Английская Википедия:Badulla Polling Division

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The Badulla Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Badulla Electoral District, in the Uva Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Badulla has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Badulla is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Badulla Badulla Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.18% SLPP 1.63%
2015 NDF NDF 2.93% NDF 1.14%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.83% UPFA 6.27%
2005 UNP UNP 2.37% UPFA 2.44%
1999 PA UNP 4.92% PA 0.29%
1994 PA PA 6.10% PA 0.47%
1988 UNP UNP 1.66% UNP 7.43%
1982 UNP UNP 1.92% UNP 2.20%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 6/8 2.86% 8/8 2.73%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Badulla[3] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 23,029 50.49% 276,211 49.29% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 19,912 43.66% 251,706 44.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 1,522 3.34% 14,806 2.64% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,144 2.51% 17,622 3.14% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 45,607 98.65% 560,345 98.77% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 623 1.35% 6,978 1.23% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 46,230 85.16% 567,323 86.25% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 54,289 657,766 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Badulla[4] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 22,659 52.41% 249,524 49.21% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 20,062 46.40% 249,243 49.15% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 513 1.19% 8,303 1.64% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 43,234 98.56% 507,070 98.47% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 630 1.44% 7,871 1.53% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 43,864 79.49% 514,941 79.51% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 55,185 647,628 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Badulla[5] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 19,799 51.57% 237,579 53.23% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 17,917 46.67% 198,835 44.55% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 676 1.76% 9,880 2.21% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 38,392 98.86% 446,294 98.66% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 441 1.14% 6,083 1.34% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 38,833 75.45% 452,377 75.62% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 51,468 598,190 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Badulla[6] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,624 50.85% 226,582 53.11% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 17,494 47.77% 192,734 45.18% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 505 1.38% 7,283 1.71% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 36,623 98.62% 426,599 98.43% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 512 1.38% 6,825 1.57% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 37,135 76.30% 433,424 78.67% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 48,670 550,926 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Badulla[7] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 16,039 51.58% 167,000 46.33% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 13,310 42.80% 172,884 47.97% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,125 3.62% 12,025 3.34% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 624 2.01% 8,512 2.36% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 31,098 97.24% 360,421 97.04% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 882 2.76% 10,979 2.96% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 31,980 75.09% 371,400 78.25% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 42,591 474,610 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Badulla[8] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 17,416 61.66% 182,810 55.27% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 10,210 36.15% 139,611 42.21% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 617 2.18% 8,351 2.52% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 28,243 96.72% 330,772 95.91% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 958 3.28% 14,093 4.09% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 29,201 72.93% 344,865 77.47% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 40,039 445,146 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Badulla[9] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 4,968 57.82% 80,779 60.09% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 3,160 36.78% 50,223 37.36% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 464 5.40% 3,422 2.55% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 8,592 97.89% 134,424 97.62% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 185 2.11% 3,276 2.38% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 8,777 27.49% 137,700 44.21% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 31,924 311,473 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Badulla[10] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 12,435 56.52% 141,062 58.67% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 8,485 38.56% 88,462 36.79% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 717 3.26% 7,713 3.21% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 253 1.15% 2,115 0.88% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 113 0.51% 1,088 0.45% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 22,003 98.97% 240,440 98.77% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 228 1.03% 2,982 1.23% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 22,231 81.08% 243,422 85.47% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 27,419 284,801 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Badulla has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Badulla is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Badulla Badulla Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UNP UNP 0.86% UNP 6.84%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.30% UPFA 3.32%
2004 UNP UNP 1.44% UPFA 4.28%
2001 UNP UNP 2.81% UNP 2.31%
2000 PA UNP 3.61% PA 1.52%
1994 UNP UNP 5.03% PA 2.30%
1989 UNP UNP 4.08% UNP 2.10%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 4/7 2.73% 7/7 3.24%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Badulla[13] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,526 55.63% 258,844 54.82% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 15,023 37.10% 179,459 38.01% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,251 5.56% 21,445 4.54% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 690 1.70% 12,418 2.63% 94,052 0.84%
Valid Votes 40,490 96.30% 472,166 95.03% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,522 3.62% 24,167 4.86% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 42,044 76.19% 496,849 80.07% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 55,185 620,486 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Badulla[14] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 18,670 57.63% 203,689 58.25% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 11,314 34.92% 112,886 32.28% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,655 5.11% 15,768 4.51% 441,251 5.50%
UPF 598 1.85% 11,481 3.28% 24,670 0.31%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 161 0.50% 5,854 1.67% 28,670 0.36%
Valid Votes 32,398 95.83% 349,678 93.54% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 1,409 4.17% 24,169 6.46% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 33,807 65.69% 373,847 62.46% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 51,468 598,521 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Badulla[15] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 15,825 48.35% 181,705 49.09% 3,486,792 37.73%
UPFA 15,103 46.14% 178,634 48.26% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 1,586 4.85% 6,932 1.87% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 217 0.66% 2,907 0.79% 57,589 0.62%
Valid Votes 32,731 94.30% 370,178 92.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 1,980 5.70% 30,159 7.53% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 34,711 74.05% 400,337 78.33% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 46,872 511,115 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Badulla[16] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,240 49.70% 201,173 53.81% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 12,518 38.31% 138,443 37.03% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 2,851 8.72% 26,820 7.17% 815,353 9.10%
IND3 817 2.50% 5,065 1.35% 6,161 0.07%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 251 0.77% 2,336 0.62% 73,230 0.82%
Valid Votes 32,677 94.55% 373,837 93.35% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 1,884 5.45% 26,626 6.65% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 34,561 75.89% 400,463 81.51% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 45,540 491,288 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Badulla[17] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 14,638 46.58% 154,172 42.71% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 13,312 42.36% 167,351 46.36% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 1,778 5.66% 16,414 4.55% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 637 2.03% 5,935 1.64% 245,839 2.86%
CWC 631 2.01% 12,092 3.35% 22,985 0.27%
NUA 430 1.37% 5,052 1.40% 185,593 2.16%
Valid Votes 31,426 N/A 361,016 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Badulla[18] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 14,147 48.85% 182,131 54.04% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 14,070 48.58% 146,546 43.48% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 404 1.39% 4,827 1.43% 133,427 1.68%
SLPF 340 1.17% 3,555 1.05% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 28,961 93.73% 337,059 92.19% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,937 6.27% 28,540 7.81% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 30,898 77.17% 365,599 82.23% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 40,039 444,632 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Badulla[19] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 10,874 52.74% 135,089 58.97% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 7,154 34.70% 81,011 35.36% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 1,704 8.26% 5,712 2.49% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 716 3.47% 5,589 2.44% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 171 0.83% 1,693 0.74% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 20,619 93.81% 229,094 92.08% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,360 6.19% 19,704 7.92% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 21,979 70.94% 248,798 75.55% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 30,982 329,321 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Badulla Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (70.0%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (14.6%) . In comparison, the Badulla Electoral District (which contains the Badulla Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (73.0%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (18.5%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Badulla Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (68.8%), a significant Hindu population (18.0%) and a significant Muslim population (10.3%) . In comparison, the Badulla Electoral District (which contains the Badulla Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (72.6%) and a significant Hindu population (19.3%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

  1. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Badulla and the Badulla Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Badulla and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. Шаблон:Cite web
  4. Шаблон:Cite web
  5. Шаблон:Cite web
  6. Шаблон:Cite web
  7. Шаблон:Cite web
  8. Шаблон:Cite web
  9. Шаблон:Cite web
  10. Шаблон:Cite web
  11. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Badulla and the Badulla Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Badulla and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. Шаблон:Cite web
  14. Шаблон:Cite web
  15. Шаблон:Cite web
  16. Шаблон:Cite web
  17. Шаблон:Cite web
  18. Шаблон:Cite web
  19. Шаблон:Cite web
  20. 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web