Английская Википедия:2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNH The 2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Hampshire, concurrently with the election of the governor of New Hampshire, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen ran for re-election to a second term in office.[1] Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014.[2] Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination and the Republicans nominated former U.S. Senator Scott Brown, who represented Massachusetts from 2010 to 2013.[3]

Brown sought to become only the third person in history and the first in 135 years to represent more than one state in the United States Senate. Waitman T. Willey represented Virginia from 1861 to 1863 and West Virginia from 1863 to 1871 and James Shields represented Illinois from 1849 to 1855, Minnesota from 1858 to 1859 and Missouri in 1879.[4]

Shaheen defeated Brown by 51.5% to 48.2%, making him the first man to lose two Senate races to women, as he had lost his 2012 reelection bid in Massachusetts to Elizabeth Warren.[5]

Democratic primary

Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

The Republican primary for this election was much more highly contested than the respective Democratic one, with Scott Brown beating out Jim Rubens and Bob Smith for the Republican nomination.

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Charles
Bass
Scott
Brown
Andy
Martin
Jim
Rubens
Bob
Smith
Karen
Testerman
Other Undecided
New England College October 7–9, 2013 424 ± 4.56% 21% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 5% 4% 23%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 528 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% 11% 8% 11% 7% 22%
4% 12% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 26% 10% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 47%
Gravis Marketing January 29–30, 2014 498 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 22% 27%
Suffolk/Boston Herald February 27 – March 5, 2014 426 ± 4.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 33.33% 0.7% 3.05% 11.97% 3.29% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 47.65%
Vox Populi Polling May 14–15, 2014 ? ± 5.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 38% 9% 13% 8% 32%
Suffolk/Boston Herald Шаблон:Webarchive June 14–18, 2014 419 ± 4.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40.33% 0.24% 3.58% 12.17% 2.88%[29] Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 40.81%
NBC/Marist July 7–13, 2014 1,342 ± 2.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 61% 10% 16% 1% 12%

Results

Файл:2014 United States Senate Republican primary election in New Hampshire results map by county.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Debates

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Jeanne Shaheen (D) $16,506,920.00 $16,466,208.00 $88,652.00 $10,620.00
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Scott Brown (R) $9,222,677.00 $9,163,652.00 $59,026.00 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[30]

Independent expenditures

Super PAC Supporting Amount Media Goal
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Senate Majority PAC Jeanne Shaheen $682,558[31] TV Oppose Scott Brown
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | League of Conservation Voters Victory Fund Jeanne Shaheen $364,320[31] TV Oppose Scott Brown
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Ending Spending Inc. Scott Brown $61,448[32] Media Oppose Jeanne Shaheen
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Ending Spending Action Fund Scott Brown $60,136[32] Media Support Scott Brown
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | New Hampshire PAC to Save America Jim Rubens $57,866[31] Direct Mail Support Jim Rubens
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | NextGen Climate Action Committee Jeanne Shaheen $37,421[32] Digital Advertising Oppose Scott Brown
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Ocean Champions Jeanne Shaheen $25,000[32] Media Oppose Scott Brown
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Tea Party Victory Fund Bob Smith $15,000[31] Voter Contact Calls Support Bob Smith

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[35] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[36] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 41% 7%
Rockefeller Center April 22–25, 2013 433 ± 4.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 30% 26%
New England College May 2–5, 2013 807 ± 3.27% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 35% 11%
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 44% 7%
American Research Group December 13–16, 2013 549 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 38% 14%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 43% 10%
Purple Strategies January 21–23, 2014 1,052 ± 3% 44% 44% 12%
Harper Polling January 22–23, 2014 513 ± 4.33% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 40% 35% 25%
WMUR/UNH January 21–26, 2014 454 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 37% 3% 14%
Public Policy Polling February 19–20, 2014 686 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 39% 14%
Suffolk/Boston Herald February 27 – March 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 39% 9%
Rasmussen Reports March 12–13, 2014 750 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 41% 4% 5%
American Research Group March 13–16, 2014 533 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 38% 12%
Public Policy Polling April 7–8, 2014 1,034 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 41% 10%
WMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 39% 2% 14%
Rockefeller Center April 21–25, 2014 412 ± 4.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 39% 36% 25%
Hickman Analytics April 24–30, 2014 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 43% 8%
Vox Populi Polling May 14–15, 2014 707 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 35% 18%
American Research Group June 14–18, 2014 540 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 38% 12%
Suffolk/Boston Herald Шаблон:Webarchive June 14–18, 2014 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 39% 3%[37] 9%
WMUR/UNH June 19 – July 1, 2014 509 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 40% 1% 7%
NBC News/Marist July 7–13, 2014 1,342 ± 2.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 42% 1% 6%
Magellan Strategies July 7–13, 2014 1,618 ± 2.43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 41% 13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,251 ± 2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 40% 4% 6%
WMUR/UNH August 7–17, 2014 609 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 44% 1% 9%
Public Policy Polling August 27–28, 2014 766 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 44% 6%
Public Opinion Strategies August 27 – September 1, 2014 500 ± 4.38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 41% 9%[37] 6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014 1,159 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 41% 4% 9%
Kiley & Company September 2–4, 2014 602 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 42% 8%
Global Strategy Group September 10, 2014 1,027 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 41% 11%
Kiley & CompanyШаблон:Dead linkШаблон:Cbignore September 9–11, 2014 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 43% 6%
CNN/ORC September 8–11, 2014 735 LV ± 3.5% 48% 48% 4%
883 RV ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 44% 5%
Magellan Strategies September 10–11, 2014 2,214 ± 2% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 10%
Rasmussen Reports September 10–11, 2014 1,027 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 42% 5% 5%
New England College September 10–11, 2014 630 ± 3.98% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 40% 5% 4%
American Research Group September 12–15, 2014 544 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 45% 5%
Vox Populi Polling September 15–16, 2014 550 ± 4.2% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 11%
Public Policy Polling September 18–19, 2014 652 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 44% 5%
New England College September 19–20, 2014 1,494 ± 2.54% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 43% 4% 3%
American Research Group September 27–29, 2014 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 43% 4%
New England College September 26, 2014 1,331 ± 2.69% 47% 47% 3% 3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014 1,260 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 41% 1% 10%
New England College October 3, 2014 1,286 ± 2.73% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 46% 3% 2%
WMUR/UNH September 29 – October 5, 2014 532 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 41% 1% 10%
High Point University October 4–8, 2014 824 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 46% 6%
Kiley & Company October 7–9, 2014 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 44% 6%
New England College October 9, 2014 1,081 ± 2.98% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 3% 2%
UMass Amherst October 10–15, 2014 322 LV ± 6.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 45% 5% 2%
400 RV ± 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 41% 5% 5%
New England College October 16, 2014 921 ± 3.23% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 3% 2%
Suffolk/Boston Herald October 16–19, 2014 500 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 46% 6%
UMass Lowell October 15–21, 2014 643 LV ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 46% 1% 4%
900 RV ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 41% 2% 10%
CNN/ORC October 18–21, 2014 645 LV ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 47% 3%
877 RV ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 44% 5%
Public Policy Polling October 20–21, 2014 764 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 45% 5%
American Research Group October 19–22, 2014 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 48% 3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,042 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 41% 1% 12%
New England College October 24, 2014 1,132 ± 2.91% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 3% 2%
WMUR/UNH October 22–26, 2014 555 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 42% 8%
Vox Populi Polling October 27–28, 2014 638 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 45% 6%
American Research Group October 27–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 49% 49% 2%
Rasmussen Reports October 29–30, 2014 940 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 45% 1% 2%
Public Policy Polling October 30–31, 2014 679 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 47% 4%
New England College October 31 – November 1, 2014 1,526 ± 2.51% 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 1% 2%
WMUR/UNH October 29 – November 2, 2014 757 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 45% 3% 6%
Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 2014 1,690 ± 2.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 48% 3%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Charles
Bass (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 41% 8%
New England College October 7–9, 2013 1,063 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 32% 17%
WMUR/UNH October 7–16, 2013 663 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 34% 2% 13%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Jeb
Bradley (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 39% 7%
Rockefeller Center April 22–25, 2013 433 ± 4.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 25% 27%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Ted
Gatsas (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 34% 14%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Frank
Guinta (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 37% 8%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Dan
Innis (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 30% 18%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Andy
Martin (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk/Boston Herald February 27 – March 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 27% 21%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Jim
Rubens (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 33% 17%
WMUR/UNH October 7–16, 2013 516 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 28% 1% 18%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 33% 19%
WMUR/UNH January 21–26, 2014 461 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 32% 1% 20%
Suffolk/Boston Herald February 27 – March 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 29% 19%
WMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 27% 1% 23%
Rockefeller Center April 21–25, 2014 412 ± 4.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 38% 19% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 42%
WMUR/UNH June 19 – July 1, 2014 509 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 30% 1% 13%
WMUR/UNH August 7–17, 2014 609 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 35% 1% 15%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Bob
Smith (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 35% 14%
American Research Group December 13–16, 2013 549 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 32% 18%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 34% 18%
WMUR/UNH January 21–26, 2014 460 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 36% 2% 15%
Suffolk/Boston Herald February 27 – March 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 32% 15%
WMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 34% 1% 17%
Rockefeller Center April 21–25, 2014 412 ± 4.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 38% 32% 29%
Vox Populi Polling May 14–15, 2014 707 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 34% 21%
Suffolk/Boston Herald Шаблон:Webarchive June 14–18, 2014 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 31% 4%[37] 14%
WMUR/UNH June 19 – July 1, 2014 509 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% 34% 1% 8%
WMUR/UNH August 7–17, 2014 609 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 36% 2% 13%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± ? Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 39% 9%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
John
Sununu (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 14–15, 2012 1,018 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 42% 5%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Karen
Testerman (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 31% 19%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 30% 22%
WMUR/UNH January 21–26, 2014 461 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 29% 2% 21%
Suffolk/Boston Herald February 27 – March 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 29% 19%
WMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 25% 2% 25%
Rockefeller Center April 21–25, 2014 412 ± 4.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 39% 18% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 43%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 9–12, 2012 1,055 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 42% 7%
Public Policy Polling October 17–19, 2012 1,036 ± 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 42% 10%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 1,550 ± 2.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 39% 12%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

The race was close throughout the night. However, with 57% of the vote in MSNBC was comfortable enough with Shaheen's lead to declare her the victor. Brown called Shaheen to concede at 11:32 P.M. EST. Shaheen won with a 3.3% margin of victory over Brown, securing a majority of the votes cast by over 1%. Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by congressional district

Shaheen won 1 of the 2 congressional districts.[38]

District Shaheen Brown Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 49.34% 50.66% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Frank Guinta
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 53.94% 46.06% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Ann McLane Kuster

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:2014 United States elections Шаблон:New Hampshire elections