Английская Википедия:2012 United States Senate election in Utah
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsUT The 2012 United States Senate election in Utah took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and as various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Orrin Hatch won re-election to a seventh term against the Democratic candidate, former state Senator and IBM executive Scott Howell, in a rematch of the 2000 Senate election.[1] This would be the last time Hatch was elected to the Senate before his retirement in 2018.
Background
Orrin Hatch won re-election to a sixth term after winning 62.5% of the vote against Pete Ashdown in the 2006 U.S. senatorial election in Utah. Tea Party activists targeted Hatch for a primary challenge, similar to the victory of Mike Lee over Bob Bennett in the 2010 election.[2]
Republican nomination
Convention
Candidates
- Declared
- Tim Aalders, radio talk show host and former business manager[3]
- Dale Ash, retired sales manager[3]
- Arlan Brunson, small business owner[4]
- David Chiu[5]
- Kevin Fisk, small business owner[3]
- Jeremy Friedbaum, small business owner and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[3]
- Orrin Hatch, incumbent U.S. Senator[6]
- Chris Herrod, State Representative[7]
- William "Dub" Lawrence[5]
- Dan Liljenquist, former State Senator[8]
- Declined
- Jason Chaffetz, U.S. Representative[9][10]
- Jon Huntsman, Jr., former Ambassador to China, former Governor of Utah, former Ambassador to Singapore and candidate for President in 2012[11]
- David Kirkham, co-founder of the Utah tea party[12]
- Morgan Philpot, former state representative and 2010 congressional candidate[13]
- Mark Shurtleff, Utah Attorney General[14]
Campaign
In 2006, incumbent Orrin Hatch won re-election to a sixth term. In 2008, Chaffetz defeated the incumbent Republican U.S. Representative, Chris Cannon, in the 2008 primary for Utah's 3rd congressional district. In 2010, Mike Lee defeated Bob Bennett in the 2010 Utah Senate election.[2] In March 2011, just-elected U.S. Senator Mike Lee said he will not endorse Hatch in the primary.[15] In May 2011, Chaffetz told several Utah political insiders that he plans to run. He said he won't make an official decision until after Labor Day of 2011.[16]
In June 2011, prominent conservative radio talk show host Mark Levin endorsed Hatch.[17] The fiscally conservative 501(c)4 organization Club for Growth encouraged Chaffetz to run. The group cited Hatch's support for the Troubled Asset Relief Program, State Children's Health Insurance Program, No Child Left Behind Act, Bridge to Nowhere, and other votes among the reasons why they opposed his re-election.[18] In an interview with Politico, Chaffetz stated, "After 34 years of service, I think most Utahans want a change. They want to thank him for his service, but it's time to move on. And for me personally, I think he's been on the wrong side of a host of major issues." The congressman cited Hatch's vote in favor of Equal Opportunity to Serve Act and the Health Equity and Access Reform Today Act of 1993.[19] However, Chaffetz ultimately decided against a run.
Endorsements
Polling
In a January 2012 UtahPolicy.com poll of 1,291 Salt Lake County Republican caucus participants, 42% went for Hatch, 23% Liljenquist, 5% Herrod, and 30% were undecided.[20] In a January 28, 2012 straw poll of 194 votes at the Box Elder County Republican Party Lincoln Day Dinner, 42% went for Liljenquist, 41% for Hatch, and 17% for Herrod.[21]
Results
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Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Primary
Candidates
- Orrin Hatch, incumbent U.S. Senator
- Dan Liljenquist, former state senator
Campaign
After the convention, Hatch had $3 million more than Liljenquist.[22]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Orrin Hatch |
Dan Liljenquist |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Data Points/Key Research | June 12–19, 2012 | 500 | ±4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 56% | 25% | 18% |
| Deseret News/KSL-TV | June 15–21, 2012 | 737 | ±3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 60% | 32% | 8% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic nomination
Candidates
- Declared
- Pete Ashdown, businessman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2006[23]
- Scott Howell, former state senator and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2000[24]
Results
Howell defeated Ashdown 63%-37% to win and avoid a primary.[25]
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Candidates
- Orrin Hatch (Republican), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Scott Howell (Democratic), former state senator and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2000
- Shaun McCausland (Constitution)[26]
- Daniel Geery (Justice)[26]
- Bill Barron (Independent)[26]
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 17, 2012 - C-SPAN
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Scott Howell (D) | $421,086 | $420,779 | $306 | $0 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Orrin Hatch (R) | $11,577,851 | $13,140,209 | $779,719 | $515,845 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Independent | William Barron (I) | $17,157 | $14,116 | $3,038 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[27][28][29] | ||||
Top contributors
| Scott Howell | Contribution | Orrin Hatch | Contribution | William Barron | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| International Union of Operating Engineers | $10,000 | OC Tanner Inc | $72,010 | Peace River Citrus Products | $2,000 |
| Altaview Orthodontics | $5,000 | Cancer Treatment Centers of America | $67,500 | Cirque Property | $1,000 |
| International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers | $5,000 | Cerberus Capital Management | $65,000 | ||
| International Association of Iron Workers | $5,000 | Fresenius Medical Care | $65,500 | ||
| Intermountain Healthcare National Education Association | $5,000 | Blue Cross & Blue Shield | $54,500 | ||
| Shurtleff Construction | $5,000 | Ernst & Young | $53,000 | ||
| St Mark's Hospital | $5,000 | PricewaterhouseCoopers | $42,008 | ||
| United Steelworkers | $5,000 | Herbalife International | $41,900 | ||
| Sutter Health | $4,500 | Marriott International | $39,500 | ||
| IBM Corporation | $3,150 | Apollo Global Management | $39,000 | ||
| Source: OpenSecrets[30] | |||||
Top industries
| Scott Howell | Contribution | Orrin Hatch | Contribution | William Barron | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retired | $43,100 | Financial Institutions | $1,113,746 | Retired | $4,050 |
| Health Professionals | $17,000 | Pharmaceuticals/Health Products | $834,601 | Agribusiness | $2,000 |
| Building Trade Unions | $15,000 | Lobbyists | $508,567 | Real Estate | $1,000 |
| Hospitals/Nursing Homes | $14,500 | Insurance | $495,968 | Education | $750 |
| Lawyers/Law Firms | $12,250 | Lawyers/Law Firms | $479,871 | Misc Business | $500 |
| Industrial Unions | $10,000 | Health Professionals | $447,415 | ||
| General Contractors | $7,500 | Real Estate | $412,394 | ||
| Automotive | $5,000 | Health Services/HMOs | $396,132 | ||
| Public Sector Unions | $5,000 | Leadership PACs | $394,550 | ||
| High-Tech Industry | $4,900 | Oil & Gas | $391,878 | ||
| Source: OpenSecrets[31] | |||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[32] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[34] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
| Real Clear Politics[35] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Orrin Hatch (R) |
Scott Howell (D) |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deseret News/KSL-TV | June 15–21, 2012 | 1,228 | ±2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 63% | 29% | 8% |
| Utah State University | October 8–13, 2012 | n/a | ±7.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 67% | 24% | 9% |
| Key Research | October 9–13, 2012 | 500 | ±4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| Deseret News/KSL | October 26 – November 1, 2012 | 870 | ±3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 63% | 26% | 11% |
- with Dan Liljenquist
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Dan Liljenquist (R) |
Scott Howell (D) |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deseret News/KSL-TV | June 15–21, 2012 | 1228 | ±2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 34% | 18% |
- with Jason Chaffetz
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jason Chaffetz (R) |
Jan Graham (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | 732 | ±3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% | 34% | 14% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jason Chaffetz (R) |
Sam Granato (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | 732 | ±3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 54% | 33% | 14% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jason Chaffetz (R) |
Jim Matheson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deseret News/KSL-TV | June 13–16, 2011 | 406 | ±5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 45% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | 732 | ±3.6% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 11% |
| Mason-Dixon | August 8–10, 2011 | 625 | ±4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | 43% | 8% |
- with Orrin Hatch
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Orrin Hatch (R) |
Jim Matheson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deseret News/KSL-TV | June 13–16, 2011 | 406 | ±5.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | 732 | ±3.6% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 11% |
| Mason-Dixon | August 8–10, 2011 | 625 | ±4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Orrin Hatch (R) |
Jan Graham (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | 732 | ±3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% | 34% | 12% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Orrin Hatch (R) |
Sam Granato (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | 732 | ±3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 56% | 31% | 13% |
- Republican primary
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Orrin Hatch |
Jason Chaffetz |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deseret News/KSL-TV | June 13–16, 2011 | 406 | ±5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 44% | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | 406 | ±4.9% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 10% |
| Mason-Dixon | August 8–10, 2011 | 305 | ±5.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
By congressional district
Hatch won all 4 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[36]
| District | Hatch | Howell | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 69.84% | 25.63% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rob Bishop |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 60.84% | 33.85% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Chris Stewart |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 70.35% | 25.14% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jason Chaffetz |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Шаблон:Ushr | 59.92% | 35.62% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Jim Matheson |
See also
- 2012 United States Senate elections
- 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah
- 2012 Utah gubernatorial election
References
External links
- Utah Government Services – Elections
- Campaign finances at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
- Candidates issue positions at On the Issues
- Official campaign websites
- Bill Barron for Senate
- Daniel Geery for Senate
- Orrin Hatch for Senate
- Scott Howell for Senate
- Shaun McCausland for Senate
Шаблон:2012 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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