Английская Википедия:2018 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Distinguish Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox electionШаблон:Elections in Pennsylvania The 2018 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Pennsylvania, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primary elections were held on May 15.[1] Incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey Jr. ran for re-election to a third term.[2] Casey, who faced no primary opposition, defeated the Republican nominee, Lou Barletta,[3] Green Party nominee Neal Gale,[4] and Libertarian Party nominee Dale Kerns.[5] Casey was the first senator to be elected to a third term from Pennsylvania since Arlen Specter in 1992, and the first Pennsylvania Democrat to be popularly elected to three terms in the Senate.

Democratic primary

Candidates

On ballot

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate unopposed with party link Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

On ballot

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Lou
Barletta 		Jim
Christiana 		Other Undecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R-Christiana) April 2018 >400 – Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32% 11% – Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 58%
Bellwether Research (R-Addis) September 20–24, 2017 600 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 22% – <10% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 60%

Results

Файл:Pennsylvania U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2018.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian Party

Dale Kerns ran unopposed for the Libertarian nomination and received the official nomination from the Pennsylvania Libertarian Party at the state convention on March 6, 2018.[22]

Candidates

Nominee

Green Party

Candidates

Nominee

  • Neal Gale, clean energy consultant[4]

General election

Candidates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[26] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[28] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
Fox News[29]Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
CNN[30] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[31] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2018

Шаблон:Smalldiv

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Bob
Casey Jr. (D) 		Lou
Barletta (R) 		Other Undecided
Change Research November 2–4, 2018 1,833 – Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 44% 3%[32] –
Research Co. November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 39% 1% 4%
Muhlenberg College Шаблон:Webarchive October 28 – November 1, 2018 421 ± 5.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 40% – –
Franklin & Marshall College October 22–28, 2018 214 LV ± 9.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 35% – 14%
537 RV ± 6.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 31% 4%[33] 14%
Morning Consult Шаблон:Webarchive October 1–2, 2018 1,188 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 32% – 21%
Franklin & Marshall College September 17–23, 2018 204 LV – Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 33% – 15%
545 RV ± 6.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 30% 4%[34] 20%
Ipsos September 12–20, 2018 1,080 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 37% 3% 7%
Muhlenberg College September 13–19, 2018 404 ± 5.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 35% 7%[35] 6%
Rasmussen Reports September 12–13, 2018 800 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 38% 2% 8%
Franklin & Marshall College August 20–26, 2018 222 LV – Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 34% 1% 19%
511 RV ± 6.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 29% 3%[36] 20%
NBC News/Marist August 12–16, 2018 713 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 38% 1% 8%
Commonwealth Leaders Fund (R) August 13–15, 2018 2,012 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 45% 2% 6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios June 11 – July 2, 2018 990 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% 41% – 5%
Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive June 21–25, 2018 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 32% 1% 21%
Franklin & Marshall College June 4–10, 2018 472 ± 6.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 27% 1% 28%
Muhlenberg College April 4–12, 2018 414 ± 5.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 32% 8% 18%
Franklin & Marshall College March 19–26, 2018 423 ± 6.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% 25% 2% 30%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) March 15–16, 2018 1,056 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 36% – 10%
SurveyMonkey/Axios February 12 – March 5, 2018 2,165 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 43% – 5%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

with Jim Christiana
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Bob
Casey Jr. (D) 		Jim
Christiana (R) 		Other Undecided
Muhlenberg College April 4–12, 2018 414 ± 5.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 29% 3% 20%
with generic Democrat and Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) March 15–16, 2018 1,056 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 41% 7%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Bob Casey Jr won 11 of 18 congressional districts, including the 1st and 10th districts, which elected Republicans to the House.[37]

District Barletta Casey Jr. Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|1st 41.65% 56.72% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Brian Fitzpatrick
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|2nd 20.33% 78.53%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Brendan Boyle
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|3rd 5.76% 93.06% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Dwight Evans
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|4th 34.11% 64.36% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Madeleine Dean
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|5th 30.84% 67.88% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Mary Gay Scanlon
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|6th 39.17% 59.05% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Chrissy Houlahan
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|7th 42.21% 56.07% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Susan Wild
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|8th 47.02% 51.84%
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Matt Cartwright
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|9th 58.77% 39.57% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Dan Meuser
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|10th 48.19% 49.78% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Scott Perry
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|11th 55.77% 42.04% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lloyd Smucker
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|12th 60.26% 37.80% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Tom Marino
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|13th 64.15% 34.20% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|John Joyce
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|14th 52.34% 46.04% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Guy Reschenthaler
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|15th 60.19% 38.04% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Glenn Thompson
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|16th 50.21% 48.11% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mike Kelly
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|17th 40.66% 57.55% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Conor Lamb
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|18th 27.41% 70.86% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Mike Doyle

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2018 United States elections

Партнерские ресурсы
Криптовалюты
Магазины
Хостинг
Разное

  1. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  2. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  3. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  4. ↑ 4,0 4,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  5. ↑ 5,0 5,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  6. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  7. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  9. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  10. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  11. ↑ 11,0 11,1 11,2 11,3 11,4 Шаблон:Cite web
  12. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  13. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  14. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  15. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  16. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  17. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  18. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  19. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  20. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  21. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  22. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  23. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  24. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  25. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  26. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  27. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  28. ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
  29. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  30. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  31. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  32. ↑ Neal Gale (G) with 2%, Dale Kerns (L) with 1%
  33. ↑ Neal Gale (G) with 2%, Dale Kerns (L) with 1%; other with 1%
  34. ↑ Dale Kerns (L) with 2%, Neal Gale (G) with 1%; other with 1%
  35. ↑ Neal Gale (G) and Dale Kerns (L) with 2%, neither/other with 3%
  36. ↑ Dale Kerns (L) and Neal Gale (G) with 1%; other with 1%
  37. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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