Английская Википедия:2018 Oregon gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsORThe 2018 Oregon gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018 to elect the Governor of Oregon to serve a full four-year term. In the 2016 special election, Democratic Governor Kate Brown had been elected to serve the last two years of John Kitzhaber's term.[1]

The Republican Party nominated Knute Buehler, her opponent in the 2012 Oregon Secretary of State election; the Independent Party of Oregon nominated Patrick Starnes. Brown, running for a full term, won the election; because of term limits, she became ineligible to seek the governorship again.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Файл:2018 OR gubernatorial Democratic primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Bruce Cuff, real estate broker and candidate for governor in 2014 and 2016 (endorsed Greg Wooldridge)[3][10]

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

Host
network
Date Link(s) Participants
Knute
Buehler
Sam
Carpenter
Greg
Wooldridge
KXL-FM May 11, 2018 [18] Invited Invited Invited

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Knute
Buehler
Sam
Carpenter
Lori
Шаблон:Nowrap
Greg
Wooldridge
Other Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D) May 3–6, 2018 438 ± 4.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 33% 25% 8% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 33%
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) April 19–22, 2018 1,013 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% 24% 12% 6%Шаблон:Efn 20%
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) March 19–25, 2018 628 23% 23% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 50%
iCitizen September 13–28, 2017 168 ± 3.9% 28% 8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 31% 6% 26%

Results

Файл:2018 OR gubernatorial Republican primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Independent Party primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Skye Allen[3]
  • Dan Pistoresi[3]
  • Patrick Starnes[3]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no changeШаблон:Election box end

General election

Шаблон:Multiple image

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[19] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Fox News[26]Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Politico[27] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Governing[28] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018

Шаблон:Smalldiv

Polling

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kate
Brown (D)
Knute
Buehler (R)
Other/Undecided
Шаблон:Efn
Margin
Real Clear Politics October 4–30, 2018 October 30, 2018 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44.0% 39.7% 16.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Brown +4.3%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kate
Brown (D)
Knute
Buehler (R)
Patrick
Starnes (IPO)
Other Undecided
Hoffman Research Group October 29–30, 2018 694 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 42% 4% 2%[29] 7%
Emerson College October 26–28, 2018 747 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 42% 7% 4%
DHM Research October 4–11, 2018 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 35% 4% 3%[30] 17%
Riley Research Associates September 24 – October 7, 2018 356 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 45% 4% 3%[31]
Clout Research (R) September 20–23, 2018 679 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 41%
Hoffman Research Group September 12–13, 2018 680 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 36% 4% 2%[29] 12%
Causeway Solutions (R-No Supermajorities PAC) September 6–11, 2018 2,831 ± 2.0% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43%
Clout Research (R) July 30–31, 2018 559 ± 4.1% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 15%
Gravis Marketing July 16–17, 2018 770 ± 3.5% 45% 45% 10%
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) March 19–25, 2018 2,067 ± 2.2% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 14%
DHM Research January 25–31, 2018 604 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 29% 25%
Zogby Analytics November 10–12, 2017 508 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% 36% 25%
iCitizen September 13–28, 2017 645 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% 40% 11% 8%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Sam Carpenter
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kate
Brown (D)
Sam
Carpenter (R)
Other Undecided
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) March 19–25, 2018 2,067 ± 2.2% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 13%
Zogby Analytics November 10–12, 2017 508 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 38% 36% 26%
with Greg Wooldridge
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kate
Brown (D)
Greg
Wooldridge (R)
Other Undecided
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) March 19–25, 2018 2,067 ± 2.2% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 11%
iCitizen September 13–28, 2017 645 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 39% 11% 7%
with Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kate
Brown (D)
Lori
Chavez-DeRemer (R)
Other Undecided
iCitizen September 13–28, 2017 645 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 34% 17% 8%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Statewide results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Results by congressional district

Brown carried two out of the state's five congressional districts, losing two swing districts that simultaneously voted for Democrats in the US House, with Шаблон:Ushr held by veteran congressman Peter DeFazio and Шаблон:Ushr held by former veterinarian Kurt Schrader.

District Kate
Brown
Knute
Buehler
Elected
Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 53.77% 40.51% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Suzanne Bonamici
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 35.38% 57.19% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Greg Walden
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 69.17% 26.45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Earl Blumenauer
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 44.84% 47.15% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Peter DeFazio
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 46.02% 47.97% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kurt Schrader

County results

County Kate Brown

Democrat

Votes Knute Buehler

Republican

Votes Patrick Starnes

Independent

Votes Nick Chen

Libertarian

Votes Aaron Auer

Constitution

Votes Chris Henry

Progressive

Votes Write-in Votes Total
Baker 19.0% 1,572 72.9% 6,023 4.2% 347 1.6% 132 1.5% 126 0.6% 49 0.2% 15 8,264
Benton 60.1% 26,592 33.9% 14,990 2.8% 1,225 1.6% 721 0.8% 357 0.7% 293 0.1% 53 44,231
Clackamas 45.5% 91,088 49.2% 98,468 2.4% 4,726 1.4% 2,827 0.9% 1,853 0.5% 941 0.2% 363 200,266
Clatsop 48.0% 8,909 44.7% 8,294 3.3% 616 1.6% 305 1.4% 259 0.8% 140 0.2% 35 18,558
Columbia 38.7% 9,519 52.6% 12,953 4.0% 975 1.9% 480 2.0% 481 0.7% 167 0.2% 42 24,617
Coos 33.5% 9,622 57.5% 16,520 4.4% 1,262 1.8% 505 1.8% 510 0.9% 256 0.2% 52 28,727
Crook 19.8% 2,285 73.8% 8,516 3.6% 418 1.0% 110 1.2% 140 0.4% 42 0.2% 25 11,536
Curry 35.9% 4,141 56.1% 6,474 3.8% 443 1.6% 188 1.7% 199 0.7% 75 0.1% 13 11,533
Deschutes 42.3% 40,676 52.0% 49,983 2.9% 2,764 1.4% 1,353 0.8% 766 0.5% 460 0.1% 97 96,099
Douglas 24.0% 11,824 65.8% 32,413 5.0% 2,481 1.5% 738 2.7% 1,326 0.7% 368 0.2% 88 49,238
Gilliam 22.0% 218 69.6% 691 4.6% 46 1.9% 19 1.4% 14 0.5% 5 0.0% 0 993
Grant 16.8% 649 75.9% 2,923 3.9% 151 1.2% 48 1.5% 56 0.5% 19 0.2% 7 3,853
Harney 16.5% 584 76.7% 2,722 3.6% 126 0.8% 29 1.8% 63 0.6% 20 0.1% 3 3,547
Hood River 59.9% 6,485 35.0% 3,789 2.5% 271 1.3% 136 0.7% 81 0.5% 55 0.1% 11 10,828
Jackson 41.4% 42,207 50.7% 51,623 4.1% 4,196 1.7% 1,720 1.3% 1,313 0.7% 716 0.1% 132 101,907
Jefferson 29.8% 2,635 62.3% 5,518 4.4% 388 1.3% 111 1.6% 145 0.5% 45 0.1% 10 8,852
Josephine 30.2% 12,214 60.5% 24,499 4.3% 1,735 1.9% 767 2.2% 881 0.8% 308 0.2% 66 40,470
Klamath 22.3% 6,301 67.7% 19,134 4.9% 1,371 2.3% 643 2.0% 564 0.7% 198 0.2% 45 28,256
Lake 13.4% 476 78.0% 2,774 4.4% 155 1.5% 52 2.3% 81 0.4% 14 0.1% 5 3,557
Lane 54.7% 96,841 38.2% 67,737 3.2% 5,683 1.8% 3,106 1.2% 2,173 0.8% 1,335 0.2% 297 177,172
Lincoln 52.1% 12,610 40.8% 9,884 3.4% 825 1.6% 391 1.2% 302 0.7% 164 0.2% 43 24,219
Linn 30.1% 16,461 60.5% 33,051 4.2% 2,293 1.9% 1,061 2.2% 1,204 0.8% 421 0.3% 171 54,662
Malheur 24.1% 2,159 66.9% 6,000 4.1% 364 1.7% 156 2.5% 227 0.6% 52 0.1% 12 8,970
Marion 43.5% 55,238 49.9% 63,323 2.8% 3,511 1.7% 2,100 1.4% 1,831 0.5% 650 0.3% 325 126,978
Morrow 22.5% 844 67.5% 2,534 4.3% 163 1.8% 68 3.0% 111 0.8% 29 0.1% 5 3,754
Multnomah 73.9% 279,384 22.1% 83,507 1.7% 6,309 1.2% 4,447 0.5% 1,793 0.6% 2,174 0.1% 484 378,098
Polk 41.6% 15,529 51.8% 19,341 2.9% 1,076 1.6% 589 1.3% 491 0.6% 206 0.2% 83 37,315
Sherman 19.3% 190 74.7% 736 3.5% 34 0.7% 7 1.5% 15 0.2% 2 0.1% 1 985
Tillamook 42.7% 5,616 50.3% 6,606 3.5% 464 1.2% 158 1.5% 202 0.6% 77 0.1% 19 13,142
Umatilla 29.4% 7,085 63.0% 15,178 3.7% 885 1.7% 419 1.6% 393 0.5% 117 0.1% 31 24,108
Union 24.5% 2,877 67.9% 7,983 3.8% 441 1.4% 162 1.8% 209 0.5% 60 0.2% 24 11,756
Wallowa 27.0% 1,088 66.2% 2,668 3.6% 145 1.2% 47 1.5% 61 0.5% 19 0.1% 4 4,032
Wasco 40.5% 4,604 51.4% 5,841 3.8% 427 1.8% 203 1.6% 177 0.7% 85 0.2% 20 11,357
Washington 55.5% 137,886 39.2% 97,286 2.2% 5,535 1.7% 4,229 0.8% 2,010 0.5% 1,161 0.1% 372 248,479
Wheeler 19.3% 158 72.6% 594 4.6% 38 1.8% 15 1.2% 10 0.4% 3 0.0% 0 818
Yamhill 39.1% 17,931 53.3% 24,412 3.3% 1,503 1.9% 885 1.6% 721 0.6% 287 0.2% 81 45,820

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2018 United States elections Шаблон:Oregon elections