Английская Википедия:2020 United States presidential election in Virginia

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsVA The 2020 United States presidential election in Virginia was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Prior to the election, most news organizations considered this a state Biden would win, or a likely blue state. On the day of the election, Biden won Virginia with 54.11% of the vote, and by a margin of 10.11%, the best performance for a Democratic presidential candidate since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1944.[3] Trump became the first Republican incumbent to consecutively lose Virginia since William Howard Taft and Biden became the first Democratic nominee to win Chesterfield County and Lynchburg City since 1948, Virginia Beach City since 1964, James City County since 1968, and Stafford County since 1976.[4] He also flipped Chesapeake City back to the Democratic Party. Trump flipped no counties or independent cities in the state. Nevertheless, Biden became the first Democrat since 1992 to win without Buckingham County and Essex County, and the first since 1960 to win without Westmoreland County, a notable bellwether. He was the first Democrat to ever win without Caroline County, Nelson County, or Covington.Шаблон:Citation needed

The diversification of Northern Virginia as well as sliding suburban support for Republicans allowed Biden to win the once-key battleground state without actively campaigning in it. Biden won Henrico County, Loudoun County, Prince William County, and Fairfax County with 63.7%, 61.5%, 62.6%, and 69.9%, respectively; all four were former suburban bastions of the Republican Party in Virginia, the first outside Richmond and the others in Northern Virginia. All four had voted Republican in every election from 1968 through 2000. In Arlington County, a closer DC-area suburban county that had turned Democratic several decades earlier, Biden won with 80.6% of the vote, becoming the first nominee of either party in more than a century to do so. Biden's combined margin in Fairfax, Prince William, Loudoun, and Arlington Counties was greater than his statewide margin of victory. Crucially for his performance in Northern Virginia, Biden carried government workers by 18%.[5]

Primary elections

Canceled Republican primary

Шаблон:Further

The Virginia Republican Party is one of several state GOP parties that have officially canceled their respective primaries and caucuses.[6] Donald Trump's re-election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H. W. Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004, respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in 1996 and 2012, respectively.[7][8] At the Virginia State Republican Convention, originally scheduled for May 2020 but postponed to August 15, 2020, the state party will formally bind all 48 of its national pledged delegates to Trump.[6][9][10]

Democratic primary

Шаблон:Further

The Virginia Democratic primary took place on March 3, 2020, as part of the "Super Tuesday" suite of elections.

Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, and Bernie Sanders were among the major declared candidates.[11]

Шаблон:Excerpt

Green primary

The Green Party of Virginia conducted an online ranked choice primary from April 20 to April 26, 2020.[12]

2020 Green Party of Virginia primary[12]
Candidate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Howie Hawkins 42 62.7% 42 62.7% 43 64.2% 44 65.7%
Dario Hunter 17 25.4% 18 26.9% 21 31.3% 23 34.3%
Kent Mesplay 3 4.5% 3 4.5% 3 4.5% Eliminated
Sedinam Moyowasiza-Curry 2 3.0% 2 3.0% Eliminated
Jill Stein (write-in) 2 3.0% Eliminated
Jesse Ventura (write-in) 1 1.5% Eliminated
Total votes 67 100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2020
Inside Elections[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2020
Politico[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2020
RCP[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2020
Niskanen[18] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2020
CNN[19] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2020
The Economist[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2020
CBS News[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2020
270towin[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2020
ABC News[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2020
NPR[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating September 16, 2020
NBC News[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2020
538[26] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 3, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Joe
Biden
Шаблон:Nobold 		Donald
Trump
Шаблон:Nobold 		Other/
Undecided
Шаблон:Efn 		Margin
270 to Win October 15–31, 2020 November 3, 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52.8% 41.0% 6.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:HsBiden +11.8
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53.7% 41.9% 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:HsBiden +11.8
Average Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |53.1% 40.5% 5.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Biden +11.8

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump
Шаблон:Nobold 		Joe
Biden
Шаблон:Nobold 		Jo
Jorgensen
Шаблон:Nobold 		Howie
Hawkins
Шаблон:Nobold 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 4,550 (LV) ± 2% 41%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|57% - - – –
Swayable Шаблон:Webarchive Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 467 (LV) ± 6.4% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|59% 2% 1% – –
Data for Progress Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 690 (LV) ± 3.7% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% 1% 0% 1%Шаблон:Efn –
Roanoke College Oct 23–29, 2020 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% 2% - 1% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 7,663 (LV) – 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% - - – –
Christopher Newport University Oct 15–27, 2020 908 (LV) ± 3.4% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 4%
Swayable Oct 23–26, 2020 351 (LV) ± 5.2% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% 1% - – –
Virginia Commonwealth University Oct 13–22, 2020 709 (LV) ± 4.93% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 8%Шаблон:Efn
Schar School/Washington Post Oct 13–19, 2020 908 (LV) ± 4% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% 3% - 0%Шаблон:Efn 4%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Oct 11–14, 2020 1,231 (LV) ± 3.1% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% - - 3%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Reconnect Research/Roanoke College Sep 30 – Oct 12, 2020 602 (LV) – 39%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% 4% - - 4%
Survey Monkey/Tableau Sep 15 – Oct 12, 2020 4,248 (LV) – 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% - - – 2%
Cygnal/Gade for VirginiaШаблон:Efn-ua Oct 9–11, 2020 607 (LV) – 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% - - – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 2,882 (LV) – 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% - - – 2%
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia[1]Шаблон:Efn-ua Sep 22–25, 2020 600 (LV) – 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% - - – –
Christopher Newport University Sep 9–21, 2020 796 (LV) ± 3.9% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% - - 2%Шаблон:Efn 7%
Virginia Commonwealth University Шаблон:Webarchive Aug 28 – Sep 7, 2020 693 (LV) ± 6.22% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% - - 1%Шаблон:Efn 8%Шаблон:Efn
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 2,626 (LV) – 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|57% - - – 2%
Roanoke College Aug 9–22, 2020 566 (LV) ± 4.1% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% - - 3%Шаблон:Efn 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 3,178 (LV) – 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% - - – 2%
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 1,156 (LV) ± 2.9% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% - - – –
Virginia Commonwealth University Jul 11–19, 2020 725 (LV) ± 6.2% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% - - 1% 10%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 1,619 (LV) – 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|57% - - – 1%
Morning Consult May 17–26, 2020 1,148 (LV) – 42%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% - - – –
Roanoke College May 3–16, 2020 563 (LV) ± 4.1% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% - - – –
Virginia Commonwealth University Mar 25 – Apr 8, 2020 812 (A) ± 4.5% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 51% - - – 8%
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 45% - - – –
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 48% - - – –
Mason-Dixon Dec 12–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 49% - - – 6%
Virginia Commonwealth University Dec 2–13, 2019 728 (LV) ± 5.1% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% - - – 5%Шаблон:Efn
Virginia Commonwealth University Sep 23 – Oct 4, 2019 645 (LV) ± 5.0% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% - - – 4%Шаблон:Efn
University of Mary Washington/Research America Sep 3–15, 2019 1,009 (A) ± 3.1% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 55% - - 1% 4%

Шаблон:Collapse top with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 43%
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 46%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Pete
Buttigieg (D) 		Undecided
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 41% –
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 47% –
Mason-Dixon Dec 12–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% 45% 8%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Kamala
Harris (D) 		Other Undecided
University of Mary Washington Sep 3–15, 2019 1,009 (A) ± 3.1% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 50% 2% 5%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 39%
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 46%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Bernie
Sanders (D) 		Other Undecided
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 44% – –
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 49% – –
Mason-Dixon Dec 12–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% 45% – 4%
Virginia Commonwealth University Dec 2–13, 2019 728 (LV) ± 5.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% 45% – 7%Шаблон:Efn
Virginia Commonwealth University Sep 2 – Oct 4, 2019 645 (LV) ± 5.0% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% – 5%Шаблон:Efn
University of Mary Washington/Research America Sep 3–15, 2019 1,009 (A) ± 3.1% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 53% 2% 4%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Elizabeth
Warren (D) 		Other Undecided
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 42% – –
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 48% – –
Mason-Dixon Dec 12–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% 44% – 8%
Virginia Commonwealth University Dec 2–13, 2019 728 (LV) ± 5.1% 47% 47% – 6%Шаблон:Efn
Virginia Commonwealth University Sep 23 – Oct 4, 2019 645 (LV) ± 5.0% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% – 4%Шаблон:Efn
University of Mary Washington Sep 3–15, 2019 1,009 (A) ± 3.1% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 53% 1% 5%

Шаблон:Collapse bottom

Шаблон:Collapse top with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Generic
Democrat 		Other Undecided
Wason Center, Christopher
Newport University 		Sep 4–30, 2019 726 (RV) ± 4.1% 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% 6%Шаблон:Efn 6%

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Generic
Opponent 		Other Undecided
Wason Center, Christopher
Newport University 		Feb 3–23, 2020 866 (RV) ± 3.5% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Other|59%Шаблон:Efn 0%Шаблон:Efn 2%

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn 		Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap 		Generic
Republican 		Generic
Democrat 		Other Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University Sep 23 – Oct 4, 2019 645 (LV) ± 5.0% 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% – 3%Шаблон:Efn
Ipsos/University of Virginia Feb 15–19, 2019 636 (A) ± 4.0% 25% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 45% 3% 20%

Шаблон:Collapse bottom

Results

Файл:2020-10-20 14 30 16 Line for early voting along Center Street in Herndon, Fairfax County, Virginia.jpg
Line for early voting in Herndon

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box end

Results by city and county

Independent cities have been italicized.

City or
county		 colspan="2" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Joe Biden
Democratic		 colspan="2" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Donald Trump
Republican		 colspan="2" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian		 Write-in Margin Total
votes
colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | % colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | # colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | % colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | # colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian | % colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian | # % # % #
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Accomack 44.68% 7,578 54.07% 9,172 1.11% 188 0.14% 24 -9.39% -1,594 16,962
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Albemarle 65.68% 42,466 32.18% 20,804 1.57% 1,014 0.58% 373 33.50% 21,662 64,657
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Alexandria 80.28% 66,240 17.63% 14,544 1.24% 1,022 0.85% 702 62.65% 51,696 82,508
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Alleghany 27.34% 2,243 71.43% 5,859 1.08% 89 0.15% 12 -44.09% -3,616 8,203
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Amelia 30.55% 2,411 68.29% 5,390 1.01% 80 0.15% 12 -37.74% -2,979 7,893
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Amherst 33.35% 5,672 64.93% 11,041 1.48% 251 0.24% 41 -31.58% -5,369 17,005
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Appomattox 26.09% 2,418 72.31% 6,702 1.28% 119 0.31% 29 -46.22% -4,284 9,268
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Arlington 80.60% 105,344 17.08% 22,318 1.40% 1,836 0.92% 1,201 63.52% 83,026 130,699
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Augusta 25.64% 10,840 72.65% 30,714 1.44% 608 0.27% 116 -47.01% -19,874 42,278
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bath 25.83% 646 73.33% 1,834 0.64% 16 0.20% 5 -47.50% -1,188 2,501
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bedford 25.02% 12,176 73.15% 35,600 1.45% 708 0.38% 185 -48.13% -23,424 48,669
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bland 15.29% 532 83.44% 2,903 1.15% 40 0.11% 4 -68.15% -2,371 3,479
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Botetourt 26.99% 5,700 71.49% 15,099 1.25% 264 0.27% 57 -44.50% -9,399 21,120
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bristol 29.63% 2,313 68.50% 5,347 1.60% 125 0.27% 21 -38.87% -3,034 7,806
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Brunswick 57.27% 4,552 42.24% 3,357 0.43% 34 0.06% 5 15.03% 1,195 7,948
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Buchanan 15.94% 1,587 83.50% 8,311 0.44% 44 0.11% 11 -67.56% -6,724 9,953
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Buckingham 42.71% 3,471 55.92% 4,544 1.14% 93 0.22% 18 -13.21% -1,073 8,126
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Buena Vista 29.72% 825 67.11% 1,863 2.59% 72 0.58% 16 -37.39% -1,038 2,776
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Campbell 27.00% 8,070 71.07% 21,245 1.64% 490 0.29% 87 -44.07% -13,175 29,892
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Caroline 47.01% 7,657 51.18% 8,336 1.59% 259 0.22% 36 -4.17% -679 16,288
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Carroll 18.16% 2,842 80.88% 12,659 0.75% 118 0.20% 32 -62.72% -9,817 15,651
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Charles City 59.09% 2,624 39.65% 1,761 1.22% 54 0.05% 2 19.44% 863 4,441
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Charlotte 37.43% 2,317 61.62% 3,815 0.78% 48 0.18% 11 -24.19% -1,498 6,191
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Charlottesville 85.50% 20,696 12.78% 3,094 1.28% 311 0.43% 104 72.72% 17,602 24,205
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Chesapeake 52.22% 66,377 45.77% 58,180 1.65% 2,098 0.36% 453 6.45% 8,197 127,108
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Chesterfield 52.45% 106,935 45.77% 93,326 1.44% 2,927 0.34% 696 6.68% 13,609 203,884
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Clarke 41.98% 3,920 55.61% 5,192 1.91% 178 0.50% 47 -13.63% -1,272 9,337
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Colonial Heights 32.50% 2,972 65.68% 6,007 1.48% 135 0.35% 32 -33.18% -3,035 9,146
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Covington 37.03% 964 60.70% 1,580 1.92% 50 0.35% 9 -23.67% -616 2,603
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Craig 18.52% 587 80.03% 2,536 1.26% 40 0.19% 6 -61.51% -1,949 3,169
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Culpeper 39.15% 10,617 59.05% 16,012 1.50% 406 0.30% 81 -19.90% -5,395 27,116
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Cumberland 41.94% 2,227 56.85% 3,019 1.00% 53 0.21% 11 -14.91% -792 5,310
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Danville 60.40% 11,710 38.31% 7,428 1.01% 195 0.29% 56 22.09% 4,282 19,389
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Dickenson 20.58% 1,503 78.71% 5,748 0.60% 44 0.11% 8 -58.13% -4,245 7,303
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Dinwiddie 41.24% 6,224 57.61% 8,695 0.95% 144 0.19% 29 -16.37% -2,471 15,092
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Emporia 67.70% 1,612 31.67% 754 0.55% 13 0.08% 2 36.03% 858 2,381
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Essex 49.17% 3,038 49.77% 3,075 0.94% 58 0.11% 7 -0.60% -37 6,178
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Fairfax City 68.04% 9,174 29.72% 4,007 1.49% 201 0.75% 101 38.32% 5,167 13,483
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Fairfax County 69.89% 419,943 28.03% 168,401 1.33% 8,014 0.74% 4,465 41.86% 251,542 600,823
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Falls Church 81.03% 7,146 16.90% 1,490 1.29% 114 0.78% 69 64.13% 5,656 8,819
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Fauquier 40.23% 17,565 57.50% 25,106 1.78% 777 0.49% 213 -17.27% -7,541 43,661
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Floyd 31.93% 3,004 66.17% 6,225 1.56% 147 0.34% 32 -34.24% -3,221 9,408
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Fluvanna 46.81% 7,414 51.48% 8,155 1.43% 226 0.28% 45 -4.67% -741 15,840
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Franklin City 62.22% 2,525 36.64% 1,487 0.86% 35 0.27% 11 25.58% 1,038 4,058
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Franklin County 28.22% 8,381 70.35% 20,895 1.19% 354 0.24% 72 -42.13% -12,514 29,702
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Frederick 35.33% 17,207 62.74% 30,558 1.60% 781 0.32% 157 -27.41% -13,351 48,703
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Fredericksburg 66.22% 8,517 31.39% 4,037 1.87% 240 0.53% 68 34.83% 4,480 12,862
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Galax 29.45% 777 69.67% 1,838 0.68% 18 0.19% 5 -40.22% -1,061 2,638
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Giles 23.50% 2,156 74.93% 6,876 1.36% 125 0.21% 19 -51.43% -4,720 9,176
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Gloucester 31.25% 6,964 66.76% 14,875 1.75% 389 0.24% 54 -35.51% -7,911 22,282
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Goochland 39.44% 6,685 58.80% 9,966 1.43% 242 0.34% 57 -19.36% -3,281 16,950
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Grayson 18.88% 1,535 80.30% 6,529 0.69% 56 0.14% 11 -61.42% -4,994 8,131
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Greene 36.80% 4,163 60.70% 6,866 2.13% 241 0.36% 41 -23.90% -2,703 11,311
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Greensville 57.43% 2,627 41.85% 1,914 0.50% 23 0.22% 10 15.58% 713 4,574
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Halifax 42.01% 7,666 57.09% 10,418 0.77% 140 0.13% 24 -15.08% -2,752 18,248
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hampton 70.14% 46,220 27.97% 18,430 1.53% 1,006 0.37% 245 42.17% 27,790 65,901
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hanover 35.66% 25,307 62.45% 44,318 1.55% 1,103 0.34% 239 -26.79% -19,011 70,967
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Harrisonburg 64.51% 11,022 32.72% 5,591 2.13% 364 0.64% 109 31.79% 5,431 17,086
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Henrico 63.65% 116,572 34.64% 63,440 1.32% 2,414 0.40% 726 29.01% 53,132 183,152
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Henry 34.96% 9,127 64.07% 16,725 0.85% 223 0.11% 30 -29.11% -7,598 26,105
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Highland 27.20% 417 71.23% 1,092 1.44% 22 0.13% 2 -44.03% -675 1,533
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hopewell 56.52% 5,430 41.84% 4,020 1.36% 131 0.28% 27 14.68% 1,410 9,608
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Isle of Wight 40.07% 9,399 58.44% 13,707 1.40% 328 0.09% 22 -18.37% -4,308 23,456
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|James City 51.50% 25,553 46.66% 23,153 1.43% 710 0.42% 206 4.84% 2,400 49,622
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|King and Queen 38.64% 1,590 59.54% 2,450 1.56% 64 0.27% 11 -20.90% -860 4,115
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|King George 37.99% 5,404 59.38% 8,446 2.21% 314 0.42% 60 -21.39% -3,042 14,224
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|King William 30.37% 3,260 68.18% 7,320 1.32% 142 0.13% 14 -37.81% -4,060 10,736
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lancaster 47.09% 3,368 51.69% 3,697 0.99% 71 0.22% 16 -4.60% -329 7,152
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lee 14.97% 1,489 84.10% 8,365 0.78% 78 0.14% 14 -69.13% -6,876 9,946
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Lexington 64.84% 1,791 32.80% 906 1.74% 48 0.62% 17 32.04% 885 2,762
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Loudoun 61.54% 138,372 36.51% 82,088 1.40% 3,139 0.56% 1,263 25.03% 56,284 224,862
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Louisa 37.73% 8,269 60.66% 13,294 1.35% 295 0.26% 57 -22.93% -5,025 21,915
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lunenburg 40.30% 2,418 58.95% 3,537 0.67% 40 0.08% 5 -18.65% -1,119 6,000
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Lynchburg 49.63% 18,048 47.02% 17,097 2.36% 857 0.99% 361 2.61% 951 36,363
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Madison 33.19% 2,698 65.20% 5,300 1.30% 106 0.31% 25 -32.01% -2,602 8,129
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Manassas 61.03% 10,356 36.87% 6,256 1.65% 280 0.45% 76 24.16% 4,100 16,968
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Manassas Park 65.58% 3,992 32.51% 1,979 1.64% 100 0.26% 16 33.07% 2,013 6,087
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Martinsville 62.63% 3,766 36.01% 2,165 1.21% 73 0.15% 9 26.62% 1,601 6,013
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mathews 31.33% 1,825 66.96% 3,901 1.49% 87 0.22% 13 -35.61% -2,076 5,826
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mecklenburg 41.98% 6,803 57.18% 9,266 0.70% 113 0.14% 22 -15.20% -2,463 16,204
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Middlesex 36.71% 2,491 61.84% 4,196 1.13% 77 0.31% 21 -25.13% -1,705 6,785
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Montgomery 51.55% 23,218 45.80% 20,629 2.09% 942 0.55% 248 5.75% 2,589 45,037
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Nelson 46.45% 4,327 51.65% 4,812 1.61% 150 0.29% 27 -5.20% -485 9,316
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|New Kent 31.95% 4,621 66.59% 9,631 1.19% 172 0.27% 39 -34.64% -5,010 14,463
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Newport News 65.39% 53,099 32.48% 26,377 1.77% 1,438 0.36% 289 32.91% 26,722 81,203
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Norfolk 71.69% 64,440 26.08% 23,443 1.79% 1,608 0.43% 390 45.61% 40,997 89,881
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Northampton 54.47% 3,667 43.89% 2,955 1.49% 100 0.15% 10 10.58% 712 6,732
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Northumberland 41.61% 3,252 57.39% 4,485 0.72% 56 0.28% 22 -15.78% -1,233 7,815
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Norton 28.98% 464 69.27% 1,109 1.31% 21 0.44% 7 -40.29% -645 1,601
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Nottoway 41.98% 2,971 56.89% 4,027 1.02% 72 0.11% 8 -14.91% -1,056 7,078
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Orange 38.54% 7,995 59.91% 12,426 1.29% 267 0.26% 54 -21.37% -4,431 20,742
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Page 24.03% 3,007 74.68% 9,345 1.07% 134 0.22% 28 -50.65% -6,338 12,514
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Patrick 20.50% 1,954 78.51% 7,485 0.85% 81 0.15% 14 -58.01% -5,531 9,534
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Petersburg 87.75% 12,389 11.22% 1,584 0.76% 108 0.26% 37 76.53% 10,805 14,118
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pittsylvania 29.55% 10,115 69.39% 23,751 0.83% 285 0.22% 76 -39.84% -13,636 34,227
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Poquoson 26.14% 2,054 71.34% 5,605 2.04% 160 0.48% 38 -45.20% -3,551 7,857
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Portsmouth 69.42% 30,948 28.61% 12,755 1.62% 723 0.35% 156 40.81% 18,193 44,582
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Powhatan 26.96% 5,320 71.24% 14,055 1.63% 321 0.17% 34 -44.28% -8,735 19,730
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Prince Edward 51.94% 4,973 46.31% 4,434 1.42% 136 0.32% 31 5.63% 539 9,574
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Prince George 40.75% 7,103 57.96% 10,103 1.12% 195 0.18% 31 -17.21% -3,000 17,432
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Prince William 62.64% 142,863 35.61% 81,222 1.42% 3,242 0.32% 729 27.03% 61,641 228,056
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pulaski 28.34% 4,925 69.79% 12,127 1.58% 275 0.28% 49 -41.45% -7,202 17,376
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Radford 53.13% 3,358 44.08% 2,786 2.29% 145 0.49% 31 9.05% 572 6,320
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rappahannock 42.11% 2,096 56.49% 2,812 1.12% 56 0.28% 14 -14.38% -716 4,978
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Richmond City 82.92% 92,175 14.94% 16,603 1.52% 1,691 0.62% 690 67.98% 75,572 111,159
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Richmond County 36.88% 1,513 62.09% 2,547 0.76% 31 0.27% 11 -25.21% -1,034 4,102
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Roanoke City 61.80% 26,773 36.02% 15,607 1.79% 777 0.38% 166 25.78% 11,166 43,323
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Roanoke County 38.12% 21,801 59.93% 34,268 1.59% 910 0.36% 205 -21.81% -12,467 57,184
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rockbridge 33.02% 4,086 65.37% 8,088 1.33% 165 0.27% 34 -32.35% -4,002 12,373
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rockingham 28.86% 12,644 69.27% 30,349 1.49% 653 0.38% 165 -40.41% -17,705 43,811
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Russell 17.73% 2,373 81.27% 10,879 0.87% 116 0.13% 18 -63.54% -8,506 13,386
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Salem 39.45% 5,148 58.87% 7,683 1.69% 220 0.00% 0 -19.42% -2,535 13,051
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Scott 15.57% 1,692 83.38% 9,063 0.83% 90 0.22% 24 -67.81% -7,371 10,869
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Shenandoah 28.86% 6,836 69.51% 16,463 1.46% 346 0.16% 39 -40.65% -9,627 23,684
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Smyth 21.28% 3,008 77.55% 10,963 0.94% 133 0.23% 32 -56.27% -7,955 14,136
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Southampton 40.56% 3,969 58.55% 5,730 0.89% 87 0.00% 0 -17.99% -1,761 9,786
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Spotsylvania 45.55% 34,307 52.33% 39,411 1.73% 1,301 0.40% 298 -6.78% -5,104 75,317
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Stafford 50.54% 40,245 47.27% 37,636 1.73% 1,376 0.46% 368 3.27% 2,609 79,625
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Staunton 53.74% 6,981 43.84% 5,695 1.92% 249 0.50% 65 9.90% 1,286 12,990
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Suffolk 57.77% 28,676 40.45% 20,082 1.46% 724 0.32% 160 17.32% 8,594 49,642
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Surry 53.61% 2,397 45.29% 2,025 0.89% 40 0.20% 9 8.32% 372 4,471
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Sussex 55.56% 2,827 43.61% 2,219 0.69% 35 0.14% 7 11.95% 608 5,088
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Tazewell 15.92% 3,205 83.10% 16,731 0.79% 159 0.19% 39 -67.18% -13,526 20,134
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Virginia Beach 51.59% 117,393 46.18% 105,087 1.85% 4,208 0.38% 873 5.41% 12,306 227,561
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Warren 31.22% 6,603 66.53% 14,069 1.73% 365 0.52% 110 -35.31% -7,466 21,147
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Washington 23.07% 6,617 75.58% 21,679 1.06% 304 0.30% 85 -52.51% -15,062 28,685
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Waynesboro 46.29% 4,961 51.39% 5,507 1.95% 209 0.37% 40 -5.10% -546 10,717
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Westmoreland 45.31% 4,501 53.54% 5,318 0.91% 90 0.24% 24 -8.23% -817 9,933
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Williamsburg 69.59% 4,790 28.52% 1,963 1.34% 92 0.55% 38 41.07% 2,827 6,883
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Winchester 54.60% 6,610 43.13% 5,221 1.76% 213 0.51% 62 11.47% 1,389 12,106
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wise 18.72% 3,110 80.45% 13,366 0.65% 108 0.19% 31 -61.73% -10,256 16,615
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Wythe 20.85% 3,143 77.85% 11,733 1.13% 170 0.17% 26 -57.00% -8,590 15,072
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|York 45.59% 17,683 52.19% 20,241 1.75% 680 0.47% 183 -6.60% -2,558 38,787

Шаблон:Align

Results by congressional district

Biden won 7 out of Virginia's 11 congressional districts.

District Trump Biden Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 51.4% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rob Wittman
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 46.7% 51.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Elaine Luria
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 31.2% 67.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Bobby Scott
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 36.8% 61.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Donald McEachin
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 53.6% 45.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Denver Riggleman
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bob Good
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 59.8% 38.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Ben Cline
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 48.7% 49.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Abigail Spanberger
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 21.1% 77.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Don Beyer
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 70.4% 28.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Morgan Griffith
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 39.6% 58.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Jennifer Wexton
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 28.3% 70.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Gerry Connolly

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Analysis

In this election, Virginia voted 5.6% more Democratic than the nation as a whole. Although Virginia was considered a reliably Republican state at the presidential level from 1952 to 2004 (having only gone to the Democrats once during that period, in Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide), it has not voted Republican in a presidential election since 2004. In recent years, densely populated counties in Northern Virginia close to Washington, D.C. have tilted towards the Democrats. This was the first election since 1988 that a presidential candidate won Virginia by double digits (George H. W. Bush having carried the state by 20.5% in his first run), and the first election in which any presidential candidate received over 2 million votes in Virginia.

As fellow Southern state Georgia tilted towards Biden, he became the first Democrat since Harry Truman in 1948 to carry both states. Conversely, Virginia and Florida continued drifting apart after a more-than-100-year run (from 1880 through 2012) of voting alike in almost every election (only voting differently in 1976 and 1996, when the Democratic nominees won Florida but lost Virginia.) In 2016, Hillary Clinton became the first Democrat since Reconstruction to win Virginia while losing Florida, a pattern that would be repeated with Biden in 2020. This was also the first election in which a former Confederate state backed a Democratic candidate by a margin of victory greater than 10% since 1996, when Arkansas and Louisiana did so for Bill Clinton.

Following the election, news and political analysts considered the presidential results in Virginia, along with Democrats holding the senate seat held by Mark Warner, their house congressional majority, plus the previous year's elections in which Democrats flipped the state General Assembly, to be indicative that it was no longer a swing state, but a blue state.[27][28]

Their domination of state and local offices would be short-lived, however, as in 2021 the Republicans flipped the Democratic-held offices of governor, lieutenant governor, and attorney general, as well as winning control of the Virginia House of Delegates.[29][30] In 2023, Democrats recaptured the House of Delegates, winning full control of the General Assembly once again, albeit by narrower margins than what they acquired in 2019.

Voter demographics

Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Biden Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Trump No
Answer 		% of
Voters
Party
Democrat 96 4 N/A 36
Republican 9 90 N/A 34
Independent 57 38 N/A 30
Gender
Men 49 48 1 49
Women 61 38 1 51
Race
White 45 53 2 67
Black 89 10 1 18
Latino 61 36 3 7
Asian 60 38 2 4
Other 50 43 7 3
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men 39 58 3 33
White women 50 49 1 33
Black men 86 14 N/A 8
Black women 92 8 N/A 11
Latino men (of any race) 53 41 6 3
Latino women (of any race) 68 32 N/A 4
All other races 58 40 2 8
Gender by marital status
Married men 50 49 N/A 29
Married women 51 47 N/A 28
Unmarried men 58 39 3 20
Unmarried women 69 30 N/A 23
Parents
Men with children 49 49 1 15
Women with children 58 41 1 19
Men no children 53 43 4 34
Women no children 60 38 2 32
Age
18–24 years old 62 33 1 12
25–29 years old 63 34 3 8
30–39 years old 60 38 2 17
40–49 years old 63 36 1 16
50–64 years old 48 51 N/A 29
65 and older 45 54 1 18
LGBT
Yes 83 11 N/A 5
No 53 43 4 95
First time voter
First time voter 65 32 3 9
Everyone else 55 42 N/A 91
U.S. military veteran
Yes 36 62 N/A 16
No 59 38 N/A 84
Education
College graduate 57 40 N/A 43
No college degree 53 46 1 57
Education by race/ethnicity
White college graduates 52 45 3 33
White no college degree 38 62 N/A 34
Non-white college graduates 75 24 1 10
Non-white no college degree 76 22 2 23
Income
Under $50,000 60 39 1 33
$50,000–99,999 52 47 1 27
Over $100,000 46 53 1 41
Abortion should be
Legal 78 20 2 54
Illegal 29 69 1 42
Area Type
Urban 64 34 2 24
Suburban 53 45 2 60
Rural 46 52 2 16
Region
DC Suburbs 68 30 N/A 30
Central Virginia 44 53 3 16
Hampton Roads 62 36 N/A 16
Richmond/Southside 56 42 N/A 18
Mountain 35 63 N/A 20
Source: CNN[31]

See also

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:2020 United States elections Шаблон:State results of the 2020 U.S. presidential election

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Разное

  1. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  2. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  3. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  4. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  5. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  6. ↑ 6,0 6,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  7. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  9. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  10. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  11. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  12. ↑ 12,0 12,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  13. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  14. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  15. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  16. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  17. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  18. ↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Шаблон:Webarchive, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  19. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  20. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  21. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  22. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  23. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  24. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  25. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  26. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  27. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  28. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  29. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  30. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  31. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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