Английская Википедия:2017 Montana's at-large congressional district special election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsMT In Montana, an at-large congressional district special election was held on May 25, 2017, to determine the member of the United States House of Representatives for Montana's at-large congressional district. The election was necessitated by incumbent Republican Representative Ryan Zinke's appointment as United States Secretary of the Interior. Zinke resigned on March 1, 2017, upon his confirmation.[1]

Montana's state law required the Governor of Montana to call for a special election to be held no less than 85 and no more than 100 days after the vacancy.[2] Governor Steve Bullock declared a special election to take place on May 25, the earliest possible day he was legally allowed to choose.[1]

The Democratic, Republican, Libertarian, and Green Parties held nominating conventions to decide their nominee.[3] The day before the election, Gianforte assaulted a reporter and was charged with misdemeanor assault.[4][5] At around 10:30pm MST, the election was called for Gianforte after 77% of the votes were counted.[6][7]

Republican Party

The Republican Party nominated a candidate at a convention on March 6.[8]

Nominated

Eliminated at convention

Withdrawn

Declined

Results

colspan="3" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Republican Convention
Candidate First ballot Pct.
Шаблон:Sort 150.5 61%
Шаблон:Sort 94.5 39%

Democratic Party

The Democratic Party selected a nominee at a convention on March 5.[28]

The Bozeman Daily Chronicle from February 4 to 8 conducted a straw poll of Democratic delegates.[29] Of 89 delegates that responded, Rob Quist was selected by 37, Amanda Curtis by 30, Kelly McCarthy by 13, 9 were undecided, and zero delegates selected John Meyer or other.[29]

Nominated

  • Rob Quist, musician, former spokesman and advocate for the Montana Food Bank, and former member of the Montana Arts Council[30]

Eliminated at convention

  • Amanda Curtis, state representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014[31]
  • Kelly McCarthy, state representative[30]
  • John Meyer, attorney and executive director of the Cottonwood Environmental Law Center[32]
  • Lee "Link" Neimark, ski instructor and small business owner[33]
  • Gary Stein, teacher and candidate for the state house in 2008[34]
  • Thomas Weida, retired businessman[35]
  • Dan West, former aide to Senators Max Baucus and Mark Udall and former appointee to NASA[36]

Declined

Endorsements (primary)

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

colspan="9" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Democratic Convention
Candidate First ballot Pct. Second ballot Pct. Third ballot Pct. Fourth ballot Pct.
Шаблон:Sort 57 36% 62 39% 72 45% 90 57%
Шаблон:Sort 39 25% 48 30% 57 36% 69 43%
Шаблон:Sort 38 24% 42 26% 31 19% Шаблон:Sort
Шаблон:Sort 17 11% 8 5% Шаблон:Sort Шаблон:Sort
Шаблон:Sort 7 4% Шаблон:Sort Шаблон:Sort Шаблон:Sort

Libertarian Party

The Libertarian Party Convention on March 11, 2017, was held at Eagle's Lodge in Helena, Montana.[40]

The following county affiliate parties were represented at the convention:

Officers of the Montana Libertarian Party and delegates from the assembled counties had voting rights.

Nominated

  • Mark Wicks, author, rancher and fruit salesman[41][40]

Eliminated at convention

  • Joe Paschal, rancher and businessman[42]
  • Chris Colvin, retired masonry contractor and writer[42][43]
  • Evan Gardner, small business owner[42]
  • Dan Nelson, IT administrator[42]
  • Rufus Peace, accounting analyst[42][43]
  • Nathan McKenty[42]
  • James White, Uber driver[42][43]

Withdrawn

  • Rick Breckenridge, land surveyor

Results

colspan="7" Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian |Libertarian Convention[43]
Candidate First ballot Pct. Second ballot Pct. Third ballot Pct.
Mark Wicks 3 19% 5 29% 9 56%
Joe Paschal 5 31% 6 35% 7 44%
Evan Gardner 3 19% 3 18% Eliminated
Rufus Peace 3 19% 3 18% Eliminated
Dan Nelson 1 6% Eliminated
Chris Colvin 0 0% Eliminated
Nathan McKenty 0 0% Eliminated
James White 0 0% Eliminated
None of the Above 1 6% Eliminated

Green Party

The Green Party Convention on March 4, 2017, was held at the University of Montana's Payne Family Native American Center.[44]

Breck, along with two independent candidates, won a lawsuit in U.S. District Court against the Montana Secretary of State, ruling Montana's ballot access laws to be unconstitutional in the case of special elections. The District Court Judge ruled to change the original requirement to submit 14,268 ballot petition signatures, reducing that requirement to 400 signatures. The US Court decision failed to provide further remedy and Breck's name was not placed on the ballot despite injunctive appeals to the Ninth Circuit Court and U.S. Supreme Court. Breck subsequently endorsed Independent write-in candidate Doug Campbell who was a co-plaintiff in the suit.[45][46][47]

Nominated

General election

Campaign

During his 2017 Congressional special election campaign, Gianforte relaxed his past pledges to refuse all PAC money, and began to turn away only corporate PAC funding. His campaign began accepting contributions from political party and leadership PACs.[48]

The night before the election, Gianforte physically assaulted Ben Jacobs, a reporter from The Guardian, in front of multiple witnesses, knocking him down, punching him, and breaking his glasses.[49] Gianforte was subsequently charged with misdemeanor assault.[50][51] The editorial boards of the Billings Gazette, the Independent Record, and the Missoulian rescinded their endorsements of Gianforte.[52]

The Gianforte campaign released a statement following the incident alleging the incident was caused by, "this aggressive behavior from a liberal journalist", a claim contradictory to the eyewitness account of the Fox News team present in the room at the time. Alicia Acuna, one of two Fox news reporters present, and the only eyewitnesses to the incident, stated that Jacobs had walked into the room, put a voice recorder up to Gianforte's face and began asking questions. She stated that Jacobs, however, showed no sign of physical aggression and did not physically engage Gianforte before being attacked by the Republican candidate.[53][54]

On June 12, following the election, Gianforte was sentenced to community service and fined $385 after admitting the charge.[55]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[56] Шаблон:USRaceRating May 12, 2017
Inside Elections[57] Шаблон:USRaceRating May 25, 2017

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Greg
Gianforte (R)
Rob
Quist (D)
Mark
Wicks (L)
Thomas
Breck (G)
Undecided
Change Research May 20–23, 2017 1,888 ± 2.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 44% 7%
Gravis Marketing May 22, 2017 818 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 35% 8% 9%
Gravis Marketing May 2–4, 2017 462 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 37% 5% 3% 10%
Gravis Marketing April 27, 2017 836 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% 39% 6% 2%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D) April 25–27, 2017 601 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 43% 8%
Emerson College April 20–21, 2017 648 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% 37% 5% 7%
Gravis Marketing April 6, 2017 1,222 ± 2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 38% 3% 2% 7%

Шаблон:Election box end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

County results[58]

Greg Gianforte
Republican
Rob Quist
Democratic
Mark Wicks
Libertarian
Margin Total
County Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes Turnout
Beaverhead 2,239 62.28% 1,144 31.82% 212 5.90% 1,095 30.46% 3,621 53.92%
Big Horn 1,193 43.70% 1,394 51.06% 143 5.24% 201 7.36% 2,743 34.30%
Blaine 821 41.82% 974 49.62% 168 8.56% 153 7.79% 1,969 49.56%
Broadwater 1,481 65.39% 638 28.17% 146 6.45% 843 37.22% 2,282 53.52%
Carbon 2,572 53.25% 1,975 40.89% 283 5.86% 597 12.36% 4,845 63.79%
Carter 441 84.32% 59 11.28% 23 4.40% 382 73.04% 532 54.68%
Cascade 13,427 49.80% 11,546 42.83% 1,987 7.37% 1,881 6.98% 27,143 50.19%
Chouteau 1,234 57.85% 717 33.61% 182 8.53% 517 24.24% 2,149 61.29%
Custer 2,206 60.99% 1,175 32.49% 236 6.52% 1,031 28.50% 3,629 50.55%
Daniels 495 72.79% 151 22.21% 34 5.00% 344 50.59% 680 55.69%
Dawson 2,019 66.74% 827 27.34% 179 5.92% 1,192 39.40% 3,035 51.26%
Deer Lodge 955 28.99% 2,063 62.63% 276 8.38% 1,108 33.64% 3,313 60.64%
Fallon 702 81.25% 136 15.74% 26 3.01% 566 65.51% 868 43.95%
Fergus 3,005 66.22% 1,196 26.36% 337 7.43% 1,809 39.86% 4,557 58.74%
Flathead 20,302 57.38% 13,630 38.52% 1,450 4.10% 6,672 18.86% 35,462 51.85%
Gallatin 17,074 40.88% 22,902 54.84% 1,787 4.28% 5,828 13.95% 41,909 54.69%
Garfield 487 90.19% 29 5.37% 24 4.44% 458 84.81% 540 58.76%
Glacier 929 30.20% 1,972 64.11% 175 5.69% 1,043 33.91% 3,085 39.15%
Golden Valley 282 71.03% 88 22.17% 27 6.80% 194 48.87% 397 65.30%
Granite 838 60.07% 470 33.69% 87 6.24% 368 26.38% 1,399 59.58%
Hill 2,061 43.62% 2,091 44.25% 573 12.13% 30 0.63% 4,782 50.25%
Jefferson 2,997 56.71% 1,996 37.77% 292 5.53% 1,001 18.94% 5,322 62.49%
Judith Basin 636 65.43% 255 26.23% 81 8.33% 381 39.20% 975 67.66%
Lake 5,193 51.37% 4,469 44.21% 447 4.42% 724 7.16% 10,133 53.10%
Lewis and Clark 11,880 42.75% 14,487 52.13% 1,423 5.12% 2,607 9.38% 27,957 60.96%
Liberty 489 58.49% 208 24.88% 139 16.63% 281 33.61% 842 71.17%
Lincoln 4,471 65.41% 2,104 30.78% 260 3.80% 2,367 34.63% 6,855 50.03%
Madison 2,247 60.53% 1,235 33.27% 230 6.20% 1,012 27.26% 3,741 59.60%
McCone 632 76.70% 155 18.81% 37 4.49% 477 57.89% 830 67.04%
Meagher 516 66.58% 196 25.29% 63 8.13% 320 41.29% 780 59.68%
Mineral 911 58.85% 538 34.75% 99 6.40% 373 24.10% 1,548 49.41%
Missoula 15,137 32.10% 30,054 63.73% 1,968 4.17% 14,917 31.63% 47,356 56.14%
Musselshell 1,307 73.72% 324 18.27% 142 8.01% 983 55.44% 1,779 58.58%
Park 3,329 45.12% 3,678 49.85% 371 5.03% 349 4.73% 7,401 57.81%
Petroleum 203 79.61% 38 14.90% 14 5.49% 165 64.71% 256 60.24%
Phillips 1,374 75.70% 304 16.75% 137 7.55% 1,070 58.95% 1,824 66.45%
Pondera 1,267 58.28% 733 33.72% 174 8.00% 534 24.56% 2,182 61.99%
Powder River 570 77.87% 121 16.53% 41 5.60% 449 61.34% 732 56.92%
Powell 1,344 63.34% 622 29.31% 156 7.35% 722 34.02% 2,138 60.24%
Prairie 405 74.18% 104 19.05% 37 6.78% 301 55.13% 546 62.69%
Ravalli 10,480 59.76% 6,224 35.49% 833 4.75% 4,256 24.27% 17,660 57.95%
Richland 1,958 73.78% 601 22.65% 95 3.58% 1,357 51.13% 2,662 37.02%
Roosevelt 916 44.02% 1,030 49.50% 135 6.49% 114 5.48% 2,087 35.46%
Rosebud 1,400 57.64% 888 36.56% 141 5.80% 512 21.08% 2,435 48.40%
Sanders 2,903 63.79% 1,353 29.73% 295 6.48% 1,550 34.06% 4,572 54.38%
Sheridan 691 54.45% 483 38.06% 95 7.49% 208 16.39% 1,276 52.45%
Silver Bow 3,635 29.33% 7,872 63.52% 886 7.15% 4,237 34.19% 12,490 56.61%
Stillwater 2,429 67.45% 914 25.38% 258 7.16% 1,515 42.07% 3,617 58.92%
Sweet Grass 1,076 69.29% 403 25.95% 74 4.76% 673 43.34% 1,553 58.74%
Teton 1,536 58.47% 887 33.76% 204 7.77% 649 24.70% 2,646 65.19%
Toole 989 61.89% 443 27.72% 166 10.39% 546 34.17% 1,613 60.50%
Treasure 213 64.35% 79 23.87% 39 11.78% 134 40.48% 332 59.18%
Valley 1,904 62.78% 859 28.32% 270 8.90% 1,045 34.45% 3,035 67.79%
Wheatland 466 62.63% 198 26.61% 80 10.75% 268 36.02% 745 55.89%
Wibaux 273 78.90% 62 17.92% 11 3.18% 211 60.98% 348 46.96%
Yellowstone 29,980 55.79% 20,120 37.44% 3,634 6.76% 9,860 18.35% 54,066 55.70%

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2017 United States elections Шаблон:US Third Party Election

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