Английская Википедия:2022 United States Senate election in New York

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Шаблон:See alsoШаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in New York State

The 2022 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York.

Incumbent four-term Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer, who has served as Senate Majority Leader since 2021, was first elected in 1998, defeating Republican incumbent Al D'Amato. Schumer ran for a fifth term. Republican Joe Pinion is the first black Senate nominee of any major party in New York history. The filing deadline for the June primary was April 7, 2022.[1] Schumer became the longest-serving U.S. senator in the state's history once his fifth term began in the 118th Congress.[2]

Though Schumer was comfortably re-elected, he lost significant support on Long Island and Upstate New York compared to his last election in 2016. Pinion flipped the more conservative counties that Schumer had won in his previous runs, as well as some Democratic-leaning counties such as Nassau, Saratoga, Broome, Clinton, and Essex. However, Schumer's lead was large enough in New York City that it was called by most media outlets the moment the polls closed.[3]

Despite Democrats overperforming expectations on a national level during this cycle, this race was the most competitive in Schumer's Senate career since his first election in 1998, when he won by 10.5%, along with being the closest U.S. Senate election from New York since Hillary Clinton won by about 12.3 percentage points in 2000.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Disqualified

  • Moses Mugulusi, regulator[5]
  • Khaled Salem, activist[6]

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Chuck
Schumer
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Undecided
Zogby Analytics May 7–9, 2020 328 (LV) ± 5.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% 21% 25%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Republican primary

At the 2022 New York State Republican Convention, Joe Pinion was designated as the New York State Republican Party’s preferred candidate for U.S. Senate. Pinion became the first Black individual to be backed by a major party in a U.S. Senate election in New York.[15]

Candidates

Nominee

Disqualified

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Conservative primary

Candidates

Nominee

Working Families primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Chuck Schumer, incumbent U.S. senator[23]

Other candidates

Diane Sare ran on an Independent ballot line labeled "LaRouche."[24][25]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[27] Шаблон:USRaceRating January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2021
Politico[29] Шаблон:USRaceRating April 1, 2022
RCP[30] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 18, 2022
Fox News[31] Шаблон:USRaceRating May 12, 2022
DDHQ[32] Шаблон:USRaceRating July 20, 2022
538[33] Шаблон:USRaceRating June 30, 2022
The Economist[34] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 7, 2022

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Chuck
Schumer (D)
Joe
Pinion (R)
Undecided
Шаблон:Efn
Margin
Real Clear Politics October 26–31, 2022 November 8, 2022 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54.7% 39.3% 6.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Schumer +15.4
FiveThirtyEight October 12 – November 8, 2022 November 8, 2022 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55.7% 38.0% 6.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Schumer +17.7
270towin October 26 – November 7, 2022 November 8, 2022 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54.6% 38.6% 6.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Schumer +16.0
Average Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55.0% 38.6% 6.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Schumer +16.4
Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Chuck
Schumer (D)
Joe
Pinion (R)
Other Undecided
Research Co. November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% 37% 2%Шаблон:Efn 6%
ActiVote (D) August 8 – November 6, 2022 279 (LV) ± 6.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|60% 40%
Emerson College October 28–31, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% 36% 3%Шаблон:Efn 6%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|57% 39% 4%Шаблон:Efn
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 27–31, 2022 1,198 (LV) ± 2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 40% 5%Шаблон:Efn 4%
KAConsulting (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua October 27–29, 2022 501 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 38% 7%
Data for Progress (D) October 26–28, 2022 818 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% 39% 5%
Long Island University October 24–26, 2022 1,001 (A) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% 27% 9%Шаблон:Efn 10%
Civiqs October 22–25, 2022 593 (LV) ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% 41% 1%Шаблон:Efn 2%
Emerson College October 20–24, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 36% 6%Шаблон:Efn 8%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 40% 8%Шаблон:Efn
SurveyUSA October 14–18, 2022 702 (LV) ± 5.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% 38% 4% 6%
Quinnipiac University October 12–16, 2022 1,617 (LV) ± 2.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% 42% 1%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Siena College October 12–14, 2022 707 (LV) ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|57% 37% 1%Шаблон:Efn 5%
Marist College October 3–6, 2022 900 (LV) ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% 39% 1%Шаблон:Efn 8%
1,117 (RV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% 34% 1%Шаблон:Efn 11%
Siena College September 16–25, 2022 655 (LV) ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% 36% 1%Шаблон:Efn 8%
Emerson College September 4–6, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% 31% 5%Шаблон:Efn 9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) August 7–9, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 36% 13%
Emerson College July 26–28, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 31% 7% 8%
Siena College July 24–28, 2022 806 (LV) ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% 35% 0% 8%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Chuck Schumer vs. generic opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Chuck
Schumer (D)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R) August 7–9, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Independent|48% 10%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box totalШаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Шаблон:Columns-list

By congressional district

Schumer won 19 of 26 congressional districts, including four that elected Republicans.[35]

District Schumer Pinion Representative
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 45% 54% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lee Zeldin (117th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Nick LaLota (118th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|2nd 42% 58% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Andrew Garbarino
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 48% 52% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Tom Suozzi (117th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|George Santos (118th Congress)
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 50% 49% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kathleen Rice (117th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Anthony D'Esposito (118th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|5th 76% 23% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Gregory Meeks
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|6th 60% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Grace Meng
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|7th 81% 18% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Nydia Velázquez
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|8th 73% 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hakeem Jefferies
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|9th 74% 25% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Yvette Clarke
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 85% 15% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Jerry Nadler (117th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Dan Goldman (118th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|11th 40% 60% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Nicole Malliotakis
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 83% 16% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Carolyn Maloney (117th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Jerry Nadler (118th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|13th 89% 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Adriano Espaillat
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|14th 74% 26% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|15th 83% 17% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Ritchie Torres
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|16th 66% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Jamaal Bowman
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 52% 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Mondaire Jones (117th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mike Lawler (118th Congress)
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 51% 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Sean Patrick Maloney (117th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Pat Ryan (118th Congress)
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 50% 49% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Pat Ryan (117th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Marc Molinaro (118th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|20th 56% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Paul Tonko
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|21st 41% 58% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Elise Stefanik
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 52% 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Claudia Tenney (117th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Brandon Williams (118th Congress)
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 39% 60% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Joe Sempolinski (117th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Nick Langworthy (118th Congress)
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 38% 61% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|John Katko (117th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Claudia Tenney (118th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|25th 56% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Joseph Morelle
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|26th 60% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Brian Higgins

See also

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites


Шаблон:New York elections Шаблон:2022 United States elections