Английская Википедия:2023 Nigerian presidential election in Lagos State

Материал из Онлайн справочника
Версия от 06:28, 25 декабря 2023; EducationBot (обсуждение | вклад) (Новая страница: «{{Английская Википедия/Панель перехода}} {{short description|none}} {{Use dmy dates|date=January 2023}} {{Use Nigerian English|date=January 2023}} {{Infobox election <!-- DO NOT REMOVE THE SPACING, IT HELPS LEGIBILITY --> | election_name = 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Lagos State | country = | type = presidential | ongoing = no | previous_election = 2019 Nigerian ge...»)
(разн.) ← Предыдущая версия | Текущая версия (разн.) | Следующая версия → (разн.)
Перейти к навигацииПерейти к поиску

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Use Nigerian English Шаблон:Infobox election

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Lagos State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, were also held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Peter Obi—the nominee of the Labour Party—won the state by nearly 10,000 votes, a 0.77% margin, in a massive upset over former state Governor Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress.[2][3] The other two major contenders, Atiku Abubakar (Peoples Democratic Party) and Rabiu Kwankwaso (New Nigeria Peoples Party), trailed with just 5.96% and 0.66%, respectively.[2]

Background

Lagos State is a highly populated, diverse southwestern state that is a major financial centre along with being a key culture, education, and transportation hub. Although it faces overcrowding and chronic debilitating traffic, it has grown to one of the largest economies in Africa.

Politically, the 2019 elections were a continuation of the state APC's control as Muhammadu Buhari won the state by 12% and the party held all three senate seats while gaining in the House of Representatives elections. On the state level, the APC also retained its House of Assembly majority but the gubernatorial election was prefaced by the unprecedented defeat of incumbent Akinwunmi Ambode in the APC primary, marking the first time an incumbent Nigerian governor was defeated in a party primary. His primary challenger, Babajide Sanwo-Olu, went on to win the general election by a wide 54% margin.

Campaign

Although Lagos State is the home state of Tinubu, both Abubakar and Obi pushed to make the state competitive by targeting certain demographics and using the downballot candidates of their respective parties to lead the direct grassroots campaign.[4] As a state in the ethnic Yoruba homeland of Yorubaland, most of Lagos State's indigenous population are ethnic Yoruba but over a century of internal migration led to a significant minority of non-Yoruba non-indigenes. These differing ethnic dynamics greatly affected the presidential campaign in the state as Tinubu (an ethnic Yoruba himself) and his surrogates extensively employed ethnic Yoruba identity politics while campaigning across the South West;[5] on the other hand, the Lagos State bases of both Abubakar and Obi are in the non-indigene community—primarily those originally from the South East or South South—along with youths and educated professionals of all ethnicities.[4]

Soon after the campaign period began in September 2022, reports from the LP and the PDP emerged over continuous attempts at suppression from APC-backed assailants along with bias from the state government and local police.[6] Notable incidents included an ambush on the state PDP campaign convoy in Badagry in October and an attack on Obi-aligned free medical services in Eti-Osa in November.[7] The reports led to fears of electoral violence and voter suppression, with analysts noting the regular reports of suppression and violence from the recent elections in the state (especially in areas with a non-Yoruba majority).[5][6] As the campaign continued into December, the administration of state governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu (APC)—a longtime Tinubu ally—was accused of abusing the power of government for political purposes after reports found that the Lagos State Traffic Management Authority was selectively closing roads and diverting traffic for only APC campaign events.[8] As the election neared in January, suppression reports increased rapidly with both the LP and PDP accusing the state government and APC of destroying opposition banners and posters, attacking and intimidating of opposition supporters, and continued prevention of using billboards with the LP even claiming that the APC had infiltrated local INEC offices to discard the Permanent Voter Cards of non-indigenes.[9]

Файл:Harbourseaside-lekki-port5en.jpg
Pre-opening artistic rendering of the Lekki Deep Sea Port—one of several infrastructure projects completed in 2022 and early 2023.

While both SBM Intelligence and ThisDay projected Tinubu to win Lagos State in December 2022, other pundits noted the potential competitiveness of the state with The Africa Report including it in a series on battleground states.[10][11][12] The article contended that Tinubu would benefit from the support of the state and federal government in the state, both from the ability to suppress opposition voters and recent infrastructure projects.Шаблон:Efn For Abubakar, reporting focused on the divides within the PDP as the national split between the G5 and the rest of the party had trickled down to the Lagos State PDP as longtime state PDP stalwart Bode George sided with the G5 in its opposition to Abubakar. The split in the state PDP had its gubernatorial nominee—Abdul-Azeez Olajide Adediran—campaigning for Abubakar while George reportedly backed Obi and LP gubernatorial nominee Gbadebo Rhodes-Vivour.[12] The report claimed Obi's chances were based on his campaign's ability to successfully turnout non-indigenesШаблон:Efn and educated youths along with the vital assistance of Rhodes-Vivour.[12]

In early February, Lagos State polling data and analysis from Stears Business was released with results showed a 4% lead for Obi, its model based on the polling statistics predicted Obi to win the state with 44% of the vote with Tinubu trailing at 32% while Abubakar stood at just 7%. The Stears data revealed a stark religious divide as Obi led by 11% among Christian respondents while Tinubu led by 28% among Muslim respondents; other questions revealed that the respondents had high confidence in INEC and were more excited about the election than previous ones.[13] In the following days other issues took precedence as allegations of bias against INEC Lagos State Resident Commissioner Olusegun Agbaje led to calls for his resignation while mass coordinated attacks on LP supporters before an Obi rally at Tafawa Balewa Square reinforced fears of further violence.[14][15]

Polling

Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Файл:Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu (5980497975) (Cropped).png Файл:Peter Obi.png Шаблон:CSS image crop Файл:Atiku Abubakar-2010 (cropped).jpg Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC 		Obi
LP 		Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Abubakar
PDP
style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 28% Шаблон:Party shading/Labour Party (Nigeria)|31% 1% 5% – 14% 5% 16%
Nextier
(Lagos crosstabs of national poll) 		27 January 2023 N/A 25.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Labour Party (Nigeria)|39.4% 0.5% 14.7% 3.2% 17.0% – –
Stears January 2023 500 21% 25% 2% 3% – Шаблон:Party shading/Nonpartisan|45% – 6%
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Lagos crosstabs of national poll) 		22 January-6 February 2023 N/A Шаблон:Party shading/All Progressives Congress|63% 25% – 10% – 1% – –

Projections

Source Projection As of
Шаблон:Nowrap[16] Tossup 24 February 2023
DataphyteШаблон:Efn[17]
Tinubu: Шаблон:Party shading/All Progressives Congress| 44.61% 11 February 2023
Obi: 18.53%
Abubakar: 21.21%
Others: 15.66%
Enough is Enough-
Шаблон:Nowrap 		colspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/All Progressives Congress | Tinubu 17 February 2023
SBM IntelligenceШаблон:Efn[10] colspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/All Progressives Congress | Tinubu 15 December 2022
ThisDayШаблон:Efn[11]
Tinubu: Шаблон:Party shading/All Progressives Congress| 45% 27 December 2022
Obi: 25%
Kwankwaso: 5%
Abubakar: 20%
Others/Undecided: 5%
Шаблон:Nowrap colspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/All Progressives Congress | Tinubu 12-19 February 2023

Conduct

Pre-election

Шаблон:Excerpt

General election

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box invalid no change Шаблон:Election box turnout no change Шаблон:Election box end

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Lagos Central Senatorial DistrictШаблон:Efn 117,580 47.44% 108,633 43.83% 1,497 0.60% 14,543 5.87% 5,614 2.26% 247,867
Lagos East Senatorial DistrictШаблон:Efn 149,667 50.45% 118,348 39.89% 1,958 0.66% 19,565 6.60% 7,112 2.40% 296,650
Lagos West Senatorial DistrictШаблон:Efn 289,288 41.68% 340,446 49.05% 4,859 0.70% 40,713 5.87% 18,796 2.71% 694,102
Totals 572,606 45.04% 582,454 45.81% 8,442 0.66% 75,750 5.96% 32,199 2.53% 1,271,451

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Agege Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 29,568 58.10% 13,270 26.08% 1,513 2.97% 4,498 8.84% 2,043 4.01% 50,892
Ajeromi/Ifelodun Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 25,938 37.82% 35,663 51.99% 436 0.64% 4,680 6.82% 1,873 2.73% 68,590
Alimosho Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 62,909 42.54% 71,327 48.24% 701 0.47% 8,201 5.55% 4,732 3.20% 147,870
Amuwo Odofin Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 13,318 18.24% 55,547 76.09% 330 0.45% 2,383 3.26% 1,429 1.96% 73,007
Apapa Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 15,471 56.86% 7,566 27.80% 338 1.24% 2,997 11.01% 840 3.09% 27,212
Badagry Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 31,903 63.03% 10,956 21.64% 153 0.30% 6,024 11.9% 1,582 3.13% 50,618
Epe Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 19,867 67.98% 3,497 11.97% 76 0.26% 5,221 17.87% 561 1.92% 29,222
Eti-Osa Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 15,317 24.46% 42,388 67.69% 381 0.61% 3,369 5.38% 1,162 1.86% 62,617
Ibeju-Lekki Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 14,685 51.88% 10,410 36.78% 104 0.37% 2,329 8.23% 776 2.74% 28,304
Ifako/Ijaiye Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 14,685 51.88% 10,410 36.78% 104 0.37% 2,329 8.23% 776 2.74% 28,304
Ikeja Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 21,276 38.64% 30,004 54.49% 337 0.61% 2,280 4.14% 1,165 2.12% 55,062
Ikorodu Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 50,353 58.05% 28,951 33.37% 400 0.46% 4,508 5.20% 2,535 2.92% 86,747
Kosofe Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 36,883 40.81% 46,554 51.51% 902 1.00% 4,058 4.49% 1,977 2.19% 90,374
Lagos Island I Federal Constituency
and Lagos Island II Federal ConstituencyШаблон:EfnШаблон:Efn 		27,760 81.92% 3,058 9.03% 79 0.23% 2,521 7.44% 468 1.38% 33,886
Lagos Mainland Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 20,030 46.43% 18,698 43.34% 257 0.60% 3,005 6.96% 1,153 2.67% 43,143
Mushin I Federal Constituency
and Mushin II Federal ConstituencyШаблон:EfnШаблон:Efn 		41,907 58.85% 23,390 32.84% 410 0.58% 3,478 4.88% 2,030 2.85% 71,215
Ojo Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 20,603 31.61% 38,859 59.63% 462 0.71% 3,701 5.68% 1,543 2.37% 65,168
Oshodi-Isolo I Federal Constituency
and Oshodi-Isolo II Federal ConstituencyШаблон:EfnШаблон:Efn 		27,181 32.60% 51,020 61.19% 413 0.50% 3,139 3.76% 1,623 3.76% 83,376
Somolu Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn 27,879 44.96% 28,936 46.67% 476 0.77% 3,449 5.56% 1,263 2.04% 62,003
Surulere I Federal Constituency
and Surulere II Federal ConstituencyШаблон:EfnШаблон:Efn 		39,002 48.15% 36,923 45.58% 442 0.55% 2,651 3.27% 1,991 2.46% 81,009
Totals 572,606 45.04% 582,454 45.81% 8,442 0.66% 75,750 5.96% 32,199 2.53% 1,271,451

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA Bola Tinubu
APC 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Others Total Valid Votes Turnout Percentage
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Agege[18] 29,568 58.10% 13,270 26.08% 1,513 2.97% 4,498 8.84% 2,043 4.01% 50,892 14.71%
Ajeromi-Ifelodun[19] 25,938 37.82% 35,663 51.99% 436 0.64% 4,680 6.82% 1,873 2.73% 68,590 16.85%
Alimosho[20][21] 62,909 42.54% 71,327 48.24% 701 0.47% 8,201 5.55% 4,732 3.20% 147,870 18.49%
Amuwo-Odofin[22] 13,318 18.24% 55,547 76.09% 330 0.45% 2,383 3.26% 1,429 1.96% 73,007 23.18%
Apapa[23] 15,471 56.86% 7,566 27.80% 338 1.24% 2,997 11.01% 840 3.09% 27,212 26.21%
Badagry[24] 31,903 63.03% 10,956 21.64% 153 0.30% 6,024 11.9% 1,582 3.13% 50,618 23.55%
Epe[25] 19,867 67.98% 3,497 11.97% 76 0.26% 5,221 17.87% 561 1.92% 29,222 19.04%
Eti-Osa[26][27] 15,317 24.46% 42,388 67.69% 381 0.61% 3,369 5.38% 1,162 1.86% 62,617 17.81%
Ibeju-Lekki[28] 14,685 51.88% 10,410 36.78% 104 0.37% 2,329 8.23% 776 2.74% 28,304 25.59%
Ifako-Ijaiye[29] 14,685 51.88% 10,410 36.78% 104 0.37% 2,329 8.23% 776 2.74% 28,304 25.59%
Ikeja[30] 21,276 38.64% 30,004 54.49% 337 0.61% 2,280 4.14% 1,165 2.12% 55,062 17.83%
Ikorodu[31][32] 50,353 58.05% 28,951 33.37% 400 0.46% 4,508 5.20% 2,535 2.92% 86,747 24.87%
Kosofe[33][34] 36,883 40.81% 46,554 51.51% 902 1.00% 4,058 4.49% 1,977 2.19% 90,374 19.90%
Lagos Island[35] 27,760 81.92% 3,058 9.03% 79 0.23% 2,521 7.44% 468 1.38% 33,886 17.46%
Lagos Mainland[36][37] 20,030 46.43% 18,698 43.34% 257 0.60% 3,005 6.96% 1,153 2.67% 43,143 18.09%
Mushin[38] 41,907 58.85% 23,390 32.84% 410 0.58% 3,478 4.88% 2,030 2.85% 71,215 18.20%
Ojo[39][40] 20,603 31.61% 38,859 59.63% 462 0.71% 3,701 5.68% 1,543 2.37% 65,168 17.07%
Oshodi-Isolo[41] 27,181 32.60% 51,020 61.19% 413 0.50% 3,139 3.76% 1,623 3.76% 83,376 18.96%
Somolu[42][43] 27,879 44.96% 28,936 46.67% 476 0.77% 3,449 5.56% 1,263 2.04% 62,003 20.29%
Surulere[44][45] 39,002 48.15% 36,923 45.58% 442 0.55% 2,651 3.27% 1,991 2.46% 81,009 22.59%
Totals 572,606 45.04% 582,454 45.81% 8,442 0.66% 75,750 5.96% 32,199 2.53% 1,271,451 18.92%

See also

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist Шаблон:2023 Nigeria elections Шаблон:Elections in Lagos State

Партнерские ресурсы
Криптовалюты
Магазины
Хостинг
Разное

  1. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  2. ↑ 2,0 2,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  3. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  4. ↑ 4,0 4,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  5. ↑ 5,0 5,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  6. ↑ 6,0 6,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  7. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  9. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  10. ↑ 10,0 10,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  11. ↑ 11,0 11,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  12. ↑ 12,0 12,1 12,2 Шаблон:Cite web
  13. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  14. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  15. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  16. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  17. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  18. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  19. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  20. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  21. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  22. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  23. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  24. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  25. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  26. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  27. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  28. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  29. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  30. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  31. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  32. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  33. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  34. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  35. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  36. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  37. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  38. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  39. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  40. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  41. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  42. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  43. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  44. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
  45. ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
Источник — http://wikihandbk.com/ruwiki/index.php?title=Английская_Википедия:2023_Nigerian_presidential_election_in_Lagos_State&oldid=12829701