Английская Википедия:2016 Oregon gubernatorial special election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsOR The 2016 Oregon gubernatorial special election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of Oregon, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections for the U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives, other gubernatorial elections and various state and local elections.
The election determined who would fill the remaining two years of the term of Democratic governor John Kitzhaber, who was re-elected in 2014 and resigned in February 2015. Incumbent Democratic governor Kate Brown, who as Oregon Secretary of State succeeded to the governorship, ran for election to the office. In primary elections held on May 17, Brown easily captured the Democratic nomination, and the Republicans picked Salem oncologist Bud Pierce.
Brown won the election and became the first openly LGBT person elected to a term as governor in U.S. history. This election was the first time since 1990 that a woman was elected Governor of Oregon.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Julian Bell, critical care and pulmonary medicine specialist[1]
- Kate Brown, incumbent governor[2]
- Chet Chance, professional driver[3]
- Kevin M. Forsythe, Walmart employee[3]
- Steve Johnson, health worker[3][4]
- Dave Stauffer, environmental engineer[3]
Declined
- Brad Avakian, State Labor Commissioner (running for secretary of state)[5][6]
- Tina Kotek, Speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives[5]
- Ted Wheeler, state treasurer (running for Mayor of Portland)[5][7]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Allen Alley, former chairman of the Oregon Republican Party, nominee for Oregon State Treasurer in 2008 and candidate for governor in 2010[8]
- Bruce Cuff, real estate broker and candidate for governor in 2014[9]
- Bob Forthan, perennial candidate[9]
- Bob Niemeyer, engineering company owner and candidate for OR-01 in 2014[10]
- Bud Pierce, physician[11][12][13][14]
Declined
- Shane Bemis, Mayor of Gresham[15]
- Knute Buehler, state representative and nominee for secretary of state in 2012[16][17]
- Sid Leiken, Lane County Commissioner, former mayor of Springfield and candidate for Oregon's 4th congressional district in 2010 (running for secretary of state)[18]
- Julie Parrish, state representative[15][19]
- Dennis Richardson, former state representative and nominee for governor in 2014 (running for secretary of state)[20]
- Sherrie Sprenger, state representative[21]
- Monica Wehby, pediatric neurosurgeon and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014[22]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allen Alley |
Bruce Cuff |
Bob Forthan |
Bob Neimeyer |
Bud Pierce |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DHM Research Шаблон:Webarchive | May 6–9, 2016 | 324 | ± 5.7% | 22% | 3% | 1% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 25% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 44% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Independent Party primary
The Independent Party of Oregon officially qualified as a major party on August 17, 2015.[23]
Candidates
Declared
Declined
- Betsy Johnson, Democratic state senator[24]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Minor parties
- Aaron Donald Auer (Constitution Party), candidate for governor in 2014[25][26]
- James Foster (Libertarian Party), candidate for OR-01 in 2014[25][27]
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 13, 2016 - C-SPAN
- Complete video of debate, October 20, 2016 - C-SPAN
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | August 12, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[30] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[32] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2016 |
| Governing[33] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 27, 2016 |
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kate Brown (D) |
Bud Pierce (R) |
Other/Undecided Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | October 4–29, 2016 | October 29, 2016 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45.5% | 35.5% | 19.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Brown +10.0% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kate Brown (D) |
Bud Pierce (R) |
Cliff Thomason (I) |
James Foster (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,595 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% | 41% | — | — | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 1,483 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% | 40% | — | — | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 1,150 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% | 40% | — | — | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 934 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% | 41% | — | — | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 809 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 41% | — | — | — | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 743 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 42% | — | — | — | 4% |
| FOX 12 Oregon/DHM Research Шаблон:Webarchive | October 24–29, 2016 | 504 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | 33% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 15% |
| Clout Research (R) | October 20–21, 2016 | 928 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 43% | — | — | 6% | 6% |
| KGW Oregonian/Riley Research Шаблон:Webarchive | October 4–14, 2016 | 608 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 34% | — | — | — | 13% |
| Oregon Public Broadcasting/DHM Research Шаблон:Webarchive | October 6–13, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 33% | 4% | 3% | — | 12% |
| KATU-TV/SurveyUSA | October 10–12, 2016 | 654 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 42% | — | — | 4% | 8% |
| iCitizen | September 2–7, 2016 | 610 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 27% | 3% | 3% | — | 23% |
| KATU-TV/DHM Research | September 1–6, 2016 | 517 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | 35% | — | — | — | 18% |
| Clout Research (R) | July 9–13, 2016 | 701 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | 42% | 5% | 2% | — | 7% |
| iCitizen | June 23–27, 2016 | 555 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | 35% | — | — | — | 23% |
| Action Solutions Шаблон:Webarchive→ | June 1–2, 2016 | 600 | ± 5.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% | 37% | — | — | — | 24% |
| Moore Information Шаблон:Webarchive | April 20, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 27% | — | — | — | 28% |
→ Indicates an internal poll conducted on behalf of Bud Pierce.
- with Allen Alley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kate Brown (D) |
Allen Alley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moore Information Шаблон:Webarchive | April 20, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 32% | — | 21% |
- with Shane Bemis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kate Brown (D) |
Shane Bemis (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moore Information Шаблон:Webarchive | April 20, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 26% | — | 28% |
- with Dennis Richardson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kate Brown (D) |
Dennis Richardson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moore Information Шаблон:Webarchive | April 20, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 41% | — | 12% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Results by congressional district
Brown won 3 of the state's 5 congressional districts, including the swing district Шаблон:Ushr held by Peter DeFazio, which he represented heavily Democratic Benton County and Lane County, both college towns, and the strongly Republican south coastal counties.
| District | Kate Brown |
Bud Pierce |
Elected Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 53.68% | 40.52% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Suzanne Bonamici |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 38.14% | 55.10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Greg Walden |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 68.44% | 26.31% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Earl Blumenauer |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 46.87% | 46.41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Peter DeFazio |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 45.46% | 49.43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kurt Schrader |
Notes
References
External links
Nominees
- Aaron Donald Auer (C) for Governor Шаблон:Webarchive
- Kate Brown (D) for Governor
- James Foster (L) for Governor
- Bud Pierce (R) for Governor
- Cliff Thomason (I) for Governor Шаблон:Webarchive
Primary candidates
- Julian Bell (D) for Governor
- Steve Johnson (D) for Governor
- Chet Chance (D) for Governor
- Allen Alley (R) for Governor Шаблон:Webarchive
- Bob Niemeyer (R) for Governor
- Patrick Barney (I) for Governor
Шаблон:2016 United States elections Шаблон:Oregon elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Theriault, Denis C. (September 18, 2015) "Kate Brown makes clear she's running for governor", The Oregonian. Retrieved September 18, 2015.
- ↑ 3,0 3,1 3,2 3,3 3,4 3,5 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 5,0 5,1 5,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 9,0 9,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 15,0 15,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 25,0 25,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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