Английская Википедия:2018 Ohio gubernatorial election

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsOH The 2018 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Ohio, concurrently with the election of Ohio's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various Ohio and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor John Kasich was term-limited and could not seek re-election for a third consecutive term.

Republicans nominated Ohio Attorney General and former U.S. Senator Mike DeWine, while Democrats nominated former Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Director and former Ohio Attorney General Richard Cordray. This was the second contest between DeWine and Cordray, following the 2010 attorney general election, which DeWine won, 47.5% to 46.3%.

In 2018, DeWine defeated Cordray 50.4% to 46.7%, in what was considered a minor upset. Despite Cordray's loss, he became the first Democratic gubernatorial candidate to win Cincinnati's Hamilton County since Dick Celeste in 1982. Likewise, DeWine became the first Republican to win in the historically Democratic Monroe County in a gubernatorial election since 2002 as the county took a sharp turn to the right. With Democratic senator Sherrod Brown winning re-election in the same year, this was the first election since 1974 in which Ohio simultaneously voted for a gubernatorial nominee and a U.S. Senate nominee of opposite parties.

DeWine and Husted took office on January 14, 2019.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Mike DeWine, Ohio Attorney General, former U.S. Senator, former lieutenant governor of Ohio, and former U.S. Representative^[1]^[2]
- Running mate: Jon Husted, Ohio Secretary of State and former Speaker of the Ohio House of Representatives^[3]

Eliminated in primary

Mary Taylor, Lieutenant Governor of Ohio^[4]
- Running mate: Nathan Estruth, businessman^[5]

Withdrew

Jon A. Husted, Ohio Secretary of State (running for lieutenant governor)^[6]^[3]
Jim Renacci, U.S. Representative (running for the U.S. Senate)^[7]
- Running mate: Amy Murray, Cincinnati Councilwoman

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike DeWine	Mary Taylor	Other	Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University	April 24 – May 2, 2018	323	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 52%	24%	–	25%
Remington Research Group (R-Taylor)	April 10, 2018	1,064	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	32%	–	26%
Fallon Research	April 4–7, 2018	502	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 43%	26%	–	31%
SurveyUSA	March 16–20, 2018	541	± 5.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 50%	18%	–	31%
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC) Шаблон:Webarchive	February 17, 2018	1,152	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 61%	39%	–	–
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC) Шаблон:Webarchive	February 17, 2018	1,152	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 35%	16%	15%	33%
Fallon Research	January 16–19, 2018	286	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 54%	14%	–	32%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike DeWine	Jon Husted	Jim Renacci	Mary Taylor	Undecided
Axis Research (R-Taylor)	August 13–15, 2017	602	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 36%	20%	8%	17%	19%
The Tarrance Group (R)	July 24–26, 2017	800	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	18%	5%	11%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 24%
The Tarrance Group (R)	July 24–26, 2017	800	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	29%	–	–	21%
Luntz Global	June 12, 2017	500	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 27%	13%	3%	8%	–
Gravis Marketing	April 27 – May 2, 2017	686	± 2.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 31%	14%	6%	10%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 40%
The Tarrance Group (R)	January 23–26, 2017	800	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	18%	4%	10%	22%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:Ohio gubernatorial Republican primary, 2018.svg

Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Richard Cordray, former director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, former Ohio Attorney General, former Ohio State Treasurer, nominee for OH-15 in 1992, nominee for Attorney General in 1998, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2000^[8]^[9]
- Running mate: Betty Sutton, former U.S. Representative^[10]

Eliminated in primary

Larry Ealy, former male stripper and candidate for governor in 2014^[11]
- Running mate: Jeffrey Lynn
Dennis Kucinich, former U.S. Representative, former mayor of Cleveland, candidate for Secretary of State in 1982, and candidate for President of the United States in 2004 and 2008^[12]
- Running mate: Tara Samples, Akron City Councilwoman^[13]
Bill O'Neill, Justice of the Ohio Supreme Court and nominee for OH-14 in 2008 and 2010^[14]
- Running mate: Chantelle Lewis, elementary school principal and former East Cleveland City Councilwoman^[15]
Paul Ray^[16]
- Running mate: Jerry Schroeder
Joe Schiavoni, state senator and former Minority Leader of the Ohio Senate^[17]^[18]
- Running mate: Stephanie Dodd, State Board of Education Member^[19]

Failed to qualify for ballot

Jon Heavey, physician^[20]
Dave Kiefer, former Wayne County Commissioner and Republican candidate for state representative in 2016^[21]

Withdrew

Connie Pillich, former state representative and nominee for Ohio State Treasurer in 2014^[22]^[23] (endorsed Richard Cordray)^[24]
- Running mate: Scott Schertzer, Mayor of Marion, OH
Betty Sutton, former U.S. Representative (running for lieutenant governor)^[10]
Nan Whaley, Mayor of Dayton^[25] (endorsed Richard Cordray)

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Richard Cordray	Dennis Kucinich	Bill O'Neill	Connie Pillich	Joe Schiavoni	Other	Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University	April 24 – May 2, 2018	333	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 31%	15%	6%	–	6%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 41%
Fallon Research	April 4–7, 2018	500	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 28%	13%	3%	–	5%	1%Шаблон:Efn-ua	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 51%
SurveyUSA	March 16–20, 2018	509	± 5.3%	21%	21%	4%	5%	–	3%Шаблон:Efn-ua	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 46%
Fallon Research	January 16–19, 2018	248	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 23%	16%	3%	2%	4%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 52%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Richard Cordray	Connie Pillich	Joe Schiavoni	Betty Sutton	Nan Whaley	Undecided
Luntz Global	June 12, 2017	500	± 4.4%	17%	9%	20%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 21%	10%	–
Gravis Marketing	April 27 – May 2, 2017	558	± 2.7%	–	8%	12%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 13%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center\| 67%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Файл:Ohio gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2018.svg

Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominated

Travis Irvine, filmmaker and writer^[26]
- Running mate: Todd Grayson^[27]

Withdrew

Bruce Jaynes, entrepreneur
Stephen Quinn, student

Green primary

Файл:Constance Gadell-Newton Portrait.jpg

Gadell-Newton

Candidates

Nominated

Constance Gadell-Newton, attorney, co-chair of the Ohio Green Party and nominee for the State House in 2016^[28]
- Running mate: Brett R. Joseph

General election

Candidates

Mike DeWine (Republican), Ohio Attorney General and former U.S. Senator
- Running mate: Jon A. Husted, Secretary of State of Ohio and former Speaker of the Ohio House of Representatives^[3]
Richard Cordray (Democratic), former director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, former Ohio Attorney General and former Ohio State Treasurer
- Running mate: Betty Sutton, former U.S. Representative^[10]
Constance Gadell-Newton (Green), attorney, co-chair of the Ohio Green Party and nominee for the State House in 2016
- Running mate: Brett R. Joseph, attorney, educator and small businessman
Travis Irvine (Libertarian)^[29]
- Running mate: Todd Grayson, former Perrysburg City Councilman

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates


Host network/sponsors	Location	Date	Link(s)	Possible Participants
Host network/sponsors	Location	Date	Link(s)	Richard Cordray (D)	Mike DeWine (R)	Travis Irvine (L)	Constance Gadell-Newton (G)
WHIO-TV	University of Dayton	September 19, 2018	^[30]	Invited	Invited	Not Invited	Not Invited
WCMH-TV	Marietta College	October 1, 2018	^[31]	Invited	Invited	Not Invited	Not Invited
Ohio Debate Commission	Cleveland State University	October 8, 2018	^[32]	Invited	Invited	Not Invited	Not Invited

^[33]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[34]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 26, 2018
The Washington Post^[35]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight^[36]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report^[37]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[38]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics^[39]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 4, 2018
Daily Kos^[40]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
Fox News^[41]Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
Politico^[42]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018
Governing^[43]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2018

Шаблон:Smalldiv

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike DeWine (R)	Richard Cordray (D)	Travis Irvine (L)	Constance Gadell- Newton (G)	Other	Undecided
Change Research	November 2–4, 2018	923	–	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	5%	1%	–	–
The Trafalgar Group (R)	November 2–4, 2018	1,948	± 2.2%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	–	–	7%	5%
Research Co.	November 1–3, 2018	450	± 4.6%	44%	44%	–	–	2%	10%
Cygnal (R)	October 30–31, 2018	503	± 4.4%	43%	43%	3%	2%	–	9%
Gravis Marketing	October 29–30, 2018	789	± 3.5%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 48%	–	–	–	9%
Emerson College	October 26–28, 2018	566	± 4.3%	46%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 49%	–	–	2%	3%
Baldwin Wallace University	October 19–27, 2018	1,051	± 3.8%	39%	39%	4%	2%	–	16%
Baldwin Wallace University	October 19–27, 2018	1,051	± 3.8%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	–	–	–	17%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive	October 4–8, 2018	500	± 4.4%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 46%	2%	0%	0%Шаблон:Efn-ua	10%
Baldwin Wallace University	September 8 – October 8, 2018	1,017	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 40%	37%	4%	3%	–	15%
Baldwin Wallace University	September 8 – October 8, 2018	1,017	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	39%	–	–	–	19%
University of Akron	September 10 – October 4, 2018	1,000	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 37%	36%	–	–	–	27%
Ipsos	September 13–21, 2018	1,074	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 45%	44%	–	–	2%	9%
Triton Polling & Research (R)	September 18–20, 2018	1,003	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	44%	–	–	–	8%
Marist College	September 16–20, 2018	564 LV	± 5.0%	44%	44%	3%	3%	<1%	6%
		564 LV	± 5.0%	47%	47%	–	–	1%	6%
		796 RV	± 4.2%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	4%	4%	1%	6%
		796 RV	± 4.2%	47%	47%	–	–	1%	6%
Baldwin Wallace University	September 5–15, 2018	1,048	± 3.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	37%	–	–	–	21%
Morning Consult	September 2–11, 2018	1,592	± 2.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 39%	38%	–	–	–	23%
Change Research (D-Innovation Ohio)	August 31 – September 4, 2018	822	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 45%	43%	6%	3%	–	–
Change Research (D-Innovation Ohio)	August 31 – September 4, 2018	822	± 3.0%	43%	43%	–	–	–	14%
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC) Шаблон:Webarchive	June 30 – July 10, 2018	1,485	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 42%	38%	–	–	3%	17%
Marist College	June 17–22, 2018	778	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 46%	42%	–	–	2%	11%
Quinnipiac University	June 7–12, 2018	1,082	± 3.7%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 42%	–	–	2%	14%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive	June 6–11, 2018	500	± 4.4%	36%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 43%	–	3%	2%	16%
America First Action (R)	May 29–31, 2018	400	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 45%	38%	–	–	–	10%
Fallon Research	May 21–25, 2018	800	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 40%	34%	–	1%	3%Шаблон:Efn-ua	22%
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party)	May 6–7, 2018	618	± 3.9%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 44%	–	–	–	17%
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party)	April 25–26, 2018	770	± 3.5%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center\| 47%	–	–	–	14%
SurveyUSA	March 16–20, 2018	1,408	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	39%	–	–	–	14%
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party)	January 22–23, 2018	585	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 45%	44%	–	–	–	11%
Fallon Research	January 16–19, 2018	801	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 49%	28%	–	–	–	23%
Luntz Global	June 12, 2017	500	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 55%	31%	–	–	–	14%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with DeWine and Kucinich

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike DeWine (R)	Dennis Kucinich (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	March 16–20, 2018	1,408	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 51%	38%	12%
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party)	January 22–23, 2018	585	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 48%	37%	14%

with DeWine and Pillich

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike DeWine (R)	Connie Pillich (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party)	January 22–23, 2018	585	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	35%	18%

with Jon Husted

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jon Husted (R)	Richard Cordray (D)	Undecided
Luntz Global	June 12, 2017	500	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 47%	35%	18%

with generic Republican and Democrat

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat	Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University	February 28 – March 9, 2018	1,011	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center\| 37%	32%	–

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Monroe (Largest city: Woodsfield)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Cuyahoga (Largest city: Cleveland)
Franklin (Largest city: Columbus)
Hamilton (Largest city: Cincinnati)
Lorain (Largest city: Lorain)
Lucas (Largest city: Toledo)
Mahoning (Largest city: Youngstown)
Summit (Largest city: Akron)
Trumbull (Largest city: Warren)

By congressional district

DeWine won 12 of 16 congressional districts.^[44]

District	DeWine	Cordray	Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	52.15%	45.14%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Steve Chabot
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	54.33%	42.65%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Brad Wenstrup
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Шаблон:Ushr	27.46%	70.09%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Joyce Beatty
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	62.14%	34.23%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Jim Jordan
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	58.32%	38.31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Bob Latta
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	64.34%	32.81%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Bill Johnson
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	59.45%	37.16%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Bob Gibbs
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	64.37%	32.45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Warren Davidson
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Шаблон:Ushr	35.31%	61.33%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Marcy Kaptur
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	52.11%	44.87%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Mike Turner
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Шаблон:Ushr	18.43%	79.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Marcia Fudge
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	52.41%	45.24%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Pat Tiberi
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Шаблон:Ushr	40.37%	56.56%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|Tim Ryan
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	51.98%	45.18%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|David Joyce
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	52.64%	44.64%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Steve Stivers
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Шаблон:Ushr	53.71%	43.38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|Anthony Gonzalez

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2018 United States elections

[1] Шаблон:Cite web

[2] Шаблон:Cite web

[hustedends-3] 3,0 ^3,1 ^3,2 Шаблон:Cite web

[4] Шаблон:Cite web

[5] Шаблон:Cite web

[6] Шаблон:Cite web

[7] Шаблон:Cite news

[8] Шаблон:Cite web

[9] Шаблон:Cite web

[cleveland.com-10] 10,0 ^10,1 ^10,2 Шаблон:Cite web

[11] Шаблон:Cite news

[12] Шаблон:Cite news

[13] Шаблон:Cite web

[14] Шаблон:Cite news

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[16] Шаблон:Cite news

[17] Шаблон:Cite web

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[20] Шаблон:Cite news

[21] Шаблон:Cite news

[22] Шаблон:Cite web

[23] Шаблон:Cite news

[PillichOut-24] Шаблон:Cite web

[25] Шаблон:Cite news

[26] Шаблон:Cite news

[27] Шаблон:Cite web

[28] Шаблон:Cite news

[29] Шаблон:Cite web

[30] Шаблон:Cite web

[31] Шаблон:Cite web

[32] Шаблон:Cite web

[33] Шаблон:Cite news

[34] Шаблон:Cite web

[35] Шаблон:Cite web

[36] Шаблон:Cite web

[37] Шаблон:Cite web

[38] Шаблон:Cite web

[39] Шаблон:Cite web

[40] Шаблон:Cite web Шаблон:Dead link

[41] Шаблон:Cite web

[42] Шаблон:Cite web

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Английская Википедия:2018 Ohio gubernatorial election

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Failed to qualify for ballot

Withdrew

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominated

Withdrew

Green primary

Candidates

Nominated

General election

Candidates

Endorsements

Debates

Predictions

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Notes

References

External links

Навигация

Поиск