Английская Википедия:2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Row hover highlight Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsSC

The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary will be held on February 24, 2024,[1] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 50 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a selection basis.[2]

Held following the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, the South Carolina primary will be the third in the cycle, and will be held on the same day as the Nevada caucuses.[3] South Carolina holds the "first in the South" presidential primary for both major parties.[4]

Nikki Haley, who served as governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, announced her presidential candidacy in February 2023. Tim Scott, who has represented South Carolina in the U.S. Senate since 2013, also entered the race with a campaign announcement in May 2023.[5] He has since withdrawn from the race, with the announcement of his campaign suspension being made on November 12, 2023, during a Fox News interview with Trey Gowdy.[6]

Background

The Republican electorate in South Carolina is noted for having a high proportion of evangelical voters.[7] Socially conservative candidates have performed well in the South Carolina primary in past contests. In the 2012 Republican primary, Newt Gingrich beat out eventual nominee Mitt Romney in the state with support from evangelical voters.[8]

In the 2016 South Carolina Republican primary, Donald Trump won with 32.51% of the vote, with the nearest opponent Marco Rubio taking 22.48%. Trump reportedly won 34% of the evangelical vote in the primary, with Ted Cruz taking 26%, and Rubio taking 21%.[9]

Procedure

29 at-large delegates are awarded to the candidate with the highest statewide vote total. Each of the state's seven congressional districts are awarded three delegates and the candidate with the highest vote total in each congressional district are awarded that district's delegates.

Candidates

The following 10 candidates have filed until the end of the filing period on October 31, 2023, and will be on the ballot (unless they withdraw by January 2, 2024):[10]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Maps

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Файл:2024 United States presidential election Republican primary South Carolina House endorsements.svg
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the South Carolina House of Representatives.
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Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Donald
Trump
Other/
UndecidedШаблон:Efn
Margin
270toWin November 15-December 10, 2023 December 10, 2023 3.5% 13.0% 20.0% 0.5% 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |50.5% 8.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Trump +30.5
FiveThirtyEight through December 8, 2023 December 14, 2023 2.7% 13.5% 21.8% 0.4% 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |50.7% 6.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Trump +28.9
RealClearPolitics September 14 – December 8, 2023 December 10, 2023 3.6% 11.2% 19.6% 0.8% 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |49.2% 12.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Trump +29.6
Average 3.3% 12.6% 20.5% 0.6% 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |50.1% 8.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Trump +29.7
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Trafalgar Group Dec 6–8, 2023 1,087 (LV) ± 2.9% 5.8% 14.4% 22.8% 0.3% 6.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48.7% 1.9%
Morning Consult Nov 1-30, 2023 856 (LV) 0% 2% 13% 19% 3% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |57%
Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research Nov 4–12, 2023 780 (RV) ± 3.51% 0.3% 1.6% 12.5% 18.7% 0.4% 3.4% 10.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47.6% 2.1%Шаблон:Efn 2.7%
Morning Consult Oct 1-31, 2023 927 (LV) 0% 1% 11% 15% 0% 3% 6% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |58%
CNN/SSRS Oct 18–25, 2023 738 (LV) ± 4.8% 0% 2% 11% 22% 0%Шаблон:Efn 2% 1% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53% 0%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Morning Consult Sep 1-30, 2023 854 (LV) 1% 10% 13% 0% 3% 6% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |59% 0%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Fox Business Sep 14–18, 2023 809 (LV) ± 3.5% <0.5% 4% 10% 18% 1% 4% 5% 9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% 1%Шаблон:Efn 3%
Washington Post/Monmouth University Sep 6–11, 2023 506 (LV) ± 4.6% 0% 5% 9% 18% 2% 3% 3% 10% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% 1%Шаблон:Efn 4%
Morning Consult Aug 1-31, 2023 910 (LV) 1% 14% 11% 0% 4% 8% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |55% 0%Шаблон:Efn
Trafalgar Group (R) Aug 17–19, 2023 1,054 (LV) ± 2.9% 0% 2% 14% 8% 0% 2% 6% 14% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% 0%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 907 (LV) 0% 1% 15% 12% 1% 3% 6% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |54% 0%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Fox Business Jul 15–19, 2023 809 (LV) ± 3.5% <0.5% 2% 13% 14% 1% 4% 3% 10% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% Шаблон:Efn 4%
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 907 (LV) 0% 1% 20% 12% 0% 4% 3% 10% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |48% 1%Шаблон:Efn 1%
National Public Affairs Jun 20–21, 2023 809 (LV) 1% 5% 18% 12% 2% 2% 2% 10% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|41% 6%
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 875 (LV) 19% 13% 0% 4% 3% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |52% 1%Шаблон:Efn 1%
National ResearchШаблон:Efn-ua May 24–25, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 18% 10% 1% 1% 1% 12% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% 1%Шаблон:Efn 13%
National Public Affairs May 15–17, 2023 590 (LV) ± 4.0% 23% 15% 3% 2% 2% 10% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|38% 8%
Morning Consult Apr 1-30, 2023 810 (LV) 17% 17% 0% 5% 1% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |52% 3%Шаблон:Efn 1%
National Public Affairs Apr 11–14, 2023 588 (LV) ± 4.2% 21% 19% 1% 2% 1% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% 1%Шаблон:Efn 6%
Winthrop University Mar 25 – April 1, 2023 485 (RV) ± 4.6% 20% 18% 0% 5% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|41% 5%Шаблон:Efn 4%
Morning Consult Mar 1-31, 2023 806 (LV) 22% 15% 5% 0% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |49% 3%Шаблон:Efn 2%
Morning Consult Feb 1-28, 2023 689 (LV) 24% 18% 5% 7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |43% 4%Шаблон:Efn
Neighbourhood Research and MediaШаблон:Efn-ua Feb 7–14, 2023 300 (LV) ± 5.9% 22% 16% 2% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|35% 23%
Morning Consult Jan 1-31, 2023 974 (LV) 31% 14% 2% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |45% 2%Шаблон:Efn 1%
Trafalgar Group Jan 24–26, 2023 1,078 (LV) ± 2.9% 33% 6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% 9%Шаблон:Efn
21% 3% 23% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% 5%Шаблон:Efn
29% 22% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% 2%Шаблон:Efn
28% 12% 2% 14% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% 1%Шаблон:Efn
Moore Information Jan 18–24, 2023 450 (LV) ± 5.0% 31% 12% 4% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|41% 7%
29% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|62% 9%
42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% 15%
Spry Strategies Jan 17–19, 2023 386 (LV) Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% 33% 15%
Morning Consult Dec 1-31, 2022 530 (LV) 28% 13% 4% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |44% 6%Шаблон:Efn
Winthrop University Oct 22 – November 5, 2022 1,298 (A) ± 2.8% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% 19%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 294 (LV) ± 5.1% 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|58% 9%
Trafalgar Group Mar 25–29, 2021 1,014 (LV) ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|64% 11%Шаблон:Efn 25%Шаблон:Efn

Results

Шаблон:2024SCPrimary

See also

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:2024 Republican primaries