Английская Википедия:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New York
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Unreliable sources Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNY The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New York were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012 to elect the twenty-seven U.S. representatives from the state, one from each of the state's twenty seven congressional districts, a loss of two seats following the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election. The two existing districts that were eliminated were District 9, held by Republican Rep. Bob Turner,[1][2] and District 22, held by retiring Democratic Rep. Maurice Hinchey.[3][4]
Party primary elections occurred June 26, 2012,[5] with the general election coinciding with the national elections on November 6, 2012.
On election day, the Democratic Party regained two seats previously held by Republicans, while the Republican Party regained one seat previously held by a Democrat.[6] In the 113th Congress, which first met on January 3, 2013, the New York delegation initially consisted of 21 Democrats and six Republicans.[7][8]
Redistricting
Each caucus in the New York State Legislature submitted their proposed 27-district maps to an appointed special master on February 29, 2012.[9] On March 6, the special master Judge Roanne L. Mann released her own proposed map, and slightly revised them again on March 12.[10][11] On March 19, the United States District Court for the Eastern District of New York imposed the special master's maps, with minor modifications.[12][13]
Overview
United States House of Representatives elections in New York, 2012[14] | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
Democratic | 4,127,348 | 58.00% | 21 | - | |
Republican | 2,252,253 | 31.65% | 6 | -2 | |
Green | 41,672 | 0.59% | 0 | - | |
Conservative | 23,414 | 0.33% | 0 | - | |
Socialist Workers | 5,533 | 0.08% | 0 | - | |
Libertarian | 2,986 | 0.04% | 0 | - | |
Others | 663,130 | 9.32% | 0 | - | |
Totals | 7,116,336 | 100.00% | 27 | -2 |
District 1
Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Tim Bishop, who was first elected in 2002, kicked off his re-election campaign in April 2011.[15]
In March 2011, Bishop was included in a list of potentially vulnerable Democrats by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, having only won by 593 votes in 2010.[16]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tim Bishop, incumbent U.S. Representative
Bishop also had the endorsement of the Working Families Party.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Randy Altschuler, businessman and nominee for this seat in 2010[17]
Withdrawn
- George Demos, former Securities and Exchange Commission prosecutor and candidate for this seat in 2010[18]
- Jason Sterling
Primary results
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Altschuler also had the endorsement of the Conservative Party and Independence Party.
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Disqualified
- Rick Witt
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Bishop (D) |
Randy Altschuler (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
McLaughlin (R-Altschuler) | October 14–15, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 9% |
McLaughlin (R-Prosperity First) | October 10–11, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 5% |
Siena College | September 5–10, 2012 | 624 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 39% | 9% |
Global Strategy (D-Bishop) | August 26–28, 2012 | 402 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 39% | 8% |
Pulse Opinion Research (R-Altschuler) | July 29, 2012 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 10% |
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU) | July 17–18, 2012 | 407 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% | 32% | 12% |
Global Strategy (D-Bishop) | March 20–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 36% | 11% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
On election day, Bishop prevailed by a 52.2%-47.8% margin.[7]
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District 2
Шаблон:See also Republican incumbent Peter King, who was redistricted from the 3rd district, said in May 2011 that the Nassau County Republican Party had encouraged him to run for president. King also said, however, that he was focused "entirely on getting re-elected to Congress."[26]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Peter King, incumbent U.S. Representative
Disqualified
- Paul Mourino
King had the endorsement of the Conservative Party and Independence Party.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Vivianne Falcone, teacher
Declined
- Kathleen Rice, Nassau County district attorney and candidate for Attorney General in 2010[27]
Falcone also had the endorsement of the Working Families Party.
General election
Endorsements
Results
King won re-election by a margin of more than 15%.[7] Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end
District 3
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Democratic incumbent Steve Israel ran for re-election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Steve Israel, incumbent U.S. Representative
Israel, also has the endorsement of the Working Families Party and the Independence Party.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Stephen LaBate, U.S. Army reservist and financial planning advisor
Disqualified
- Robert Previdi, teacher
Conservative Party also endorsed LaBate.[28]
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michael McDermott
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Results
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District 4
Шаблон:See also Democratic incumbent Carolyn McCarthy, who had represented the 4th district since 1997, ran for another term.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Carolyn McCarthy, incumbent U.S. Representative
The Independence Party and Working Families Party endorsed McCarthy.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Fran Becker, Nassau County Legislator and nominee for this seat in 2010
Eliminated in primary
- Frank Scaturro, lawyer, historian and candidate for this seat in 2010
Primary results
On June 26, 2012, Nassau County Legislator Fran Becker, defeated Frank Scaturro in a primary election for the Republican nomination, while Scaturro defeated Becker in the Conservative Party primary as a write-in candidate.
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General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Results
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District 5
Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks ran for re-election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Gregory Meeks, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Alan Jennings, former New York City Council member
- Joseph Marthone, small-business owner
- Michael Scala, rapper
Primary results
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Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Alan Jennings, former New York City Council member
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Catherine Wark
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 6
Шаблон:See also The 6th district was an open seat, consisting mostly of territory from the former 5th and 9th districts. Neither of the two incumbents in those districts, Democrat Gary Ackerman from the 5th and Republican Bob Turner from the 9th, sought re-election. Ackerman, who represented most of the territory in the newly-drawn 6th, retired,[29] while Turner dropped out of the race in March 2012 to run against incumbent Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand in the Senate election.[30]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Grace Meng, state assembly member
Eliminated in primary
- Elizabeth Crowley, New York City Council member
- Rory Lancman, state assembly member[31][32]
- Robert Mittman, doctor
Declined
- Gary Ackerman, incumbent U.S. Representative
- David Weprin, state assembly memberand nominee for the 9th district in 2011[33]
Endorsements
Primary results
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The Working Families Party endorsed Lancman.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dan Halloran, New York City Council member
Withdrawn
- Bob Turner, incumbent U.S. Representative
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Evergreen Chou[34]
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 7
Шаблон:See also Incumbent Nydia Velazquez, who was redistricted from the 12th district, ran for re-election.
Democratic primary
New York City Councilman Erik Martin Dilan, the son of current New York State Senator Martin Malave Dilan, challenged Velazquez in the primary with the backing of Brooklyn Democratic Party chairman Vito Lopez; the Dilan family and Velazquez supporters having been engaged in a political feud for several years.[35][36]
Candidates
Nominee
- Nydia Velazquez, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Erik Martin Dilan, New York City Council member[37]
- George Martinez, member of the Occupy Wall Street movement
- Dan O'Connor, economist[38]
Endorsements
Primary results
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Conservative primary
Candidates
Nominee
- James Murray
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 8
Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Edolphus Towns, who was redistricted from the 10th district and was first elected in 1982, announced in April 2012 that he would abandon his plans for re-election.[39]
Democratic primary
Towns's son Darryl, a former member of the New York State Assembly, was formerly considered the "next in line" for the seat; however in 2011 he accepted a position in the administration of Governor Andrew Cuomo.[40]
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Charles Barron, New York City Council member and candidate for the 10th district in 2006[42][45]
Declined
- Letitia James, New York City Council member[43]
- Kevin Powell, activist, former star of The Real World: New York and candidate for the 10th district in 2008 & 2010[46][47]
- Darryl Towns, former state assembly member and son of Edolphus Towns
- Edolphus Towns, incumbent U.S. Representative
Endorsements
Primary results
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Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Colin Beavan, subject of the book and film No Impact Man.[48]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Alan Bellone
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 9
Democrat Yvette Clarke, who was redistricted from the 11th district and has represented that district since 2007, sought re-election in her new district.
Democratic primary
Sylvia Kinard, an attorney and the ex-wife of Bill Thompson (a current/former Democratic nominee for Mayor of New York City), challenged Clarke.[49]
Candidates
Nominee
- Yvette Clarke, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Sylvia Kinard, attorney
Primary results
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Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Daniel Cavanaugh
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 10
Шаблон:See also The new 10th district is located in New York City and includes the Upper West Side of Manhattan, the west side of Lower Manhattan, including Greenwich Village and the Financial District, and parts of Brooklyn, including Borough Park. Incumbent Democrat Jerrold Nadler, who had represented the 8th district since 1993 and the 17th district from 1992 to 1993, ran for re-election. He was re-elected in 2010 with 76% of the vote and the district had a PVI of D+24
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jerrold Nadler, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michael Chan, economics professor at New York University
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 11
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Republican Michael Grimm, who was redistricted from the 13th district and was first elected in 2010, sought re-election.[50]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michael Grimm, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
- Vito Fossella, former U.S. Representative[51]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mark Murphy, former aide to New York City Public Advocate Bill de Blasio[52]
Withdrawn
- Alex Borgognone, Restaurateur[53][54]
Declined
- Mike Cusick, state assembly member[55]
- Robert Diamond, investment banker[56]
- John Gangemi, former New York City Council member[57]
- Vincent J. Gentile, New York City Council member [58]
- Michael McMahon, former U.S. Representative[59]
- Debi Rose, New York City Council member[60]
- Diane Savino, state senator[55]
- Stephen Yodice, telecommunications executive [61]
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Henry "Hank" Bardel
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Michael Grimm (R) |
Mark Murphy (D) |
Henry Bardel (G) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | October 27–28, 2012 | 627 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 34% | 5% | 9% |
Siena College | September 19–23, 2012 | 621 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 38% | 6% | 8% |
Global Strategy (D-Murphy) | June 22–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 32% | — | 21% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Grimm won re-election by a margin of 52.8% to 46.2%.[7]
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District 12
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Carolyn Maloney, who was redistricted from the 14th district, ran for re-election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Carolyn Maloney, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
- Reshma Saujani, lawyer, civil servant, nonprofit founder and candidate for this seat in 2010[62]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Christopher Wight, investor
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 13
Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Charles B. Rangel, who was redistricted from the 15th district and was censured by the House of Representatives after being found guilty of ethics violations, filed to run for re-election in February 2011.[63]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Charles B. Rangel, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Adriano Espaillat, state senator[64]
- Joyce Johnson, New York City government employee[65]
- Craig Schley, community activist
- Clyde Williams, former adviser to Bill Clinton and former political director of the Democratic National Committee[66]
Withdrawn
- Vincent Morgan, former member of Rangel's congressional staff and candidate for this seat in 2010[65]
Declined
- Adam Clayton Powell IV, former state assembly member and candidate for this seat in 1994 & 2010[65]
- Robert J. Rodriguez, state assembly member[64]
- Keith Wright, state assembly member[65][64]
Endorsements
Primary results
On the night of the June 26 primary, it seemed as though the incumbent Rangel had defeated his closest challenger, State Senator Espaillat, by a 45%-40% margin; Rangel celebrated victory and Espaillat conceded defeat.[67] However, as the counting continued, that margin narrowed considerably. A number of precincts were very late in reporting and Espaillat went to court claiming irregularities in that his supporters had been improperly turned away from polling locations.[67][68] On Saturday July 7, 2012, Rangel received the primary victory by a margin of 990 votes. The New York City Board of Elections released that Rangel received 18,940 votes and Espaillat had 17,950.[68] On July 9, 2012, Espaillat conceded the election to Rangel.[68]
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Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Craig Schley, community activist
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 14
Шаблон:See also The redrawn 14th district runs from Newtown Creek in Sunnyside and over LaGuardia Airport and over the three Long Island Sound bridges to the Pelham, Westchester, border. Incumbent Democrat Joe Crowley, who has been redistricted from the 7th district ran for re-election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Joe Crowley, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- William Gibbons
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 15
Шаблон:See also José E. Serrano, incumbent representative for the 16th district, ran for an 11th term.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- José E. Serrano, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Frank Della Valle
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 16
Шаблон:See also Eliot Engel, incumbent representative for the 17th district, ran for a 12th term.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Eliot Engel, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Aniello Grimaldi
Primary results
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Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Joseph McLaughlin
Declined
- Mark Rosen, Army reservist and candidate for this seat in 2010[70]
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 17
Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Nita Lowey, who was redistricted from the 18th district, ran for re-election.[71]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Nita Lowey, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
- Chelsea Clinton, daughter of former President Bill Clinton and Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton[72]
Republican primary
Mark Rosen who ran against in Lowey 2010, but was forced to drop out of the race after being deployed to Afghanistan, was expected to seek the Republican nomination.[73] Rosen retired from the Army, eliminating the threat of redeployment during election cycle, but was redistricted out of the district and choose not to run against Lowey a second time.
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Jim Russell, computer programmer, conservative Christian activist and nominee for this seat in 2010
Declined
- Mark Rosen, Army reservist and candidate for this seat in 2010
Primary results
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Independents
Frank Morganthaler, former Lieutenant of NYFD and private investigator, challenged Nita Lowey and ran on an independent line, We the People. Шаблон:Citation needed
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Results
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District 18
Шаблон:See also Republican Nan Hayworth, who was redistricted from the 19th district and has represented that district since January 2011, ran for re-election.[71]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Nan Hayworth, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Sean Patrick Maloney, lawyer and former staffer for Bill Clinton
Eliminated in primary
- Matthew Alexander, Mayor of Wappingers Falls[76]
- Richard Becker, cardiologist[76]
- Duane Jackson, street vendor[77]
- Tom Wilson, Mayor of Tuxedo Park[78]
Withdrawn
- Anne Jacobs Moultrie, registered nurse and vice president of Local 1199[77]
Declined
- Sean Eldridge, LGBT activist
- John Hall, former U.S. Representative[79]
- Mike Kaplowitz, member of the Westchester County Board of Legislators
- Margo Miller, former chair of Democrats Abroad[80]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Primary results
Maloney, won the Democratic primary with 48% of the vote on June 26, 2012.
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General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Nan Hayworth (R) |
Sean Maloney (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | October 16–17, 2012 | 615 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 42% | 9% |
Global Strategy (D-Maloney) | October 4–7, 2012 | 403 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | 42% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling (D-NY AFl-CIO) | September 19–20, 2012 | 602 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 13% |
Siena CollegeШаблон:Dead link | September 12–16, 2012 | 628 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 33% | 21% |
Tarrance (R-Hayworth) | August 26–28, 2012 | 408 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 42% | 7% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU) | July 25–29, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 45% | 7% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
On election day, Maloney won by a narrow margin,[7] becoming New York's first openly LGBQ+ Member of Congress.[81]
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District 19
Шаблон:See also Republican Chris Gibson, who was redistricted from the 20th district, has represented that district since 2011. With redistricting settled, the new 19th district went from being a Republican-leaning district to being a swing district.[82] Because of the dissolution of Maurice Hinchey's district, much of that district, including all of Ulster and Sullivan counties, was dissolved into this new district.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chris Gibson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Candidates
Nominee
- Julian Schreibman, former federal prosecutor and Ulster County Democratic Party chairman
Eliminated in primary
- Joel Tyner, member of the Dutchess County legislature[83][84]
Declined
- Mike Hein, Ulster County Executive[85][86]
- Maurice Hinchey, incumbent U.S. Representative
Endorsements
Primary results
Schreibman prevailed in the Democratic primary.[87] Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 18, 2012
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Gibson (R) |
Julian Schreibman (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | October 27–28, 2012 | 649 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 43% | 9% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Gibson) | October 24–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 39% | % |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Gibson) | October 9–10, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 39% | 11% |
Grove Insight (D-DCCC) | October 5–7, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 41% | 16% |
OnMessage (R-NRCC) | September 30–October 1, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 39% | 16% |
Siena College | September 17–18, 2012 | 635 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 36% | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Gibson) | July 25–26, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | 36% | 10% |
Global Strategy (D-Schreibman) | July 18–22, 2012 | 402 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | 32% | 24% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
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District 20
Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko ran for re-election in his heavily Democratic, mostly unchanged, district that was formerly numbered as the 21st.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Paul Tonko, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bob Dieterich[28]
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 21
Шаблон:See also Democratic incumbent Bill Owens (who was redistricted from the 23rd district), ran for re-election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bill Owens, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Matt Doheny a businessman who came within 2,000 votes of beating Owens in 2010, faced Kellie Greene, an Oswego County native and theologian who most recently lived in Arizona, in the primary.
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Kellie Greene, Oswego County native and theologian[90]
Withdrawn
- Tim Stampfler, corrections officer[91]
Declined
- Kelly Eustis, executive director of One Nation PAC[92]
- Jeff Stabins, eccentric politician (who until recently lived in Hernando County, Florida, before relocating to Sacketts Harbor, New York)[93]
Primary results
Doheny defeated Greene in the Republican primary.[94] Hassig dropped out of the race November 3, endorsing Owens, but remained on the ballot.[95]
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Doheny secured the Independence Party line[96] and the Conservative Party lines, the latter of which he did not have in 2010.[97]
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Donald Hassig, anti-cancer activist[98]
Hassig appeared on the Green line despite the party's disavowal of him over his stance on immigration.[99]
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Owens (D) |
Matthew Doheny (R) |
Donald Hassig (G) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | October 29–30, 2012 | 629 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 43% | 4% | 9% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Doheny) | October 24–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | 40% | — | 18% |
Global Strategy (D-Owens) | October 21–23, 2012 | 403 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 40% | — | 13% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Doheny/NRCC) | October 1–2, 2012 | 400 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 40% | — | 15% |
Global Strategy (D-Owens) | September 30–October 2, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 36% | — | 14% |
Siena College | September 4–6, 2012 | 638 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 36% | 6% | 8% |
Anzalone Liszt (D-DCCC) | July 29–31, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 38% | 4% | 8% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
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District 22
Шаблон:See also Republican Richard Hanna, who was redistricted from the 24th district having represented that district since 2011, ran for re-election.
Republican primary
Hanna defeated Michael Kicinski, who was backed by Carl Paladino, Doug Hoffman and other Tea Party activists, in the Republican primary.[100][101]
Candidates
Nominee
- Richard Hanna, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Michael Kicinski, Tea Party activist and electronics engineer.
Withdrawn
- Tom Engel
- George Phillips
Primary results
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dan Lamb, district representative for outgoing representative Maurice Hinchey[102][103]
Declined
- Maurice Hinchey, incumbent U.S. Representative
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
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District 23
Шаблон:See also Incumbent Republican Tom Reed, who was redistricted from the 29th district, was elected to his seat in November 2010. Reed was initially noncommittal regarding re-election, stating in July 2011 that "Re-election is the farthest thing from my mind;"[104] he officially announced for re-election on April 30, 2012.[105]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tom Reed, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Nate Shinagawa, Tompkins County legislator
Eliminated in primary
- Leslie Danks Burke
- Melissa K. Dobson
Endorsements
Matthew Zeller, an Afghanistan war veteran and former CIA officer who unsuccessfully challenged Reed in 2010, endorsed Nate Shinagawa for the seat.[106]
Primary results
Nate Shinagawa won the Democratic primary election over Leslie Danks Burke (also an Ithaca resident) and Melissa Dobson on June 26, 2012.[107]
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
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District 24
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The new 24th district included all of Cayuga, Onondaga and Wayne counties, and the western part of Oswego County. Incumbent Republican Ann Marie Buerkle, who had represented the 25th district since 2011, sought re-election in the redrawn 24th district.[108] The district had a PVI of D+3.
Republican primary
On February 6, Robert Paul Spencer announced he would run in the Republican primary against Buerkle, citing his opposition to Buerkle's vote in favor of the National Defense Authorization Act, which Spencer believed to be unconstitutional.[109] However he didn't appear on the primary ballot
Candidates
Nominee
- Ann Marie Buerkle, incumbent U.S. Representative
Withdrawn
- Robert Spencer
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dan Maffei, former U.S. Representative[110]
Withdrawn
- Brianne Murphy, attorney[111]
Declined
- Tom Buckel, member of the Onondaga County legislature[111][112]
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ursula Rozum, public-transportation advocate[113]
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 24, 2012
- Complete video of debate, November 2, 2012
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ann Marie Buerkle (R) |
Dan Maffei (D) |
Ursula Rozum (G) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | October 31–November 2, 2012 | 670 | ± 3.8% | 44% | 44% | 8% | 4% |
Lake Research Partners (D-Friends of Democracy) | October 15–17, 2012 | 425 | ± 4.6% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 6% | 4% |
Grove Insight (D-DCCC) | September 23–24, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 7% | 9% |
Siena College | September 5–10, 2012 | 625 | ± 3.9% | 43% | 43% | 7% | 7% |
Grove Insight (D-DCCC) | August 26–28, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 4% | 6% |
Normington, Petts & Associates (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU) | July 16–18, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 5% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling (D-League of Conservation Voters) | July 10–11, 2012 | 642 | ± 3.9% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | — | 13% |
McLaughlin (R-Buerkle) | April 16–17, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | 38% | — | 20% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
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District 25
Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Louise Slaughter, who was redistricted from the 28th district and has represented the Rochester metropolitan area since 1987, ran for re-election.[114]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Louise Slaughter, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Maggie Brooks, Monroe County Executive[115]
Withdrawn
- Andrew Decker, the sixth great-nephew of Betsy RossШаблон:Citation needed
Declined
- Mark Assini, Gates Supervisor[116]
- Fred Smerlas, former Buffalo Bills defensive tackle[117]
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Louise Slaughter (D) |
Maggie Brooks (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | October 29–30, 2012 | 624 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 42% | 6% |
GBA Strategies (D-DCCC) | October 17–18, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 43% | 4% |
Siena College | October 7–11, 2012 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 44% | 6% |
Siena College | September 24–26, 2012 | 634 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 42% | 6% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
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District 26
Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Brian Higgins, who was redistricted from the 27th district, sought re-election.
Democratic primary
Although his district was expected to become more friendly to Democrats in redistricting, the defeat of Higgins' protege, Chris Fahey, to Republican-backed Democrat Michael P. Kearns in a New York State Assembly race led to the perception that Higgins may have been more vulnerable than previously believed.[118]
Candidates
Nominee
- Brian Higgins, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michael Madigan, businessman[119]
Declined
- Carl Paladino, developer, political activist and nominee for governor in 2010
- Thurman Thomas, former Buffalo Bills running back
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 27
Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul, who was redistricted from the 26th district seat that she won in a June 2011 special election, sought election to her first full term.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kathy Hochul, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chris Collins, former Erie County Executive[120]
Eliminated in primary
- David Bellavia, author, Iraq war soldier and candidate for this seat in 2011[121][122]
Declined
- Patrick Gallivan, state senator and former Erie County sheriff[123]
- Brian Kolb state assembly Minority Leader[124]
- Dennis Vacco, former New York Attorney General[125]
- Barry Weinstein, town supervisor of Amherst[126]
Endorsements
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 24, 2012
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kathy Hochul (D) |
Chris Collins (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | October 31–November 1, 2012 | 636 | ± 3.9% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 5% |
Siena College | October 1–4, 2012 | 633 | ± 3.9% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Siena College | August 12–14, 2012 | 628 | ± 3.9% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 8% |
National Research (R-American Action Network) | August 8–9, 2012 | 400 | ± ?% | 34% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 19% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end
See also
References
External links
- New York State Board of Elections
- United States House of Representatives elections in New York, 2012 at Ballotpedia
- New York U.S. House at OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions for U.S. Congressional races in New York at OpenSecrets
- Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation
Шаблон:2012 United States elections Шаблон:New York elections
- ↑ Federal Judges Officially Approve Redrawn State Congressional Districts – NY1
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