Английская Википедия:2014 Iowa gubernatorial election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsIA The 2014 Iowa gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Iowa. Republican incumbent Terry Branstad ran for reelection to a sixth overall and second consecutive four-year term.[1] Branstad went on to win a historic sixth term as governor by defeating Democratic challenger and State Senator Jack Hatch, and on December 14, 2015, he became the longest-serving governor in American history. He won 59.1% of the popular vote to Hatch's 37.3%, and carried every county in the state except Johnson, home to Iowa City and the University of Iowa.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Terry Branstad, incumbent Governor[1]
- Tom Hoefling, political activist and America's Party and American Independent Party nominee for president in 2012[2]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad |
Tom Hoefling |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 15–19, 2014 | 303 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 66% | 12% | 22% |
Loras College | April 7–8, 2014 | 600 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 80% | 4% | 14% |
Suffolk University | April 3–8, 2014 | 224 | ± 6.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 70% | 9% | 21% |
Public Policy Polling | February 20–23, 2014 | 283 | ± 5.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 70% | 11% | 18% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Narcisse was disqualified from appearing on the ballot in the Democratic primary following a ruling by the Iowa Supreme Court[3] that upheld a lower court decision that held that Narcisse had not submitted enough valid signatures to be placed on the ballot for the primary election. Narcisse continued his campaign and declared his intention to run for the nomination as a write-in candidate.[4] When he was unsuccessful, he announced that he would be running in the general election as the nominee of the Iowa Party.[5][6]
Candidates
Declared
- Jack Hatch, state senator[7]
- Jonathan Narcisse, former member of the Des Moines School Board and Iowa Party nominee for governor in 2010[8]
Withdrew
- Paul Dahl, bus driver, retail sales associate, former librarian and candidate for Iowa's 5th congressional district in 1994[9]
- Tyler Olson, state representative and former chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party[10]
Declined
- Frank Cownie, Mayor of Des Moines[11]
- Chet Culver, former governor[12]
- Jeff Danielson, state senator[13]
- Michael Fitzgerald, state treasurer[14]
- Michael Gronstal, majority leader of the Iowa Senate and chairman of the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee[15]
- Fred Hubbell, insurance executive[11][16]
- Pam Jochum, president of the Iowa Senate[15]
- Bob Krause, former state representative, nominee for state treasurer in 1978, candidate for Mayor of Waterloo in 1982 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[17]
- Janet Petersen, state senator[18]
- Tom Vilsack, United States Secretary of Agriculture and former governor[19]
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Candidates
- Terry Branstad (Republican), incumbent governor
- Running mate: Kim Reynolds, incumbent lieutenant governor
- Jack Hatch (Democratic), state senator
- Running mate: Monica Vernon, Cedar Rapids City Councilwoman[20]
- Jim Hennager (New Independent Party), administrator, former city councillor and Reform Party nominee for governor in 1998[21]
- Running mate: Mary Krieg
- Lee Hieb (Libertarian), orthopedic surgeon[22]
- Running mate: Ryan Ketelsen, businessman[22]
- Jonathan Narcisse (Iowa Party), former member of the Des Moines School Board and nominee for governor in 2010[5][6][8]
- Running mate: Michael Richards, semi-retired businessman[23]
Debates
- Complete video of debate, September 20, 2014 - C-SPAN
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg Political Report[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Jack Hatch (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 1–3, 2014 | 1,265 | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 40% | 5%[28] | 5% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 54% | 43% | — | 4% | ||||
Quinnipiac University | October 28–November 2, 2014 | 778 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 41% | 2% | 6% |
Iowa Poll | October 28–31, 2014 | 701 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 59% | 35% | 2% | 4% |
YouGov | October 25–31, 2014 | 1,112 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 35% | 4% | 13% |
Fox News | October 28–30, 2014 | 911 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | 36% | 5% | 6% |
Reuters/Ipsos | October 23–29, 2014 | 1,129 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 57% | 34% | 4% | 5% |
Quinnipiac | October 22–27, 2014 | 817 | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 56% | 37% | 2% | 5% |
Loras College | October 21–24, 2014 | 1,121 | ± 2.93% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 34% | 2% | 9% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 2,322 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 37% | 0% | 13% |
NBC News/Marist | October 18–22, 2014 | 772 LV | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 59% | 36% | 2% | 4% |
1,052 RV | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 58% | 34% | 2% | 6% | ||
Gravis Marketing | October 20–21, 2014 | 964 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | 43% | — | 4% |
Monmouth University | October 18–21, 2014 | 423 | ± 4.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 58% | 37% | 3% | 2% |
Quinnipiac University | October 15–21, 2014 | 964 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 37% | 2% | 5% |
Suffolk University | October 11–14, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 54% | 37% | 3%[29] | 7% |
Quinnipiac University | October 8–13, 2014 | 967 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 54% | 39% | 1% | 6% |
The Iowa Poll | October 3–8, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 54% | 39% | — | 4% |
Magellan | October 3, 2014 | 1,299 | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 39% | — | 7% |
NBC News/Marist | September 27–October 1, 2014 | 778 LV | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 58% | 36% | 1% | 5% |
1,093 RV | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 58% | 35% | 1% | 6% | ||
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 2,359 | ± 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 39% | 0% | 9% |
Gravis Marketing | September 29–30, 2014 | 522 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 43% | — | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | September 25–28, 2014 | 1,192 | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 36% | 4%[30] | 9% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 38% | — | 10% | ||||
Iowa Poll | September 21–24, 2014 | 546 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 34% | 6%[31] | 12% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 17–18, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 40% | 3% | 10% |
FOX News | September 14–16, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 37% | 4% | 8% |
Quinnipiac | September 10–15, 2014 | 1,167 | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 60% | 37% | 1% | 3% |
Loras College | September 2–5, 2014 | 1,200 | ± 2.82% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 56% | 34% | — | 11% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 1,764 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 38% | 1% | 10% |
Suffolk | August 23–26, 2014 | 500 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 35% | 2%[32] | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | August 22–24, 2014 | 915 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 35% | 5%[28] | 12% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 37% | — | 13% | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | August 11–12, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 35% | 6% | 7% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 2,044 | ± 2.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 40% | 1% | 8% |
Gravis Marketing | July 17–18, 2014 | 1,179 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 42% | — | 9% |
NBC News/Marist | July 7–13, 2014 | 1,599 | ± 2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | 38% | 1% | 9% |
Quinnipiac | June 12–16, 2014 | 1,277 | ± 2.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 38% | 1% | 14% |
Vox Populi Polling | June 4–5, 2014 | 665 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 40% | — | 9% |
Loras College | June 4–5, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 38% | — | 11% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 4–5, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 40% | 2% | 8% |
Global Strategy Group | May 13–15, 2014 | 602 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 40% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | May 15–19, 2014 | 914 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 40% | — | 12% |
Victory Enterprises | April 30–May 1, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 33% | — | 20% |
Hickman Analytics | April 24–30 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 40% | — | 10% |
Vox Populi Polling | April 22–24, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% | 43% | — | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | April 19–20, 2014 | 677 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 38% | — | 19% |
Suffolk University | April 3–8, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | 32% | 2%[33] | 24% |
Quinnipiac | March 5–10, 2014 | 1,411 | ± 2.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 35% | 1% | 17% |
Selzer & Co. | February 23–26, 2014 | 703 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | 29% | — | 27% |
Public Policy Polling | February 20–23, 2014 | 869 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 36% | — | 15% |
Quinnipiac | December 10–15, 2013 | 1,617 | ± 2.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 33% | 1% | 17% |
Selzer & Co. | December 8–11, 2013 | 325 | ± ?% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 29% | 8% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 35% | — | 18% |
Selzer & Co. | June 2–5, 2013 | 591 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 27% | 9% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling | February 1–3, 2013 | 846 | ± % | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 33% | — | 19% |
- With Branstad
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Bruce Braley (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 1–3, 2013 | 846 | ± % | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 41% | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | May 3–6, 2012 | 1,181 | ± 2.85% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | 40% | — | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Chet Culver (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | February 1–3, 2013 | 846 | ± % | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 40% | — | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | May 3–6, 2012 | 1,181 | ± 2.85% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | 42% | — | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Michael Gronstal (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 36% | — | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Bob Krause (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac | December 10–15, 2013 | 1,617 | ± 2.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 31% | 1% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Dave Loebsack (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 1–3, 2013 | 846 | ± % | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 38% | — | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Tyler Olson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac | December 10–15, 2013 | 1,617 | ± 2.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 32% | 1% | 17% |
Selzer & Co. | December 8–11, 2013 | 325 | ± ?% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 28% | 8% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 33% | — | 20% |
Public Policy Polling | February 1–3, 2013 | 846 | ± % | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 31% | — | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Terry Branstad (R) |
Tom Vilsack (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 1–3, 2013 | 846 | ± % | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 46% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | May 3–6, 2012 | 1,181 | ± 2.85% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | — | 11% |
- With Hoefling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Hoefling (R) |
Jack Hatch (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 15–19, 2014 | 914 | ± 3.3% | 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 37% | — | 33% |
Suffolk University | April 3–8, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 23% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 35% | 3%[33] | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 39% |
Public Policy Polling | February 20–23, 2014 | 869 | ± 3.3% | 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 34% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 36% |
- With Reynolds
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kim Reynolds (R) |
Chet Culver (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | — | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kim Reynolds (R) |
Michael Gronstal (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | 37% | 37% | — | 26% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kim Reynolds (R) |
Jack Hatch (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 36% | 33% | — | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kim Reynolds (R) |
Tyler Olson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 5–7, 2013 | 668 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 36% | 32% | — | 32% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Black Hawk (largest city: Waterloo)
- Des Moines (largest city: Burlington)
- Dubuque (largest city: Dubuque)
- Floyd (largest city: Charles City)
- Jefferson (largest city: Fairfield)
- Lee (largest city: Fort Madison)
- Linn (Largest city: Cedar Rapids)
- Story (Largest city: Ames)
By congressional district
Branstad won all 4 of the congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.[34]
District | Branstad | Hatch | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 55.95% | 40.98% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rod Blum |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 56.66% | 39.85% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Dave Loebsack |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 56.55% | 38.79% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|David Young |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 67.25% | 29.39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Steve King |
References
External links
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
- Terry Branstad for Iowa Governor
- Paul Dahl for Iowa Governor
- Jack Hatch for Iowa Governor
- Tom Hoefling for Iowa Governor
Шаблон:2014 United States elections
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 5,0 5,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 6,0 6,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 8,0 8,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 11,0 11,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 15,0 15,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 22,0 22,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 28,0 28,1 Jim Hennager (NIP) 2%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 2%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
- ↑ Jim Hennager (NIP) 1%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 1%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
- ↑ Jim Hennager (NIP) 3%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 2%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
- ↑ Jim Hennager (NIP) 2%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 3%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
- ↑ Jim Hennager (NIP) 1%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 1%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 0%
- ↑ 33,0 33,1 Lee Hieb (L)
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web