Английская Википедия:2016 Vermont Republican presidential primary
Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Vermont sidebar The 2016 Vermont Republican presidential primary was held on March 1, 2016, along with ten other state nominating contests during Super Tuesday.
Donald Trump held a big edge in Vermont polls, with John Kasich and Marco Rubio splitting much of the rest of the vote.[1] However, on election day, Donald Trump only narrowly won the popular vote by 2.3%, and tied with John Kasich in the delegate count.
Polling
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary results | March 1, 2016 | Donald Trump32.34% | John Kasich30.01% | Marco Rubio19.08% | Ted Cruz 9.61%, Ben Carson 4.13%, Jeb Bush 1.79%, Rand Paul 0.68%, Chris Christie 0.58%, Carly Fiorina 0.34%, Rick Santorum 0.27% |
| Castleton University/Vermont
Public Radio[2] Margin of error: ± 9.01% Sample size: 118 |
February 3–17, 2016 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Donald Trump 32.4% |
Marco Rubio
16.9% |
Ted Cruz
10.5% |
John Kasich 10.0%, Jeb Bush 7.7%, Ben Carson 3.1%, Chris Christie 2.4%, Carly Fiorina 1.0%, Rick Santorum 0.6%, Someone else 3.3%, Not sure/Don't know 12.1% |
Results
| Candidate | Vote[3] | Delegates[4] | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | ||
| Donald Trump | 19,974 | 32.52 | 8 |
| John Kasich | 18,534 | 30.17 | 8 |
| Marco Rubio | 11,781 | 19.18 | 0 |
| Ted Cruz | 5,932 | 9.66 | 0 |
| Ben Carson | 2,551 | 4.15 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 1,106 | 1.80 | 0 |
| Rand Paul (withdrawn) | 423 | 0.69 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 361 | 0.59 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 212 | 0.35 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum (withdrawn) | 164 | 0.27 | 0 |
| Write-ins | 390 | 0.63 | 0 |
| Total valid votes | 61,428 | 100% | 16 |
Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 20% or more of the vote proportionally.
Analysis
Vermont's voter base is much more moderate and irreligious than the Southern Super Tuesday contests.[5] Exit polls by Edison Research showed this benefitted Trump and Kasich: Trump carried somewhat conservative voters with 35% of the vote, but John Kasich won moderates with 40% to Trump's 34%.[6] Kasich did particularly well in the populous Burlington metro, holding Trump to a narrow margin statewide.
Turnout dropped in the Vermont Republican primary compared with 2012, as some registered Republicans crossed over to vote for favorite son Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary.
See also
References
Шаблон:2016 Republican Primaries
