Английская Википедия:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New York

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Unreliable sources Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNY The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New York were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012 to elect the twenty-seven U.S. representatives from the state, one from each of the state's twenty seven congressional districts, a loss of two seats following the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election. The two existing districts that were eliminated were District 9, held by Republican Rep. Bob Turner,[1][2] and District 22, held by retiring Democratic Rep. Maurice Hinchey.[3][4]

Party primary elections occurred June 26, 2012,[5] with the general election coinciding with the national elections on November 6, 2012.

On election day, the Democratic Party regained two seats previously held by Republicans, while the Republican Party regained one seat previously held by a Democrat.[6] In the 113th Congress, which first met on January 3, 2013, the New York delegation initially consisted of 21 Democrats and six Republicans.[7][8]

Шаблон:Horizontal TOC

Redistricting

Each caucus in the New York State Legislature submitted their proposed 27-district maps to an appointed special master on February 29, 2012.[9] On March 6, the special master Judge Roanne L. Mann released her own proposed map, and slightly revised them again on March 12.[10][11] On March 19, the United States District Court for the Eastern District of New York imposed the special master's maps, with minor modifications.[12][13]

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in New York, 2012[14]
Party Votes Percentage Seats +/–
Democratic 4,127,348 58.00% 21 -
Republican 2,252,253 31.65% 6 -2
Green 41,672 0.59% 0 -
Conservative 23,414 0.33% 0 -
Socialist Workers 5,533 0.08% 0 -
Libertarian 2,986 0.04% 0 -
Others 663,130 9.32% 0 -
Totals 7,116,336 100.00% 27 -2

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District 1

Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Tim Bishop, who was first elected in 2002, kicked off his re-election campaign in April 2011.[15]

In March 2011, Bishop was included in a list of potentially vulnerable Democrats by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, having only won by 593 votes in 2010.[16]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Bishop also had the endorsement of the Working Families Party.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Primary results

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Altschuler also had the endorsement of the Conservative Party and Independence Party.

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Disqualified
  • Rick Witt

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Bishop (D)
Randy
Altschuler (R)
Undecided
McLaughlin (R-Altschuler) October 14–15, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 9%
McLaughlin (R-Prosperity First) October 10–11, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 5%
Siena College September 5–10, 2012 624 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 39% 9%
Global Strategy (D-Bishop) August 26–28, 2012 402 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 39% 8%
Pulse Opinion Research (R-Altschuler) July 29, 2012 1,000 ± 3.0% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 10%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU) July 17–18, 2012 407 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 32% 12%
Global Strategy (D-Bishop) March 20–25, 2012 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 36% 11%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[19] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Roll Call[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
NY Times[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
RCP[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
The Hill[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012

Results

On election day, Bishop prevailed by a 52.2%-47.8% margin.[7]

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District 2

Шаблон:See also Republican incumbent Peter King, who was redistricted from the 3rd district, said in May 2011 that the Nassau County Republican Party had encouraged him to run for president. King also said, however, that he was focused "entirely on getting re-elected to Congress."[26]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Disqualified
  • Paul Mourino

King had the endorsement of the Conservative Party and Independence Party.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Vivianne Falcone, teacher
Declined

Falcone also had the endorsement of the Working Families Party.

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

King won re-election by a margin of more than 15%.[7] Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 3

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Democratic incumbent Steve Israel ran for re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Israel, also has the endorsement of the Working Families Party and the Independence Party.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Stephen LaBate, U.S. Army reservist and financial planning advisor
Disqualified
  • Robert Previdi, teacher

Conservative Party also endorsed LaBate.[28]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Michael McDermott

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 4

Шаблон:See also Democratic incumbent Carolyn McCarthy, who had represented the 4th district since 1997, ran for another term.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

The Independence Party and Working Families Party endorsed McCarthy.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Fran Becker, Nassau County Legislator and nominee for this seat in 2010
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

On June 26, 2012, Nassau County Legislator Fran Becker, defeated Frank Scaturro in a primary election for the Republican nomination, while Scaturro defeated Becker in the Conservative Party primary as a write-in candidate.

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General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 5

Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks ran for re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Alan Jennings, former New York City Council member
  • Joseph Marthone, small-business owner
  • Michael Scala, rapper

Primary results

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Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Catherine Wark

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 6

Шаблон:See also The 6th district was an open seat, consisting mostly of territory from the former 5th and 9th districts. Neither of the two incumbents in those districts, Democrat Gary Ackerman from the 5th and Republican Bob Turner from the 9th, sought re-election. Ackerman, who represented most of the territory in the newly-drawn 6th, retired,[29] while Turner dropped out of the race in March 2012 to run against incumbent Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand in the Senate election.[30]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Primary results

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The Working Families Party endorsed Lancman.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 7

Шаблон:See also Incumbent Nydia Velazquez, who was redistricted from the 12th district, ran for re-election.

Democratic primary

New York City Councilman Erik Martin Dilan, the son of current New York State Senator Martin Malave Dilan, challenged Velazquez in the primary with the backing of Brooklyn Democratic Party chairman Vito Lopez; the Dilan family and Velazquez supporters having been engaged in a political feud for several years.[35][36]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Primary results

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Conservative primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • James Murray

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 8

Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Edolphus Towns, who was redistricted from the 10th district and was first elected in 1982, announced in April 2012 that he would abandon his plans for re-election.[39]

Democratic primary

Towns's son Darryl, a former member of the New York State Assembly, was formerly considered the "next in line" for the seat; however in 2011 he accepted a position in the administration of Governor Andrew Cuomo.[40]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Primary results

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Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Alan Bellone

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 9

Democrat Yvette Clarke, who was redistricted from the 11th district and has represented that district since 2007, sought re-election in her new district.

Democratic primary

Sylvia Kinard, an attorney and the ex-wife of Bill Thompson (a current/former Democratic nominee for Mayor of New York City), challenged Clarke.[49]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Sylvia Kinard, attorney

Primary results

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Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Daniel Cavanaugh

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 10

Шаблон:See also The new 10th district is located in New York City and includes the Upper West Side of Manhattan, the west side of Lower Manhattan, including Greenwich Village and the Financial District, and parts of Brooklyn, including Borough Park. Incumbent Democrat Jerrold Nadler, who had represented the 8th district since 1993 and the 17th district from 1992 to 1993, ran for re-election. He was re-elected in 2010 with 76% of the vote and the district had a PVI of D+24

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 11

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Republican Michael Grimm, who was redistricted from the 13th district and was first elected in 2010, sought re-election.[50]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
Declined

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Henry "Hank" Bardel

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Michael
Grimm (R)
Mark
Murphy (D)
Henry
Bardel (G)
Undecided
Siena College October 27–28, 2012 627 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% 34% 5% 9%
Siena College September 19–23, 2012 621 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 38% 6% 8%
Global Strategy (D-Murphy) June 22–25, 2012 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 32% 21%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Roll Call[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
NY Times[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
RCP[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
The Hill[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012

Results

Grimm won re-election by a margin of 52.8% to 46.2%.[7]

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District 12

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Carolyn Maloney, who was redistricted from the 14th district, ran for re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Christopher Wight, investor

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 13

Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Charles B. Rangel, who was redistricted from the 15th district and was censured by the House of Representatives after being found guilty of ethics violations, filed to run for re-election in February 2011.[63]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Primary results

On the night of the June 26 primary, it seemed as though the incumbent Rangel had defeated his closest challenger, State Senator Espaillat, by a 45%-40% margin; Rangel celebrated victory and Espaillat conceded defeat.[67] However, as the counting continued, that margin narrowed considerably. A number of precincts were very late in reporting and Espaillat went to court claiming irregularities in that his supporters had been improperly turned away from polling locations.[67][68] On Saturday July 7, 2012, Rangel received the primary victory by a margin of 990 votes. The New York City Board of Elections released that Rangel received 18,940 votes and Espaillat had 17,950.[68] On July 9, 2012, Espaillat conceded the election to Rangel.[68]

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Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Craig Schley, community activist

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 14

Шаблон:See also The redrawn 14th district runs from Newtown Creek in Sunnyside and over LaGuardia Airport and over the three Long Island Sound bridges to the Pelham, Westchester, border. Incumbent Democrat Joe Crowley, who has been redistricted from the 7th district ran for re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • William Gibbons

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 15

Шаблон:See also José E. Serrano, incumbent representative for the 16th district, ran for an 11th term.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Frank Della Valle

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 16

Шаблон:See also Eliot Engel, incumbent representative for the 17th district, ran for a 12th term.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Aniello Grimaldi

Primary results

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Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joseph McLaughlin
Declined

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 17

Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Nita Lowey, who was redistricted from the 18th district, ran for re-election.[71]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Republican primary

Mark Rosen who ran against in Lowey 2010, but was forced to drop out of the race after being deployed to Afghanistan, was expected to seek the Republican nomination.[73] Rosen retired from the Army, eliminating the threat of redeployment during election cycle, but was redistricted out of the district and choose not to run against Lowey a second time.

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joe Carvin, Rye town supervisor, and candidate for senate in 2012[74]
Eliminated in primary
  • Jim Russell, computer programmer, conservative Christian activist and nominee for this seat in 2010
Declined

Primary results

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Independents

Frank Morganthaler, former Lieutenant of NYFD and private investigator, challenged Nita Lowey and ran on an independent line, We the People. Шаблон:Citation needed

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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District 18

Шаблон:See also Republican Nan Hayworth, who was redistricted from the 19th district and has represented that district since January 2011, ran for re-election.[71]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Anne Jacobs Moultrie, registered nurse and vice president of Local 1199[77]
Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Primary results

Maloney, won the Democratic primary with 48% of the vote on June 26, 2012.

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nan
Hayworth (R)
Sean
Maloney (D)
Undecided
Siena College October 16–17, 2012 615 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 42% 9%
Global Strategy (D-Maloney) October 4–7, 2012 403 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% 42% 14%
Public Policy Polling (D-NY AFl-CIO) September 19–20, 2012 602 ± 4.0% 43% 43% 13%
Siena CollegeШаблон:Dead link September 12–16, 2012 628 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 33% 21%
Tarrance (R-Hayworth) August 26–28, 2012 408 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% 42% 7%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU) July 25–29, 2012 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 45% 7%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Roll Call[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
NY Times[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
RCP[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
The Hill[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012

Results

On election day, Maloney won by a narrow margin,[7] becoming New York's first openly LGBQ+ Member of Congress.[81]

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 19

Шаблон:See also Republican Chris Gibson, who was redistricted from the 20th district, has represented that district since 2011. With redistricting settled, the new 19th district went from being a Republican-leaning district to being a swing district.[82] Because of the dissolution of Maurice Hinchey's district, much of that district, including all of Ulster and Sullivan counties, was dissolved into this new district.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Candidates

Nominee
  • Julian Schreibman, former federal prosecutor and Ulster County Democratic Party chairman
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Primary results

Schreibman prevailed in the Democratic primary.[87] Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chris
Gibson (R)
Julian
Schreibman (D)
Undecided
Siena College October 27–28, 2012 649 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 43% 9%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Gibson) October 24–25, 2012 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 39% %
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Gibson) October 9–10, 2012 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 39% 11%
Grove Insight (D-DCCC) October 5–7, 2012 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 41% 16%
OnMessage (R-NRCC) September 30–October 1, 2012 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 39% 16%
Siena College September 17–18, 2012 635 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% 36% 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Gibson) July 25–26, 2012 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% 36% 10%
Global Strategy (D-Schreibman) July 18–22, 2012 402 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% 32% 24%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Roll Call[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
NY Times[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
RCP[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
The Hill[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 20

Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko ran for re-election in his heavily Democratic, mostly unchanged, district that was formerly numbered as the 21st.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 21

Шаблон:See also Democratic incumbent Bill Owens (who was redistricted from the 23rd district), ran for re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Matt Doheny a businessman who came within 2,000 votes of beating Owens in 2010, faced Kellie Greene, an Oswego County native and theologian who most recently lived in Arizona, in the primary.

Candidates

Nominee
  • Matt Doheny, businessman and nominee for this seat in 2010[88][89]
Eliminated in primary
  • Kellie Greene, Oswego County native and theologian[90]
Withdrawn
  • Tim Stampfler, corrections officer[91]
Declined

Primary results

Doheny defeated Greene in the Republican primary.[94] Hassig dropped out of the race November 3, endorsing Owens, but remained on the ballot.[95]

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Doheny secured the Independence Party line[96] and the Conservative Party lines, the latter of which he did not have in 2010.[97]

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Donald Hassig, anti-cancer activist[98]

Hassig appeared on the Green line despite the party's disavowal of him over his stance on immigration.[99]

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Owens (D)
Matthew
Doheny (R)
Donald
Hassig (G)
Undecided
Siena College October 29–30, 2012 629 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 43% 4% 9%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Doheny) October 24–25, 2012 400 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 40% 18%
Global Strategy (D-Owens) October 21–23, 2012 403 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 40% 13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Doheny/NRCC) October 1–2, 2012 400 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 40% 15%
Global Strategy (D-Owens) September 30–October 2, 2012 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 36% 14%
Siena College September 4–6, 2012 638 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 36% 6% 8%
Anzalone Liszt (D-DCCC) July 29–31, 2012 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 38% 4% 8%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Roll Call[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
NY Times[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
RCP[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
The Hill[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 22

Шаблон:See also Republican Richard Hanna, who was redistricted from the 24th district having represented that district since 2011, ran for re-election.

Republican primary

Hanna defeated Michael Kicinski, who was backed by Carl Paladino, Doug Hoffman and other Tea Party activists, in the Republican primary.[100][101]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Michael Kicinski, Tea Party activist and electronics engineer.
Withdrawn
  • Tom Engel
  • George Phillips

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Roll Call[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
NY Times[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
RCP[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
The Hill[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 23

Шаблон:See also Incumbent Republican Tom Reed, who was redistricted from the 29th district, was elected to his seat in November 2010. Reed was initially noncommittal regarding re-election, stating in July 2011 that "Re-election is the farthest thing from my mind;"[104] he officially announced for re-election on April 30, 2012.[105]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Nate Shinagawa, Tompkins County legislator
Eliminated in primary
  • Leslie Danks Burke
  • Melissa K. Dobson

Endorsements

Matthew Zeller, an Afghanistan war veteran and former CIA officer who unsuccessfully challenged Reed in 2010, endorsed Nate Shinagawa for the seat.[106]

Primary results

Nate Shinagawa won the Democratic primary election over Leslie Danks Burke (also an Ithaca resident) and Melissa Dobson on June 26, 2012.[107]

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Roll Call[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
NY Times[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
RCP[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
The Hill[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 24

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The new 24th district included all of Cayuga, Onondaga and Wayne counties, and the western part of Oswego County. Incumbent Republican Ann Marie Buerkle, who had represented the 25th district since 2011, sought re-election in the redrawn 24th district.[108] The district had a PVI of D+3.

Republican primary

On February 6, Robert Paul Spencer announced he would run in the Republican primary against Buerkle, citing his opposition to Buerkle's vote in favor of the National Defense Authorization Act, which Spencer believed to be unconstitutional.[109] However he didn't appear on the primary ballot

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
  • Robert Spencer

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
  • Brianne Murphy, attorney[111]
Declined

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Ursula Rozum, public-transportation advocate[113]

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ann Marie
Buerkle (R)
Dan
Maffei (D)
Ursula
Rozum (G)
Undecided
Siena College October 31–November 2, 2012 670 ± 3.8% 44% 44% 8% 4%
Lake Research Partners (D-Friends of Democracy) October 15–17, 2012 425 ± 4.6% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 6% 4%
Grove Insight (D-DCCC) September 23–24, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 7% 9%
Siena College September 5–10, 2012 625 ± 3.9% 43% 43% 7% 7%
Grove Insight (D-DCCC) August 26–28, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 4% 6%
Normington, Petts & Associates (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU) July 16–18, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 5% 11%
Public Policy Polling (D-League of Conservation Voters) July 10–11, 2012 642 ± 3.9% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 13%
McLaughlin (R-Buerkle) April 16–17, 2012 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% 38% 20%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Roll Call[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
NY Times[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
RCP[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
The Hill[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 25

Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Louise Slaughter, who was redistricted from the 28th district and has represented the Rochester metropolitan area since 1987, ran for re-election.[114]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Maggie Brooks, Monroe County Executive[115]
Withdrawn
Declined

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Louise
Slaughter (D)
Maggie
Brooks (R)
Undecided
Siena College October 29–30, 2012 624 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 42% 6%
GBA Strategies (D-DCCC) October 17–18, 2012 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 43% 4%
Siena College October 7–11, 2012 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 44% 6%
Siena College September 24–26, 2012 634 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 42% 6%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Roll Call[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
NY Times[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
RCP[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
The Hill[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 26

Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Brian Higgins, who was redistricted from the 27th district, sought re-election.

Democratic primary

Although his district was expected to become more friendly to Democrats in redistricting, the defeat of Higgins' protege, Chris Fahey, to Republican-backed Democrat Michael P. Kearns in a New York State Assembly race led to the perception that Higgins may have been more vulnerable than previously believed.[118]

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Michael Madigan, businessman[119]
Declined

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 27

Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul, who was redistricted from the 26th district seat that she won in a June 2011 special election, sought election to her first full term.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Chris
Collins (R)
Undecided
Siena College October 31–November 1, 2012 636 ± 3.9% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 5%
Siena College October 1–4, 2012 633 ± 3.9% 47% 47% 6%
Siena College August 12–14, 2012 628 ± 3.9% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 8%
National Research (R-American Action Network) August 8–9, 2012 400 ± ?% 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 19%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Roll Call[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
NY Times[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
RCP[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
The Hill[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:2012 United States elections Шаблон:New York elections

  1. Federal Judges Officially Approve Redrawn State Congressional Districts – NY1
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