Английская Википедия:2026 Victorian state election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Use Australian English Шаблон:Infobox election The 2026 Victorian state election is expected to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect the 61st Parliament of Victoria. All 88 seats in the Legislative Assembly (lower house) and all 40 seats in the Legislative Council (upper house) will be up for election, presuming there are no new electorates added in a redistribution.

The Labor government, currently led by Premier Jacinta Allan, will attempt to win a fourth four-year term against the Liberal/National Coalition opposition, currently led by John Pesutto.

The election will be administered by the Victorian Electoral Commission.

Background

Previous election and parliament

The Daniel Andrews-led Labor government was returned to power in 2014 after winning a majority of seats in the Legislative Assembly at the 2014 state election. The Labor party was re-elected at the 2018 state election and again at the 2022 state election, winning 56 seats. The Liberal/National Coalition gained one seat to 28 seats, the Greens won 4 seats. In the Legislative Council, the Labor party won 15 of the 40 seats.

Jacinta Allan and the Labor government is expected to be seeking a four-year term, after the previous premier Daniel Andrews announced his resignation as Premier of Victoria and Member for Mulgrave in September 2023, effective the following day.

Opposition Leader Matthew Guy stood down as Liberal leader a day after the party's poor result at the 2022 election, with John Pesutto elected as the new leader after the ensuing party room ballot.

Since the last state election they have had three by elections. The 2023 Narracan state by-election held in January 2023, The 2023 Warrandyte state by-election held in August 2023 and The 2023 Mulgrave state by-election held in 18 November 2023.

Electoral system

Eligible Victorian electors are required to cast a ballot due to compulsory voting laws. The eligibility criteria for enrolment to vote includes being 18 years or older, an Australian citizen, and to have lived in Victoria for longer than a month.

Legislative Assembly

For the election of members to single seats of the Legislative Assembly, the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) uses full preferential voting where for a vote to count, it is required to number every box on the ballot in the order of the most preferred candidate for the particular electoral district an elector is registered to vote in. The election will cover all 88 Seats of the Victorian Legislative Assembly.

Legislative Council

For the election of members to multi-member state regions in the Legislative Council the VEC uses optional preferential voting where voters can either vote for a political party or a group voting ticket 'above the line' or vote for individual candidates 'below the line'. Members of the Legislative Council represent state regions. There are currently eight state regions, they make up of eleven Legislative Assembly districts and are each represented by five members of Parliament in the Legislative Council.

When voting 'above the line', for a vote to count, voters are required to write the number 1 for the political party or group of candidates they prefer. Preferences will then be automatically distributed based on the registered preference order provided to the VEC by the group voting ticket.

When voting 'below the line', for a vote to count, voters are required to number a minimum of 5 boxes on the ballot in the order of their most preferred candidate.

Date

In accordance to the timetable set out in the Electoral Act 2002 (VIC), the terms of elected officials to Victorian Parliament are on a fixed term basis. All elections since the 2006 have occurred every four years on the last Saturday of November. Unless the Governor of Victoria unexpectedly dissolves parliament, the election is expected to be held on 28 November 2026.

Expected timeline of the election

• 3 November 2026: The Legislative Assembly expires prompting the need for an election to be held. This also means that there are no longer any members, business of parliament ends until a new parliament is formed, and parliament enters into a caretaker period.
• 3 November 2026: On the same day that the Legislative Assembly expires, the Governor of Victoria issues a writ for the VEC to hold an election.
• 10 November 2026: 7 days after the writ is issued, at 8:00 pm, the electoral roll is closed meaning people can no longer be added to the electoral roll, update the electorate they live in, or update any other information.
• 13 November 2026: 10 days after the writ is issued, at noon, the period for submitting candidate nominations closes.
• 28 November 2026: The last Saturday of November, nearest to the fourth year following of the previous election date, is the Election Day.
• 19 December 2026: Within 21 days following election day, the Electoral Commissioner returns the writ with information regarding the successful candidates.

Pre-electoral pendulum

Labor seats (56)
Seat	Member	Party	Margin
Marginal
Northcote	Kat Theophanous	ALP	0.2% v GRN
Bass	Jordan Crugnale	ALP	0.2%
Pakenham	Emma Vulin	ALP	0.4%
Hastings	Paul Mercurio	ALP	1.4%
Pascoe Vale	Anthony Cianflone	ALP	2.0% v GRN
Preston	Nathan Lambert	ALP	2.1% v GRN
Ripon	Martha Haylett	ALP	3.0%
Glen Waverley	John Mullahy	ALP	3.3%
Bayswater	Jackson Taylor	ALP	4.2%
Footscray	Katie Hall	ALP	4.2% v GRN
Yan Yean	Lauren Kathage	ALP	4.3%
Melton	Steve McGhie	ALP	4.6%
Fairly safe
Ashwood	Matt Fregon	ALP	6.2%
Mulgrave	Eden Foster	ALP	6.2% v INDШаблон:Efn
Sunbury	Josh Bull	ALP	6.4%
Niddrie	Ben Carroll	ALP	6.7%
Greenvale	Iwan Walters	ALP	7.1%
Eureka	Michaela Settle	ALP	7.2%
Box Hill	Paul Hamer	ALP	7.2%
Ringwood	Will Fowles	ALP	7.5%
Monbulk	Daniela De Martino	ALP	7.6%
Bentleigh	Nick Staikos	ALP	8.0%
Mordialloc	Tim Richardson	ALP	8.2%
Narre Warren South	Gary Maas	ALP	8.3%
Point Cook	Mathew Hilakari	ALP	8.3%
Bellarine	Alison Marchant	ALP	8.5%
Frankston	Paul Edbrooke	ALP	8.7%
Narre Warren North	Belinda Wilson	ALP	8.7%
Sydenham	Natalie Hutchins	ALP	8.8%
Cranbourne	Pauline Richards	ALP	9.0%
Eltham	Vicki Ward	ALP	9.0%
Macedon	Mary-Anne Thomas	ALP	9.5%
St Albans	Natalie Suleyman	ALP	9.6%
Carrum	Sonya Kilkenny	ALP	9.8%
South Barwon	Darren Cheeseman	ALP	9.8%
Safe
Clarinda	Meng Heang Tak	ALP	10.2%
Bendigo East	Jacinta Allan	ALP	10.8%
Werribee	Tim Pallas	ALP	10.9%
Albert Park	Nina Taylor	ALP	11.2%
Mill Park	Lily D'Ambrosio	ALP	11.6%
Wendouree	Juliana Addison	ALP	11.9%
Tarneit	Dylan Wight	ALP	12.3%
Essendon	Danny Pearson	ALP	12.5%
Bundoora	Colin Brooks	ALP	12.7%
Ivanhoe	Anthony Carbines	ALP	13.0%
Williamstown	Melissa Horne	ALP	13.4%
Oakleigh	Steve Dimopoulos	ALP	13.5%
Kororoit	Luba Grigorovitch	ALP	14.5%
Bendigo West	Maree Edwards	ALP	14.6%
Geelong	Christine Couzens	ALP	14.7%
Broadmeadows	Kathleen Matthews-Ward	ALP	15.5%
Thomastown	Bronwyn Halfpenny	ALP	15.8%
Lara	Ella George	ALP	15.9%
Kalkallo	Ros Spence	ALP	16.5%
Dandenong	Gabrielle Williams	ALP	18.3%
Laverton	Sarah Connolly	ALP	18.4%

Liberal/National seats (28)
Seat	Member	Party	Margin
Marginal
Mornington	Chris Crewther	LIB	0.7% v IND
Benambra	Bill Tilley	LIB	0.9% v IND
Mildura	Jade Benham	NAT	1.2% v IND
Croydon	David Hodgett	LIB	1.4%
Hawthorn	John Pesutto	LIB	1.7%
Polwarth	Richard Riordan	LIB	1.8%
Caulfield	David Southwick	LIB	2.1%
Rowville	Kim Wells	LIB	3.7%
Kew	Jess Wilson	LIB	4.0%
WarrandyteШаблон:Efn-la	Nicole Werner	LIB	4.3%
Morwell	Martin Cameron	NAT	4.4%
Berwick	Brad Battin	LIB	4.7%
Sandringham	Brad Rowswell	LIB	5.0%
Brighton	James Newbury	LIB	5.1%
Evelyn	Bridget Vallence	LIB	5.4%
Bulleen	Matthew Guy	LIB	5.9%
Fairly safe
Nepean	Sam Groth	LIB	6.4%
Shepparton	Kim O'Keeffe	NAT	6.8% v IND
Eildon	Cindy McLeish	LIB	7.0%
South-West Coast	Roma Britnell	LIB	8.0%
Malvern	Michael O'Brien	LIB	8.1%
Euroa	Annabelle Cleeland	NAT	9.9%
Safe
NarracanШаблон:Efn-la	Wayne Farnham	LIB	13.0% v IND
Gippsland South	Danny O'Brien	NAT	15.6%
Ovens Valley	Tim McCurdy	NAT	17.8%
Very safe
Lowan	Emma Kealy	NAT	21.6%
Murray Plains	Peter Walsh	NAT	23.4%
Gippsland East	Tim Bull	NAT	24.6%

Opinion polling

Primary Poll Graph

Файл:2026 victorian state election scatter plot - primary.svg

2PP Poll Graph

Файл:2026 victorian state election scatter plot - TPP.svg

Primary vote
Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Voting intention

Legislative Assembly (lower house) polling

Date	Firm	Sample	Primary vote					TPP vote
			ALP	LIB	NAT	GRN	OTH	ALP	L/NP
22 December 2023	Redbridge	2,000	37%	36%*		13%	14%	55.9%	44.1%
3 December 2023	Resolve StrategicШаблон:Efn	~1,100	37%	31%*		11%	20%	56.5%	43.5%
September – October 2023	Resolve StrategicШаблон:Efn	~1,100	39%	32%*		12%	17%	57.5%	42.5%
27 September 2023 Jacinta Allan becomes premier and Labor leader
31 August – 14 September 2023	Redbridge	3,001	37%	34%*		13%	16%	56.5%	43.5%
July – August 2023	Resolve StrategicШаблон:Efn	~1,100	39%	28%*		13%	20%	60%	40%
19 – 20 July 2023	Roy Morgan	1,046	33%	35.5%*		12.5%	19%Шаблон:Efn	53%	47%
May – June 2023	Resolve StrategicШаблон:Efn	1,003	41%	23%	3%	15%	18%	62.5%	37.5%
17 – 22 May 2023	Roy Morgan	2,095	42%	28.5%*		12.5%	17%Шаблон:Efn	61.5%	38.5%
19 – 22 April 2023	Resolve StrategicШаблон:Efn	1,609	42%	30%*		10%	17%	60.5%	39.5%
15 – 18 February 2023	Resolve StrategicШаблон:Efn	825	41%	30%*		13%	17%	60.9%	39.1%
8 December 2022 John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
26 November 2022 election	N/A	N/A	37.0%	29.6%	4.8%	11.5%	17.1%	55%	45%
21 – 24 November 2022	Newspoll	1,226	38%	35%*		12%	15%	54.5%	45.5%
* Indicates a combined Liberal/National primary vote.
Newspoll polling is published in The Australian.

Preferred premier and satisfaction

Better premier and satisfaction polling*

Date	Firm	Better premier			Allan		Pesutto
		Allan	Pesutto		Satisfied	Dissatisfied	Satisfied	Dissatisfied
3 December 2023	Resolve Strategic	34%	22%		not asked		not asked
September – October 2023	Resolve Strategic	38%	19%		not asked		not asked
27 September 2023 Allan replaces Andrews		Andrews	Pesutto		Andrews		Pesutto
July – August 2023	Resolve Strategic	41%	32%		not asked		not asked
19 – 20 July 2023	Roy Morgan	52.5%	47.5%		45%	55%	not asked
May – June 2023	Resolve Strategic	49%	26%		not asked		not asked
17 – 22 May 2023	Roy Morgan	64%	36%		52.5%	47.5%	46.5%	53.5%
19 – 22 April 2023	Resolve Strategic	49%	28%		not asked		not asked
15 – 18 February 2023	Resolve Strategic	50%	26%		not asked		not asked
8 December 2022 Pesutto replaces Guy		Andrews	Guy		Andrews		Guy
26 November 2022 election		–	–		–	–	–	–
21 – 24 November 2022	Newspoll	51%	35%		46%	48%	31%	56%
* Remainder were "uncommitted" or "other/neither". † Participants were forced to choose.
Newspoll polling is published in The Australian.

External links

• Victorian Electoral Commission Homepage