Английская Википедия:2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming

Материал из Онлайн справочника
Версия от 23:28, 21 декабря 2023; EducationBot (обсуждение | вклад) (Новая страница: «{{Английская Википедия/Панель перехода}} {{Short description|Election in Wyoming}} {{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}} {{main|2004 United States presidential election}} {{Infobox election | election_name = 2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming | country = Wyoming | type = presidential | ongoing = no | previous_election = 2000 United States presidential election in Wyoming | previous_year = 2000 | next_elec...»)
(разн.) ← Предыдущая версия | Текущая версия (разн.) | Следующая версия → (разн.)
Перейти к навигацииПерейти к поиску

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Wyoming sidebar The 2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose three representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Wyoming was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 39.8% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. This was based on pre-election polling, the fact that the last Democrat to win here was Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964, and how Bush carried this state in 2000 with almost 68% of the vote. On election day Bush won every county with over 65% except for Teton County, which Kerry won with 53% and Albany County, which Bush won with 54% of the vote. Bush thus became the first ever Republican to win the White House without carrying Teton County.

With 68.86% of the popular vote, Wyoming would prove to be Bush's second strongest state in the 2004 election after neighboring Utah.[1]

Caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]

Source Ranking
D.C. Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating
Associated Press Шаблон:USRaceRating
CNN Шаблон:USRaceRating
Cook Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating
Newsweek Шаблон:USRaceRating
New York Times Шаблон:USRaceRating
Rasmussen Reports Шаблон:USRaceRating
Research 2000 Шаблон:USRaceRating
Washington Post Шаблон:USRaceRating
Washington Times Шаблон:USRaceRating
Zogby International Шаблон:USRaceRating
Washington Dispatch Шаблон:USRaceRating

Polling

Only one pre-election poll was conducted. It showed Bush leading Kerry 65% to 29%.[3]

Fundraising

Bush raised $531,380.[4] Kerry raised $466,535.[5]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.[6][7]

Analysis

Wyoming is a Republican bastion. The last Democrat to win a senate election was Gale W. McGee in 1970. The last Democrat to win the at-large seat was Teno Roncalio in 1978. The last time the Democrats controlled the Wyoming House of Representatives was 1966. The last time Democrats controlled the Wyoming Senate was 1938. The state, however, did elect Democratic governors from 1974 to 2010 with only an eight-year interruption of Jim Geringer's tenure from 1995 to 2003.

In presidential elections, Wyoming is one of the most reliable red states in the country. The last Democrat to carry the state, or even crack the 40% mark, was LBJ in 1964, and before that was Harry S. Truman in 1948. Since 1968, every Republican carried this state by a double-digit margin of victory, except in 1992. As far as popular vote percentage, the 2004 results were the third best performance by the Republican party since 1964, behind only Richard Nixon (69.0%) in 1972 and Ronald Reagan (70.5%) in 1984. With regards to the margin of victory, the 2004 election (at 39.8%) was also the third best performance, behind only George W. Bush (40.1%) in 2000 and Ronald Reagan (42.3%) in 1984.

CNN exit polls showed 72% of the state approved of Bush, and 69% approved of his decision to go to war.[8]

Results

2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming[9]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican George W. Bush (Inc.) Dick Cheney 167,629 68.86% 3
Democratic John Kerry John Edwards 70,776 29.07% 0
Independent Ralph Nader Peter Camejo 2,741 1.13% 0
Libertarian Michael Badnarik Richard Campagna 1,171 0.48% 0
Independent Michael Peroutka Chuck Baldwin 631 0.26% 0
Write Ins 480 0.20% 0
Totals 243,428 100.00% 3
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 64.1%

By county

County George W. Bush
Republican
John Kerry
Democratic
Others Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Albany Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 9,006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 54.17% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 7,117 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 42.81% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 501 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 3.01% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 1,889 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 11.36% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 16,624
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Big Horn Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 4,232 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 80.11% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 960 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 18.17% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 91 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 1.72% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 3,272 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 61.94% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 5,283
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Campbell Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 12,415 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 82.22% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 2,464 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 16.32% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 220 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 1.46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 9,951 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 65.90% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 15,099
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Carbon Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 4,758 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 67.23% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 2,158 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 30.49% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 161 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 2.27% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 2,600 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 36.74% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 7,077
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Converse Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 4,447 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 77.68% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 1,184 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 20.68% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 94 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 1.64% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 3,263 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 57.00% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 5,725
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Crook Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 2,836 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 83.51% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 501 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 14.75% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 59 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 1.74% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 2,335 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 68.76% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 3,396
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Fremont Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 11,429 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 66.85% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 5,338 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 31.22% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 329 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 1.92% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 6,091 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 35.63% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 17,096
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Goshen Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 4,114 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 71.19% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 1,566 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 27.10% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 99 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 1.71% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 2,548 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 44.09% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 5,779
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Hot Springs Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 1,812 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 73.06% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 623 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 25.12% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 45 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 1.81% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 1,189 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 47.94% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 2,480
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Johnson Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 3,231 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 80.96% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 676 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 16.94% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 84 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 2.10% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 2,555 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 64.02% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 3,991
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Laramie Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 25,951 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 65.07% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 13,171 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 33.03% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 757 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 1.90% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 12,780 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 32.04% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 39,879
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Lincoln Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 6,423 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 81.16% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 1,364 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 17.24% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 127 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 1.60% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 5,059 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 63.92% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 7,914
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Natrona Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 21,512 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 67.08% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 9,863 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 30.76% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 693 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 2.16% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 11,649 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 36.32% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 32,068
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Niobrara Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 1,064 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 80.97% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 230 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 17.50% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 20 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 1.52% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 834 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 63.47% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 1,314
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Park Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 10,917 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 76.71% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 3,007 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 21.13% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 307 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 2.16% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 7,910 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 55.58% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 14,231
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Platte Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 3,149 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 68.85% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 1,328 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 29.03% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 97 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 2.12% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 1,821 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 39.82% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 4,574
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Sheridan Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 9,689 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 69.06% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 4,066 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 28.98% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 274 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 1.95% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 5,623 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 40.08% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 14,029
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Sublette Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 2,847 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 77.98% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 730 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 19.99% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 74 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 2.03% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 2,117 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 57.99% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 3,651
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Sweetwater Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 10,653 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 65.47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 5,208 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 32.01% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 411 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 2.53% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 5,445 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 33.46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 16,272
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| Teton Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 5,124 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 45.11% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 5,972 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 52.58% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 263 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 2.32% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| -848 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| -7.47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 11,359
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Uinta Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 6,081 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 75.25% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 1,815 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 22.46% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 185 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 2.29% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 4,266 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 52.79% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 8,081
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Washakie Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 3,200 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 77.78% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 855 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 20.78% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 59 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 1.43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 2,345 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 57.00% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 4,114
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| Weston Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 2,739 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 80.75% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 580 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 17.10% Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 73 Шаблон:Party shading/Other| 2.15% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 2,159 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 63.65% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 3,392
Total 167,629 68.86% 70,776 29.07% 5,023 2.06% 96,853 39.79% 243,428
Файл:Wyoming County Flips 2004.svg
County Flips: Шаблон:Col-begin Шаблон:Col-2 Democratic Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Col-2 Republican Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Col-end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District Bush Kerry Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|At-large 68.9% 29.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Barbara Cubin

Electors

Шаблон:Main

Technically the voters of Wyoming cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Wyoming is allocated three electors because it has one congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of three electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all three electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All three were pledged for Bush/Cheney.[10]

  1. Linda Barker
  2. Jack Van Mark
  3. Mike Baker

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:State results of the 2004 U.S. presidential election Шаблон:2004 U.S. presidential election