Английская Википедия:2024 United States presidential election in Iowa
Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsIA The 2024 United States presidential election in Iowa is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Iowa voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Iowa has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1] While Iowa was considered both a swing and a bellwether state for decades, it voted significantly more Republican than the nation-at-large in both 2016 and 2020 and probably won't be as contested by the Democrats as Donald Trump won the state by a comfortable margin while losing nationally in the latter election. Furthermore, during the 2022 elections, all three statewide incumbent Republicans (governor, secretary of agriculture, and secretary of state) won reelection by more than 18 points, two of three statewide incumbent Democrats (28-year incumbent attorney general and 40-year incumbent treasurer) lost to Republican challengers, and the remaining incumbent Democrat (4-year incumbent auditor) won by less than 3,000 votes and 0.23%, further signifying Iowa's rightward shift.[2][3]
In April 2023, incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden officially announced a re-election campaign for 2024.[4]
Caucuses
Democratic caucus
Шаблон:Main The Iowa Democratic caucuses will be held in March 2024.
Republican caucus
Шаблон:Main The Iowa Republican caucuses will be held on January 15, 2024.
Libertarian caucus
The Iowa Libertarian caucuses will be held on January 15, 2024, it's first as a recognized party in the state.[5]
General election
Polling
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | December 15–17, 2023 | 1,094 (RV) | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | 40% | 12% |
| Emerson College | May 19–22, 2023 | 1,064 (RV) | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | 38% | 13% |
| Emerson College | October 2–4, 2022 | 959 (LV) | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 39% | 14% |
| Cygnal (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 2–4, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% | 41% | 8% |
| Cygnal (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | July 13–14, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% | 40% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R) Шаблон:WebarchiveШаблон:Efn-ua | February 20–22, 2022 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53% | 38% | 9% |
| Selzer & Co. | November 7–10, 2021 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% | 40% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 18–19, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|54% | 41% | 5% |
- Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Шаблон:Nobold |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | May 19–22, 2023 | 1,064 (RV) | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% | 38% | 17% |
See also
- United States presidential elections in Iowa
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
Шаблон:Reflist Шаблон:2024 United States elections Шаблон:State results of the 2024 U.S. presidential election
