Английская Википедия:2013 Nova Scotia general election

Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election The 2013 Nova Scotia general election was held on October 8, 2013, to elect members to the Nova Scotia House of Assembly.

The result of the election was a Liberal victory under the leadership of Stephen McNeil, with the party winning its first election since 1998. The Progressive Conservatives, under the leadership of Jamie Baillie, improved on their 2009 results and formed the Official Opposition, despite winning fewer votes than the New Democratic Party (NDP). The NDP, which had won power for the first time in 2009 under the leadership of Darrell Dexter was reduced to third place and became only the second one-term government in the province's history, and the first since 1882. Dexter himself was defeated in Cole Harbour-Portland Valley by Liberal candidate Tony Ince.

Timeline

June 24, 2009 – The New Democratic Party under Darrell Dexter win 31 out of 52 seats. The Progressive Conservatives are reduced to 10 seats and Rodney MacDonald announces that he will step down as leader. Karen Casey is named as interim leader.^[1]
September 4, 2009 – Antigonish MLA Angus MacIsaac resigns his seat, citing family reasons.
September 10, 2009 – Former Premier Rodney MacDonald resigns his Inverness seat in the legislature.
October 20, 2009 – By-elections are held in Inverness and Antigonish. PC candidate Allan MacMaster and NDP candidate Maurice Smith are elected, respectively.
February 9, 2010 – Richard Hurlburt resigns from the legislature following revelations that he had spent his constituency allowance on a generator and a 40" television, which together cost over $11,000.^[2]
March 11, 2010 – Dave Wilson resigns from the legislature and is later charged and pleaded guilty.
March 25, 2010 – Trevor Zinck is suspended from the NDP caucus over problems with his constituency expenses.^[3]
June 22, 2010 – Two byelections are held to replace Hurlburt and Wilson in Yarmouth and Glace Bay, respectively. Zach Churchill is elected in Yarmouth and Geoff MacLellan is elected in Glace Bay.
August 16, 2010 – Karen Casey announces her resignation as interim leader of the Progressive Conservatives.^[4]
August 18, 2010 – Jamie Baillie is chosen as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.
October 26, 2010 – Jamie Baillie wins a byelection and represents the constituency of Cumberland South.
January 10, 2011 – PC MLA Karen Casey crosses the floor to join the Liberal caucus.
February 14, 2011 – Trevor Zinck is announced as one of four people facing criminal charges in connection with the RCMP investigation into 2010s MLA expense scandal. Zinck is charged with fraud exceeding $5,000, breach of trust by a public officer, and 2 counts of theft over $5,000.^[5]
March 25, 2011 – Cape Breton North PC MLA Cecil Clarke resigns his seat to run in the 2011 federal election.
June 21, 2011 – PC candidate Eddie Orrell wins the by-election in Cape Breton North.
April 19, 2012 – Former MLA Dave Wilson is sentenced to 9 months in jail and to a period of 18 months probation for his role in the expenses scandal.^[6]
June 5, 2012 – The Atlantica Party is deregistered by Elections Nova Scotia.^[7]
July 27, 2012 – Former MLA Richard Hurlburt is sentenced to 12 months of house arrest, followed by 12 months of probation for his role in the expenses scandal.^[8]
September 25, 2012 – The Nova Scotia Electoral Boundaries Commission released their final report on riding redistribution, which recommends dropping one seat in the legislature.^[9]
December 6, 2012 – The law to implement new electoral boundaries in the province was passed in the legislature.^[10]
May 29, 2013 – Manning MacDonald resigns his seat in the legislature as MLA for Cape Breton South.^[11]
June 19, 2013 – Trevor Zinck resigns his seat in the legislature after he pleaded guilty to charges of fraud and breach of trust.^[12]
September 7, 2013 – Premier Darrell Dexter calls a general election for October 8, 2013.

Campaign

The election campaign began the week after Labour Day, when the legislature would normally have been expected to return to work, had there been no election campaign. As criticism or defence of government policy would dominate the agenda, and by convention electoral mandates are understood to last about four years, despite a lack of fixed election dates, the timing was not controversial.

The Muskrat Falls or Lower Churchill Project, its associated Maritime Link, and electricity policy generally, immediately emerged as the key issue in the early campaign. [1]Шаблон:Dead link [2]Шаблон:Dead link [3]Шаблон:Dead link [4]. Liberals emphasized Nova Scotia Power's (NSPI) dominance of power generation, and its ability to exclude alternatives through its near-monopoly ownership of the distribution network, covering 129/130 Nova Scotians. They also promised to remove a conservation charge, named for demand response programs that never materialized (though many passive conservation programs run by Efficiency Nova Scotia did prove effective) – instead proposing that NSPI pay for it from its return. Liberals and Conservatives criticized NSPI's unaccountable 9.2% guaranteed rate of return even for unwise investments. Conservatives acknowledged that it was under pressure to meet a tough renewable standard (which they would relax) but also promised to freeze rates. The NDP government continued to defend Muskrat Falls as the only viable alternative to replace coal-fired power, even though this project was before the Nova Scotia Utilities Review Board as of the election call, remained unchanged and this was reflected in their campaign materials – they criticized the Liberal plan as likely to lead to higher power rates. The basis for these criticisms was unclear. However, a similar attempt to open generation competition in New Brunswick failed, in part because New Brunswick Power retained monopoly control of the distribution and transmission network, which intimidates competitors and makes it easy in practice to exclude them.

Other issues in the campaign:

A proposed passenger ferry from Yarmouth, Nova Scotia to Portland, Maine, re-instituting summer service that ran for decades until the 1990s, replacing a car-focused service that ran to Bar Harbor, Maine until the NDP government cancelled it. This was of particular interest to South Shore candidates, especially Yarmouth. Associated issues include the collapse of all public transit on the South Shore (with the withdrawal of TryTown from operating public buses from Yarmouth to Halifax) and a general lack of transport strategy, that could leave some of the 130,000 passengers per year stranded. It remained unclear as of election time whether an announced deal to resume service May 1, 2014, had held, and what other transport policy applied [5] Darrell Dexter had referred to stories from Yarmouth about the impact of the loss of ferries a "mythology" [6] which effectively made this a campaign issue before the campaign had begun.

Party standings

↓
33	11	7
Liberal	Progressive Conservative	New Democratic

Results by party

Party		Party leader	# of candidates	Seats				Popular vote
Party		Party leader	# of candidates	2009	Dissolution	Elected	% Change	#	%	Change Шаблон:Canadian party colour	Liberal	Stephen McNeil	51	11	12	33	+200.0%	190,112	45.71%	+18.51pp Шаблон:Canadian party colour	Progressive Conservative	Jamie Baillie	51	10	7	11	+10.0%	109,452	26.31%	+1.77pp Шаблон:Canadian party colour	New Democratic	Darrell Dexter	51	31	31	7	-77.4%	111,622	26.84%	-18.40pp Шаблон:Canadian party colour	John Percy	16	0	0	0	0.0%	3,528	0.85%	-1.49pp Шаблон:Canadian party colour	Independents	7	0	0	0	0.0%	1,238	0.30%	-0.38pp
	Vacant				1
Total			176	52	52	51	-0.02%	415,952	100.00%	0.00%

Шаблон:Bar box Шаблон:Bar box

Results by region

Party name	HRM	C.B.	Valley	S. Shore	Fundy	Central	Total
Parties winning seats in the legislature Шаблон:Canadian party colour								New Democratic Party	Seats:	2	2	-	2	1	-	7 Шаблон:Canadian party colour	Popular vote:	31.29%	25.16%	17.40%	24.68%	26.26%	31.51%	26.84% Шаблон:Canadian party colour	Liberal	Seats:	18	3	4	3	3	2	33 Шаблон:Canadian party colour	Popular vote:	48.72%	46.89%	52.02%	43.55%	40.68%	28.71%	45.71% Шаблон:Canadian party colour	Progressive Conservative	Seats:	-	3	2	1	2	3	11 Шаблон:Canadian party colour	Popular vote:	18.62%	27.69%	27.58%	30.76%	32.01%	39.78%	26.31%
Parties not winning seats in the legislature Шаблон:Canadian party colour								New Democratic Party	Popular vote:	0.98%	0.00%	2.11%	1.01%	1.05%	0.00%	0.85% Шаблон:Canadian party colour	Independents	Popular vote:	0.39%	0.26%	0.89%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	Liberal	0.3%																Progressive Conservative
Total seats:	20	8	6	6	6	5	51

Retiring incumbents

The following incumbent MLAs did not run for re-election:
Liberal

New Democratic

Nominated candidates

Шаблон:Cleanup Legend
bold denotes party leader
† denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election or was defeated in nomination contest

Annapolis Valley

Шаблон:Canadian politics/candlist header |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Annapolis | |Henry Spurr
834
8.17% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Stephen McNeil
7,710
75.52% | |Ginny Hurlock^[20]
1,390
13.62% | |Ron Neufeld
227
2.22% | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Stephen McNeil |- |rowspan=3 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Clare-Digby |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Dean Kenley
842
8.90% |rowspan=3 Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |rowspan=3|Gordon Wilson
5,122
54.13% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Paul Emile LeBlanc^[21]
2,911
30.77% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Ian Thurber
492
5.20% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Wayne Gaudet† |- |colspan=2 align="center"|merged district |- |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Harold Theriault† |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Hants West | |Brian Stephens
888
10.03% | |Claude O'Hara
3,279
37.03% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Chuck Porter
4,468
50.46% | |Torin Buzek
169
1.91% | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Chuck Porter |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Kings North | |Jim Morton
2,882
32.09% | |Stephen Pearl
2,787
31.03% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |John Lohr^[22]
2,903
32.32% | |Mary Lou Harley
362
4.03% | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Jim Morton |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Kings South | |Ramona Jennex
3,511
35.29% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Keith Irving
3,878
38.98% | |Shane Buchan ^[21]
2,263
22.75% | |Sheila Richardson
252
2.53% | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Ramona Jennex |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Kings West | |Bob Landry
603
7.58% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Leo Glavine
5,885
74.01% | |Jody Frowley
1,275
16.03% | |Barbara Lake
157
1.97% | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Leo Glavine |}

South Shore

Шаблон:Canadian politics/candlist header |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Argyle-Barrington | |Kenn Baynton
355
4.89% | |Kent Blades
2,905
40.05% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Chris d'Entremont
3,935
54.25% | | | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Chris d'Entremont |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Chester-St. Margaret's |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Denise Peterson-Rafuse
3,341
35.01% | |Tim Harris
2,943
30.84% | |Janet Irwin ^[21]
3,193
33.46% | | | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Denise Peterson-Rafuse |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Lunenburg | |Pam Birdsall
2,768
32.60% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Suzanne Lohnes-Croft
3,182
37.48% | |Brian Pickings
2,465
29.03% | | | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Pam Birdsall |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Lunenburg West | |Gary Ramey
2,885
31.48% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Mark Furey
3,931
42.89% | |David Mitchell ^[21]
2,143
23.38% | |Robert Pierce
160
1.75% | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gary Ramey |- |rowspan=3 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Queens-Shelburne |rowspan=3 Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |rowspan=3|Sterling Belliveau
3,066
36.86% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Benson Frail
2,302
27.67% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Bruce Inglis^[23]
2,685
32.28% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Madeline Taylor
211
2.54% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Sterling Belliveau |- |colspan=2 align="center"|merged district |- |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Vicki Conrad† |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Yarmouth | |Charles Webster
217
2.50% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Zach Churchill
7,130
82.03% | |John Cunningham
1,233
14.19% | |Vanessa Goodwin-Clairmont
83
0.95% | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Zach Churchill |}

Fundy-Northeast

Central Halifax

Шаблон:Canadian politics/candlist header |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Clayton Park West | |Blake Wright
1,515
17.22% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Diana Whalen
5,929
67.40% | |Jaime D. Allen
1,299
14.77% | | | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Diana Whalen |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Fairview-Clayton Park | |Abad Khan
2,274
31.19% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Patricia Arab
3,364
46.15% | |Travis Price
1,294
17.75% | |Raland Kinley
177
2.43% | | Katie Campbell
136
1.87% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |New Riding |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Halifax Armdale | |Drew Moore
2,203
33.67% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Lena Diab
3,208
49.04% | |Irvine Carvery
1,061
16.22% | | | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Graham Steele† |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Halifax Chebucto | |Gregor Ash
3,376
38.25% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Joachim Stroink^[26]
4,352
49.30% | |Christine Dewell ^[21]
874
9.90% | | | |Michael Marshall
125
1.42% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Howard Epstein† |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Halifax Citadel-Sable Island | |Leonard Preyra
1,934
30.82% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Labi Kousoulis
2,966
47.27% | |Andrew Black
1,094
17.43% | |Brynn Horley
198
3.16% | |Frederic Boileau-Cadieux
31
0.49% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Leonard Preyra |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Halifax Needham |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Maureen MacDonald
3,392
43.59% | |Chris Poole
3,115
40.03% | |Mary Hamblin^[27]
834
10.72% | |Kris MacLellan
369
4.74% | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Maureen MacDonald |}

Suburban Halifax

|- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Halifax Atlantic | |Tanis Crosby
2,579
33.37% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Brendan Maguire
3,244
41.98% | |Ryan Brennan
1,817
23.51% | | | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Michèle Raymond† |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Hammonds Plains-Lucasville | |Peter Lund
1,584
24.23% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Ben Jessome
3,402
52.04% | |Gina Byrne^[29]
1,423
21.77% | | | |Jonathan Dean
104
1.59% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |New Riding |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Sackville-Beaver Bank | |Mat Whynott
2,369
36.75% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Stephen Gough
2,570
39.87% | |Sarah Reeves ^[30]
1,452
22.53% | | | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Mat Whynott |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Sackville-Cobequid |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Dave Wilson
2,983
38.16% | |Graham Cameron
2,898
37.07% | |Peter Mac Isaac^[31]
1,651
21.12% | |John Percy
227
2.90% | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Dave Wilson |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Timberlea-Prospect | |Linda Moxsom-Skinner
2,168
25.23% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Iain Rankin
4,492
52.27% | |Bruce Pretty
1,588
18.48% | |Thomas Trappenberg
293
3.41% | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Bill Estabrooks† |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank | |Percy Paris
2,098
25.03% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Bill Horne^[32]
3,588
42.81% | |Brian Wong^[33]
2,640
31.50% | | | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Percy Paris |}

Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore

Central Nova

Cape Breton

Шаблон:Canadian politics/candlist header |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Cape Breton Centre |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Frank Corbett
3,440
45.03% | |David Wilton^[42]
3,282
42.96% | |Edna Lee^[43]
873
11.43% | | | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Frank Corbett |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Cape Breton-Richmond | |Bert Lewis
1,667
21.39% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Michel Samson
4,369
56.06% | |Joe Janega^[44]
1,696
21.76% | | | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Michel Samson |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Glace Bay | |Mary Beth MacDonald
1,001
14.37% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Geoff MacLellan
5,547
79.61% | |Tom Bethell
355
5.09% | | | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Geoff MacLellan |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Inverness | |Michelle Smith
678
8.68% | |Jackie Rankin^[45]
3,248
41.58% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Allan MacMaster
3,816
48.85% | | | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Allan MacMaster |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Northside-Westmount | |Cecil Snow
1,597
16.69% | |John Higgins^[46]
3,716
38.83% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Eddie Orrell
4,179
43.67% | | | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Eddie Orrell |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg | |Delton McDonald
1,573
16.35% | |Josephine Kennedy^[47]
3,798
39.47% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Alfie MacLeod
4,178
43.42% | | | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Alfie MacLeod |- |rowspan=3 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Sydney-Whitney Pier |rowspan=3 Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |rowspan=3|Gordie Gosse
5,084
49.07% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Derek Mombourquette^[48]
4,534
43.76% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Leslie MacPhee
680
6.56% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gordie Gosse |- |colspan=2 align="center"|merged district |- | |Vacant |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Victoria-The Lakes | |John Frank Toney
1,907
23.44% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Pam Eyking^[49]
3,150
38.71% | |Keith Bain
2,847
34.99% | | | |Stemer MacLeod
172
2.11% |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Keith Bain |}

Opinion polls

Voting intentions during the 2013 election campaign

Voting intentions during the 2013 election campaign
Voting intentions since the 2009 election

Voting intentions since the 2009 election

Polling Firm	Last Day of Polling	Link	Шаблон:Canadian party colour align="center" style="width: 70px"\| NDP	Шаблон:Canadian party colour align="center" style="width: 70px"\| Liberal	Шаблон:Canadian party colour align="center" style="width: 70px"\| PC	Шаблон:Canadian party colour align="center" style="width: 70px"\| Green
Election 2013	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	26.84	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|45.71	26.31	0.85
Forum Research	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	26	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|48	23	3
Forum Research	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	28	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|47	23	2
Abacus Data	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	26	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|46	27	1
Forum Research	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	28	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|47	23	2
Abacus Data	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	27	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|48	24	1
Forum Research	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	28	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|46	24	2
Abacus Data	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	28	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|46	25	1
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	31	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|47	20	2
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	29	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|52	17	2
Abacus Data	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	28	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|50	22	1
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	27	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|54	17	2
Abacus Data	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	26	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|51	23	1
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	28	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|55	16	2
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	27	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|56	15	2
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	24	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|57	17	2
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	26	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|56	17	2
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	26	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|55	16	2
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	27	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|56	16	2
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	29	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|53	17	2
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	27	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|51	20	2
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	29	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|49	20	2
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	29	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|49	21	2
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	29	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|48	21	2
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	29	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|47	21	2
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	28	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|47	23	2
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	28	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|48	23	2
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	31	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|41	25	3
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	26	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|45	26	3
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	32	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|39	24	5
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	29	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|41	27	3
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	31	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|41	22	5
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	Шаблон:Party shading/NDP (Canada)\|35	33	28	4
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	Шаблон:Party shading/NDP (Canada)\|44	27	25	3
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	Шаблон:Party shading/NDP (Canada)\|45	22	29	4
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	Шаблон:Party shading/NDP (Canada)\|41	26	30	4
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	Шаблон:Party shading/NDP (Canada)\|42	22	31	4
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	34	Шаблон:Party shading/Liberal\|35	26	4
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	Шаблон:Party shading/NDP (Canada)\|38	31	26	4
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	Шаблон:Party shading/NDP (Canada)\|37	35	21	7
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	Шаблон:Party shading/NDP (Canada)\|37	35	24	4
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF Шаблон:Webarchive	Шаблон:Party shading/NDP (Canada)\|46	26	22	5
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	HTML	Шаблон:Party shading/NDP (Canada)\|53	22	21	4
Corporate Research Associates	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	Шаблон:Party shading/NDP (Canada)\|60	18	16	6
Election 2009	Шаблон:Sort	PDF	Шаблон:Party shading/NDP (Canada)\|45.24	27.20	24.54	2.34

Analysis

On election night, the Liberal Party formed a majority government by a comfortable margin. This was the first time the Liberals had formed government in Nova Scotia since 1999, and their first majority government victory since the 1993 election. From mid 2012, the Liberals had led every public poll and entered the campaign with a 20-point lead over the New Democratic Party (NDP).

While the Liberals had been relatively successful in the Annapolis Valley and on Cape Breton Island during the 2009 election, they were completely shut out of the South Shore, Fundy, and Central Nova Scotia. More importantly, the NDP had dominated the Halifax metropolitan area, winning 14 out of 20 seats. In 2009, the NDP had been able to count on a large number of ridings in and around Halifax, while achieving historic gains across the province, including in traditionally Progressive Conservative (PC) and Liberal areas of rural Nova Scotia. In 2009, the PCs fell from first place to third place in the Legislature, and were completely shut out of the Halifax metropolitan area.

In the 2013 election, NDP support collapsed across the province, as it lost all of its seats in Central Nova Scotia, three of its seats in Fundy, and three of its seats on the South Shore. However, the most important shift was in the Halifax metropolitan area, where NDP support dropped from 54.07% in 2009 to 31.29% in 2013. The party wound up losing 13 of its seats, as the Liberals won 18 of 20 seats in and around Halifax. Strong NDP areas in 2009, like Dartmouth, Central Halifax, and suburban areas north and east of the Harbour swung from the NDP to the Liberals. Among the casualties was Dexter, who lost his own seat to Liberal challenger Tony Ince by 21 votes. He was the first premier since Ernest Armstrong to be defeated in his own riding.

The NDP had very poor vote concentration in the 2013 election. In Halifax, where it won 31.29% of the vote, it won only two seats. While the party finished second in the popular vote ahead of the PCs, its support was spread out around the province and not concentrated in enough areas to translate into seats. Combined with its collapse in Halifax, this left the NDP with only seven seats to the Tories' 11.

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:NS Elections Шаблон:Nova Scotia politics Шаблон:Nova Scotia provincial electoral districts

↑ Шаблон:Cite news
↑ Hurlburt resigns amid spending flap, CBC News, February 9, 2010.
↑ "Zinck admits to drinking, gambling problems". CBC News, March 25, 2010.
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ "MLA spending probe in N.S. gets 4 charged". CBC News, February 14, 2011.
↑ "Ex-MLA Wilson sentenced to nine months in jail". CBC News, April 19, 2012. Retrieved April 19, 2012.
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Final Report Шаблон:Webarchive Nova Scotia Electoral Boundaries Commission
↑ Contentious electoral map becomes law in N.S. CBC News
↑ "Vacationing Liberal MLA resigns seat". CBC News, May 29, 2013. Retrieved June 20, 2013.
↑ "Embattled Independent MLA Trevor Zinck resigns". CBC News, June 19, 2013. Retrieved June 20, 2013.
↑ "Liberal MLA Wayne Gaudet won't run in next election". CBC News, January 18, 2013. Retrieved January 21, 2013.
↑ "Theriault Not Reoffering in Digby-Annapolis" Шаблон:Webarchive. Nova Scotia Liberal Caucus Office, June 29, 2012. Retrieved June 29, 2012.
↑ Queens MLA not reoffering in next election The Queens County Advance
↑ "MLA Howard Epstein not reoffering in next election". CBC News, January 15, 2013. Retrieved January 17, 2013.
↑ ^17,0 ^17,1 "MacDonald takes over as finance minister". The Chronicle Herald, May 30, 2012. Retrieved May 30, 2012.
↑ NDP MLA Marilyn More won't reoffer CBC.ca
↑ "MLA Michele Raymond not reoffering". CBC News, November 23, 2012. Retrieved November 23, 2012.
↑ "Hurlock gets PC nod". The Spectator, May 31, 2013.
↑ ^21,0 ^21,1 ^21,2 ^21,3 ^21,4 ^21,5 ^21,6 ^21,7 ^21,8 PC Nova Scotia: Our Events. The Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia, July 8, 2012. Retrieved August 7, 2012.
↑ Lohr wins PC nomination in Kings North. June 6, 2013.
↑ "Bruce Inglis gets PC nomination". The Queens County Advance, June 4, 2013.
↑ "Reverend acclaimed PC candidate in Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley". Truro Daily News, March 24, 2013. Retrieved May 7, 2013.
↑ "Williams wins PC nomination in Hants East", July 30, 2013.
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Hamblin secures PC nomination in Halifax Needham. May 29, 2013.
↑ "Christie to run for Tories in Bedford". The Chronicle Herald, June 19, 2013.
↑ "Byrne secures nomination for Baillie's PC team". July 2, 2013.
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Peter MacIsaac candidate bio Шаблон:Webarchive. Retrieved August 31, 2013.
↑ Liberals nominate Bill Horne in Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank. April 26, 2013.
↑ Brian Wong to run for Baillie’s Tories in Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank. November 1, 2012.
↑ Joyce Treen to represent Liberals in Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage. June 20, 2013.
↑ Gamble secures PC nomination in Dartmouth South. April 18, 2013.
↑ Eastern Shore Liberals nominate Kevin Murphy Шаблон:Webarchive. May 7, 2013.
↑ Delorey nominated as Liberal candidate in Antigonish. The Casket, August 18, 2013.
↑ Liberals nominate Lloyd Hines in East Nova. April 26, 2013.
↑ Dunn secures Progressive Conservative nomination in Pictou Centre. January 29, 2013.
↑ Tim Houston wins Progressive Conservative nomination in Pictou East. November 28, 2012.
↑ Karla MacFarlane to run for Baillie’s Progressive Conservatives in Pictou West. July 5, 2012.
↑ Wilton Gets Liberal Nod in Cape Breton Centre. September 30, 2012.
↑ Lee, MacLeod secure Progressive Conservative nominations. January 26, 2013.
↑ Joe Janega to represent Tories in Cape Breton-Richmond. 101.5 FM The Hawk, August 2, 2013.
↑ Inverness Liberal-Jackie Rankin Шаблон:Webarchive. Retrieved April 30, 2013.
↑ Liberals nominate John Higgins in Northside-Westmount. April 22, 2013.
↑ Liberals nominate Josephine Kennedy in Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg Шаблон:Webarchive. April 28, 2013.
↑ Sydney Liberal-Derek Mombourquette Шаблон:Webarchive. Retrieved April 30, 2013.
↑ Liberals nominate Pam Eyking in Victoria-The Lakes. April 27, 2013.

[1] Шаблон:Cite news

[2] Hurlburt resigns amid spending flap, CBC News, February 9, 2010.

[3] "Zinck admits to drinking, gambling problems". CBC News, March 25, 2010.

[4] Шаблон:Cite web

[5] "MLA spending probe in N.S. gets 4 charged". CBC News, February 14, 2011.

[6] "Ex-MLA Wilson sentenced to nine months in jail". CBC News, April 19, 2012. Retrieved April 19, 2012.

[7] Шаблон:Cite web

[8] Шаблон:Cite web

[9] Final Report Шаблон:Webarchive Nova Scotia Electoral Boundaries Commission

[10] Contentious electoral map becomes law in N.S. CBC News

[11] "Vacationing Liberal MLA resigns seat". CBC News, May 29, 2013. Retrieved June 20, 2013.

[12] "Embattled Independent MLA Trevor Zinck resigns". CBC News, June 19, 2013. Retrieved June 20, 2013.

[13] "Liberal MLA Wayne Gaudet won't run in next election". CBC News, January 18, 2013. Retrieved January 21, 2013.

[14] "Theriault Not Reoffering in Digby-Annapolis" Шаблон:Webarchive. Nova Scotia Liberal Caucus Office, June 29, 2012. Retrieved June 29, 2012.

[15] Queens MLA not reoffering in next election The Queens County Advance

[16] "MLA Howard Epstein not reoffering in next election". CBC News, January 15, 2013. Retrieved January 17, 2013.

[macdonaldfinance-17] 17,0 ^17,1 "MacDonald takes over as finance minister". The Chronicle Herald, May 30, 2012. Retrieved May 30, 2012.

[18] NDP MLA Marilyn More won't reoffer CBC.ca

[19] "MLA Michele Raymond not reoffering". CBC News, November 23, 2012. Retrieved November 23, 2012.

[20] "Hurlock gets PC nod". The Spectator, May 31, 2013.

[pcparty-21] 21,0 ^21,1 ^21,2 ^21,3 ^21,4 ^21,5 ^21,6 ^21,7 ^21,8 PC Nova Scotia: Our Events. The Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia, July 8, 2012. Retrieved August 7, 2012.

[22] Lohr wins PC nomination in Kings North. June 6, 2013.

[23] "Bruce Inglis gets PC nomination". The Queens County Advance, June 4, 2013.

[24] "Reverend acclaimed PC candidate in Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley". Truro Daily News, March 24, 2013. Retrieved May 7, 2013.

[25] "Williams wins PC nomination in Hants East", July 30, 2013.

[26] Шаблон:Cite web

[27] Hamblin secures PC nomination in Halifax Needham. May 29, 2013.

[28] "Christie to run for Tories in Bedford". The Chronicle Herald, June 19, 2013.

[29] "Byrne secures nomination for Baillie's PC team". July 2, 2013.

[30] Шаблон:Cite web

[31] Peter MacIsaac candidate bio Шаблон:Webarchive. Retrieved August 31, 2013.

[32] Liberals nominate Bill Horne in Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank. April 26, 2013.

[33] Brian Wong to run for Baillie’s Tories in Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank. November 1, 2012.

[34] Joyce Treen to represent Liberals in Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage. June 20, 2013.

[35] Gamble secures PC nomination in Dartmouth South. April 18, 2013.

[36] Eastern Shore Liberals nominate Kevin Murphy Шаблон:Webarchive. May 7, 2013.

[37] Delorey nominated as Liberal candidate in Antigonish. The Casket, August 18, 2013.

[38] Liberals nominate Lloyd Hines in East Nova. April 26, 2013.

[39] Dunn secures Progressive Conservative nomination in Pictou Centre. January 29, 2013.

[40] Tim Houston wins Progressive Conservative nomination in Pictou East. November 28, 2012.

[41] Karla MacFarlane to run for Baillie’s Progressive Conservatives in Pictou West. July 5, 2012.

[42] Wilton Gets Liberal Nod in Cape Breton Centre. September 30, 2012.

[43] Lee, MacLeod secure Progressive Conservative nominations. January 26, 2013.

[44] Joe Janega to represent Tories in Cape Breton-Richmond. 101.5 FM The Hawk, August 2, 2013.

[45] Inverness Liberal-Jackie Rankin Шаблон:Webarchive. Retrieved April 30, 2013.

[46] Liberals nominate John Higgins in Northside-Westmount. April 22, 2013.

[47] Liberals nominate Josephine Kennedy in Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg Шаблон:Webarchive. April 28, 2013.

[48] Sydney Liberal-Derek Mombourquette Шаблон:Webarchive. Retrieved April 30, 2013.

[49] Liberals nominate Pam Eyking in Victoria-The Lakes. April 27, 2013.

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