Английская Википедия:2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

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Шаблон:See alsoШаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in New Hampshire sidebar The 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire.[1] The primary elections were held on September 13, 2022.[2] Incumbent Senator Maggie Hassan was re-elected over Republican retired brigadier general Don Bolduc by an unexpectedly large margin that surpassed most polls, as well as her initial bid for this seat in 2016 in which she only won by 1,017 votes or 0.14%.[3] This election marked the first time a Democrat won re-election to New Hampshire's class 3 Senate seat.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Paul Krautman, dentist and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[5]
  • John Riggieri[5]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Файл:Voters in Londonderry during the 2022 midterms.jpg
Voters at a polling location in Londonderry.

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box write-in with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

2022 Republican primary debates
Шаблон:Abbr Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
Шаблон:Colors Participant  Шаблон:Colors Absent  Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee  Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn
Don Bolduc Kevin Smith Chuck Morse Vikram Mansharamani Bruce Fenton
1 June 27, 2022 NH Journal Michael Graham
Alicia Xanthopolous
Haris Alic
Link[22] Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes
2[23] August 16, 2022 Good Morning New Hampshire Jack Heath N/A Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes
3Шаблон:Cn August 24, 2022 Newsmax John Bachmann Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes N Шаблон:Yes
4 September 8, 2022 New Hampshire Institute of Politics
WMUR
YouTube Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes

Polling

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Don
Bolduc
Bruce
Fenton
Vikram
Mansharamani
Chuck
Morse
Kevin
Smith
Other
Шаблон:Efn
Margin
Real Clear Politics August 9–29, 2022 August 31, 2022 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|37.5% 4.5% 3.5% 19.0% 3.5% 32.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bolduc +18.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Don
Bolduc
Bruce
Fenton
Vikram
Mansharamani
Chuck
Morse
Kevin
Smith
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) September 7–8, 2022 559 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|33% 4% 6% 23% 9% 25%
University of New Hampshire August 25–29, 2022 892 (LV) ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% 5% 5% 22% 3% 2% 20%
Saint Anselm College August 9–11, 2022 820 (RV) ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|32% 4% 2% 16% 4% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|39%
University of New Hampshire April 14–18, 2022 315 (LV) ± 5.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|33% 1% 2% 4% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|58%

Results

Файл:2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in New Hampshire results map by county.svg
Results by county Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian convention

Файл:Jeremy Kauffman in May 2022.png
Jeremy Kauffman, the Libertarian nominee

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated at convention

Independents

Candidates

  • Tejasinha Sivalingam, (write-in)[26]

Did not qualify

  • Geoff Woollacott, businessman[10]
  • Steve Hattamer, physician[27]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 18, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Шаблон:USRaceRating July 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 31, 2022
Politico[31] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2022
RCP[32] Шаблон:USRaceRating January 10, 2022
Fox News[33] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 20, 2022
DDHQ[34] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 24, 2022
538[35] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2022
The Economist[36] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2022

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Don
Bolduc (R)
Other
Шаблон:Efn
Margin
Real Clear Politics October 28 – November 1, 2022 November 8, 2022 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48.7% 47.3% 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hassan +1.4
FiveThirtyEight September 23 – November 5, 2022 November 8, 2022 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic;"|48.8% 46.6% 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic;"|Hassan +2.2
270towin October 27 – November 4, 2022 November 8, 2022 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49.2% 46.0% 4.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hassan +3.2
Average Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic;"|48.9% 46.6% 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic;"|Hassan +2.3

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Don
Bolduc (R)
Other Undecided
Phillips Academy November 5–6, 2022 1,056 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% 45% 2%Шаблон:Efn 6%
University of New Hampshire November 2–6, 2022 2,077 (LV) ± 2.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 48% 1%Шаблон:Efn <1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua November 5, 2022 700 (LV) ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 48% 1%Шаблон:Efn 2%
Data for Progress (D) November 2–5, 2022 1,995 (LV) ± 2.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 47% 2%Шаблон:Efn
Wick Insights (R) November 2–5, 2022 725 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 48% 2%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Emerson College October 30 – November 1, 2022 850 (LV) ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 45% 3%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 46% 5%Шаблон:Efn
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 30 – November 1, 2022 1,241 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% 4%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Saint Anselm College October 28–29, 2022 1,541 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% 2%Шаблон:Efn 3%
co/efficient (R) October 25–26, 2022 1,098 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 45% 3%Шаблон:Efn 7%
UMass Lowell/YouGov October 14–25, 2022 600 (LV) ± 5.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 41% 3%Шаблон:Efn 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua October 23, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% 47% 3%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Emerson College October 18–19, 2022 727 (LV) ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% 45% 3%Шаблон:Efn 4%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 45% 5%Шаблон:Efn
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua October 17–19, 2022 600 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 47% 4%
Data for Progress (D) October 14–19, 2022 1,392 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 44% 3%Шаблон:Efn 4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua October 2–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% 45% 2% 1%
The Trafalgar Group (R) September 26–30, 2022 1,081 (LV) ± 2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% 45% 4%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Data for Progress (D) September 23–30, 2022 1,147 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 43% 3%Шаблон:Efn 4%
Saint Anselm College September 27–28, 2022 901 (RV) ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 43% 4%Шаблон:Efn 4%
Suffolk University September 23–26, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 41% 3%Шаблон:Efn 7%
American Research Group September 15–19, 2022 555 (RV) ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 40% 7%
University of New Hampshire September 15–19, 2022 870 (LV) ± 3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 41% 5%Шаблон:Efn 5%
Emerson College September 14–15, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 40% 4% 5%
Data for Progress (D) June 22 – July 8, 2022 903 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 45% 6%
Change Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua June 24–27, 2022 704 (LV) ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 40% 11%
University of New Hampshire April 14–18, 2022 868 (LV) ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% 46% 1% 6%
Phillips Academy April 4–8, 2022 533 (A) ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45% 40% 15%
471 (RV) ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% 39% 7%
Saint Anselm College March 23–24, 2022 1,265 (RV) ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% 39% 7% 10%
Saint Anselm College January 11–12, 2022 1,215 (RV) ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43% 36% 10% 12%
The Trafalgar Group (R) December 10–12, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% 40% 14%
University of New Hampshire October 14–18, 2021 979 (LV) ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% 42% 6% 6%
University of New Hampshire July 15–19, 2021 1,540 (LV) ± 2.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 41% 1% 6%
University of New Hampshire February 18–22, 2021 1,676 (LV) ± 2.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% 39% 2% 7%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Maggie Hassan vs. Kelly Ayotte
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Kelly
Ayotte (R)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire October 14–18, 2021 979 (LV) ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% 43% 7% 5%
University of New Hampshire July 15–19, 2021 1,540 (LV) ± 2.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 45% 3% 3%
University of New Hampshire February 18–22, 2021 1,676 (LV) ± 2.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% 43% 3% 6%
Maggie Hassan vs. Bruce Fenton
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Bruce
Fenton (R)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire April 14–18, 2022 868 (LV) ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% 40% 0% 14%
Maggie Hassan vs. Chuck Morse
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Chuck
Morse (R)
Other
Шаблон:Efn
Margin
Real Clear Politics December 10, 2021 – April 18, 2022 April 21, 2022 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44.3% 40.0% 15.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hassan +4.3
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Chuck
Morse (R)
Other Undecided
Data for Progress (D) June 22 – July 8, 2022 903 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 46% 5%
University of New Hampshire April 14–18, 2022 868 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% 1% 9%
Phillips Academy April 4–8, 2022 533 (A) ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43% 40% 17%
471 (RV) ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 45% 6%
Saint Anselm College March 23–24, 2022 1,265 (RV) ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43% 36% 10% 11%
Saint Anselm College January 11–12, 2022 1,215 (RV) ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|41% 27% 17% 15%
The Trafalgar Group (R) December 10–12, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% 38% 16%
Maggie Hassan vs. Corey Lewandowski
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Corey
Шаблон:Nowrap
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire February 18–22, 2021 1,676 (LV) ± 2.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 34% 3% 9%
Maggie Hassan vs. Corky Messner
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Corky
Messner (R)
Undecided
The Tarrance Group (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua November 16–18, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% 45% 8%
Maggie Hassan vs. Kevin Smith
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Kevin
Smith (R)
Other Undecided
Data for Progress (D) June 22 – July 8, 2022 903 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% 45% 6%
University of New Hampshire April 14–18, 2022 868 (LV) ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45% 44% 1% 10%
Saint Anselm College March 23–24, 2022 1,265 (RV) ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% 34% 10% 12%
Saint Anselm College January 11–12, 2022 1,215 (RV) ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|42% 24% 17% 17%
Maggie Hassan vs. Chris Sununu
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
Other Undecided
Saint Anselm College October 20–22, 2021 1,323 (RV) ± 2.7% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% 9% 4%
University of New Hampshire October 14–18, 2021 979 (LV) ± 3.1% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% 6% 6%
Saint Anselm College August 24–26, 2021 1,855 (RV) ± 2.3% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% 6% 4%
University of New Hampshire July 15–19, 2021 1,540 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% 1% 2%
Saint Anselm College March 4–6, 2021 871 (RV) ± 3.3% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% 7% 6%
University of New Hampshire February 18–22, 2021 1,676 (LV) ± 2.4% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% 2% 5%
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua October 17–19, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% 47% 4%
Phillips Academy April 4–8, 2022 533 (A) ± 4.2% 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% 22%
471 (RV) ± 4.5% 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% 16%
The Tarrance Group (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua November 16–18, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% 13%
on if Maggie Hassan should be re-elected
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Yes No Undecided
Saint Anselm College August 9–11, 2022 1,898 (RV) ± 2.3% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Independent|53% 8%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in New Hampshire debates
Шаблон:Abbr Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
Шаблон:Colors Participant  Шаблон:Colors Absent  Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee  Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn
scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
Maggie Hassan Donald C. Bolduc
1 October 27, 2022 NHPR Josh Rogers, Amanda Gokee YouTube Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes
1 November 1, 2022 Saint Anselm College Adam Sexton YouTube Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes

Results

Файл:New Hampshire 2022 Senate Election Results - Libertarian Party.png
Jeremy Kauffman - Election results by municipality

In the early months of the campaign, Hassan maintained a healthy lead in the polls. Polls began to tighten around September 2022 and by late October, a few polls even showed Bolduc with a narrow lead or had the candidates tied. Most pundits concurred that Hassan had a very slight edge and that the race would be extremely tight. However, Hassan won reelection by 9 points, a margin considerably wider than what was expected and one far greater than her 0.14 point plurality in 2016. Hassan's victory made her the first Democrat to win re-election to the class 3 Senate seat in New Hampshire history. This, along with Democrats' comfortable victories in New Hampshire's two House races, affirmed New Hampshire's transition from a closely contested swing state to a clearly Democratic leaning state at the federal level.

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party linkШаблон:Election box candidate with party linkШаблон:Election box candidate with party link}Шаблон:Election box write-in with party linkШаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

By county

2022 Senate election results in New Hampshire (by county) [37]
County Maggie Hassan
Democratic
Don Bolduc
Republican
Other votes Total
votes
# % # % # % #
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Belknap 13,669 44.4% 16,591 53.9% 537 1.7% 30,797
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Carroll 13,708 50.5% 13,014 48.0% 415 1.5% 27,137
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Cheshire 20,083 59.1% 13,241 38.9% 684 2.0% 34,008
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Coös 6,059 47.0% 6,491 50.3% 353 2.7% 12,903
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Grafton 26,337 61.6% 15,544 36.3% 891 2.1% 42,772
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hillsborough 91,776 53.2% 76,862 44.6% 3,738 2.2% 172,376
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Merrimack 39,367 55.6% 29,965 42.3% 1,526 2.2% 70,858
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Rockingham 78,047 50.6% 73,244 47.4% 3,096 2.0% 154,387
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Strafford 33,240 58.7% 22,217 39.2% 1,161 2.1% 56,618
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Sullivan 9,907 51.8% 8,759 45.8% 453 2.4% 19,119

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Hassan won both congressional districts.[38]

District Hassan Bolduc Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 53% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Chris Pappas
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 54% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Annie Kuster

See also

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:Elections in New Hampshire footer Шаблон:2022 United States elections