Английская Википедия:Horowpothana Polling Division

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The Horowpothana Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Anuradhapura Electoral District, in the North Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Horowpothana has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Horowpothana is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Horowpothana Anuradhapura Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 4.67% SLPP 1.79%
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.60% NDF 5.27%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.18% UPFA 7.02%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.33% UPFA 3.42%
1999 PA PA 0.86% PA 1.93%
1994 PA PA 1.11% PA 2.74%
1988 SLFP SLFP 7.32% UNP 15.55%
1982 UNP UNP 1.45% UNP 3.46%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 2.31% 8/8 5.15%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana[3] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 36,698 54.42% 342,223 58.97% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 27,274 40.44% 202,348 34.87% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 1,967 2.92% 22,879 3.94% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,499 2.22% 12,896 2.22% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 67,438 99.29% 580,346 99.16% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 484 0.71% 4,916 0.84% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 67,922 85.81% 585,262 85.76% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 79,155 682,450 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana[4] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 31,847 52.90% 281,161 53.59% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 27,662 45.95% 238,407 45.44% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 692 1.15% 5,065 0.97% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 60,201 99.23% 524,633 99.15% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 468 0.77% 4,500 0.85% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 60,669 74.81% 529,133 77.71% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 81,099 680,877 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana[5] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,622 65.05% 298,448 66.32% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 17,054 32.99% 143,761 31.94% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,011 1.96% 7,829 1.74% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 51,687 99.32% 450,038 99.17% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 356 0.68% 3,785 0.83% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 52,043 70.72% 453,823 73.65% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 73,590 616,186 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana[6] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,330 53.72% 231,040 55.08% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 22,027 44.94% 182,956 43.62% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 654 1.33% 5,438 1.30% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 49,011 99.03% 419,434 98.92% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 481 0.97% 4,563 1.08% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 49,492 72.71% 423,997 75.41% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 68,066 562,259 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana[7] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,075 53.55% 189,073 54.14% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 17,732 41.15% 139,180 39.86% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,579 3.66% 14,612 4.18% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 701 1.63% 6,336 1.81% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 43,087 98.42% 349,201 98.05% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 690 1.58% 6,949 1.95% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 43,777 74.48% 356,150 75.63% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 58,774 470,907 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana[8] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 26,000 65.19% 200,146 63.99% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 13,287 33.31% 107,342 34.32% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 599 1.50% 5,309 1.70% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 39,886 98.56% 312,797 98.05% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 581 1.44% 6,205 1.95% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 40,467 77.86% 319,002 76.16% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 51,975 418,857 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana[9] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 7,038 62.99% 73,154 55.15% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 4,023 36.01% 56,951 42.94% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 112 1.00% 2,529 1.91% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 11,173 97.86% 132,634 98.36% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 244 2.14% 2,207 1.64% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 11,417 26.69% 134,841 40.18% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 42,773 335,551 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana[10] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 15,259 48.85% 117,873 49.84% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 13,029 41.71% 102,973 43.54% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,719 8.71% 13,911 5.88% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 227 0.73% 1,766 0.75% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 31,234 98.90% 236,523 99.04% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 347 1.10% 2,294 0.96% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 31,581 86.15% 238,817 84.68% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 36,657 282,018 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Horowpothana has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Horowpothana is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Horowpothana Anuradhapura Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UNP UPFA 2.55% UNP 2.47%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.79% UPFA 3.44%
2004 UPFA UPFA 0.96% UPFA 6.68%
2001 UNP UNP 0.92% UNP 2.39%
2000 PA PA 2.26% PA 1.25%
1994 PA PA 0.31% PA 3.38%
1989 UNP UNP 0.46% UNP 5.60%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 6/7 1.32% 7/7 3.60%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horowpothana[13] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,086 47.87% 213,072 44.85% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 25,089 46.04% 229,856 48.39% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,707 4.97% 28,701 6.04% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 616 1.13% 3,418 0.72% 80,543 0.72%
Valid Votes 54,498 93.99% 475,047 94.28% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,421 5.90% 28,462 5.65% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 57,984 71.50% 503,845 79.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 81,099 636,733 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horowpothana[14] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 23,499 65.58% 221,204 66.52% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 10,186 28.43% 80,360 24.17% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,790 5.00% 18,129 5.45% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 357 1.00% 12,845 3.86% 30,824 0.38%
Valid Votes 35,832 94.05% 332,538 93.55% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,268 5.95% 22,930 6.45% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 38,100 51.77% 355,468 57.35% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 73,590 619,845 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horowpothana[15] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 24,924 56.63% 212,943 57.22% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 18,231 41.42% 148,612 39.94% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 500 1.14% 8,034 2.16% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 358 0.81% 2,536 0.68% 51,070 0.55%
Valid Votes 44,013 95.02% 372,125 94.59% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,309 4.98% 21,281 5.41% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 46,322 70.74% 393,406 76.52% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 65,482 514,149 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horowpothana[16] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,699 47.37% 165,055 45.93% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 18,007 41.21% 149,393 41.57% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 4,454 10.19% 40,005 11.13% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 537 1.23% 4,891 1.36% 108,710 1.21%
Valid Votes 43,697 94.92% 359,344 94.78% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,340 5.08% 19,796 5.22% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 46,037 73.79% 379,140 77.41% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 62,393 489,776 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horowpothana[17] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 19,196 44.61% 169,424 48.30% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 18,084 42.02% 144,662 41.24% 3,451,765 40.12%
NUA 2,885 6.70% 9,369 2.67% 185,593 2.16%
JVP 2,295 5.33% 21,274 6.06% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 575 1.34% 6,042 1.72% 245,927 2.86%
Valid Votes 43,035 N/A 350,771 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horowpothana[18] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,825 55.54% 180,454 55.19% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 17,966 43.72% 142,084 43.45% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 307 0.75% 4,446 1.36% 158,616 2.00%
Valid Votes 41,098 96.36% 326,984 95.72% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,552 3.64% 14,620 4.28% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 42,650 82.06% 341,604 81.54% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 51,975 418,959 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horowpothana[19] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 10,563 56.97% 92,726 56.39% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 7,275 39.24% 64,010 38.92% 1,785,369 31.90%
IND 464 2.50% 4,057 2.47% 12,285 0.22%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 238 1.28% 3,652 2.22% 300,186 5.36%
Valid Votes 18,540 94.30% 164,445 92.03% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,121 5.70% 14,245 7.97% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 19,661 46.60% 178,690 53.49% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 42,195 334,073 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Horowpothana Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (84.1%) and a significant Moor population (15.6%) . In comparison, the Anuradhapura Electoral District (which contains the Horowpothana Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.0%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Horowpothana Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (83.8%) and a significant Muslim population (15.6%) . In comparison, the Anuradhapura Electoral District (which contains the Horowpothana Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (90.1%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

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  1. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Horowpothana and the Anuradhapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Horowpothana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  4. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  5. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  6. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  7. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  9. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  10. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  11. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Horowpothana and the Anuradhapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Horowpothana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  14. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  15. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  16. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  17. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  18. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  19. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  20. ↑ 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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