Английская Википедия:2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Row hover highlight Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsMI

The 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary and caucuses are set to be held on February 27, 2024, and March 2, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 55 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a proportional and winner-take-most basis.[1] The primary will take place concurrently with its Democratic counterpart.

Background

In the 2016 Michigan Republican presidential primary, Donald Trump won with 36.5% of the vote, carrying 25 out of 59 delegates total. His closest opponents, Governor of Ohio John Kasich and Senator from Texas Ted Cruz, received 24.9% and 24.3% of the vote, respectively, with both candidates receiving 17 delegates.[2]

Schedule

In February 2023, Governor Gretchen Whitmer signed legislation to move up the date of both the Democratic and Republican presidential primaries in Michigan to February 27, 2024, in line with the Democratic National Committee's (DNC) state reorganization plan.[3]

The date violated Republican Party Rule 16(c)(1), which prohibits any state/territory except Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina, from holding their primary/caucus until on or after March 1, 2024, violating any other state/territory by stripping 80% of its delegates at the Republican National Convention.

In response, in June 2023, the Michigan Republican Party passed a resolution of intent that would allocate 16 delegates based on the results of the February 27 primary and 39 delegates based on the results of caucuses in each of the state's 13 congressional districts on March 2.

Candidates

The Michigan Secretary of State has identified the following candidates (listed alphabetically) as potential Republican Party presidential candidates in 2024:[4]

Endorsements

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Maps

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Файл:2024 United States presidential election Republican primary Michigan House endorsements.svg
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the Michigan House of Representatives.
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Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Will
Hurd
Asa
Hutchinson
Perry
Johnson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
CNN/SSRS Nov 30 – Dec 7, 2023 618 (LV) ± 3.4% 1% 6% 15% 13% 1% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|58% 1% 3%
Morning Consult Nov 1-30, 2023 1,348 (LV) 0% 3% 13% 10% 0% 8% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|65%
Morning Consult Oct 1-31, 2023 1,342 (LV) 1% 3% 10% 6% 0% 0% 7% 9% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|63%
Public Policy Polling (D) Oct 9–10, 2023 430 (LV) ± 4.7% 2% 3% 13% 6% 0% 2% 3% 0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|63% 8%
Morning Consult Sep 1-30, 2023 1,238 (LV) 0% 4% 12% 6% 0% 0% 7% 10% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|58% 2%
Susquehanna University Sep 7–12, 2023 219 (LV) 0% 0% 18% 3% 0% 5% 5% 0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|65%
Morning Consult Aug 1-31, 2023 1,299 (LV) 0% 4% 15% 3% 0% 1% 8% 8% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|59% 0%Шаблон:Efn
Emerson College Aug 1–2, 2023 498 (RV) ± 4.3% 1% 2% 13% 3% 0% 1% 0% 7% 4% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|61% 1% 6%
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 1,350 (LV) 3% 18% 3% 0% 1% 10% 7% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|55% 1%
Mitchell ResearchШаблон:Efn-ua Jul 11–13, 2023 639 (LV) ± 4.0% 13% 1% 0% 3% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|69% 11%
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 1,242 (LV) 1% 2% 25% 3% 0% 2% 9% 3% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% 1%Шаблон:Efn
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 1,354 (LV) 25% 2% 1% 9% 5% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53% 5%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Morning Consult Apr 1-30, 2023 1,356 (LV) 26% 3% 0% 10% 2% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53% 5%Шаблон:Efn
Morning Consult Mar 1-31, 2023 1,378 (LV) 30% 3% 10% 0% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% 5%Шаблон:Efn
Morning Consult Feb 1-28, 2023 1,232 (LV) 32% 4% 10% 0% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% 6%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Echelon Insights Feb 13–16, 2023 400 (V) ± 6.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% 42% 11%
Morning Consult Jan 1-31, 2023 1,709 (LV) 33% 1% 10% 0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% 5%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Morning Consult Dec 1-31, 2022 909 (LV) 32% 1% 10% 0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% 7%Шаблон:Efn
Glengariff Group Jul 13–15, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% 13%

Results

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See also

Notes

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Partisan clients

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References

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Шаблон:2024 Republican primaries