Английская Википедия:Attanagalla Polling Division

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The Attanagalla Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Gampaha Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Attanagalla has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Attanagalla is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Attanagalla Gampaha Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.40% SLPP 6.53%
2015 UPFA NDF 2.23% NDF 3.88%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.63% UPFA 7.93%
2005 UPFA UPFA 5.76% UPFA 10.04%
1999 PA PA 8.87% PA 13.85%
1994 PA PA 8.88% PA 11.09%
1988 SLFP SLFP 10.67% UNP 13.49%
1982 SLFP UNP 12.02% UNP 13.53%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 7/8 6.68% 8/8 10.04%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Attanagalla[3] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 66,850 58.98% 855,870 59.28% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 39,548 34.89% 494,671 34.26% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 4,829 4.26% 61,760 4.28% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,121 1.87% 31,499 2.18% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 113,348 99.16% 1,443,800 98.92% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 960 0.84% 15,751 1.08% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 114,308 84.29% 1,459,551 83.31% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 135,618 1,751,892 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Attanagalla[4] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 54,777 51.71% 664,347 49.49% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 50,380 47.56% 669,007 49.83% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 774 0.73% 9,142 0.68% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 105,931 99.04% 1,342,496 98.92% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,024 0.96% 14,647 1.08% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 106,955 80.40% 1,357,143 80.77% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 133,023 1,680,263 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Attanagalla[5] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 61,337 66.30% 718,716 61.66% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 30,110 32.55% 434,506 37.28% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,068 1.15% 12,426 1.07% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 92,515 99.31% 1,165,648 99.24% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 645 0.69% 8,960 0.76% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 93,160 77.06% 1,174,608 78.03% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 120,900 1,505,363 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Attanagalla[6] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 52,393 60.52% 596,698 54.78% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 33,171 38.32% 481,764 44.23% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,004 1.16% 10,815 0.99% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 86,568 98.76% 1,089,277 98.94% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 1,090 1.24% 11,724 1.06% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 87,658 77.64% 1,101,001 79.17% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 112,898 1,390,691 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Attanagalla[7] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 51,204 65.79% 532,796 56.58% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 21,709 27.89% 353,969 37.59% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,608 4.64% 40,472 4.30% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,307 1.68% 14,382 1.53% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 77,828 97.58% 941,619 97.84% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,933 2.42% 20,768 2.16% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 79,761 78.61% 962,387 77.12% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 101,470 1,247,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Attanagalla[8] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 51,923 73.64% 550,654 64.74% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 17,437 24.73% 288,608 33.93% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,151 1.63% 11,256 1.32% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 70,511 98.51% 850,518 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,065 1.49% 13,137 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 71,576 77.88% 863,655 74.16% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 91,907 1,164,625 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Attanagalla[9] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 35,758 60.12% 355,553 48.83% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 22,242 37.40% 350,092 48.08% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 1,475 2.48% 22,467 3.09% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 59,475 98.78% 728,112 98.63% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 735 1.22% 10,108 1.37% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 60,210 76.05% 738,220 74.93% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 79,172 985,206 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Attanagalla[10] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 31,495 55.92% 301,808 43.31% 2,546,348 39.05%
UNP 22,531 40.00% 365,847 52.50% 3,450,815 52.93%
JVP 1,926 3.42% 23,701 3.40% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 369 0.66% 5,491 0.79% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 56,321 99.24% 696,847 99.15% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 430 0.76% 5,992 0.85% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 56,751 84.63% 702,839 82.70% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 67,061 849,896 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Attanagalla has matched the final country result 4 out of 7 times. Hence, Attanagalla is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Attanagalla Gampaha Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UPFA UNP 2.27% UNP 2.70%
2010 UPFA UPFA 6.28% UPFA 8.25%
2004 UPFA UPFA 5.57% UPFA 8.37%
2001 PA UNP 5.81% UNP 8.71%
2000 PA PA 6.67% PA 8.56%
1994 PA PA 7.56% PA 11.90%
1989 SLFP UNP 9.06% UNP 9.12%
Matches/Mean MAE 4/7 7/7 6.17% 7/7 8.23%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Attanagalla[13] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 44,926 47.36% 549,958 44.96% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 42,371 44.67% 577,004 47.17% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 6,973 7.35% 87,880 7.18% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 586 0.62% 8,332 0.68% 81,501 0.73%
Valid Votes 94,856 94.97% 1,223,174 95.51% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 4,880 4.89% 56,246 4.39% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 99,885 75.09% 1,280,647 78.21% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 133,023 1,637,537 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Attanagalla[14] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 51,172 70.18% 589,476 63.40% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 15,912 21.82% 266,523 28.67% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 5,626 7.72% 69,747 7.50% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 204 0.28% 3,985 0.43% 19,003 0.24%
Valid Votes 72,914 95.04% 929,731 94.83% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,774 4.92% 50,234 5.12% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 76,722 63.46% 980,467 65.06% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 120,900 1,506,969 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Attanagalla[15] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 45,529 57.54% 509,963 51.52% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 24,282 30.69% 367,572 37.14% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 8,741 11.05% 102,516 10.36% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 576 0.73% 9,691 0.98% 57,229 0.62%
Valid Votes 79,128 95.33% 989,742 95.96% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,853 4.64% 41,462 4.02% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 83,008 75.65% 1,031,464 77.72% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 109,731 1,327,145 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Attanagalla[16] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 39,531 49.53% 428,780 43.08% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 29,618 37.11% 437,289 43.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 9,351 11.72% 113,990 11.45% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,316 1.65% 15,171 1.52% 137,826 1.54%
Valid Votes 79,816 95.81% 995,230 96.30% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,490 4.19% 38,187 3.70% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 83,306 78.57% 1,033,417 80.36% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 106,025 1,285,973 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Attanagalla[17] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 42,537 54.82% 470,018 48.87% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 23,248 29.96% 378,328 39.34% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 6,229 8.03% 73,110 7.60% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 3,475 4.48% 11,013 1.15% 185,593 2.16%
SU 1,315 1.69% 20,297 2.11% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 796 1.03% 8,943 0.93% 133,530 1.55%
Valid Votes 77,600 N/A 961,709 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Attanagalla[18] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 45,629 64.50% 509,030 56.79% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 24,269 34.30% 375,631 41.91% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 849 1.20% 11,627 1.30% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 70,747 96.41% 896,288 96.39% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,638 3.59% 33,553 3.61% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 73,385 79.85% 929,841 79.65% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 91,907 1,167,469 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Attanagalla[19] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 28,576 50.40% 294,490 41.34% 1,785,369 31.90%
UNP 25,194 44.43% 385,733 54.14% 2,838,005 50.71%
ELJP 1,765 3.11% 10,549 1.48% 67,723 1.21%
USA 1,166 2.06% 21,665 3.04% 141,983 2.54%
Valid Votes 56,701 95.49% 712,437 95.64% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,677 4.51% 32,497 4.36% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 59,378 76.92% 744,934 76.82% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 77,198 969,658 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Attanagalla Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (86.6%) and a significant Moor population (11.9%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Attanagalla Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (90.5%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Attanagalla Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (84.5%) and a significant Muslim population (12.4%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Attanagalla Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (71.3%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (19.5%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

  1. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Attanagalla and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Attanagalla and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. Шаблон:Cite web
  4. Шаблон:Cite web
  5. Шаблон:Cite web
  6. Шаблон:Cite web
  7. Шаблон:Cite web
  8. Шаблон:Cite web
  9. Шаблон:Cite web
  10. Шаблон:Cite web
  11. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Attanagalla and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Attanagalla and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. Шаблон:Cite web
  14. Шаблон:Cite web
  15. Шаблон:Cite web
  16. Шаблон:Cite web
  17. Шаблон:Cite web
  18. Шаблон:Cite web
  19. Шаблон:Cite web
  20. 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web