included Karl Rove,^[12] Johnny DeStefano,^[13] and Senator Rick Scott, the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee.^[14] After Greitens's ex-wife filed an affidavit against him in March 2022 accusing him of physical abuse, Senator Josh Hawley (who had endorsed Vicky Hartzler the previous month^[15]) called upon Greitens to drop out.^[16]

Republican megadonor Richard Uihlein funded a pro-Greitens super PAC ("Team PAC"), contributing $2.5 million to it.^[12] Other Republican megadonors, including Rex Sinquefield and August Busch, aligned against Greitens.^[13] A Republican-funded anti-Greitens super PAC ("Show Me Values PAC") was created in June 2022^[17] and ran $6.2 million in ads through late July 2022.^[18]

Republican officials, including Rick Scott, waged a campaign to persuade Donald Trump not to endorse Greitens.^[14] On the eve of the primary election, Trump issued a statement endorsing "ERIC" in the primary, leaving it unclear which "Eric" he was endorsing.^[14]^[19]

In the primary election, Schmitt prevailed with 45.7% of the vote; Hartzler received 22.1%, Greitens 18.9%, and Long 5%.^[20]

Файл:Vicky Hartzler official portrait 117th Congress (alt crop).jpg

U.S. Representative Vicky Hartzler was endorsed by Missouri Senator Josh Hawley and finished second.

Файл:Eric Greitens 2018 (cropped).jpg

Former governor Eric Greitens attempted to restart his political career, but finished third.

Файл:Billy Long 115th official photo (cropped).jpg

U.S. Representative Billy Long failed to gain traction and finished a distant fourth.

Candidates

Nominee

Eric Schmitt, Missouri Attorney General (2019–2023) and former Missouri State Treasurer (2017–2019)^[21]^[22]

Eliminated in primary

Robert Allen^[23]
Russel Pealer Breyfogle Jr., retired social worker^[24]^[25]
Dennis Lee Chilton, 2018 Missouri House of Representatives candidate^[23]
Eric Greitens, former governor of Missouri (2017–2018)^[26]
C. W. Gardner, doorman and former broadcaster^[23]^[25]
Vicky Hartzler, U.S. Representative from Шаблон:Ushr (2011–2023)^[3]
Rickey Joiner, barber and business owner^[24]
Patrick A. Lewis, union construction laborer^[27]
Billy Long, U.S. Representative from Шаблон:Ushr (2011–2023)^[4]
Darrell Leon McClanahan III, political activist^[24]
Mark McCloskey, attorney and 2020 Republican National Convention speaker known for his involvement in the St. Louis gun-toting controversy^[28]
Eric McElroy, comedian and U.S. Navy veteran^[23]^[25]
Bernie Mowinsk, retired U.S. Air Force sergeant and perennial candidate^[23]^[25]
Robert Olson^[24]
Deshon Porter, host of The Big D Zone^[29]
Dave Schatz, president pro tempore of the Missouri Senate (2019–2023), state senator (2015–2023)^[30]
Kevin C. Schepers^[24]
Dave Sims, Monett public works employee and former radio host^[31]^[23]
Hartford Tunnell, college professor^[23]^[25]
Curtis D. Vaughn, valet parking attendant and liquor salesman^[24]

Missed filing deadline

John Brinkmann, insurance agency owner and financial consultant^[29]^[24]
Rik Combs, Retired U.S. Air Force Officer and Libertarian nominee for Governor of Missouri in 2020^[32]^[24]
Jeremy Gundel, farmer and write-in candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Missouri in 2020^[33]Шаблон:Better source needed^[24]

Withdrew

Roy Blunt, incumbent U.S. Senator (2011–2023) and Chair of the Senate Republican Policy Committee (2019–2023)^[34]^[35]
Dan McQueen, former mayor of Corpus Christi, Texas (2016–2017)^[36]^[29] (ran for the U.S. House)^[37]

Declined

Jay Ashcroft, Missouri Secretary of State (2017–present)^[38]
Scott Fitzpatrick, Missouri State Treasurer (2019–2023) (ran for state auditor)^[39]^[40]
Timothy A. Garrison, former U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Missouri (2018–2021)^[41]
Blaine Luetkemeyer, U.S. Representative from Шаблон:Ushr (2013–present) and Шаблон:Ushr (2009–2013) (ran for re-election)^[42]
Mike Kehoe, Lieutenant Governor of Missouri (2018–present)^[43] (ran for governor)^[44]
Peter Kinder, former lieutenant governor of Missouri (2005–2017)^[45]
Mike Parson, Governor of Missouri (2018–present)^[46]
Jason Smith, U.S. Representative from Шаблон:Ushr (2013–present) (ran for re-election)^[47]^[48]
Kathy Swan, former state representative (2012–2021)^[45]
Ann Wagner, U.S. Representative from Шаблон:Ushr (2013–present) (ran for re-election)^[49]^[50]

Endorsements

The day before the primary, former president Donald Trump released a statement endorsing "ERIC". There were three candidates with the first name Eric running in the Republican primary: Eric Greitens, Eric McElroy, and Eric Schmitt. Trump's statement did not offer any clarification on whether this was an endorsement for one or multiple candidates, and when reached for comment by NBC News, Trump's office declined to clarify the endorsement.^[51]^[52] Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

Date	Host	Moderator	Participants
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn			scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"\|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"\|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"\|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"\|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"\|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"\|
			Eric Greitens	Vicky Hartzler	Billy Long	Mark McCloskey	Dave Schatz	Eric Schmitt
May 31, 2022	Greene County Republicans^[53]	Ginger Gooch Darrell Moore	Шаблон:D-A	Шаблон:D-A	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:D-A

Polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Eric Greitens	Vicky Hartzler	Billy Long	Mark McCloskey	Dave Schatz	Eric Schmitt	Other Шаблон:Efn	Margin
Real Clear Politics	July 21 – 24, 2022	July 26, 2022	19.0%	24.5%	7.0%	5.0%	2.5%	33.0%	9.0%	Schmitt +8.5

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Eric Greitens	Vicky Hartzler	Billy Long	Mark McCloskey	Dave Schatz	Eric Schmitt	Other	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)	July 31 – August 1, 2022	1,078 (LV)	± 2.9%	21%	18%	5%	5%	3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|34%	–	15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 27–28, 2022	818 (LV)	± 3.4%	18%	22%	6%	5%	5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|34%	2%	8%
co/efficient (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 27, 2022	891 (LV)	± 3.3%	17%	16%	–	–	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|28%	–	–
SurveyUSA	July 24–27, 2022	787 (LV)	± 4.2%	20%	13%	8%	4%	3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|28%	4%	21%
Emerson College	July 21–23, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	16%	21%	5%	4%	2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|33%	1%Шаблон:Efn	17%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 23–24, 2022	802 (LV)	± 3.4%	18%	25%	8%	4%	3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|32%	–	10%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	July 22–24, 2022	1,059 (LV)	± 2.9%	20%	24%	7%	5%	2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|27%	–	16%
The Tarrance Group (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 5–7, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	16%	24%	6%	4%	4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|28%	–	18%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	June 28–30, 2022	1,072 (LV)	± 2.9%	24%	24%	6%	3%	4%	23%	–	17%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	June 22–23, 2022	911 (LV)	± 3.1%	20%	19%	8%	5%	2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|25%	–	21%
Emerson College	June 2–5, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|26%	16%	8%	4%	0%	20%	1%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|27%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	May 16–18, 2022	1,065 (LV)	± 2.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|26%	23%	9%	3%	3%	19%	–	17%
SurveyUSA	May 11–15, 2022	642 (LV)	± 5.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|26%	11%	7%	2%	2%	17%	7%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|28%
Remington Research (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	May 11–12, 2022	945 (LV)	± 3.0%	21%	23%	–	–	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|29%	10%	17%
co/efficient (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	May 2–4, 2022	806 (LV)	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|26%	19%	7%	5%	2%	14%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|27%
NMB Research (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	April 6–7, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	23%	20%	7%	3%	2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|25%	20%	–
OnMessage Inc. (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	April 4–6, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	22%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|23%	11%	5%	2%	16%	–	21%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	March 24–29, 2022	1,079 (LV)	± 3.0%	24%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|25%	8%	2%	3%	22%	–	16%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	March 22–23, 2022	941 (LV)	± 3.1%	21%	19%	9%	5%	3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|24%	–	19%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	February 22–24, 2022	1,026 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|31%	17%	6%	5%	2%	23%	3%	15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	February 16–17, 2022	917 (LV)	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|25%	18%	8%	5%	2%	22%	–	20%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	January 26–27, 2022	902 (LV)	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|28%	19%	7%	5%	1%	23%	–	17%
OnMessage Inc. (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	January 2022	– (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|30%	16%	9%	6%	1%	16%	–	23%
CMA Strategies (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	January 2022	400 (LV)	± 5.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|27%	12%	6%	4%	1%	15%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|36%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	December 1–2, 2021	744 (LV)	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|27%	16%	7%	4%	3%	24%	–	19%
NMB Research (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	December 2021	– (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|34%	–	–	–	–	17%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|49%	–
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 20–21, 2021	806 (LV)	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|27%	19%	8%	4%	–	25%	–	17%
Fabrizio Lee (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 3–5, 2021	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|36%	10%	6%	4%	–	17%	1%Шаблон:Efn	25%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 8–9, 2021	847 (LV)	± 3.2%	27%	17%	8%	5%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|28%	–	15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	August 4–5, 2021	911 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|27%	13%	12%	9%	–	24%	–	15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	June 9–10, 2021	1,011 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|34%	14%	–	7%	–	25%	–	20%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	March 24–25, 2021	1,041 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|36%	–	14%	–	–	30%	–	20%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	March 24–25, 2021	1,041 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|40%	–	–	–	–	39%	–	21%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Roy Blunt	John Brunner	Eric Greitens	Vicky Hartzler	Billy Long	Eric Schmitt	Jason Smith	Ann Wagner	Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	March 24–25, 2021	1,041 (LV)	± 3.0%	–	2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|31%	8%	6%	18%	9%	12%	14%
				–	10%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|38%	–	–	30%	–	–	22%
				–	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|36%	–	–	29%	16%	–	19%
				–	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|38%	–	–	26%	–	18%	18%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	March 23–25, 2021	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	–	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|48%	–	–	11%	7%	9%	26%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	December 2–3, 2020	840 (LV)	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|43%	–	32%	–	–	–	–	–	25%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Missouri results map by county.svg

Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Democratic primary

Файл:Lucas Kunce for MO.jpg

AELP national security director Lucas Kunce led in fundraising, but finished second.

Файл:Gena Ross Instagram Video (cropped).jpg

College professor Gena Ross, a previous nominee for U.S. House, finished fifth.

As the Democratic primary progressed, three main contenders emerged; Lucas Kunce, director of national security at the American Economic Liberties Project, Spencer Toder, a businessman, and Trudy Busch Valentine, heiress of the Anheuser-Busch brewing company.^[54] Kunce and Toder both campaigned as anti-establishment populists, whereas Valentine campaigned in a staid manner with few public appearances.^[54]

Candidates

Nominee

Trudy Busch Valentine, retired nurse, businesswoman, activist, and daughter of beer magnate August Busch Jr.^[55]

Eliminated in primary

Ron Harris, truck driver, U.S. Air Force veteran, and perennial candidate^[24]^[25]
Jewel Kelly, real estate agent and U.S. Air Force veteran^[56]
Pat Kelly, environmental engineer and patent attorney^[24]
Lucas Kunce, national security director of the American Economic Liberties Project and retired U.S. Marine Corps officer^[57]
Lewis Rolen, medical operational assistant^[23]^[25]
Gena Ross, college professor and nominee for Шаблон:Ushr in 2020^[58]^[59]
Josh Shipp, physical therapy technician and candidate for Missouri's 1st congressional district in 2018^[23]^[25]
Clay Taylor^[24]
Spencer Toder, entrepreneur^[56]
Carla Coffee Wright, businesswoman, actress, and perennial candidate^[60]

Withdrew

Tim Shepard, tech entrepreneur (endorsed Valentine)^[61]^[62]
Scott Sifton, former state senator (2013–2021) (endorsed Valentine)^[63]^[55]

Declined

Nicole Galloway, incumbent State Auditor of Missouri and nominee for Governor of Missouri in 2020^[64]
Jason Kander, former Secretary of State of Missouri (2013-17) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016^[65]
Quinton Lucas, mayor of Kansas City (2019–present) (ran for re-election in 2023)^[66]^[67]^[68]
Claire McCaskill, former U.S. Senator^[65]
Jay Nixon, former governor of Missouri (2009–2017) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1988 and 1998^[69]
Brian Williams, state senator (2019–present) (ran for re-election)^[65]
Clint Zweifel, former Missouri State Treasurer (2009–2017)^[65]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Lucas Kunce	Spencer Toder	Шаблон:Nowrap Valentine	Шаблон:Nowrap Wright	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA	July 24–27, 2022	547 (LV)	± 5.6%	14%	3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|40%	6%	9%Шаблон:Efn	28%
Emerson College	July 21–23, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	35%	3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|39%	1%	1%Шаблон:Efn	22%
Triton Polling & Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	May 2022	~544 (LV)	± 4.2%	19%	24%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|26%	–	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|31%
SurveyUSA	May 11–15, 2022	500 (LV)	± 5.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|10%	3%	8%	3%	12%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|63%
Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	April 13–14, 2022	546 (LV)	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|25%	–	18%	–	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|56%

Results

Файл:2022 United States Senate Democratic primary election in Missouri results map by county.svg

Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Jonathan Dine, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012 and 2016^[24]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee

Paul Venable, information technology consultant and nominee for Secretary of State in 2020^[24]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Independents

Candidates

John Wood, a former Bush administration official and a January 6 Committee investigator, announced that he would run for the seat as an independent on June 29, but he withdrew from the race after former Missouri Governor Eric Greitens lost the Republican primary to Schmitt.^[70]^[71]

Withdrew

Thomas Schneider, former mayor of Florissant (2011–2019) (endorsed Schatz and Valentine)^[72]^[73]
John Wood, former senior counsel for the United States House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack and former U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Missouri (2007–2009) and former General Counsel for the US Chamber of Commerce^[70]^[71]

Missed ballot deadline

Rick Seabaugh, sales manager^[74]
Nicholas Strauss, network engineer^[29]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
538^[75]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2022
The Cook Political Report^[76]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2022
DDHQ^[77]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2022
The Economist^[78]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2022
Fox News^[79]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2022
Inside Elections^[80]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 3, 2022
Politico^[81]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 12, 2022
RCP^[82]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[83]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2022

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in Missouri debates
Шаблон:Abbr	Date	Host	Moderator	Republican	Democratic	Libertarian	Constitution
Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn					scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"\|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"\|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"\|
				Eric Schmitt	Trudy Busch Valentine	Jonathan Dine	Paul Venable
1	September 16, 2022	Missouri Press Association^[84]	David Lieb	Шаблон:No Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Eric Schmitt (R)	Trudy Busch Valentine (D)	Undecided Шаблон:Efn	Margin
RealClearPolitics	October 24 – November 1, 2022	November 1, 2022	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|52.0%	41.3%	6.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Schmitt +10.7
FiveThirtyEight	May 15 – November 4, 2022	November 4, 2022	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|53.1%	41.9%	5.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Schmitt +11.2
270towin	October 29 – November 7, 2022	November 7, 2022	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|52.0%	40.8%	7.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Schmitt +11.2
Average			Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|52.4%	41.3%	6.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Schmitt +11.0

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Eric Schmitt (R)	Trudy Busch Valentine (D)	John Wood (I)	Other	Undecided
Civiqs	November 4–7, 2022	746 (LV)	± 4.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|55%	40%	–	4%Шаблон:Efn	2%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	October 30 – November 1, 2022	1,079 (LV)	± 2.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|53%	42%	–	2%Шаблон:Efn	2%
SurveyUSA	October 27 – November 1, 2022	791 (LV)	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|50%	41%	–	3%Шаблон:Efn	6%
Emerson College	October 26–28, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|54%	40%	–	5%Шаблон:Efn	–
Emerson College	October 26–28, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|51%	39%	–	4%Шаблон:Efn	6%
Remington Research (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 24–25, 2022	1,011 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|51%	42%	–	3%Шаблон:Efn	4%
Emerson College	September 23–27, 2022	1,160 (VLV)	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|49%	38%	–	3%	10%
SurveyUSA	September 14–18, 2022	670 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|47%	36%	–	4%	14%
Remington Research (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	August 24–25, 2022	1,011 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|51%	40%	–	2%Шаблон:Efn	7%
	August 23, 2022	Wood withdraws from the race^[71]
YouGov/SLU	August 8–16, 2022	900 (LV)	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|49%	38%	–	5%	8%
YouGov/SLU	August 8–16, 2022	900 (LV)	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|44%	31%	10%	3%	13%
SurveyUSA	July 24–27, 2022	1,591 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|36%	30%	9%	6%	18%
SurveyUSA	May 11–15, 2022	1,412 (LV)	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|47%	34%	–	–	19%
Remington Research (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	April 27–28, 2022	986 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \|50%	32%	–	–	18%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Eric Greitens vs. Lucas Kunce

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Eric Greitens (R)	Lucas Kunce (D)	John Wood (I)	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA	July 24–27, 2022	1,591 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|31%	26%	13%	10%	21%
SurveyUSA	May 11–15, 2022	1,412 (LV)	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|42%	36%	–	–	22%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	March 9–13, 2022	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|46%	45%	–	–	9%
co/efficient (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|34%	26%	–	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|40%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 3–4, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|47%	40%	–	–	13%

Eric Greitens vs. Trudy Busch Valentine

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Eric Greitens (R)	Trudy Busch Valentine (D)	John Wood (I)	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA	July 24–27, 2022	1,591 (LV)	± 3.0%	31%	31%	10%	8%	20%
SurveyUSA	May 11–15, 2022	1,412 (LV)	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|43%	37%	–	–	20%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	April 27–28, 2022	986 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|46%	37%	–	–	17%

Vicky Hartzler vs. Lucas Kunce

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Vicky Hartzler (R)	Lucas Kunce (D)	John Wood (I)	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA	July 24–27, 2022	1,591 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|34%	25%	12%	9%	20%
SurveyUSA	May 11–15, 2022	1,412 (LV)	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|45%	31%	–	–	24%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	March 9–13, 2022	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|56%	39%	–	–	5%
co/efficient (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|23%	16%	–	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|61%

Vicky Hartzler vs. Trudy Busch Valentine

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Vicky Hartzler (R)	Trudy Busch Valentine (D)	John Wood (I)	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA	July 24–27, 2022	1,591 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|32%	31%	9%	7%	21%
SurveyUSA	May 11–15, 2022	1,412 (LV)	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|44%	33%	–	–	23%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	April 27–28, 2022	986 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|49%	33%	–	–	18%

Billy Long vs. Lucas Kunce

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Billy Long (R)	Lucas Kunce (D)	Undecided
co/efficient (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	16%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|17%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|67%

Eric Schmitt vs. Lucas Kunce

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Eric Schmitt (R)	Lucas Kunce (D)	John Wood (I)	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA	July 24–27, 2022	1,591 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|37%	27%	10%	6%	20%
SurveyUSA	May 11–15, 2022	1,412 (LV)	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|46%	34%	–	–	19%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	March 9–13, 2022	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|55%	40%	–	–	5%
co/efficient (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|28%	23%	–	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|49%

Eric Greitens vs. Lucas Kunce vs. generic independent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Eric Greitens (R)	Lucas Kunce (D)	Generic Independent	Undecided
Bendixen & Amandi International (SAM)Шаблон:Efn-ua	February 2–6, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|27%	25%	26%	22%

Eric Greitens vs. Jay Nixon

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Eric Greitens (R)	Jay Nixon (D)	Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 14–15, 2021	922 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|48%	44%	8%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	April 7–8, 2021	936 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|48%	44%	8%

Eric Greitens vs. Scott Sifton

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Eric Greitens (R)	Scott Sifton (D)	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)	March 9–13, 2022	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	45%	45%	10%
co/efficient (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|39%	26%	35%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 3–4, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|46%	40%	14%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	April 7–8, 2021	936 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|49%	42%	9%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	February 17–18, 2021	954 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|49%	41%	10%

Eric Greitens vs. generic Democrat

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Eric Greitens (R)	Generic Democrat	Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	November 16–18, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|49%	36%	15%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 3–4, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|47%	41%	12%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat	Undecided
co/efficient (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|52%	35%	13%

Vicky Hartzler vs. Scott Sifton

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Vicky Hartzler (R)	Scott Sifton (D)	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)	March 9–13, 2022	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|57%	37%	6%
co/efficient (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|22%	17%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|61%

Billy Long vs. Scott Sifton

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Billy Long (R)	Scott Sifton (D)	Undecided
co/efficient (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|13%	12%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|75%

Eric Schmitt vs. Jay Nixon

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Eric Schmitt (R)	Jay Nixon (D)	Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	April 7–8, 2021	936 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|50%	42%	8%

Eric Schmitt vs. Scott Sifton

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Eric Schmitt (R)	Scott Sifton (D)	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)	March 9–13, 2022	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|54%	40%	6%
co/efficient (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|23%	18%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|60%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	April 7–8, 2021	936 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|51%	39%	10%

Roy Blunt vs. Jason Kander

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Roy Blunt (R)	Jason Kander (D)	Undecided
Data for Progress (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	January 10–12, 2021	571 (LV)	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|45%	44%	12%

Roy Blunt vs. Scott Sifton

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Roy Blunt (R)	Scott Sifton (D)	Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	February 17–18, 2021	954 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|50%	40%	10%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	January 6–7, 2021	980 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|52%	34%	14%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Schmitt prevailed over Valentine on Election Day.^[85] Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Clay (Largest city: Kansas City Шаблон:Efn)
Platte (Largest city: Kansas CityШаблон:Efn)

By congressional district

Schmitt won 6 of 8 congressional districts.^[86]

District	Schmitt	Busch Valentine	Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Шаблон:Ushr	20%	79%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Cori Bush
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	51%	48%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Ann Wagner
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	59%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Blaine Luetkemeyer
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	66%	31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Vicky Hartzler (117th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mark Alford (118th Congress)	66%	31%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Шаблон:Ushr	35%	62%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Emanuel Cleaver
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	65%	32%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Sam Graves
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	68%	29%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Billy Long (117th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Eric Burlison (118th Congress)	68%	29%
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	73%	24%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jason Smith

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:Elections in Missouri footer Шаблон:2022 United States elections

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Английская Википедия:2022 United States Senate election in Missouri

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Missed filing deadline

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Debates

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Independents

Candidates

Withdrew

Missed ballot deadline

General election

Predictions

Debates

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

See also

Notes

References

External links

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