Английская Википедия:2006 United States Senate election in Arizona

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Arizona sidebar The 2006 United States Senate election in Arizona was held November 7, 2006. The primary elections were held September 12. Incumbent Republican Jon Kyl won re-election to a third term. This election was the only time since 1970 that an incumbent Republican Senator from Arizona was re-elected to this seat.

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Jon Kyl, incumbent U.S. Senator since 1995

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

Campaign

The incumbent, Republican Jon Kyl, was elected to the Senate in 1994 and was re-elected to a second term in 2000; prior to that he spent eight years in the US House of Representatives. Kyl's Democratic opponent for the general election was wealthy real-estate developer Jim Pederson, who served as the Arizona Democratic Party Chairman from 2001 to 2005. During his tenure, Pederson spent millions of dollars of his own money to help Democrats modernize and to elect Janet Napolitano as Governor of Arizona. The deadline for signing petition signatures to appear on the September 12, 2006, primary ballot was June 14, 2006.

Not long after the 2004 election, Pederson's name began being mentioned as a potential Senate candidate for the 2006 race. On July 28, 2005, Pederson formally stepped down as Chairman of the Arizona Democratic Party, further fueling those speculations. In early September 2005, an e-mail was sent from the Arizona Democratic Party's website, inviting people to an announcement by Pederson on September 7. In an anticlimactic move, an e-mail was sent out shortly after the first saying that the announcement would be postponed due to Hurricane Katrina. It was requested that any money that would be donated to Pederson's campaign at the announcement be directed to relief efforts instead. Similarly, a meeting in Arizona of the Democratic National Committee (DNC) was scheduled for around the same time. It was also postponed and the same request was made involving donations. On September 7, 2005, Pederson filed to run for the U.S. Senate. On September 14, 2005, Pederson formally announced his intention to run, in his hometown of Casa Grande.

Although Kyl started the campaign with a sizable lead in most polls, the gap quickly narrowed, especially after Pederson released his array of ads.

Debates

Fundraising

The race was one of the most expensive in Arizona history. As of May 7, 2006, Kyl's campaign had raised over $9 million, primarily from private donations from Oil and Energy companies and large fundraising dinners. Pederson's campaign had raised over $5 million, primarily through a dinner event with former President Clinton and a $2 million donation from Pederson.[1]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[2] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[3] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report[4] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Source Date Kyl (R) Pederson (D) Mack (L)
Arizona State University October 28, 2005 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 28%
Rasmussen Шаблон:Webarchive December 26, 2005 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 30%
Behavior Research Center January 22, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% 26%
SurveyUSA February 27, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 57% 33%
Zogby/WSJ March 30, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 42%
Rasmussen April 4, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 56% 33%
Arizona State University/KAET-TV April 20–23, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% 31%
Rasmussen April 30, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 35%
SurveyUSA May 8, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 37%
Behavior Research CenterШаблон:Dead link May 18, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40% 33%
Rasmussen June 11, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 35%
Arizona State University/KAET-TV June 20, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 29%
Zogby/WSJ June 21, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 42%
SurveyUSA July 17, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 40%
Zogby/WSJ July 24, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 40%
Behavior Research Center July 26, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 27%
Rasmussen Шаблон:Webarchive August 2, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% 34%
Zogby/WSJ August 28, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 44%
Arizona State University/KAET-TV August 29, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 36%
Rasmussen Шаблон:Webarchive August 31, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 35%
Harstad Strategic Research (D) September 7, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 41%
Zogby/WSJ September 11, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 44%
Rasmussen September 18, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 39%
SurveyUSA September 19, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 43% 2%
Arizona State University/KAET-TV September 26, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 38% 2%
Zogby/WSJ September 28, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 44%
Behavior Research Center October 4, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40% 34%
Northern Arizona University October 17, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 33% 2%
SurveyUSA October 17, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 43% 4%
Rasmussen October 19, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 42%
Zogby/WSJ October 19, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 44%
Arizona State University/KAET-TV October 24, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 41% 3%
Zimmerman/Marketing Intelligence Шаблон:Webarchive October 25–30, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 41% 4%
SurveyUSA November 3, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% 40% 4%
Mason-Dixon/MSNBC-McClatchy November 5, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 41% 3%

Results

Pederson lost the election by 9.84% or 150,257 votes, despite Democratic Incumbent Governor Janet Napolitano easily being re-elected and winning every county statewide. While Pederson lost it was still notable, as it was the worst performance of Senator Kyl's career. Kyl did well as Republicans usually do in Maricopa County home of Phoenix. Pederson did well in Pima County home of Tucson which tends to support Democrats. Kyl was called the winner by CNN at around 8 P.M. local time, 11 P.M. EST. Pederson called Senator Kyl and conceded defeat at 9:02 P.M. local time, 12:02 A.M. EST. Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box majority Шаблон:Election box turnout Шаблон:Election box hold with party link Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:2006 United States elections Шаблон:Arizona elections, 2006 Шаблон:Elections in Arizona footer