Английская Википедия:2022 United States Senate election in Ohio
Материал из Онлайн справочника
Перейти к навигацииПерейти к поиску
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Distinguish Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Ohio sidebar
The 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Ohio. Republican writer and venture capitalist J. D. Vance defeated Democratic U.S. Representative Tim Ryan to succeed retiring incumbent Republican Rob Portman.[1]
Vance won by a 6.1 point margin, which was significantly closer than all other concurrently held elections for statewide offices in Ohio won by Republicans.[2][3] Despite his defeat, Ryan flipped four counties carried by Portman in re-election in 2016: Summit, Montgomery, Hamilton, and Lorain, the latter of which Trump won in 2020. However, Vance scored wins in Ryan's home county of Trumbull and the industrial-based Mahoning County that contains much of Youngstown. Both counties were represented by Ryan in his congressional district.
Vance was endorsed by Donald Trump and became the only candidate in the seven statewide general election races funded by Trump's PAC to win.[4]
Republican primary
As a result of Portman's retirement, this primary was expected to be one of the most competitive in the nation. Due to his high approval ratings within the Republican Party, most of the candidates sought the endorsement of former president Donald Trump. Former state treasurer Josh Mandel, who had been the Republican nominee for Senate in 2012, led most polls until late January, when businessman Mike Gibbons surged after spending millions in TV ads.[5] At a forum in March 2022, Gibbons and Mandel got into a forceful argument over Mandel's private sector experience. The debate moderator interfered after it was feared that the two candidates would come to blows.[6] On April 9, Gibbons said that middle-class Americans don't pay enough in income taxes, which immediately led to his poll numbers plummeting. On April 15, Trump endorsed writer and commentator J. D. Vance, who had criticized him in the past.[7][8]
Vance had been trailing in the polls, but as a result of Trump's support, he surged to become the race's frontrunner for the first time and led in most polls up to election day. Meanwhile, State Senator Matt Dolan, who disavowed Trump's claims of voter fraud in the 2020 United States presidential election, saw a late surge after buying ad time.[9] Vance won with 32% of the vote with Mandel in second and Dolan in a close third. The primary was considered by many as a test of Trump's influence over the Republican Party as he won Ohio by 8 points in 2020.[10] The primary was also the most expensive in the state's history, with the candidates spending a combined $66 million throughout the campaign.[11]
Candidates
Nominee
- J. D. Vance, author of Hillbilly Elegy, U.S. Marine Corps veteran, and venture capitalist
Eliminated in primary
- Matt Dolan, state senator from the 24th district since 2017 and nominee for Cuyahoga County executive in 2010[12][13][14]
- Mike Gibbons, investment banker and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018[15][14]
- Josh Mandel, U.S. Marine Corps Reserve Iraq War veteran, former Ohio state treasurer (2011–2019), nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018[16][14]
- Neil Patel, businessman[17][14]
- Mark Pukita, IT executive[18][14]
- Jane Timken, former chair of the Ohio Republican Party (2017–2021)[19][14]
Withdrawn
- John Berman, electronic hardware design, test engineer and candidate for U.S. Senate (Minnesota and Kansas) in 2020[20]
- Bernie Moreno, businessman[21][22][23]
Disqualified
- Bill Graham, attorney[23][14]
- Mike Holt[24][23]
- Michael Leipold, MedFlight pilot and retired U.S. Army chief warrant officer[25][17][23]
- MacKenzie Thompson, U.S. Air Force veteran[26][23]
Declined
- Troy Balderson, U.S. representative for Ohio's 12th congressional district (2018–present)[27]
- Warren Davidson, U.S. representative for Ohio's 8th congressional district (2016–present)[28]
- Anthony Gonzalez, U.S. representative for Ohio's 16th congressional district (2019–2023)[29]
- Jon A. Husted, lieutenant governor of Ohio (2019–present) (ran for re-election)[30]
- Bill Johnson, U.S. representative for Ohio's 6th congressional district (2011–present)[31]
- Jim Jordan, U.S. representative for Ohio's 4th congressional district (2007–present) (running for re-election)[32]
- David Joyce, U.S. representative for Ohio's 14th congressional district (2013–present) (ran for re-election)[33]
- John Kasich, former governor of Ohio (2011–2019) and candidate for President of the United States in 2000 and 2016[34][35]
- Mark Kvamme, co-founder of Drive Capital[35]
- Frank LaRose, Ohio secretary of state (2019–present) (endorsed Vance) (ran for re-election)[36][37]
- Rob Portman, incumbent U.S. Senator (2011–2023)[38]
- Vivek Ramaswamy, entrepreneur, author and businessman[39]
- Jim Renacci, former U.S. representative for Ohio's 16th congressional district (2011–2019) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 (ran for governor)[40]
- Geraldo Rivera, journalist, author, attorney, and former TV host[41][42][43]
- Darrell C. Scott, pastor and CEO of the National Diversity Coalition for Trump[44] (endorsed Moreno)[45] (expressed interest in running for Ohio's 16th congressional district)
- Steve Stivers, former U.S. representative for Ohio's 15th congressional district (2011–2021)[46]
- Pat Tiberi, former U.S. representative for Ohio's 12th congressional district (2001–2018)[47]
- Jim Tressel, president of Youngstown State University and former Ohio State football coach[48]
- Mike Turner, U.S. representative for Ohio's 10th congressional district (2003–present) (ran for re-election)[49][23]
- Brad Wenstrup, U.S. representative for Ohio's 2nd congressional district (2013–present) (ran for re-election)[49]
- Dave Yost, attorney general of Ohio (2019–present) and former Ohio state auditor (2011–2019) (ran for re-election)[50]
Endorsements
Polling
Graphical summary
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Matt Dolan |
Mike Gibbons |
Josh Mandel |
Jane Timken |
J. D. Vance |
Other Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | April 28 – May 1, 2022 | May 2, 2022 | 21.5% | 15.0% | 22.5% | 7.0% | 26.0% | 8.0% | Vance +3.5 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mike Gibbons |
Josh Mandel |
Bernie Moreno |
Steve Stivers |
Jane Timken |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research Group (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | June 1–3, 2021 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% | – | – | 22% | 33% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | February 1–3, 2021 | 509 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|38% | 2% | 11% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|39% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no changeШаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tim Ryan, U.S. representative for Ohio's 13th congressional district (2013–2023) and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[51][14]
Eliminated in primary
- Morgan Harper, former senior advisor at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and candidate for Шаблон:Ushr in 2020[52][14]
- Traci Johnson, activist and tech executive[53][14]
Disqualified
- Demar Sheffey, treasurer of the Cuyahoga Soil and Water Conservation District[54][23]
- Rick Taylor[55][23]
- LaShondra Tinsley, former case manager for Franklin County Jobs and Family Services[23][14]
Declined
- Amy Acton, former director of the Ohio Department of Health[56][57]
- Joyce Beatty, U.S. representative for Ohio's 3rd congressional district (2013–present) (ran for re-election)[58]
- Kevin Boyce, president of the Franklin County board of commissioners and former Ohio State Treasurer[59][23]
- Kathleen Clyde, former Portage County commissioner, former state representative, and nominee for Ohio Secretary of State in 2018[60]
- John Cranley, former mayor of Cincinnati (ran for governor)[61][62][63][64]
- Michael Coleman, former mayor of Columbus[65]
- LeBron James, professional basketball player for the Los Angeles Lakers and former player for the Cleveland Cavaliers[66]
- Zach Klein, Columbus city attorney[67]
- Danny O'Connor, Franklin county recorder and nominee for Ohio's 12th congressional district in 2018[68][69]
- Aftab Pureval, attorney and Hamilton County clerk of courts (elected Mayor of Cincinnati in 2021)[70]
- Alicia Reece, Hamilton County commissioner[71]
- Connie Schultz, former columnist for The Plain Dealer and wife of U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown[72]
- Emilia Sykes, minority leader of the Ohio House of Representatives (ran for the U.S. House in Ohio's 13th congressional district)[73]
- Nina Turner, president of Our Revolution, former state senator, and nominee for Ohio Secretary of State in 2014 (ran for the U.S. House in Ohio's 11th congressional district)[74]
- Nan Whaley, former mayor of Dayton (ran for governor)[75][76]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Morgan Harper |
Traci Johnson |
Tim Ryan |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Akron | February 17 – March 15, 2022 | – (LV) | – | 18% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43% | 4% | 37% |
| Emerson College | February 25–26, 2022 | 313 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 4% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|31% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|51% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Amy Acton |
Tim Ryan |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | March 15–16, 2021 | 787 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|37% | 32% | 31% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no changeШаблон:Election box end
Third-party and independent candidates
Candidates
Declared
- Stephen Faris, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018 (write-in)[77]
- John Cheng (write-in)[78]
- Matthew R. Esh (write-in)[78]
- Shane Hoffman (write-in)[78]
- Lashondra Tinsley (write-in)[78]
Disqualified
- Shannon Marie Taylor (Libertarian)[79]
- Sam Ronan, United States Air Force veteran, candidate for Ohio's 1st congressional district in 2018, and candidate for chair of the Democratic National Committee in 2017 (Independent)[80]
- Eric Meiring (Independent)[81]
General election
Ohio has trended Republican in recent years, voting for Donald Trump by eight points in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. As such, most analysts expected that this seat would easily remain in Republican hands. However, aggregate polling on the run-up to the election indicated a competitive race, and most outlets considered it to be “lean Republican”. In the end, J. D. Vance held the open seat for the Republicans.
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[82] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[83] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 7, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[84] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | August 31, 2022 |
| Politico[85] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 5, 2022 |
| RCP[86] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 20, 2022 |
| Fox News[87] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 20, 2022 |
| DDHQ[88] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2022 |
| 538[89] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 7, 2022 |
| The Economist[90] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2022 |
Debates
| Шаблон:Abbr | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn |
scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | ||||
| J. D. Vance | Tim Ryan | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 10, 2022 | Fox 8 | Colleen Marshall Joe Toohey |
Youtube | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
| 2 | Oct. 17, 2022 | 21 WFMJ | Lindsay McCoy Bertram de Souza Derek Steyer |
Youtube | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
Endorsements
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
J. D. Vance (R) |
Tim Ryan (D) |
Undecided Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | October 30 – November 5, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51.8% | 43.8% | 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Vance +8.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight | October 17 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50.9% | 44.7% | 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Vance +6.2 |
| 270towin | November 4 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52.0% | 44.2% | 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Vance +7.8 |
| Average | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51.6% | 44.2% | 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Vance +7.4 | ||
- Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
J. D. Vance (R) |
Tim Ryan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs | November 4–7, 2022 | 716 (LV) | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% | 46% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 2% |
| Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% | 44% | – | 4% |
| Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 505 (LV) | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% | 45% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | – |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | November 3–5, 2022 | 1,123 (LV) | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|54% | 44% | – | 3% |
| Data for Progress (D) | November 2–5, 2022 | 1,413 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|55% | 45% | – | – |
| Cygnal (R) | November 1–3, 2022 | 1,498 (LV) | ± 2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | 43% | – | 8% |
| Remington Research Group (R) | November 1–2, 2022 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | 43% | – | 9% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% | 43% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53% | 44% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | – | ||||
| Cygnal (R) | October 29 – November 1, 2022 | 1,520 (LV) | ± 2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | 44% | – | 7% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 26–30, 2022 | 1,510 (LV) | ± 2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 24–28, 2022 | 1,776 (LV) | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | 43% | – | 9% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 22–26, 2022 | 1,817 (LV) | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | 44% | – | 8% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,886 (LV) | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| Baldwin Wallace University | October 20–23, 2022 | 1,068 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | – | 4% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 18–22, 2022 | 1,547 (LV) | ± 2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 43% | – | 10% |
| Marist College | October 17–20, 2022 | 1,141 (RV) | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 45% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 8% |
| 942 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 47% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 5% | ||
| Cygnal (R) | October 16–20, 2022 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 44% | – | 9% |
| Siena College | October 14–19, 2022 | 644 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 46% | 46% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 6% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 14–18, 2022 | 1,438 (LV) | ± 2.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 43% | – | 10% |
| Ohio Northern University/Lucid | October 11–15, 2022 | 668 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 15% |
| Suffolk University | October 11–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 45% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 6% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 10–12, 2022 | 1,081 (LV) | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 44% | – | 9% |
| Data for Progress (D) | October 7–12, 2022 | 1,016 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | 46% | – | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 6–8, 2022 | 640 (LV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 44% | – | 9% |
| Emerson College | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 45% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 9% |
| Kurt Jetta (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 2–3, 2022 | 950 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43% | – | 22% |
| 528 (LV) | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | – | 14% | |||
| Siena College | September 18–22, 2022 | 642 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 9% |
| Baldwin Wallace University | September 12–15, 2022 | 855 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | – | 7% |
| Marist College | September 12–15, 2022 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 45% | – | 9% |
| 1,009 (LV) | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | 47% | – | 5% | ||
| Emerson College | September 10–13, 2022 | 1000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44% | 40% | 3% | 13% |
| Civiqs | September 10–13, 2022 | 780 (LV) | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | 45% | 3% | 4% |
| Fallon Research | September 6–11, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 1% | 10% |
| Suffolk University | September 5–7, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% | 1% | 6% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 831 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45% | – | 15% |
| Impact Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | August 17–23, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | – | 3% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | August 16–19, 2022 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% | 45% | – | 6% |
| Emerson College | August 15–16, 2022 | 925 (LV) | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% | 42% | 4% | 10% |
| Kurt Jetta (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | August 1–3, 2022 | 1,180 (A) | ± 2.9% | 32% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|42% | – | 26% |
| 974 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% | – | 23% | ||
| 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | – | 12% | ||
| Impact Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | July 21–28, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | – | 7% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% | 3% | 15% |
| Grow Progress (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | July 5–10, 2022 | 2,032 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | – | 13% |
| Kurt Jetta (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | July 1–3, 2022 | 1,199 (A) | ± 2.8% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|41% | – | 23% |
| 989 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% | – | 20% | ||
| 528 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | – | 11% | ||
| Impact Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | June 27–30, 2022 | 816 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | – | 6% |
| Grow Progress (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | May 30 – June 3, 2022 | 2,018 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% | – | 15% |
| Suffolk University | May 22–24, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|42% | 39% | 2% | 17% |
| Momentive (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | May 13, 2022 | 1,174 (A) | ± 2.9% | 37% | 37% | – | 25% |
| 989 (RV) | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|40% | 39% | – | 21% | ||
| 528 (LV) | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | 43% | – | 9% | ||
| Grow Progress (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | April 25–29, 2022 | 2,014 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43% | – | 15% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|36% | 3% | 24% |
| 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|37% | 3% | 23% | ||
| Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | March 18–19, 2021 | 700 (V) | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|39% | 37% | – | 24% |
- Josh Mandel vs. Amy Acton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Josh Mandel (R) |
Amy Acton (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | March 18–19, 2021 | 700 (V) | ± 3.7% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|42% | 17% |
- Josh Mandel vs. Tim Ryan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Josh Mandel (R) |
Tim Ryan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|38% | 36% | 4% | 18% |
| 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|41% | 37% | 4% | 17% | ||
| Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | March 18–19, 2021 | 700 (V) | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|42% | 38% | – | 20% |
- Jane Timken vs. Amy Acton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Jane Timken (R) |
Amy Acton (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | March 18–19, 2021 | 700 (V) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
- Jane Timken vs. Tim Ryan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Jane Timken (R) |
Tim Ryan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|36% | 4% | 23% |
| 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|38% | 4% | 22% | ||
| Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | March 18–19, 2021 | 700 (V) | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|41% | 38% | – | 21% |
- J. D. Vance vs. Amy Acton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
J.D. Vance (R) |
Amy Acton (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | March 18–19, 2021 | 700 (V) | ± 3.7% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|40% | 22% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
County Results
- Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Hamilton (largest municipality: Cincinnati)
- Lorain (largest municipality: Lorain)
- Montgomery (largest municipality: Dayton)
- Summit (largest municipality: Akron)
By congressional district
Vance won 10 of 15 congressional districts.[91]
Voter demographics
According to exit polls by the National Election Pool, Vance won the election (53% to 47%), winning majority of white voters (59% to 40%), while Ryan received majorities of Black vote (86% to 13%) and, to smaller extent, Latino vote (59% to 41%).[92]
| Demographic subgroup | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Ryan | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Vance | No Answer |
% of Voters |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | ||||
| Men | 41 | 58 | 1 | 52 |
| Women | 53 | 47 | N/A | 48 |
| Age | ||||
| 18–24 years old | 59 | 41 | N/A | 4 |
| 25–29 years old | 59 | 40 | 1 | 6 |
| 30–39 years old | 54 | 45 | 1 | 12 |
| 40–49 years old | 47 | 53 | 1 | 16 |
| 50–64 years old | 42 | 58 | N/A | 31 |
| 65 and older | 44 | 55 | 1 | 31 |
| Race | ||||
| White | 40 | 59 | 1 | 83 |
| Black | 86 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
| Latino | 59 | 41 | N/A | 2 |
| Race by gender | ||||
| White men | 35 | 64 | 1 | 44 |
| White women | 46 | 53 | 1 | 39 |
| Black men | 83 | 15 | 2 | 6 |
| Black women | 88 | 11 | N/A | 6 |
| Education | ||||
| High school or less | 36 | 64 | N/A | 17 |
| Some college education | 46 | 53 | 1 | 25 |
| Associate degree | 44 | 55 | 1 | 15 |
| Bachelor's degree | 49 | 51 | N/A | 25 |
| Advanced degree | 57 | 43 | N/A | 17 |
| Party ID | ||||
| Democrats | 97 | 3 | N/A | 30 |
| Republicans | 8 | 92 | N/A | 41 |
| Independents | 50 | 49 | 1 | 29 |
| Ideology | ||||
| Liberals | 95 | 4 | 1 | 20 |
| Moderates | 56 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| Conservatives | 11 | 89 | N/A | 38 |
| Marital status | ||||
| Married | 47 | 53 | N/A | 64 |
| Unmarried | 54 | 45 | 1 | 36 |
| Gender by marital status | ||||
| Married men | 38 | 62 | N/A | 31 |
| Married women | 55 | 45 | N/A | 33 |
| Unmarried men | 45 | 53 | 2 | 18 |
| Unmarried women | 63 | 37 | N/A | 17 |
| Union household | ||||
| Yes | 56 | 43 | 1 | 21 |
| No | 44 | 55 | 1 | 79 |
| First-time midterm election voter | ||||
| Yes | 48 | 52 | N/A | 9 |
| No | 47 | 53 | N/A | 91 |
| Most important issue facing the country | ||||
| Crime | 41 | 59 | N/A | 8 |
| Inflation | 25 | 75 | N/A | 35 |
| Gun policy | 54 | 43 | 3 | 16 |
| Immigration | 12 | 88 | N/A | 9 |
| Abortion | 81 | 19 | N/A | 26 |
| Area type | ||||
| Urban | 58 | 42 | N/A | 33 |
| Suburban | 41 | 58 | 1 | 51 |
| Rural | 42 | 57 | 1 | 16 |
| Region | ||||
| Cleveland Area | 68 | 31 | 1 | 12 |
| North | 44 | 55 | 1 | 20 |
| West | 35 | 65 | N/A | 16 |
| Columbus Area | 60 | 40 | N/A | 19 |
| Cincinnati/Dayton Area | 41 | 58 | 1 | 20 |
| Ohio Valley | 35 | 65 | N/A | 13 |
| Source: CBS News[93] | ||||
See also
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Stephen Faris (I) for Senate
- Sam Ronan (I) for Senate
- Tim Ryan (D) for Senate Шаблон:Webarchive
- J. D. Vance (R) for Senate
Шаблон:2022 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 14,00 14,01 14,02 14,03 14,04 14,05 14,06 14,07 14,08 14,09 14,10 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 17,0 17,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 23,0 23,1 23,2 23,3 23,4 23,5 23,6 23,7 23,8 23,9 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 35,0 35,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 49,0 49,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 78,0 78,1 78,2 78,3 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
Категории:
- Английская Википедия
- Страницы с неработающими файловыми ссылками
- 2022 United States Senate elections
- United States Senate elections in Ohio
- 2022 Ohio elections
- Страницы, где используется шаблон "Навигационная таблица/Телепорт"
- Страницы с телепортом
- Википедия
- Статья из Википедии
- Статья из Английской Википедии
