Английская Википедия:2018 United States Senate election in New Mexico
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates
Шаблон:For Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in New Mexico sidebar The 2018 United States Senate election in New Mexico took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Mexico, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Martin Heinrich won re-election to a second term.[1] His opponents were Republican nominee and businessman Mick Rich and Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, a two-term Republican Governor of New Mexico and two-time candidate for President of the United States.
The candidate filing deadline was March 13, 2018. The Republican and Democratic primary elections were held June 5, 2018.[2] Johnson's results were the highest results for a Libertarian candidate in New Mexico history.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Martin Heinrich, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Mick Rich, businessman[3]
Declined
- Aubrey Dunn Jr., New Mexico Commissioner of Public Lands and candidate for NM-02 in 2008 (ran as a Libertarian, later endorsed Gary Johnson)[4]
- Steve Pearce, U.S. Representative, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2000 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2008 (ran for Governor)[5]
- Susana Martinez, Governor of New Mexico[6]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Libertarian primary
On July 30, 2018, nominee Aubrey Dunn withdrew from the race. On August 4, former governor Gary Johnson was formally nominated by the Libertarian Party of New Mexico as Dunn's replacement.[7] Johnson accepted his party's nomination on August 13.[8]
Candidates
Declared
- Gary Johnson, former Governor of New Mexico,[9] Libertarian nominee for president in 2012 and 2016
Withdrew nomination
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 12, 2018
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2018 |
| Fox News[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2018 |
| CNN[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 6, 2018 |
^Highest rating given
Polling
Graphical summary
Polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Martin Heinrich (D) |
Mick Rich (R) |
Gary Johnson (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 33% | 11% | 9% |
| Carroll Strategies Шаблон:Webarchive | November 1, 2018 | 1,202 | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 38% | 8% | 3% |
| Research & Polling, Inc. | October 26 – November 1, 2018 | 993 | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 31% | 12% | 6% |
| Emerson College | October 24–26, 2018 | 936 | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 32% | 16% | 5% |
| Pacific Market Research | October 19–24, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% | 28% | 22% | 11% |
| NSON Opinion Strategy (L) | September 20–24, 2018 | 932 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 36% | 10% | 28% | 26% |
| In Lux Research (L-Elect Liberty PAC) | September 16–17, 2018 | 900 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 38% | 10% | 28% | 24% |
| Research & Polling, Inc. | September 7–13, 2018 | 966 | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 26% | 16% | – |
| In Lux Research (L-Elect Liberty PAC) Шаблон:Webarchive | August 2018 | 900 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 38% | 13% | 28% | 21% |
| Emerson College | August 17–18, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% | 11% | 21% | 30% |
| GQR Research (D-TMI) Шаблон:Webarchive | August 2–5, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 33% | 17% | 2% |
| GBA Strategies (D-Heinrich) | August 1–5, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 29% | 22% | – |
| The Tarrance Group (R-Rich) | July 31 – August 2, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 30% | 20% | 6% |
| NSON Opinion Strategy (L) Шаблон:Webarchive | July 2018 | 500 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 39% | 25% | 23% | 12% |
- with Mick Rich
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Martin Heinrich (D) |
Mick Rich (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Tarrance Group (R-Rich) | July 31 – August 2, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% | 37% | 8% |
| NSON Opinion Strategy (L) | July 2018 | 500 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 29% | – |
- with Gary Johnson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Martin Heinrich (D) |
Gary Johnson (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBA Strategies (D-Heinrich) | August 1–5, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 38% | – |
| In Lux Research (L) | July 28–29, 2018 | 525 | – | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian align=center| 42% | – |
- with Aubrey Dunn
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Martin Heinrich (D) |
Mick Rich (R) |
Aubrey Dunn (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSON Opinion Strategy (L) | July 2018 | 500 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 30% | 7% | 16% |
| Carroll Strategies | June 15–16, 2018 | 1,199 | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 39% | 5% | 6% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
County results
| Martin Heinrich Democrat |
Mick Rich Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Bernalillo | 140,082 | 58.1% | 61,932 | 25.7% | 39,274 | 16.3% | 241,288 |
| Catron | 550 | 26.9% | 1,075 | 58.4% | 217 | 11.8% | 1,842 |
| Chaves | 5,279 | 31.7% | 8,727 | 52.4% | 2,666 | 16.0% | 16,672 |
| Cibola | 3,924 | 55.1% | 1,842 | 25.9% | 1,355 | 19.0% | 7,121 |
| Colfax | 2,333 | 49.9% | 1,615 | 34.5% | 731 | 15.6% | 4,679 |
| Curry | 2,793 | 27.4% | 5,896 | 57.9% | 1,498 | 14.7% | 10,187 |
| De Baca | 267 | 33.2% | 342 | 42.5% | 196 | 24.4% | 805 |
| Doña Ana | 34,651 | 57.0% | 18,101 | 29.8% | 8,029 | 13.2% | 60,781 |
| Eddy | 4,834 | 30.7% | 8,826 | 56.0% | 2,095 | 13.3% | 15,755 |
| Grant | 6,763 | 57.3% | 3,598 | 30.5% | 1,442 | 12.2% | 11,803 |
| Guadalupe | 1,094 | 65.2% | 292 | 17.4% | 292 | 17.4% | 1,678 |
| Harding | 198 | 41.2% | 199 | 41.4% | 84 | 17.5% | 481 |
| Hidalgo | 790 | 49.5% | 607 | 38.1% | 198 | 12.4% | 1,595 |
| Lea | 3,331 | 24.1% | 8,882 | 64.2% | 1,628 | 11.8% | 13,841 |
| Lincoln | 2,617 | 33.3% | 4,122 | 52.5% | 1,111 | 14.2% | 7,850 |
| Los Alamos | 5,798 | 56.3% | 2,576 | 25.0% | 1,926 | 18.7% | 10,300 |
| Luna | 3,005 | 48.9% | 2,313 | 37.7% | 823 | 13.4% | 6,141 |
| McKinley | 12,409 | 67.5% | 2,915 | 15.9% | 3,049 | 16.6% | 18,373 |
| Mora | 1,564 | 67.4% | 372 | 16.0% | 386 | 16.6% | 2,322 |
| Otero | 6,370 | 37.2% | 8,460 | 49.4% | 2,291 | 13.4% | 17,121 |
| Quay | 1,016 | 32.9% | 1,534 | 49.7% | 537 | 17.4% | 3,087 |
| Rio Arriba | 8,773 | 68.8% | 1,945 | 15.3% | 2,035 | 16.0% | 12,753 |
| Roosevelt | 1,277 | 27.6% | 2,606 | 56.3% | 750 | 16.2% | 4,633 |
| San Juan | 12,485 | 33.4% | 18,002 | 48.2% | 6,876 | 18.4% | 37,363 |
| San Miguel | 6,609 | 71.6% | 1,298 | 14.1% | 1,323 | 14.3% | 9,230 |
| Sandoval | 28,198 | 50.9% | 17,785 | 32.1% | 9,397 | 17.0% | 55,380 |
| Santa Fe | 49,994 | 74.4% | 9,546 | 14.2% | 7,642 | 11.4% | 67,182 |
| Sierra | 1,917 | 40.5% | 2,048 | 43.3% | 767 | 16.2% | 4,732 |
| Socorro | 3,409 | 54.7% | 1,700 | 27.3% | 1,129 | 18.1% | 6,238 |
| Taos | 10,838 | 74.7% | 1,556 | 10.7% | 2,112 | 14.6% | 14,506 |
| Torrance | 1,982 | 36.9% | 2,433 | 45.3% | 951 | 17.7% | 5,366 |
| Union | 334 | 22.8% | 878 | 60.0% | 252 | 17.2% | 1,464 |
| Valencia | 11,514 | 47.1% | 8,790 | 35.0% | 4,139 | 16.9% | 24,443 |
- Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Hidalgo (largest municipality: Lordsburg)
- Los Alamos (largest municipality: Los Alamos)
- Sandoval (largest municipality: Rio Rancho)
- Valencia (largest municipality: Los Lunas)
Results by congressional district
Heinrich won all 3 congressional districts.[19]
| District | Heinrich | Rich | Johnson | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 57.55% | 26.28% | 16.17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Deb Haaland |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 45.56% | 40.17% | 14.27% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Xochitl Torres Small |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 57.52% | 27.0% | 15.48% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Ben Ray Luján |
References
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
- Official campaign websites
Шаблон:2018 United States elections Шаблон:Notable third party performances in United States elections
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
