Английская Википедия:2016 Oregon gubernatorial special election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsOR The 2016 Oregon gubernatorial special election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of Oregon, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections for the U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives, other gubernatorial elections and various state and local elections.

The election determined who would fill the remaining two years of the term of Democratic governor John Kitzhaber, who was re-elected in 2014 and resigned in February 2015. Incumbent Democratic governor Kate Brown, who as Oregon Secretary of State succeeded to the governorship, ran for election to the office. In primary elections held on May 17, Brown easily captured the Democratic nomination, and the Republicans picked Salem oncologist Bud Pierce.

Brown won the election and became the first openly LGBT person elected to a term as governor in U.S. history. This election was the first time since 1990 that a woman was elected Governor of Oregon.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Julian Bell, critical care and pulmonary medicine specialist[1]
  • Kate Brown, incumbent governor[2]
  • Chet Chance, professional driver[3]
  • Kevin M. Forsythe, Walmart employee[3]
  • Steve Johnson, health worker[3][4]
  • Dave Stauffer, environmental engineer[3]

Declined

Results

Файл:Oregon gubernatorial Democratic primary results by county, 2016.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Allen
Alley
Bruce
Cuff
Bob
Forthan
Bob
Neimeyer
Bud
Pierce
Undecided
DHM Research Шаблон:Webarchive May 6–9, 2016 324 ± 5.7% 22% 3% 1% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 25% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44%

Results

Файл:Oregon gubernatorial Republican primary results by county, 2016.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Independent Party primary

The Independent Party of Oregon officially qualified as a major party on August 17, 2015.[23]

Candidates

Declared

  • Patrick Barney[3]
  • Cliff Thomason, realtor[3]

Declined

Results

Файл:Oregon gubernatorial Independent primary results by county, 2016.svg
Results by county. Blue indicates a win by Thomason, yellow a win by Barney.

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Minor parties

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Шаблон:USRaceRating August 12, 2016
Daily Kos[29] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[30] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics[32] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2016
Governing[33] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 27, 2016

Polling

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kate
Brown (D)
Bud
Pierce (R)
Other/Undecided
Шаблон:Efn
Margin
Real Clear Politics October 4–29, 2016 October 29, 2016 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45.5% 35.5% 19.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Brown +10.0%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kate
Brown (D)
Bud
Pierce (R)
Cliff
Thomason (I)
James
Foster (L)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,595 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 41% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 31 – November 6, 2016 1,483 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 40% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 28 – November 3, 2016 1,150 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 40% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 27 – November 2, 2016 934 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% 41% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 26 – November 1, 2016 809 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 41% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 743 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 42% 4%
FOX 12 Oregon/DHM Research Шаблон:Webarchive October 24–29, 2016 504 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 33% 4% 3% 4% 15%
Clout Research (R) October 20–21, 2016 928 ± 3.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 43% 6% 6%
KGW Oregonian/Riley Research Шаблон:Webarchive October 4–14, 2016 608 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 34% 13%
Oregon Public Broadcasting/DHM Research Шаблон:Webarchive October 6–13, 2016 600 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 33% 4% 3% 12%
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA October 10–12, 2016 654 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 42% 4% 8%
iCitizen September 2–7, 2016 610 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 27% 3% 3% 23%
KATU-TV/DHM Research September 1–6, 2016 517 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 35% 18%
Clout Research (R) July 9–13, 2016 701 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 42% 5% 2% 7%
iCitizen June 23–27, 2016 555 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 35% 23%
Action Solutions Шаблон:Webarchive June 1–2, 2016 600 ± 5.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% 37% 24%
Moore Information Шаблон:Webarchive April 20, 2015 500 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 27% 28%

→ Indicates an internal poll conducted on behalf of Bud Pierce.

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Allen Alley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kate
Brown (D)
Allen
Alley (R)
Other Undecided
Moore Information Шаблон:Webarchive April 20, 2015 500 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 32% 21%
with Shane Bemis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kate
Brown (D)
Shane
Bemis (R)
Other Undecided
Moore Information Шаблон:Webarchive April 20, 2015 500 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 26% 28%
with Dennis Richardson
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kate
Brown (D)
Dennis
Richardson (R)
Other Undecided
Moore Information Шаблон:Webarchive April 20, 2015 500 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 41% 12%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Results by congressional district

Brown won 3 of the state's 5 congressional districts, including the swing district Шаблон:Ushr held by Peter DeFazio, which he represented heavily Democratic Benton County and Lane County, both college towns, and the strongly Republican south coastal counties.

District Kate
Brown
Bud
Pierce
Elected
Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 53.68% 40.52% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Suzanne Bonamici
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 38.14% 55.10% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Greg Walden
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 68.44% 26.31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Earl Blumenauer
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 46.87% 46.41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Peter DeFazio
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 45.46% 49.43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kurt Schrader

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Nominees

Primary candidates

Шаблон:2016 United States elections Шаблон:Oregon elections