Английская Википедия:Chilaw Polling Division

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The Chilaw Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Puttalam Electoral District, in the North Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Chilaw has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Chilaw is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 3.65% SLPP 2.07%
2015 UPFA NDF 1.52% NDF 2.82%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.94% UPFA 1.64%
2005 UNP UNP 0.44% UPFA 1.75%
1999 PA PA 0.63% PA 0.91%
1994 PA PA 2.02% PA 1.81%
1988 UNP UNP 2.48% UNP 1.75%
1982 UNP UNP 1.45% UNP 5.69%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 1.64% 8/8 2.30%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw[3] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 51,233 54.57% 230,760 50.83% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 37,512 39.96% 199,356 43.91% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,977 3.17% 12,912 2.84% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,163 2.30% 10,948 2.41% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 93,885 98.96% 453,976 99.02% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 984 1.04% 4,478 0.98% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 94,869 77.15% 458,454 76.53% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 122,963 599,042 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw[4] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 43,928 50.50% 197,751 48.97% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 42,187 48.50% 202,073 50.04% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 870 1.00% 4,026 1.00% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 86,985 98.88% 403,850 98.95% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 985 1.12% 4,300 1.05% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 87,970 74.44% 408,150 72.50% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 118,171 562,984 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw[5] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 45,617 59.65% 201,981 58.70% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 29,541 38.63% 136,233 39.59% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,312 1.72% 5,899 1.71% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 76,470 99.28% 344,113 99.17% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 558 0.72% 2,886 0.83% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 77,028 71.16% 346,999 68.97% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 108,244 503,106 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw[6] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 37,372 50.25% 169,264 50.71% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 36,115 48.56% 160,686 48.14% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 891 1.20% 3,833 1.15% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 74,378 99.09% 333,783 98.95% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 685 0.91% 3,536 1.05% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 75,063 72.89% 337,319 70.56% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 102,987 478,032 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw[7] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,998 52.13% 141,725 51.47% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 26,708 43.51% 121,615 44.17% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,813 2.95% 7,876 2.86% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 864 1.41% 4,123 1.50% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 61,383 97.91% 275,339 97.94% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,309 2.09% 5,778 2.06% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 62,692 71.33% 281,117 68.85% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 87,891 408,331 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw[8] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 35,415 60.62% 165,795 62.65% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 22,240 38.07% 95,211 35.98% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 766 1.31% 3,629 1.37% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 58,421 98.42% 264,635 98.26% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 936 1.58% 4,689 1.74% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 59,357 71.47% 269,324 69.80% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 83,057 385,854 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw[9] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,932 53.55% 125,339 55.89% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 23,485 45.02% 94,823 42.28% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 748 1.43% 4,093 1.83% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 52,165 98.62% 224,255 98.70% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 731 1.38% 2,965 1.30% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 52,896 74.95% 227,220 70.70% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 70,574 321,387 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw[10] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 30,142 60.75% 128,877 59.12% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 17,553 35.38% 80,006 36.70% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,525 3.07% 7,001 3.21% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 397 0.80% 2,096 0.96% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 49,617 99.04% 217,980 99.09% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 479 0.96% 1,995 0.91% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 50,096 81.95% 219,975 81.41% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 61,128 270,207 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Chilaw has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Chilaw is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UNP UNP 1.40% UNP 3.26%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.11% UPFA 3.92%
2004 UPFA UPFA 0.38% UPFA 5.01%
2001 UNP UNP 0.98% UNP 4.20%
2000 PA PA 1.76% PA 3.15%
1994 PA PA 1.70% PA 2.84%
1989 UNP UNP 1.67% UNP 6.65%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 7/7 1.28% 7/7 4.15%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Chilaw[13] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 38,482 50.21% 180,185 51.81% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 34,701 45.27% 153,130 44.03% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 3,077 4.01% 12,211 3.51% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 387 0.50% 2,263 0.65% 82,383 0.74%
Valid Votes 76,647 94.12% 347,789 91.37% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 4,710 5.78% 23,124 6.08% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 81,433 68.91% 380,632 68.83% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 118,171 553,009 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Chilaw[14] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,073 66.11% 167,769 64.84% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 17,555 30.48% 81,152 31.36% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,759 3.05% 8,792 3.40% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 203 0.35% 1,028 0.40% 33,372 0.42%
Valid Votes 57,590 93.06% 258,741 92.29% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,288 6.93% 21,562 7.69% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 61,884 57.17% 280,354 55.67% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 108,244 503,635 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Chilaw[15] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 31,124 48.77% 142,784 49.31% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 29,934 46.91% 135,152 46.67% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 2,352 3.69% 10,000 3.45% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 404 0.63% 1,652 0.57% 62,157 0.67%
Valid Votes 63,814 93.82% 289,588 93.06% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 4,169 6.13% 21,431 6.89% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 68,018 69.13% 311,194 69.15% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 98,394 450,057 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Chilaw[16] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 32,254 49.63% 146,873 50.61% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 27,821 42.81% 120,981 41.69% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,888 5.98% 18,095 6.24% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,023 1.57% 4,260 1.47% 116,969 1.31%
Valid Votes 64,986 95.39% 290,209 95.20% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,142 4.61% 14,638 4.80% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 68,128 73.22% 304,847 71.53% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 93,040 426,193 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Chilaw[17] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,124 47.91% 138,747 48.40% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 28,110 44.70% 118,566 41.36% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,558 4.07% 11,256 3.93% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,256 2.00% 5,809 2.03% 236,331 2.75%
NUA 833 1.32% 12,317 4.30% 185,593 2.16%
Valid Votes 62,881 N/A 286,695 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Chilaw[18] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,999 51.91% 150,587 53.64% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 29,076 47.17% 127,671 45.48% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 567 0.92% 2,453 0.87% 158,616 2.00%
Valid Votes 61,642 95.77% 280,711 95.52% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,723 4.23% 13,144 4.47% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 64,365 77.49% 293,873 76.19% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 83,057 385,690 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Chilaw[19] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 30,573 61.53% 139,309 62.62% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 17,456 35.13% 71,687 32.22% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 957 1.93% 5,226 2.35% 211,176 3.77%
SLMC 699 1.41% 6,253 2.81% 202,016 3.61%
Valid Votes 49,685 94.61% 222,475 94.40% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,832 5.39% 13,205 5.60% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 52,517 75.30% 235,680 73.94% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 69,743 318,755 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Chilaw Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (76.7%) and a significant Moor population (13.5%) . In comparison, the Puttalam Electoral District (which contains the Chilaw Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (73.6%) and a significant Moor population (19.4%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Chilaw Polling Division has a Buddhist plurality (46.9%), a significant Roman Catholic population (30.6%) and a significant Muslim population (13.8%) . In comparison, the Puttalam Electoral District (which contains the Chilaw Polling Division) has a Buddhist plurality (43.2%), a significant Roman Catholic population (31.5%) and a significant Muslim population (19.7%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Партнерские ресурсы
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  1. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Chilaw and the Puttalam Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Chilaw and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  4. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  5. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  6. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  7. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  9. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  10. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  11. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Chilaw and the Puttalam Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Chilaw and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  14. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  15. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  16. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  17. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  18. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  19. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  20. ↑ 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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